The Income Approach to Property Valuation Sixth Edition The Income Approach to Property Valuation Andrew Baum, David Mackmin and Nick Nunnington AMSTERDAM BOSTON HEIDELBERG LONDON NEW YORK OXFORD PARIS SAN DIEGO SAN FRANCISCO SINGAPORE SYDNEY TOKYO EG Books is an imprint of Elsevier. The Boulevard, Langford Lane, Kidlington, Oxford OX5 1GB, UK 30 Corporate Drive, Suite 400, Burlington, MA 01803, USA Sixth edition 2011 Copyright © 2011, Andrew Baum, David Mackmin and Nick Nunnington. The copyright of Chapter 11 is retained by Howard Day. Published by Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. The rights of Andrew Baum, David Mackmin and Nick Nunnington as the authors of this work have been asserted in accordance with the UK Copyright, Designs and Patents Act 1988. 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The material contained in this publication constitutes general guidelines only and does not represent to be advice on any particular matter. No reader or purchaser should act on the basis of material contained in this publication without first taking professional advice appropriate to their particular circumstances. The Publishers expressly disclaim any liability to any person who acts in reliance to the contents of this publication. Readers of this publication should be aware that only Acts of Parliament and Statutory Instruments have the force of law and that only courts can authoritatively interpret the law. British Library Cataloguing-in-Publication Data: 332.6′324′0941-dc22 Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data: 2011920620 ISBN: 978-0-08-096690-8 For information on all EG Books publications visi t our website at www.elsevier.com Printed and bound in Great Britain. 11 12 13 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 Contents Preface to the Sixth edition xi Acknowledgements xiii 1. Introduction and Quick start to the Income Approach 1 Introduction 1 The income approach – a quick start 5 2. Financial Mathematics for Valuers 11 Introduction 11 The six functions of £1 11 Theamountof£1(A) 12 Theamountof£1perannum(A£1pa) 13 Annualsinkingfund 15 Thepresentvalueof£1(PV£1) 16 ThePVof£1pa(PV£1paorYears’Purchase) 17 PresentValueof£1painperpetuitydeferrednyears (PV£1painperpdefdorYPofareversionto perpetuity) 20 PVof£1padualrate(YPdualrate) 22 Annuity£1willpurchase(A£1wp) 24 Mortgages 29 The Interrelationship of the functions 31 Propertiesofexponents 32 Nominal and effective rates of interest 33 Continuouscompounding 35 Incomes in advance and non-annual incomes 36 Incomes receivable quarterly or monthly in advance 37 Healthwarning 38 Summary 38 Spreadsheet user 40 Project1 40 Project2 41 3. Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) 43 Introduction 43 Net Present Value (NPV) 43 Internal R ate of Return (IRR) 46 Comparative use of NPV and IRR 49 Incremental analysis 51 Summary 52 Spreadsheet user 52 Project1:CalculatingtheNPV 52 CalculatetheNPVoftheschemeandtheIRR 53 Project2:CalculatingtheIRR 54 Project3:GoalSeek 55 vi Contents 4. Basic Principles 57 Introduction 57 Definitions 57 Marketvalue 58 Valueinexchange 58 Investmentvalueorworth 58 Price 59 Valuation 59 Valuationreport 59 The Income approach 60 Valuationprocess 65 Incomeorrent 71 Theconceptofzoning 74 Landlords’expenses 79 Purchaseexpenses 83 Income capitalisation or DCF 84 DCF 86 Summary 87 5. The Income Approach: Freeholds 89 Introduction 89 The income approach 92 Capitalisationapproaches 94 DCFapproaches 108 DCFandtheover-rentedproperty 116 Advance or arrears 118 Analysing sale prices to find the equivalent yield 