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The Gorbachev Factor PDF

439 Pages·1996·6.43 MB·English
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The Gorbachev Factor TheGorbachevFactorwas in1998 awarded theW.J.M. MackenziePrizeofThePoliticalStudiesAssociationoftheU. K.forbestpoliticalsciencebookofitsyearandinthesameyearwasjointwinneroftheAlecNovePrizeoftheBritish Association for Slavonicand East European Studies for best book or articlein any discipline on Russia, Communism or Post-Communism. ‘Archie Brown's long-awaited work hasbeen very well worth the wait.Here at lastwe havea book which takes the study of Gorbachev out of the quicksands of politics and sets it on a firm scholarly basis’ John Gooding, History ‘Among [the serious book published in the West] Archie Brown's The Gorbachev Factor is the most valuable work on Gorbachev. The research is scrupulous and detailed, incorporating the maximum number of sources in the Russian language. He comes closer than any other [Western] author to understanding perestroika and Gorbachev as a person’ Anatoly Chemyaev, 1991: The Diary of an Aide to the President of the USSR (1997) ‘This Oxford don, for years one of the world's most talented Kremlinologists, has already found the memoris, documents and interviews that allow him to provide a remarkably detailed and authoritative account of the key moments in Gorbachev's career’ Robert G. Kaiser, Washington Post ‘Archie Brown's The Gorbachev Factor is the most thorough and best researched monograph on Gorbachev I have read’ Vitali Vitaliev, The Daily Telegraph ‘The Gorbachev Factor is a major scholarly achievement and will remain esential reading on last Soviet politics for some time to come. Many may disagree with its conclusions, but no serious student of perestroika will be able to ignore it’ Bill Tompson, The Russian Review ‘Archie Brown has mastered the material and met the people . . . he writes with a historical perspective unavailable to authors of the instant biographies which appeared while Gorbachev was still in power’ Rodric Braithwaite, Financial Times ‘Archie Brown has been able to take account of the walth of detail, particularly memoir evidence and interviews with many of perestroika's participants, which previous studies could not. The result is an elegant and authoritative account’ Matthew Wyman, Political Studies ‘The best-informed account of Gorbachev's political views and strategies between 1985 and 1989’ Orlando Figes, Times Literary Supplement ii ‘Professor Brown, who has known Russia for more than thirty years, has special qualifications for his task. As long ago as 1980 he singled Gorbachev out as a likely reformer’ David Wedgwood Benn, The World Today ‘A magisterial work’ Jonathan Story, West European Politics ‘Archie Brown's carefully-researched, meticulous and well-informed account of the Gorbachev era assesses his achievements, analyses the failures and critically reviews the forces which were marshalled against him . . . afascinating study ’ Maurice Hayes, Irish Independent ‘Numerous recent books by academics and foreign correspondents have charted how policy was made and executed during this period. None has provided the vivid detail and the insider's view that distinguish The Gorbachev Factor’ Wendy Slater, Journal of European Studies ‘Not onlyistheauthor one of Britian'smost prominent scholarsin Soviet and post-Soviet studies,he has been from the start the keenest and most diligent follower of Gorbachev's years in power’ Robert Legvold, Foreign Affairs ‘Brown's latest book is the product of many yearsof intensive research: it proves to be the most detailed and revealing study of the man who revolutionised the USSR. Excellent’ Good Book Guide ‘Brown has done a scholarly job of dissecting the processes at work during this period, analysing both the contemporary texts and the subsequent memoris’ Peter Millar, Sunday Times ‘An outstanding work . . . essential reading for all interested in Russia's transition from communism’ T. H. Rigby, Slavic Review ‘Archie Brown . . . has masterfully exploited the memoir literature made possible by Russia's new freedom to bring his readers inside the inner workings of the Gorbachev regime’ Robert V. Daniels, The Nation ‘It is hard to come away from this admirable book without an affection for Gorbachev's insistence on peaceful change, his willingnes to let Eastern Europe go and his determination to nurture a pluralist culutre’ Nick Cohen, The Observer ‘Gorbachev'searlycareerandfirstyearsinpoweraredocumentedhereinfineandfascinatingdetail...a useful corrective to the usual approach, which treated the Soviet Communist Party as monolithic and essentially unchanging’ Thomas de Waal, Moscow Times ‘Oxford professor Brown is the right scholar to return to Gorbachev the honour he deserves; Brown has the reputation of being the first person in the West to “spot” Gorbachev. [He] pointed out early that Gorbachev could be aSoviet leader of anew type ...With the authority of someone who hasstudied the SovietUnionandRussiafor threedecadesBrownwritesabouttheSoviet powerstructuresandaboutthe elite of the CPSU like an insider; his research is based on broad source material and it will be the standard work on Gorbachev's policy and thinking’ Mikko Majander, Helsingin Sanomat (Finland) The Gorbachev Factor Archie Brown GreatClarendonStreet,OxfordOX26DP OxfordUniversityPressisadepartmentoftheUniversityofOxford ItfurtherstheUniversity'sobjectiveofexcellenceinresearch,scholarship, andeducationbypublishingworldwidein OxfordNewYork AucklandBangkokBuenosAiresCapeTownChennai Dar esSalaamDelhiHongKongIstanbulKarachiKolkata KualaLumpurMadridMelbourneMexicoCityMumbaiNairobi SãoPauloShanghaiTaipeiTokyoToronto Oxfordisaregisteredtrademark ofOxfordUniversityPress intheUK andincertainothercountries PublishedintheUnitedStatesby OxfordUniversityPressInc., NewYork ©ArchieBrown1996 Themoralrightsoftheauthorshavebeenasserted DatabaserightOxfordUniversityPress(maker) Firstpublished1996 Firstissuedasan OxfordUniversityPresspaperback1997 Allrightsreserved.Nopartofthispublicationmaybereproduced, storedinaretrievalsystem,or transmitted,inanyform orbyanymeans, withoutthepriorpermissioninwriting ofOxfordUniversityPress, oras expresslypermittedbylaw, or under termsagreedwiththeappropriate reprographicsrightsorganization.Enquiriesconcerningreproduction outsidethescopeoftheaboveshouldbesenttotheRightsDepartment, OxfordUniversityPress,attheaddressabove Youmustnotcirculatethisbookinanyotherbindingorcover andyoumustimposethissameconditiononanyacquirer BritishLibraryCataloguinginPublicationData Dataavailable Library ofCongressCataloginginPublicationData Brown,Archie,1938- TheGorbachevFactor/ArchieBrown. IncludesbibliograohicalreferencesandIndex. 1. SovietUnion—PoliticsandGovernment—1985–1991. 2. Gorbachev,MikhailSergeevich,1931-.I.Title. DK288.B76 1997 947.085'4'092—dc2197–8830 ISBN0–19–288052–7 To my mother Mary Yates Brown and to the memory of my father Alexander Douglas Brown (1900–1979) This page intentionally left blank Contents Preface ix List of Plates viii Abbreviations xvi Note on Transliteration xvii 1 Introduction 1 2 The Making of a Reformist General Secretary 24 3 In the Portals of Power 53 4 The Power of Ideas and the Power of Appointment 89 5 Gorbachev and Economic Reform 130 6 Gorbachev and Political Transformation 155 7 Gorbachev and Foreign Policy 212 8 The National Question, the Coup, and the Collapse of the Soviet Union 252 9 Conclusions 306 Notes 319 Glossary 391 Index 393 List of Plates Gorbachev and Domestic Soviet Affairs 1. An early picture of Raisa Titorenko and Mikhail Gorbachev 2. Mikhail Gorbachev and the Old Guard 3. Gorbachev meeting oil workers 4. Gorbachev at the Bolshevik Revolution anniversary parade 5. Alexander Yakovlev 6. Nikolay Ryzhkov 7. Yegor Ligachev 8. The opening of the Nineteenth Party Conference 9. Gorbachev voting at thefirst contested, union-wide elections in the Soviet Union 10. Gorbachev answering journalists' questions 11. Gorbachev signing the book of condolences for Andrey Sakharov 12. Rival chairmen Anatoly Lukyanov and