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The International Political Economy of Structural Adjustment Programmes and Poverty Reduction Strategy Papers in Africa: A Comparative Analysis By Leon Hartwell Submitted in fulfilment of the requirements for the degree of Magister Artium Department of Political Sciences, Faculty of Humanities, University of Pretoria Supervisor: Prof Maxi Schoeman November 2011 ©© UUnniivveerrssiittyy ooff PPrreettoorriiaa Acknowledgements To my family, you have shown me a lot of love and support throughout my research. Baie dankie to Alan, Bernadette, Claudia, Jackie, Noel, Michelle, Reneé, Sharon and Stella who never cease to encourage me with my work. It has been a long but worthwhile journey. To Maxi Schoeman, my supervisor, thank you for your valuable advice and support. You inspired me, not only during the research phase of this study, but already many years ago when you taught me my first lesson in International Political Economy (IPE). Thank you also to Pieter Fourie, Alois Mlambo, Brendan Vickers and Sally Matthews for stimulating my particular interest in IPE and African Politics. Furthermore, there are a number of people that provoked my thoughts in related academic fields. I am therefore greatly indebted to Yolanda Spies, Anton du Plessis, Anthony Court, Nicola de Jager, Hussein Solomon, Rentia Pretorius, Roland Henwood, Katabaro Miti, and Gerhard Wolmarans. Thank you also to Rina du Toit who is always very helpful. I would also like to specifically thank all my students throughout my lecturing experience at the University of Pretoria. Your questions have helped me in more ways than you can imagine. Thank you to many of my former colleagues and friends at the Embassy of the Kingdom of the Netherlands. It was a wonderful experience to engage you on political and development issues, whether it was in the kitchen, corridors, via email, or in a meeting. I would therefore like to express my sincere gratitude to Wouter Jurgens, Rob de Vos, Peter Mollema, Hanneke Boerma, Monique van Welie, Deidre Bachelor and Luuk Bouwers, from whom I have learned a lot. I would like to single out tovarishch Yarik Turianskyi. Thank you for always being a good friend, colleague and advisor! Last, but not least, thank you to Emile Ormond. Several years ago you have emphasised the importance of reading to me - without it this study would have been impossible. Ngiyabonga kakhulu! i Abstract This study focuses on the debtor-creditor relationship between African states and the International Financial Institutions (IFIs). More specifically, it makes use of ‘post-positivist’ approaches as analytical tools and it compares the controversial Structural Adjustment Programmes (SAPs) with so-called ‘post-SAPs’ in order to establish whether the latter debt relief strategies are an improvement on the former. Post-SAPs include, amongst others, the Enhanced Heavily Indebted Poor Countries Initiative (HIPC II) and Poverty Reduction Strategy Papers (PRSPs). Jointly, the post-SAPs initiatives aim to make debt more sustainable, boost social spending and reduce poverty. The PRSP initiative in particular was full of promise (at least initially), as it entailed that debtors would rightfully be given the scope to create their own developmental strategies and that a blanket approach to development would be abandoned. Upon closer inspection the PRSP initiative is disappointing. The process itself is predetermined and there are additional IFI mechanisms (with traditional SAPs conditionalities) that should be read alongside this initiative. As the Great Recession starting in 2007 unfolded, the IFIs tended to stress the success and ‘resilience’ of HIPC II and PRSP countries. However, this study argues that supposed achievements are somewhat artificial and one needs to remain cautious about its long-term impacts. African economies experienced high economic growth rates in recent years, not because of