The IMF and the Politics of Financial Globalization From the Asian Crisis to a New International Financial Architecture? Ben Thirkell-White The IMF and the Politics of Financial Globalization International Political Economy Series General Editor: Timothy M .Shaw, Professor of Commonwealth Governance and Development, and Director of the Institute of Commonwealth Studies, School of Advanced Study, University of London Titles include: Lucian M. Ashworth and David Long (editor) NEW PERSPECTIVES ON INTERNATIONAL FUNCTIONALISM Robert W. Cox (editor) THE NEW REALISM Perspectives on Multilateralism and World Order Frederick Deyo (editor) GLOBAL CAPITAL, LOCAL LABOUR Stephen Gill (editor) GLOBALIZATION, DEMOCRATIZATION AND MULTILATERALISM Björn Hettne, Andás Inotai and Osvaldo Sunkel (editor) GLOBALISM AND THE NEW REGIONALISM Christopher C. Meyerson DOMESTIC POLITICS AND INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS IN US-JAPAN TRADE POLICYMAKING The GATT Uruguay Round Agriculture Negotiations Michael G. 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Customer Services Department, Macmillan Distribution Ltd, Houndmills, Basingstoke, Hampshire RG21 6XS, England The IMF and the Politics of Financial Globalization: From the Asian Crisis to a New International Financial Architecture? Ben Thirkell-White Lecturer in International Relations School of International Relations University of St Andrews, UK © Ben Thirkell-White 2005 Softcover reprint of the hardcover 1st edition 2005 978-1-4039-2078-2 All rights reserved. No reproduction, copy or transmission of this publication may be made without written permission. No paragraph of this publication may be reproduced, copied or transmitted save with written permission or in accordance with the provisions of the Copyright, Designs and Patents Act 1988, or under the terms of any licence permitting limited copying issued by the Copyright Licensing Agency, 90 Tottenham Court Road, London W1T 4LP. Any person who does any unauthorized act in relation to this publication may be liable to criminal prosecution and civil claims for damages. The author has asserted his right to be identified as the author of this work in accordance with the Copyright, Designs and Patents Act 1988. First published 2005 by PALGRAVE MACMILLAN Houndmills, Basingstoke, Hampshire RG21 6XS and 175 Fifth Avenue, New York, N. Y. 10010 Companies and representatives throughout the world PALGRAVE MACMILLAN is the global academic imprint of the Palgrave Macmillan division of St. Martin’s Press, LLC and of Palgrave Macmillan Ltd. Macmillan® is a registered trademark in the United States, United Kingdom and other countries. Palgrave is a registered trademark in the European Union and other countries. ISBN 978-1-349-51504-2 ISBN 978-0-230-51408-9 (eBook) DOI 10.1057/9780230514089 This book is printed on paper suitable for recycling and made from fully managed and sustained forest sources. A catalogue record for this book is available from the British Library. Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data Thirkell-White, Ben, 1971– The IMF and the politics of financial globalization : from the Asian crisis to a new international financial architecture? / Ben Thirkell-White. p. cm. – (International political economy series) Includes bibliographical references and index. 1. International Monetary Fund. 2. International finance. 3. Financial crises–Asia. I. Title. II. International political economy series (Palgrave Macmillan (Firm)) HG3881.T487 2005 332′.042–dc22 2005041049 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 14 13 12 11 10 09 08 07 06 05 Contents List of Figures vii Acknowledgements viii List of Abbreviations ix 1. Introduction 1 1.1 A political approach to the IMF and financial 3 globalization 1.2 In search of the politics of the Fund – the concept 7 of legitimacy 1.3 The core argument 13 Part I 2. IMF Legitimacy: Principles and Institutions 19 2.1 IMF legitimacy, core principles 20 2.2 Analysis 26 2.3 Decision-making in practice: formulating 40 conditionality 2.4 