Boris Yeltsin 13. The leaders of the coup against Gorbachev 14. Gorbachev's arrival in Moscow after the aboritive coup attempt 15. Mikhail Gorbachev and Nursultan Nazarbaev, President of Kazakhstan 16 Different moods of Mikhail Gorbachev 17 Different moods of Mikhail Gorbachev 18 Different moods of Mikhail Gorbachev Gorbachev in the International Arena 19. Mikhail Gorbachev in Paris with President François Mitterrand 20. General Secretary Gorbachev and President Reagan signing the INF Treaty 21. Gorbachev being welcomed to Poland by General Wojciech Jaruzelski 22. Raisa and Mikhail Gorbachev with Margaret Thatcher at the Soviet Embassy, London 23. Mikhail Gorbachev and Felipe González, Prime Minister of Spain 24. Gorbachev with his aides Anatoly Chernyaev and Georgy Shakhnazarov 25. Gorbanchev with President George Bush and American National Security Adviser Brent Scowcroft 26. Gorbachev and German Chancellor Helmut Kohl after signing a treaty of friendship and co-operation 27. Eduard Shevardnadze, Soviet Foreign Minister 1985-90. Preface ThisbookisneitherahistoryoftheGorbacheveranorabiographyofMikhailGorbachev.Itdoes,certainly,containa good deal of information about Gorbachev's life and background, not all of it, I believe, familiar to the Western (or, for that matter, Russian) reader. It discusses, too, many of the major events of the final seven years of the Soviet system. But its main concern is to understand and interpret Gorbachev's contribution to the dramatic changes which took place in the Soviet Union and in that state's relationswith the outside worldin the second half of the 1980s and thebeginningofthe1990s—atimeinwhichEast–WestrelationsweretransformedandCommunistpowercametoan endinEasternEurope.Thereisdiscussion,too, ofGorbachev'sunavailingstruggletopreserveanykindofa unionin the former USSR in the face of growing nationalist assertiveness. Themostcentral task ofthisbook, however, is toexamine howimportantGorbachevwas as a mover or facilitatorin the Soviet Union's transition from orthodox Communism to a different kind of political system. This involves discussing ‘the Gorbachev factor’ not only in terms of his contributions in different policy areas but in respect of his political power, outlook, and style. It entails considering the strength of the opposition to Gorbachev and the constraints upon his political actions at different times. It also necessitates making judgements about Gorbachev's mind-set and the development of his views over time. Althoughthesearenoteasyissuestosettle,itisperhapsofatleastsomeadvantagethatIhavebeenpaying attentionto Gorbachev for a long time—wellbefore it was common to do so in either the Soviet Union or the West. There were quizzicallooks inmyaudienceatYaleUniversitywhen,inoneofmyHenryL.StimsonLecturesdeliveredthereon22 October 1980, I said: ‘An event of extraordinary potential significance took place in Moscow yesterday—the promotion to full membership of the Politburo of Mikhail Sergeevich Gorbachev.’ My reasons for saying this were twofold. The first was that I had come to the conclusion that any future General Secretary would, like his three predecessors, be drawn from the ranks of those I called ‘senior secretaries’, i.e. the small group of people who were bothfullmembers ofthePolitburoandSecretariesoftheCentralCommittee.Gorbachevhadjustjoinedthatcategory and he was by some twenty years the youngest member of the group. Second, I was convinced that Gorbachev would be a serious reformer. It was a view I held long before it became fashionable and which I continued to hold after it had ceased to be fashionable, at any rate in Russia. My interest in

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General Secretary of the Soviet Communist Party and political reformer, winner of the Nobel Peace Prize and the force behind perestroika, Mikhail Gorbachev was arguably the most important statesman of the twentieth century. When he assumed power in March 1985, it was unimaginable that the Soviet Uni
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