THE INTERNATIONAL MONETARY AND FINANCIAL SYSTEM Also by G. K. Helleiner AGRICULTURAL PLANNING IN EAST AFRICA (editor) A WORLD DIVIDED: The Less Developed Countries in the International Economy (editor) FOR GOOD OR EVIL: Economic Theory and North-South Negotiations (editor) FROM ADJUSTMENT TO DEVELOPMENT IN SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA: Conflict, Controversy, Convergence, Consensus (editor with Giovanni Andrea Cornia) INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC DISORDER: Essays in North-South Relations INTERNATIONAL TRADE AND ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT INTRA-FIRM TRADE AND THE DEVELOPING COUNTRIES MANUFACTURING FOR EXPORT IN THE DEVELOPING WORLD: Problems and Possibilities PEASANT AGRICULTURE, GOVERNMENT AND ECONOMIC GROWTH IN NIGERIA PROSPERITY AND THE WORLD ECONOMY: Essays in Memory of Sidney Dell (editor with S. Abrahamian, E. Bacha, R. Lawrence and P. Malan) THE IMF AND AFRICA (editor) THE NEW GLOBAL ECONOMY AND THE DEVELOPING COUNTRIES: Essays in International Economics and Development THE OTHER SIDE OF INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT POLICY: Non-Aid Economic Relations with Developing Countries in Canada, Denmark, The Netherlands, Norway and Sweden (editor) TRADE POLICY, INDUSTRIALIZATION AND DEVELOPMENT: New Perspectives (editor) TRADE POLICY AND INDUSTRIALIZATION IN TURBULENT TIMES The International Monetary and Financial System Developing-Country Perspectives Edited by G. K. Helleiner Professor of Economics University of Toronto First published in Great Britain 1996 by MACMILLAN PRESS LTD Houndmills, Basingstoke, Hampshire RG21 6XS and London Companies and representatives throughout the world A catalogue record for this book is available from the British Library. ISBN 978-1-349-24416-4 ISBN 978-1-349-24414-0 (eBook) DOI 10.1007/978-1-349-24414-0 First published in the United States of America 1996 by ST. MARTIN'S PRESS, INC., Scholarly and Reference Division, 175 Fifth Avenue, New York, N.Y. 10010 ISBN 978-0-312-12974-3 Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data applied for ©UNCTAD 19% Softcover reprint ofthe hardcover 1st edition 1996 978-0-333-64247-4 All rights reserved. No reproduction, copy or transmission of this publication may be made without written permission. No paragraph of this publication may be reproduced, copied or transmitted save with written permission or in accordance with the provisions of the Copyright, Designs and Patents Act 1988, or under the terms of any licence permitting limited copying issued by the Copyright Licensing Agency, 90 Tottenham Court Road, London WIP 9HE. Any person who does any unauthorised act in relation to this publication may be liable to criminal prosecution and civil claims for damages. Transferred to digital printing 1999 Contents List o.f Tables ix Preface XI List of Abbreviations Xlll Notes on the Contributors XVI 1 Introduction G.K. Helleiner 1 PART I GLOBAL MACROECONOMIC MANAGEMENT AND THE INTERESTS OF DEVELOPING COUNTRIES 13 2 Implications for IMF Policies arising from Effects on Developing Countries of Industrial Country Macroeconomic Policies Azizali F. Mohammed 15 3 Global Macroeconomic Management and the Developing Countries Yung Chul Park and Sang moon Hahm 28 Comments Antonieta Del Cid de Bonilla 46 Shahen Abrahamian PART II INTERNATIONAL LIQUIDITY, CAPITAL MOBILITY AND THE DEVELOPING COUNTRIES 53 4 International Liquidity and the Needs of the World Economy Ariel Buira 55 5 The Management of Capital Flows: Domestic Policy