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The Jet Stream PDF

108 Pages·1954·22.699 MB·English
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METEOROLOGICAL MONOGRAPHS BOARD OF EDITORS Editor E. WENDELL HEWSON University of Michigan Associate Editors J. J. GEORGE H. E. LANDSBERG Eastern Air Lines United States Weather Bureau A. H. GLENN R. B. MoNTGOMERY A. H. Glenn and Associates Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution Ross GuNN H. A. p ANOFSKY United States Weather Bureau Pennsylvania State University W. C. jACOBS c. M. PENNER Air Weather Service Meteorological Service of Canada J. KAPLAN H. RIEHL University of California, Los Angeles University of Chicago • METEOROLOGICAL MONOGRAPHS, a serial publication of the American Meteorological Society, serves as a me dium for original papers, survey articles, and other material in meteorology and closely related fields; it is intended for material which is better suited in length or nature for publication in monograph form than for publication in the journal of Meteorology, in the Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society or in Weatherwise. A METEOROLOGICAL MONOGRAPH may consist of a single paper or of a group of papers concerned with a single general topic. • INFORMATION FOR CONTRIBUTORS Manuscripts for the METEOROLOGICAL MONO 3. Table of contents. Chapter, section, and subsec· GRAPHS should be sent directly to the Editor: E. Wen tion headings should all be listed in the table of con dell Hewson, Department of Civil Engineering, Univer tents. sity of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan. Manuscripts 4. Title, author's name and affiliation. The affiliation may be submitted by persons of any nationality who are should be stated as concisely as possible and should not members or nonmembers of the Society, but only manu scripts in the English language can be accepted. Every constitute a complete address. The date of receipt of manuscript submitted is reviewed and in no case does the manuscript is supplied by the editor. the editor advise the author as to acceptability until at 5. Abstract. This should summarize the principal hy least one review has been obtained. Authors will receive potheses, methods, and conclusions of the investigation. galley proof but not page proof. It should not include mathematical symbols or refer Manuscripts. The manuscript must be complete and ences to equation numbers, since the abstract is some· in final form when submitted. It must be original type times quoted verbatim in abstracting or reviewing jour written copy on one side only of white paper sheets nals. SY:; X 11 inches, consecutively numbered; double spac· 6. Text. For one of a group of papers which together ing and wide margins are essential. Carbon copy and constitute a MONOGRAPH, it is sufficient to divide the single spacing are not acceptable. text into sections, each with a separate heading, num bered consecutively. The section heading should be Each manuscript may include the following compo placed on a separate line, flush with the margin, and nents, which should be presented in the order listed. should not be underlined. Subsection headings, if Of these, the table of contents; title, author's name and needed, should be located at the beginning of certain affiliation; abstract; text; references; and legends are paragraphs and underlined. obligatory. 7. References. References should be arranged alpha I. Title page. This will be prepared by the editor betically and designated by numbers. The numbers are if the manuscript is accepted for publication. enclosed by brackets in the text but not in the alpha betical listing. When two or more references are in· 2. Preface or foreword. A preface may be contrib volved, separate the numbers by semicolons: thus, "pre uted by the sponsors of the investigation, or by some vious investigations [3; 12; 27] have shown •.•" other interested group or individual. The preface should indicate the origin of the study and should pre Each reference listed should be complete and in the sent other facts of general interest which emphasize following form. For an article: author(s), year, title of its importance and significance. article, title of serial publication (underlined), volume Continued on Cover J METEOROLOGICAL MONOGRAPHS. Volume 2 August 1954 Number 7 THE JET STREAM by H. Riehl, M. A. Alaka, C. L. Jordan, and R. J. Renard with a FOREWORD by F. A. Berry PUBLISHED BY THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY 3 JOY ST., BOSTON 8, MASS. ISBN 978-1-940033-09-9 ((e Book) DOI 10.1007/978-1-940033-09-9 PREFACE The first seven chapters of this publication were given limited distribution as NAVAER Report 50-1R-249, 1 June 1953, of the Navy Department. Much new material on the jet stream has appeared since these chapters