pal-boyd9-00fm.qxd 07/08/6 11:32 AM Page i The Future of Pricing This page intentionally left blank pal-boyd9-00fm.qxd 07/08/6 11:32 AM Page iii The Future of Pricing How Airline Ticket Pricing Has Inspired a Revolution E. Andrew Boyd pal-boyd9-00fm.qxd 07/08/6 11:32 AM Page iv The Future of Pricing Copyright © E. Andrew Boyd, 2007. All rights reserved. No part of this book may be used or reproduced in any manner what- soever without written permission except in the case of brief quotations embodied in criti- cal articles or reviews. First published in 2007 by PALGRAVE MACMILLAN™ 175 Fifth Avenue, New York, N.Y. 10010 and Houndmills, Basingstoke, Hampshire, England RG21 6XS. Companies and representatives throughout the world. PALGRAVE MACMILLAN is the global academic imprint of the Palgrave Macmillan division of St. Martin’s Press, LLC and of Palgrave Macmillan Ltd. Macmillan® is a regis- tered trademark in the United States, United Kingdom and other countries. Palgrave is a registered trademark in the European Union and other countries. ISBN-13: 978-0-230-60019-5 ISBN-10: 0-230-60019-0 Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data Boyd, E. Andrew. The future of pricing : how airline ticket pricing has inspired a revolution / E. Andrew Boyd. p. cm. Includes bibliographical references and index. ISBN 0-230-60019-0 (alk. paper) 1. Airlines—Rates. 2. Airlines—Prices. 3. Transportation—Tickets. 4. Pricing. I. Title. HE9783.5.B69 2007 387.712—dc22 2007003837 A catalogue record of the book is available from the British Library. Design by Scribe, Inc. First edition: Novemeber 2007 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 Printed in the United States of America. pal-boyd9-00fm.qxd 07/08/6 11:32 AM Page v For my sister, mother, and father. This page intentionally left blank pal-boyd9-00fm.qxd 07/08/6 11:32 AM Page vii Contents Acknowledgments ix Preface xi 1 A Revolution in the Making 1 2 Method or Madness? 7 3 The Computer Did It 23 4 How It All Works 43 5 When Passengers Collide 57 6 Hold Me, Darlin’ 67 7 Upon Arrival: Hotels, Rental Cars, Cruise Ships, and More 85 8 The Just Price 103 9 The Scientists 117 10 The State of Pricing 135 11 Pricing’s Many Faces 147 12 The Coming Revolution 165 Appendix 177 Reference List 179 Index 187 This page intentionally left blank pal-boyd9-00fm.qxd 07/08/6 11:32 AM Page ix Acknowledgments The agents I spoke with while preparing The Future of Pricingwanted me to write either a professional memoir or a “guru” book—a book in which I presented myself as a leading authority on pricing. A memoir was inap- propriate because the goal wasn’t to tell a story about my professional life. A guru book was out as well. I’m not a guru. I’m an observer and participant who was fortunate enough to find himself in a fascinating place at a fascinating time. While I like to think I’ve made valuable contributions to the field of pricing—both mathematically and managerially—scientific pricing is the result of the contributions of many different individuals. (I can thank the agents for convincing me that it was okay to use “I” in a sentence and to share personal experiences.) I would like to thank every pricing and revenue management professional I’ve worked with, conversed with, or read the writings of. Each has contributed to this book in his or her own way. While it would be impossible to list everyone by name, there are a few individuals I would like to recognize explicitly: Chris Anderson, Peter Bell, Peter Belobaba, Bill Cooper, Bob Cross, Renwick Curry, Guillermo Gallego, Tito Homem-de-Mello, Itir Karaesmen, Sherri Kimes, Anton Kleywegt, Warren Lieberman, Jeff McGill, Georgia Perakis, Laura Preslan, Bob Phillips, Richard Ratliff, Rob Shumsky, Barry Smith, Larry Weatherford, and Ciyou Zhu. Special thanks to Karl Isler, Kalyan Talluri, and Garrett van Ryzin, all of whom had a tremendous impact on shaping my thoughts. Many people contributed to this book by providing information or sitting for an interview. Thanks to Steve Bondi, Bill Brunger, Tom Cook, Neil Corbett, Dave Cripe, Lee Davis, J. D. Dick, Andy Doyle, Bill Dudziak, John Evler, Stacy Foree, Daryn Herrington, Bill Hinke, Phi Hoang, Pete Horner, Jerry Jung, Jeff Kabin, Leon Kinloch, Steve Klein, Vern Lennon, Barry List, Greg Lough, Al Ludwig, Irv Lustig, Steve Macadam, Pat McCord, Chuck McElrea, Denise Minier, Steve Neubert, Graham Parker, Steve Pinchuk, Todd Plage, John Quillinan, Beju Rao, John Riddell, Mike Rothkopf, Mark Shafer, Martin Simoncic, Manny Sousa, Benson Yuen, and Jim Ziminski. Special thanks to
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