120 A final adjustment 121 Sub-markets 121 Summary 123 Spreadsheet user 123 Project1 123 Project2 125 6. The Income Approach: Leaseholds 127 Introduction 127 Occupation leases 129 Investment leases 130 Mediumtolong-termleaseholdsatafixedheadrent 131 Fixedprofitrent 131 Single rate valuation of leaseholds 132 DCF valuation of leaseholds 135 DCFsolution 136 Summary 138 7. The Income Approach: Taxation and Valuation 141 Introduction 141 Incomes in perpetuity 142 Finite or terminable incomes 142 Contents vii Tax and deferred incomes 144 Rising freehold incomes 145 Gross funds 146 Net or gross? 146 Capital Gains Tax (CGT) 146 Value Added Tax (VAT) 147 Summary 148 8. Landlord and Tenant 149 Valuations and negotiations 149 Premiums 149 Futurecostsandreceipts 153 Extensionsandrenewalsofleases 155 Marriageorsynergisticvalue 160 Marketrent,nonstandardreviews,constantrenttheory 166 Quarterlytomonthly 168 Summary 169 9. The Effects of Legislation 171 Introduction 171 Business premises 171 Compensationforimprovements 172 Securityoftenure 174 Compensationforlossofsecurity 176 Termsofthenewlease 176 Landlordandtenantnegotiations 180 Residential property 182 Privatesectortenancies 183 Assuredtenancies 185 AssuredShortholdTenancies(ASTs) 185 TenanciessubjecttotheprovisionsoftheRentAct1977 186 TenancieswithhighRateableValues(RVs) 188 Residentlandlords 188 Tenanciesonlongleases 189 10. Development Opportunities 191 Introduction 191 Incorporating a ‘big picture’ approach 192 Garbage in – garbage out 194 Professional frameworks and methodologies 195 The high est and best use methodology 196 RICS Valuation Information Paper No 12: ‘The Valuation of Development Land’ 197 The residual method 199 Exploringthemaininputstoaresidualappraisal 200 Sensitivity analysis 204 The need for adoption of the cash flow approach 206 Thecashflowapproachexplained 207 Viability studies 210 viii Contents Summary 212 Spreadsheet user 213 UsingExceltobuildanappraisal 213 11. The Profits Method of Valuation 219 Rationale behind the use of the profits method of valuation 219 FairMaintainableTurnover(FMT) 220 Grossprofitability 221 Costs 221 FairMaintainableOperatingProfit(FMOP) 221 Commentary on use of actual accounts 222 Freehold valuation and sales 222 Licensed property 223 Pubs 224 Valuation:publichousesandbars 226 Comparablesandmarketinformation 229 Valuation:latebars/clubs 230 Restaurants 231 Hotels 233 Other types of property 234 Cinemasandtheatres 235 Carehomes 235 Petrolfillingstations 235 Golfcourses 236 Racecourses,racetracksandstadia 236 Tenant’s improvements under the profits method 236 Summary 238 12. Investment Analysis 241 Introduction and re-cap 241 Expected returns – the cash flow 243 The discount rate 244 Some simple analytical measures 246 Initialyield 247 Yieldonreversion 248 Equivalentyield 248 Reversionarypotential 249 Incomereturn 249 Capitalreturn 249 Totalreturn 249 Requiredreturn 249 IRRorexpectedreturn 250 Dealing with risk 250 The Risk-Adjusted Discount Rate (RADR) 251 Thesub-sectorandpropertyriskpremium 252 Thesectorpremium 252 Thetownpremium 252 Thepropertypremium 253 Risk-adjusted cash flows: using sensitivity and simulation 254 Contents ix Risk-adjustedvaluations 259 Risk-adjustedIRRs 261 Regression analysis 262 Spreadsheet user 265 Appendix A 267 Leaseholds: Dual Rate Appendix B 293 Illustrative Investment Property Purchase Report Appendix C 307 Illustrative Development Site Appraisal Report Appendix D 315 Solutions to Questions Set in the Text Further Reading and Bibliography 331 Index 333
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