were prepared. A new chapter has accordingly been written which serves to bring up to date the jet stream account as of 1 April1954. Each subsection of chapter VIII reviews recent research on the topics covered in the corresponding chapters of the NAVAER Report. For example, subsection 3 of chapter VIII entitled "Climatology" extends the discussion in chapter III entitled "Climatology of the jet stream." We are indebted to the Bureau of Aeronautics of the Department of the Navy for permission to publish Report 50-lR-249 in this augmented form, and for their coopera tion in facilitating publication. In the FOREWORD that follows, Captain F. A. Berry outlines the considerations which led to the preparation of the Report. The present publication presents the Report with additions to a wider audience. HERBERT RIEHL 1 June 1954 111 FOREWORD It is true in many fields of science that the requisite data for the revision of an antiquated hypothesis or the development of a new theory are available long before the actual formulation of a neoteric concept. Such has been the case of the Jet Stream in the science of Meteorology. As early as 1933, a cross-section depicting a relatively narrow, high-speed stream of air in the upper westerlies was published in the text, Physikalische Hydrodynamik. The implications of this cross-section were disregarded by the authors themselves, possibly in view of the inadequacy of the observational material upon which it was based. Eleven years later, in 1944, Dr. Hurd C. Willett published mean cross-sections pertaining to the North American continent which also substantiated the existence of a meandering, high-velocity stream of air particles in the upper tropospheric regions. It wasn't until the year 1946, however, that this latest meteorological phenomenon became the object of rather intensive research at a Navy-sponsored research project at the University of Chicago and that its numerous potentialities were gradually being recognized. Subsequent to that time, considerable research on the subject has been conducted by various individuals and institutions at different geographical locations, with the result that a great deal of uncoordinated and sometimes controversial material has been presented. This material has appeared in divers professional journals, bulletins and periodicals, not readily available to the Naval Aerologist in the field or afloat. Because of the tremendous import and the numerous potentialities of this newly discovered phenomenon, it was deemed imperative that an evaluation and summary of existing research and data on the Jet Stream be compiled under a single cover and distributed to the Naval Aerological Service as soon as possible. Accordingly, Task 6 (TED-UNL-MA-501.6), JET STREAM ANALYSIS, was assigned to Project AROWA by Bureau of Aeronautics letter Aer-MA-5 serial 24803 dated 14 March, 1951, for prosecution and/ or coordination. This document is the coordinated effort in the fulfillment of this purpose. Much of the material ·presented herein is based on lectures by Dr. Herbert Riehl of the Department of Meteorology, University of Chicago, who also edited the manuscript. Intimately associated with the entire project, also, were Messrs. M. A. Alaka, C. L. Jordan, and R. J. Renard of the Department of Meteorology, University of Chicago. This publication encompasses the synoptic structure of the Jet Stream, as well as its climatology and relation to middle latitude cyclones and extended forecasting. In addition, one chapter is devoted to the techniques and procedures of high-level wind analysis. The dynamic principles relating to Jet Stream formation and maintenance are also incorporated. Much of the information presented herein has been derived from a great variety of source material, with the result that several different units of wind speed are ex pressed throughout. It is regretted that time did not permit the conversion of the various units to one system. F. A. BERRY Captain, U.S. Navy Officer in Charge . Bureau of Aeronautics Project AROWA iv TABLE OF CONTENTS Page PREFACE by H. Riehl. ............................................................................. iii FoREWORD by F. A. Berry. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . iv TABLE OF CONTENTS . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . v CHAPTER I. INTRODUCTION .......................... ' . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1 1. Discovery of the Jet Stream ........................................................... 0. .. 0... 1 2. Some Consequences of the Discovery of the Jet Stream ...... 3 0 •••• 0 •••• 0 ••••••••••• 0 ••••••• 0 ••• 0... CHAPTER II. SYNOPTIC STRUCTURE OF THE JET STREAM. , ... 4 o • o •••••• o ••••• o •••• o • o ••••• o • • • • • • • • • • • • • 1. The Wind Field ............ 