The Gathering Pacific Storm: Emerging US-China Strategic Competition in Defense Technological and Industrial Development

292 Pages·2018·5.616 MB·English

by  Tai Ming Cheung, Thomas G. Mahnken

The Gathering
Pacific Storm

The Gathering
Pacific Storm
Emerging US-China Strategic Competition
in Defense Technological and Industrial Development
EDITED BY
Tai Ming Cheung and Thomas G. Mahnken

Rapid Communications in Conflict and Security Series
General Editor: Geoffrey R.H. Burn
Copyright 2018 Cambria Press
All rights reserved.
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Cover Image: USS Zumwalt (DDG 1000). U.S. Navy photo/Released.
Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data
Names: Cheung, Tai Ming, editor of compilation. |
Mahnken, Thomas G., 1965- editor of compilation.
Title: The gathering Pacific storm : emerging US-China strategic competition
in defense technological and industrial development /
edited by Tai Ming Cheung and Thomas G. Mahnken.
Other titles: Emerging US-China strategic competition in defense
technological and industrial development
Description: Amherst, NY: Cambria Press, [2018] |
Series: Cambria rapid communications in conflict and security (RCCS) |
Includes bibliographical references and index.
Identifiers: LCCN 2018007063 |
ISBN 9781604979442 (alk. paper)
Subjects: LCSH: China--Strategic aspects. | Military art and science--
Technological innovations--United States. | Military art and science--
Technological innovations--China. | Defense industries--United States. |
Defense industries--China. | United States--Military policy. |
China--Military policy.
Classification: LCC UA835 .G38 2018 |
DDC 355/.033551--dc23
LC record available at https://lccn.loc.gov/2018007063
Table of Contents
List of Figures............................................................... vii
List of Tables................................................................. ix
Introduction: The Emergence of Direct US‒China Defense
Technological Competition
Tai Ming Cheung.................................................... 1
Chapter 1: Frameworks for Examining Long-Term Strategic
Competition Between Major Powers
Thomas Mahnken............................................... 15
Chapter 2: A Chinese Military Perspective on the US Third Offset
Strategy
Fan Gaoyue...................................................... 33
Chapter 3: The “Cinderella” Transformation
Tai Ming Cheung, Eric Anderson, and Fan Yang............ 55
Chapter 4: The US-China Reconnaissance-Strike Competition
Kevin Pollpeter.................................................. 83
Chapter 5: Long-Term Strategic Competition between the United
States and China in Military Aviation
Michael Chase and Oriana Skylar Mastro.................. 111
Chapter 6: Strategic Competition between the United States and
China in the Maritime Realm
Bryan Clark and Jordan Wilson............................. 139
Chapter 7: Artificial Intelligence, Emerging Technologies, and
China-US Strategic Competition
Daniel Alderman and Jonathan Ray........................ 179
vi The Gathering Pacific Storm
Chapter 8: Russian Perspectives on the Third Offset Strategy
and Its Implications for Russian–Chinese Defense
Technological Cooperation
Vasily Kashin.................................................. 211
Conclusion: The Long-Term Implications of Future US Strategy
for China and Chinese Strategy for the United States
Tai Ming Cheung and Thomas Mahnken....................... 239
Selected Bibliography..................................................... 251
About the Contributors................................................... 267
Index......................................................................... 271
Cambria Rapid Communications in Conflict and Security (RCCS)
Series............................................................... 277
List of Figures
Figure 1: Key factors driving the Chinese defense innovation
system .............................................................59
Figure 2: Financial performance of the Chinese defense industry,
2004−2015 .........................................................60
Figure 3: Reported visits to military and defense science and
technology-related facilities made by Xi Jinping,
November 2012–December 2017 .............................. 65
Figure 4: Total equity and bond offerings in China’s state-
owned defense companies by defense sector, 2010–June
2016 ................................................................73
Figure 5: Total equity and bond offerings in China’s state-owned
defense companies by year, 2010–June 2016 .................74
Figure 6: Anti-ship missiles, approximate range (in
kilometers) ........................................................99
Figure 7: First and second island chains ............................... 141
Figure 8: An “iron triangle” for defense S&T analysis ................186
Figure 9: A simplified visualization of US-Soviet competition for
emerging technologies ........................................ 187
Figure 10: A simplified visualization of China-US competition for
emerging technologies ....................................... 188