Conclusions 45 3. An Evolving IMF 47 3.1 The IMF’s evolving mandate 48 3.2 Responding to financial globalization, the IMF 61 in the 1990s 3.3 Conclusions 74 Part II 4. The Asian Crisis and the Case Studies 77 4.1 The politics of IMF legitimacy and the case studies 77 4.2 The politics of the Asian crisis 80 4.3 Conclusions 97 5. South Korea 98 5.1 Background to the crisis 99 5.2 The crisis in Korea 106 v vi Contents 5.3 Political interests and post-crisis reforms 111 5.4 The politics of crisis management 116 5.5 Conclusions 126 6. Indonesia 128 6.1 Background to the crisis 129 6.2 The crisis in Indonesia 136 6.3 The politics of crisis management 143 6.4 Conclusions 153 7. Malaysia 156 7.1 Background to the crisis 157 7.2 The crisis in Malaysia 163 7.3 The politics of crisis management 169 7.4 Conclusions 177 8. The United States 179 8.1 Institutional environment 179 8.2 Pre-crisis US foreign policy 184 8.3 US responses to the IMF’s role in Asia 189 8.4 Outcomes and analysis: Treasury policy after the 197 crisis 8.5 Conclusions 201 Part III 9. From Crisis to a New Architecture? 205 9.1 The IMF and the politics of financial globalization 206 9.2 IMF decision-making and the Fund’s new role 213 9.3 The politics of crisis 222 9.4 Towards a new international financial 230 architecture? 10. Conclusions 240 Notes 246 Bibliography 253 Index 269 List of Figures Figure 2.1 IMF decision-making bodies 23 Figure 3.1 Old and New models of conditionality 73 negotiations Figure 5.1 Won-dollar exchange rate 108 Figure 5.2 Opinion poll on crisis causation 112 Figure 6.1 Rupiah-dollar exchange rate 139 Figure 7.1 Ringgit-dollar exchange rate 165 Figure 7.2 Stock markets during the crisis (not adjusted 171 for exchange rates) vii Acknowledgements I would like to thank the ESRC for partially funding the Research on which this book is based, Simon Bromley and David Beetham for their excellent advice, and Robert Wade for encouragement and help. Jen Nelson, Tim Shaw and Amanda Watkins at Palgrave have been efficient, patient and supportive. I have greatly appreciated the help, support and good company of my academic colleagues and friends (categories that fortunately overlap considerably) at the Universities of Leeds, Sheffield, Bristol, and St. Andrews and further afield. In Washington, I received kind hospitality from Abby, Max and Lea. I would also like to thank every- one that generously gave their time to talk to me at the IMF, in Congress and elsewhere. The majority of interviews were ‘off the record’ so I won’t list any names here but that does not in any way indicate a lack of gratitude. Finally, I am deeply indebted to the many friends who reassured me that commercial law was not my vocation and helped make the shift to academia such a happy one. This book is dedicated to the ‘Educational Trust’. viii List of Abbreviations ABRI Angkatan Bersenjata Republic Indonesia (Indonesian Armed Forces) ASEAN Association of Southeast Asian Nations AWSJ* Asia Wall Street Journal BI Bank Indonesia BIS Bank for International Settlements BK Business Korea BN Barisan Nasional BOK Bank of Korea BULOG Indonesian government food distribution service DAP Democratic Action Party DFID Department For International Development (UK government) ED Executive Director EIU Economist Intelligence Unit EU European Union EOI Export oriented industrialization EPB Economic Planning Board (Korea) ESAF Enhanced Structural Adjustment Facility FDI Foreign direct investment FKI Federation of Korean Industries FSC Financial Supervisory Commission (Korea) FT Financial Times FSF Financial Stability Forum GAB General Agreements to Borrow GATS General Agreement on Trade in Services GATT General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade GDP Gross domestic product GNP Gross national product HICOM Heavy Industries Corporation of Malaysia HIPC Highly indebted poor countries IBRA Indonesian Bank Restructuring Agency ICA Industrial Coordination Act (Malaysia) * Abbreviations in italics are used for references to newspaper and periodical sources ix