and International Cooperation Guillermo A. Calvo 85 v VI Contents Comments Christian Ossa Faika El-Refaie Yilmaz Akyii.z M.A. Uduebo Miguel Urrutia Montoya 113 PART III DEVELOPMENT FINANCE 133 6 Foreign Resource Flows and Financing of Development in Sub-Saharan Africa Benno J. Ndulu 135 7 Financing Economic Development in Low-Income Countries Joseph Abbey 157 Comments M.A. Uduebo Norman Girvan Mbaya Kankwenda Yilmaz Akyii.z 178 PART IV ISSUES IN TRANSITION AND ADJUSTMENT AND THE INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS 191 8 Structural Adjustment and Reform in Developing Countries Montek S. Ahluwalia 193 9 Transition and International Financial Institutions Dragoslav Avramovic 229 PART V RELATIONS BETWEEN THE IMF, THE WORLD BANK AND THE DEVELOPING COUNTRIES 243 10 The Roles of International Financial Institutions: A Latin American Reassessment Patricio Meller 245 Contents vii 11 IMF-World Bank Policy Advice: The Coordination/Cross-Conditionality Question Roberto Junguito 272 PART VI GOVERNANCE ISSUES WITHIN THE IMF AND THE WORLD BANK 291 12 From Supplicants to Shareholders: Developing Countries and the World Bank Moises Nairn 293 13 Governance of the Fund Alexandre Kafka 324 Comments Guillermo C. Mungi 341 PART VII THE REGIONAL DEVELOPMENT BANKS ·AND THE WORLD BANK 345 14 The Evolution of the Multilateral Development Banks Devesh Kapur and Richard Webb 347 15 Regional Development Banks and the Objectives of the Bretton Woods Institutions Delphin G. Rwegasira and Henock Kifle 383 Comments Cristian Ossa 417 PART VIII THE DEVELOPING-COUNTRIES' INFLUENCE WITHIN THE INTERNATIONAL MONETARY ANDFINANCIALSYSTEM 421 16 Developing Country Cooperation in International Financial Institutions Lal Jayawardena 423 17 Back to the Future: Small Developing Countries in the International Monetary System Terrence W. Farrell 452 viii Contents Comments Norman Girvan 474 APPENDIX CONFERENCE OPENING ADDRESS Cesar Gaviria Trujillo President of the Republic of Colombia 477 Author Index 482 Subject Index 486 List of Tables 4.1 Estimates of Demand for International Reserves based on the Equilibrium Model (GLS) 61 4.2 Estimates of Demand for International Reserves based on the Equilibrium Model (OLS) 62 4.3 Elasticities of Demand for Reserves of Reserve Currency and Non-Reserve Currency Countries 64 4.4 Estimates of Demand for International Reserves based on the Disequilibrium Model 65 4.5 Total Reserves and their Composition 67 4.6 Currency Composition of Reserves 68 4.7 Ratio of IMF Quotas to Merchandise Trade 71 4.8 Distribution of International Reserves by Groups of Countries 74 4.9 Import Coverage of International Reserves 75 4.10 Projections of the Demand for International Reserves 79 5.1 Latin America: Balance of Payments, 1985-94 88 5.2 Asia: Balance of Payments, 1985-94 89 5.3 Key Indicators for Selected Latin American and Asian Countries 90 6.1 Key Macroeconomic Balances, Sub-Saharan Africa, (averages) 137 6.2 Evolution of Debt Stock Ratios, Sub-Saharan Africa, 1970-91 140 6.3 Evolution of the Structure of Debt Stock, Sub-Saharan Africa, 1970-91 141 6.4 External Debt Service Ratios in the 1980s, Sub-Saharan Africa 144 6.5 Average Terms of New Debt, Sub-Saharan Africa 147 6.6 External Net Resource Flows, Sub-Saharan Africa, 1970-90 150 6.7 External Net Transfers adjusted for Terms of Trade Losses, Sub-Saharan Africa 152 9.1 Growth in GDP in Eastern Europe and the Former Soviet Union 230 9.2 Gross Fixed Investment in Eastern Europe and the Former USSR 231 9.3 Unemployment Rates in Eastern Europe 238 ix