World Bank and IMF endorsed policies, but because of debt relief and a commodity boom in the 2000s. The IFIs have not done anything to forge the developmental state in Africa. Several HIPC II and PRSP graduates are already starting to show signs of debt distress. Thus, there is a need to seriously rethink the roles of the World Bank and IMF in Africa. This study recommends that true adherence to the PRSP approach could be a first step to empower African states, and it calls for the establishment of an independent mechanism that will hold debtors and the IFIs accountable for unsustainable debt. ii Table of Contents page Chapter 1 Africa and the IFIs: an Introduction 1. Introduction 1 2. Identification of Research Theme 2 3. Literature Review 8 4. Identification and Demarcation of the Research Problem 10 5. Methodology 13 6. Structure of the Research 15 Chapter 2 A Methodological Framework for Analysing the African Debt Crisis 7. Introduction 19 8. The BWIs, Power and the Knowledge Structure 20 8.1 Background 20 8.2 The Power to Enforce Knowledge 22 8.3 Power to Produce and Distribute Knowledge 30 8.4 What Type of Knowledge? 33 9. The Nexus between Power, Knowledge, the BWIs and the Developing World 37 9.1 Positivism: A Social Construct with Political Implications 37 9.1.1 Critical theory 39 9.1.2 Postmodernism 41 9.1.3 Constructivism 42 9.2 Post-positivist Perspectives in the Context of this Study 45 9.2.1 Critical Theory 45 9.2.2 Postmodernism 48 9.2.3 Constructivism 49 10. The Comparative Method in the Context of this Study 50 11. Conclusion 53 iii Chapter 3 The African Debt Crisis: Whodunit? 12. Introduction 55 13. The Political Economy of the International Debt Structure 56 13.1 Why Do States Experience Balance of Payment Deficits? 57 13.2 What is the Importance of a Healthy Current Account Balance? 59 13.3 What Option Do Debtor States and Creditors Have? 60 14. Background to the African Debt Crisis and the Emergence of Powerful Creditors 63 15. The Ideational Structure of SAPs: A ‘Panopoly’ on Development Policy 67 16. The Material Structure of the African Debt Crisis: 1980 to 2000 69 16.1 ‘Debt Peonage’ 69 16.2 Low Inferior Growth and Unequal Growth 71 17. Who or What is to Blame for the Failure of SAPs? 75 17.1 Adherence to SAPs 76 17.2 Dictators, Development, and Democratisation 78 18. Conclusion 85 Chapter 4 The Implementation of a Flawed Idea: Howcatchem? 19. Introduction 87 20. Unpacking the Washington Consensus 88 20.1 Enter SAPs 89 20.2 Privatisation of Public Enterprises 93 20.3 Capital Account Liberalisation 96 20.4 Trade Liberalisation 102 20.5 Currency Devaluation 111 20.6 Slashing Government Expenditure 114 20.6.1 Downsizing the Bureaucracy 115 20.6.2 Cutting Back on Education and Healthcare 117 21. Conclusion 123 iv Chapter 5 TATA to TINA? The Triviality of the Poverty Reduction Strategy Paper 22. Introduction 126 23. From SAPs to the HIPC II Package? 127 24. What Constitutes the HIPC II Package? 130 25. PRSPs: What’s in a Name? 132 25.1 Are PRSPs Based on Participation? 136 25.2 Are PRSPs Based on National Ownership? 137 25.3 Are PRSPs Comprehensive? 139 25.4 Are PRSPs Results-Orientated? 143 25.5 Are PRSPs Partnership-Orientated? 144 26. No PRSP is An Island 145 26.1 Layers of Old School Conditionality 146 26.2 HIPC II Documents 147 26.3 The Real Deal: Additional Concessional Lending Instruments 148 26.4 The CPIA 152 26.5 The PSI 156 27. Conclusion 159 Chapter 6 Downplaying the African Debt Crisis and Taking Credit for Recent Developments 28. Introduction 161 29. The Great Recession: Too Much To Gain, Too Much To Lose 162 30. Evaluating the ‘Post-SAPs’ Era 164 30.1 The Significance of Debt Relief 165 30.2 Contextualising Improvements 169 30.3 Is Africa Coping With the Crises? 