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The Inquisition of Climate Science PDF

249 Pages·2011·3.025 MB·English
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James Lawrence Powell Advance Praise for P $27.95 o on was born and raised in Ken- The Inquisition of Climate Science w orris tucky and graduated from e Modern science is under the greatest and most M l David Berea College. He received “James Lawrence Powell’s must-read book is a welcome addition to the growing l struyc coefs sdfeunl iaalt,t aacbke ttiend rbeyc ennetw hs ismtoerdyi.a Aannd i“nidnufos-- o credit: htriys fProhm.D M. iInT Ganedo chhaesm hiasd- literature debunking fossil fuel–funded, anti-science disinformation. As Powell makes clear, T tainment” broadcasters more interested in selling hot a distinguished career as a it is time for scientists to stand up and be counted.” controversy than presenting facts, has duped half P h the American public into rejecting the facts of college teacher, college president, museum direc- —Joseph Romm, e tor, and author of books on earth science for gen- senior fellow at the Center for American Progress, climate science—an overwhelming body of rigor- I eral audiences. He serves as executive director of author of Hell and High Water n ously vetted scientifi c evidence showing that hu- q man-caused, carbon-based emissions are linked the National Physical Science Consortium, a part- nership among government agencies and labora- “With the evidence for global warming so strong, why, Powell asks, does half the u to warming the earth. Th e industry of climate sci- tories, industry, and higher education dedicated to American public doubt it? His answer is a history of the campaign of denial, the most is ence denial is succeeding: public acceptance has increasing the number of American citizens with comprehensive and up-to-date history available. It is well written and well worth i declined even as the scientifi c evidence for global t graduate degrees in the physical sciences and re- reading: this is the most important issue facing our generation.” i warming has increased. It is vital that the public o understand how anti-science ideologues, pseudo- lated engineering fi elds, emphasizing recruitment —Spencer Weart, n of a diverse applicant pool that includes women author of Th e Discovery of Global Warming scientists, and non-scientists have bamboozled o them. We cannot aff ord to get global warming and minorities. He has taught at Oberlin College and has served as its acting president. He has also “Th is book is a winner, written in an easy, logical style with thorough and fascinating f wrong—yet we are, thanks to deniers and their The been president of Franklin and Marshall College, discussions of major deniers.” C methods. l Reed College, the Franklin Institute Science Mu- —Orrin Pilkey, i m seum in Philadelphia, and the Los Angeles Coun- Duke University, coauthor of Th e Rising Sea The Inquisition of Climate Science is the fi rst book ty Museum of Natural History. Both Presidents a Inquisition to comprehensively take on the climate science Ronald Reagan and George H.W. Bush appointed “Powell consistently brings the sharp insight of a knowledgeable insider melded with t denial movement and the deniers themselves, e Powell to the National Science Board. the skepticism of a critical outsider to the most important issues in science. In his latest exposing their lack of credentials, their extensive book—his best yet—he shows us the path to understanding climate change.” S industry funding, and their failure to provide any c —Peter D. Ward, alternative theory to explain the observed evi- i of Climate Th e University of Washington, e dence of warming. In this book, readers meet the author of Th e Flooded Earth: Our Future in a World Without Ice Caps n most prominent deniers while dissecting their c credentials, arguments, and lack of objectivity. “Th is courageous and well-researched book exposes how ideologues and money e James Lawrence Powell shows that the deniers use combined to attack sound climate science.” Science a wide variety of deceptive rhetorical techniques, —Richard Somerville, many stretching back to ancient Greece. Careful- University of California, San Diego, ly researched, fully referenced, and compellingly Jacket image: Cristiano, Banti, Galileo Facing the Roman Inquisition, author of Th e Forgiving Air: Understanding Environmental Change 1857. Image courtesy of Prof. Paolo Galluzzi, Museo Galileo, Co written, his book clearly reveals that the evidence Firenze. Permission courtesy of Palazzo Foresti Collection, Carpi. l u Printed in the U.S.A. m James Lawrence Powell of global warming is real and that an industry of Jacket graph: Background graph shows projected increases in mean b global surface