4 0 ••••• 0 0 •••••• 0 • 0 ••••• 0 • 0 • 0 0 •••••• 0 • 0 0 •••••• 0 •••• 0 •• 0 • • • • • • • • • • • • • 2. The Field of Temperature 18 0 •• 0 ••••••• 0 •••••••••• 0 • 0 •••••••••••• 0 • 0 ••• 0 • 0 0 0 0 •••• 0 • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • CHAPTER III. CLIMATOLOGY OF THE JET STREAM .................. 23 o. o •••••••• 0 ••••••••••••••••••••• o. 1. Seasonal Variations 23 0 •••••••••••••••• 0 •••• 0 0 •••••••• 0 0 •••••••• 0 • o, ••••• 0 • 0 0 •••••• 0 0 •••••••• 0. 0 •• 2. Influence of Large-Scale Thermal and Physical Features .............. 30 0 •••••••••••••••••••••••••••• 3. Influence of the Jet on Surface Climates ......................................... 34 0 ••••••••••••••• CHAPTER IV. THE JET STREAM IN RELATION TO MIDDLE LATITUDE CYCLONES ........................... 38 1. The Jet Stream as a Factor in the Development of Extratropical Cyclones ........... 38 0 ••••••••••••••• 2. The Problem of Precipitation ........................... 44 0 •••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••• 3. Appendix A .............................. 45 0 ••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••• CHAPTER V. THE JET STREAM IN RELATION TO EXTENDED FORECASTING ................................ 48 1. The Problem of Extended Forecasting 48 0 • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • 2. Hemispheric Circulation as a Factor in Extended Forecasting. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 48 CHAPTER VI. HIGH LEVEL WIND ANALYSIS ........ 55 0 • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • 1. Introduction ................... 55 0 • 0 ••••••••• 0 • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • 2. Appendix A.-Gradient Wind Nomograms ..... 64 0 •••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••• 3. Appendix B.-Estimating Wind Speeds in the Jet Stream ......................................... 65 CHAPTER VII. DYNAMIC PRINCIPLES RELATING TO JET STREAM FORMATION AND MAINTENANCE ......... 67 o • • • 1. Formulation of the Problem ......................... 67 0 ••••••••••••• 0 ••••••••••••••••••••••••••• 2. The Similarity Between the Jet Stream and Ocean Currents ..... , ................................. 68 3. Lateral Mixing. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 69 4. Balance of Momentum .......... 74 0 •••••••••••••••••• 0 •••••••••••• 0 ••••••••••••••• 0 •••• 0 •••• 0 ••• 5. On the Formation of Regional Jets ... 78 0 ••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••• 6. Experiniental Analogues to Atmospheric Motions 78 0 • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • REFERENCES. . . . . • . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 81 INDEX ........................................................................................... 84 CHAPTER VIII. JET STREAM RESEARCH, 1952-54 ...................................................... 86 1. Introduction. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 86 2. Synoptic Structure .......................... 86 0 •••••••••••••••••••••••••••• • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • 3. Climatology ................... 90 0 • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • 4. Middle Latitude Cyclones and Weather ............................................... 91 0 ••••• 0 ••• 5. The Jet Stream on the Hemispheric Scale. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 95 6. High Level Wind Analysis ..... , ............. 95 0 • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • REFERENCES (continued) ................................................... , ...................... 100 v CHAPTER I. INTRODUCTION 1. Discovery of the Jet Stream During World War II, American pilots flying high but increases upward when the isotherms slope ver altitude bombers over Japan with air speeds exceeding tically. The currents move with constant speed at all 250 mph, at times, encountered head winds so strong heights when the isotherms are level. A wind discon that they found themselves in the unenviable predica tinuity marks the front where the temperature gradient ment of remaining stationary over their target areas. is concentrated. Such surprisingly strong winds had not been visual· The essential features of this model enjoyed accept ized for the upper troposphere by atmospheric models ance in most meteorological circles during the interval then in vogue. These models were based on the concept between the two world wars. Observations verified them of air masses of broad horizontal extent, with proper to a satisfactory extent up to 10,000 feet beyond which ties depending on their source and their history, and the atmosphere was not systematically explored. In the separated by a surface of discontinuity or a finite low levels, it is an observed fact that wind speed varies transition zone-a front (fig. l.l). Within