173 31. Unpacking the Good Governance Agenda 177 32. Avoiding Odious Debt, Illegitimate Debt, and Other Losers 181 33. SSA Can Do Much Better 185 34. Conclusion 188 v Chapter 7 From SAPs to Post-SAPs: An Evaluation 35. Introduction 189 36. Summary of Research Findings 190 37. Recommendations and Conclusion 195 38. Bibliography 200 vi Acronyms AU African Union BWIs Bretton Woods Institutions CPIA Country Policy and Institutions Assessment CAS Country Assistance Strategy CSOs Civil Society Organisations EBD Executive Board of Directors ECA Economic Commission for Africa ECF Extended Credit Facility EU European Union GWP Gross World Product HIPC Highly Indebted Poor Country IFC International Financial Cooperation IFIs International Financial Institutions I-PRSP Interim Poverty Reduction Strategy Paper IDA International Development Association IEG Independent Evaluation Group IEO Independent Evaluations Office IRAI IDA Resource Allocation Index HDI Human Development Index HIPC Heavily Indebted Poor Countries HIPC II Enhanced HIPC Initiative IMF International Monetary Fund IPE International Political Economy JSA Joint Staff Assessment JSAN Joint Staff Advisory Notes LIC Low Income Country LDC Least Developed Countries MDG Millennium Development Goal MDRI Multilateral Debt Relief Initiative NGO Non Governmental Organisation OAU Organisation of African Unity vii OECD Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development OSAA United Nations Office of the Special Advisor on Africa PBA Performance Based Assessment PRGF Poverty Reduction and Growth Facility PRSP Poverty Reduction Strategy Paper PRS Poverty Reduction Strategy PRSC Poverty Reduction Support Credit PSIA Poverty and Social Impact Analysis PSI Policy Support Instrument SAP Structural Adjustment Programme SSA Sub-Saharan Africa TATA There are Thousands of Alternatives TINA There is No Alternative UN United Nations UNCTAD United Nations Conference on Trade and Development UNDP United Nations Development Programme UNESCO United Nations Economic and Social Council UNSC United Nations Security Council UK United Kingdom US United States WTO World Trade Organisation viii List of Tables page Table 1: GDP by Region for 2009 3 Table 2: HDI 2010 3 Table 3: SSA’s Debt Burden: 1980-2010 4 Table 4: Top Salaries in 2007 22 Table 5: The World Bank and IMF’s Chiefs since the 1980s to Present 25 Table 6: Voting Power at the IFIs 28 Table 7: Differences of SAPs and PRSPs 52 Table 8: Debt in Comparative Perspective 61 Table 9: Rises in US interest rates that had an impact on debt repayment 65 Table 10: Sub Sahara Africa’s Debt Burden: 1980 to 2000 70 Table 11: Strong versus Non-Adjusters 73 Table 12: GDP per capita, current prices 74 Table 13: Debt Incurred by African Dictators 82 Table 14: Commodity Export Dependence 107 Table 15: Portion of the budget dedicated to basic social services and to the servicing of debt in 1992-1997 115 Table 16: General Civilian Public Sector Employment: Developing Country Regions 117 Table 17: Botswana and Mauritius Basic Statistics 117 Table 18: Education: Gross enrolment rates in Sub-Saharan Africa, 1960 to 1997 119 Table 19: Infant Mortality Rate, 1950 to 2000 120 Table 20: Life Expectancy at birth for Africa, 1950 to 2000 120 Table 21: Recent Changes Related to IFIs’ Structures and Initiatives 129 Table 22: List of Countries That Have Qualified for, are Eligible or Potentially Eligible and May Wish to Receive HIPC II Initiative Assistance 131 Table 23: Proclaimed Differences between SAPs and PRSPs 134 Table 24: The Number of Conditions Contained within 2005 World Bank Loans to African Countries 150 Table 25: CPIA Components 154 Table 26: SSA’s Debt Burden: 1980-2010 167 Table 27: GDP Growth Rates from 2000 to 2010 167 ix

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The Political Economy of the International Debt Structure. 56 Chapter 5. TATA to TINA? The Triviality of the Poverty Reduction Strategy Paper .. 2005:462, Makube 2007, Oatley 2006:351, OAU 1987:221, OPEC 2007). private sector areas such as fossil fuel lending (Berger 2010) and established
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