temperature under three emission scenarios, and is COLUMBIA UNIVERSITY PRESS / NEW YORK ia denial has deceived the American public, putting based on fi ndings from the IPCC Fourth Assessment Report. cup.columbia.edu them and their grandchildren at risk. The Inquisition of Climate Science http://avaxho.me/blogs/ChrisRedfield ppoowwee1155771188..iinnddbb ii 66//1133//1111 88::0055 AAMM ppoowwee1155771188..iinnddbb iiii 66//1133//1111 88::0055 AAMM The IN QUI SITION of CLIMATE SCIEN CE James Lawrence Powell Columbia University Press / New York ppoowwee1155771188..iinnddbb iiiiii 66//1133//1111 88::0055 AAMM Columbia University Press Publishers Since 1893 New York Chichester, West Sussex Copyright © 2011 James Lawrence Powell All rights reserved Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data Powell, James Lawrence, 1936– The inquisition of climate science / James Lawrence Powell. p. cm. Includes bibliographical references and index. ISBN 978-0-231-15718-6 (cloth : alk. paper) — ISBN 978-0-231-52784-2 (ebook) 1. Global warming. 2. Climatic changes. I. Title. QC981.8.G56P69 2011 363.738'74—dc23 2011018611 Columbia University Press books are printed on permanent and durable acid-free paper. This book is printed on paper with recycled content. Printed in the United States of America c 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 References to Internet Web sites (URLs) were accurate at the time of writing. Neither the au- thor nor Columbia University Press is responsible for URLs that may have expired or changed since the manuscript was prepared. On page ix the epigraph by Carl Sagan is from a speech he delivered in 1995; see http://seti .sentry.net/archive/public/1999/5–99/00000351.htm. The epigraph by Richard Feynman is from “Personal Observations on the Reliability of the Shuttle,” A ppendix F, NASA Challenger Report (1986); see http://science.ksc.nasa.gov/shuttle/missions/51-l/docs/rogers-commission/ Appendix-F.txt. 0011__ppoowwee1155771188__ffmm..iinndddd iivv 66//1177//1111 22::0077 PPMM To James E. Hansen, Michael E. Mann, Benjamin D. Santer, and the late Stephen H. Schneider SCIENTISTS OF COURAGE AND INTEGRITY ppoowwee1155771188..iinnddbb vv 66//1133//1111 88::0055 AAMM ppoowwee1155771188..iinnddbb vvii 66//1133//1111 88::0055 AAMM Contents Preface xiii Introduction 1 Not Skeptics, Deniers 4 1 Science and Potemkin Science 7 Never a Crisis 9 A Political Movement 10 A Cheap Tuxedo 11 Better Than Scientists 14 2 Adventures in Denierland 15 Urban Myth? 17 Cave Junction 20 3 The Evidence for Consensus 24 Spam Filter 24 Newton’s Second Law 28 Polling Scientists 31 An Extremely Pernicious Development 33 4 Discovery of Global Warming 36 One of the Oldest Theories 36 A Large-Scale Geophysical Experiment 40 ppoowwee1155771188..iinnddbb vviiii 66//1133//1111 88::0055 AAMM Contents | VIII 5 The Greenhouse Effect: From Curiosity to Threat 43 Models Predict Warming 44 Globetrotters 45 The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change 47 6 Global Warming: All You Really Need to Know in One Chart 51 7 Tobacco Tactics: The Scientist-Deniers 54 All of Those People Are Wrong 54 With All Due Respect, Dr. Michaels 58 The $45 Million Man 60 If Science Doesn’t Have Integrity 63 Blue Marble 65 Nuke Vietnam? 67 Foot Soldier 71 8 Fear of State: The Nonscientists 73 Aren’t You Embarrassed, Mr. Will? 73 Once Again 78 The Lomborg Deception 83 Bed-Wetting, Messianic, Moaning-Minnies 88 9 Toxic Tanks 93 Harry and Louise 94 Tale from the Crypt 96 Please Don’t Poop in My Salad 97 Embarrassing General Marshall 101 Push Down on the Accelerator 103 10 An Industry to Trust 110 Most Profi table Company in History 110 An Industry That Cannot Afford Denial 116 ppoowwee1155771188..iinnddbb vviiiiii 66//1133//1111 88::0055 AAMM IX | Contents 11 Balance as Bias: How the Media Missed “The Story of the Century” 121 The Prestige Press 122 Plumes of Smoke from China 124 Carbongate 126 End of Objectivity? 128 Systemic Failure 130 12 Science Under Attack 133 It’s the Sun, Ozone, Volcanoes, Sulfates 133 Testosterone 135 Watts Up with That? 136 Slap Shot 137 The Medieval Warm Period 140 Do Climate Models Work? 141 Did Global Warming End in 1998? 142 Chicken or Egg? 143 GRACE 145 Tropospheric Cooling? 146 13 Greatest Hoax in History? 148 Who’s to Blame? Liberals, of Course 149 To Command Spring 150 Funding Research 152 Traitors 155 14 Climategate: Much Ado About Nothing 159 One Million Words 162 Innocent of All Charges 163 Gates and More Gates 167 15 Anatomy of Denial 170 To Roll Back Industrial Society 177 ppoowwee1155771188..iinnddbb iixx 66//1133//1111 88::0055 AAMM

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Most books are stored in the elastic cloud where traffic is expensive. For this reason, we have a limit on daily download.