the indi little with latitude. To the extent that the classical mod vidual air masses, the isotherms are level or have a els discuss the currents in the upper troposphere, they uniform slope. The wind speed is uniform at any level largely extrapolate from the lower levels. They do not visualize a concentration of high velocities in narrow Frontal Surface regions. Thus, the very strong winds encountered by the bombers introduced a feature of the circulation in T the westerlies that was not allowed for by existing T Homoveneous T+l models. T+l T+2 The earliest intimation of the existence of a narrow, T+2 T+3 T+3 high velocity region in the upper westerlies appeared T+4 T+4 in a cross-section published in Physikalische Hydro T+5 dynamik [12] (fig. 1.2). It revealed that the kinetic N s energy of the westerlies in the upper troposphere was (a) not evenly distributed with latitude, in marked con trast with the lower layers. This initial indication of the modification which our concepts of atmospheric structure were to sustain later on, did not attract much attention at the time of its publication. In 1944, Willett [108] published mean cross-sections over North America (fig. 1.3) which again featured U+2-T- - a localized high velocity stream in the upper westerlies. U+I!~ Together with the analyses of upper-air data compiled T+2 u _.I±~- during the war, these sections made it clear that a revision of the concepts regarding the structure of the N s upper westerlies was in order. (b) Simultaneously with these synoptic developments, :F;c. 1.1: Schematic representation of the wind and tempera· and to a great extent stimulated by them, theoretical ture fields in the vicinity of a frontal surface according to classi· investigations [82, 102] sought to discover the dyna cal concepts: (a) level isotherms and a uniform current in each mic principles responsible for these high winds the im air mass; (b) sloping isotherms and currents (u, u') increas ing uniformly with height. portance of which, at least from the point of view of I 2 THE JET STREAM air navigation, was easy to appreciate. Rossby [82] suggested that thermally driven lateral mixing asso· ciated with a tendency toward equalization of the verti· cal component of the absolute vorticity with latitude brought about, from time to time, an accu~ulation of the kinetic energy of the westerlies at the tropopause level equatorward of lat. 50°. His theory ( cf. chap. VII) required that these maxima should increase in intensity as they were displaced equatorward toward lat. 30°. A paper published in the same year by Staff Members of the Department of Meterorology, Univer· sity of Chicago [102], showed that the zonal winds observed at the tropopause during periods of straight west wind circulations appeared to agree fairly well with profiles computed on the basis of equalization of the·ver· tical component of the absolute vorticity. The same paper also furnished synoptic evidence corroborating Rossby's statement that the flow configuration aloft in middle latitudes is suggestive of a broad stream me andering eastward around the hemisphere in wavelike patterns. The kinetic energy of this stream is concen trated in a narrow band of high wind speed embedded in a relatively quiescent surrounding atmosphere. This FlG. 1.2: Mean vertical distribution of zonal component of geostrophic wind in northern hemisphere for February [12]. narrow band was named the JET STREAM. Dl¥ofiOA t 21 kloo --------~~~----~--------~~~=-----~-----r-----t--~~~~~~~~--~,.~----IIKM 20 " • 17 16 ~s 14 13 w 12 II 10 9 T • 7 6 ~ 4 0 3 2 i .i.;. JI ~i•i i .SI. I~ ~I Fie. 1.3: Vertical cross-section of pressure (mb), temperature (°C) and wind (knots) for North Amenca during winter [108]. INTRODUCTION 3 2. Some Consequences of the Discovery of the Jet Stream The discovery of the jet stream was destined to have nence as an important feature of the general atmospheric far-reaching consequences. It revealed, for instance, a circulation, it has become known as a significant factor striking similarity between the structure of the atmos in diverse weather phenomena ranging from cyclogene phere and that of major oceanic currents like the Gulf sis in middle latitudes [68] to the "hurst of the Stream. The establishment of this similarity is of much monsoon" over India [115] and rainfall over the Ha importance, since features known to exist in one fluid waiian Islands [114]. Of particular importance is the give a clue as to what to look for in the other. This role it plays in the problems of short- and long-range leads to a better understanding of both. Further, in forecasting (chaps. IV and V), and in understanding the few years since the jet stream came into promi- the climate of middle latitudes (chap. III).

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