The Future of Long Term Care in America THE FUTURE OF LONG TERM CARE IN AMERICA Views and Recommendations by Prominent Experts Genworth Financial Copyright © by the authors. All rights reserved. ISBN ---- Contents Foreword . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ix Buck Stinson, President, Genworth Financial Long Term Care Insurance The Boomers: Igniting a Revolution to Reinvent Long Term Care . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .3 William D. Novelli, CEO, AARP Caregiving: Being There for Our Elders . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15 Gail Hunt, President and CEO, National Alliance for Caregiving Home Is Where the Care Is! . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .27 Larry Minnix, President and CEO, American Association for Homes and Services for the Aging The Future of Facility-Based Long Term Care in America: Nursing Homes and Assisted Living Facilities . . . . . . . . . 37 Bruce Yarwood, President and CEO, American Health Care Association and the National Center for Assisted Living The Future of Independent Living Communities. . . . . . . . .49 David Schless, President, American Seniors Housing Association Alzheimer’s Disease: The Biggest Long Term Care Risk for Baby Boomers. . . . . . . . . . . . . .61 Harry Johns, President and CEO, Alzheimer’s Association Managing the Impact of Advanced Chronic Illness in the Elderly by the Year . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 71 Peter A. Boling, MD, Professor of Medicine, Virginia Commonwealth University Public Funding for Long Term Care Programs . . . . . . . . . . .85 Douglas Holtz-Eakin, Senior Fellow, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Congressional Budget Offi ce Director, – Transforming Aging . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .95 Zach Sikes, Senior Vice President, American Association of Homes and Services for the Aging, Center for Aging Services Technology Long Term Care and the American Electorate . . . . . . . . . . 107 Glen Bolger, Co-Founder and Partner, Public Opinion Strategies Mark Mellman, President and CEO, The Mellman Group Contributors . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 113 Note: Each chapter is introduced by a vignette relevant to its topic. Chapter vignettes were made possible by the National Family Caregiver Association and others. Foreword Buck Stinson President, Genworth Financial Long Term Care Insurance Millions of Americans will face the prospect of needing or providing long term care at some point in their lives. The broad-reaching impact is compelling when you consider the full spectrum of long term care—from nursing home care for those with the most complex needs, to adult daycare and assisted liv- ing facilities, to home care often provided by family members or home health aides. With the aging baby boomer generation nearly million strong, long term care is an ever-increasing focus for our nation’s policymakers as more people look for solutions to eff ectively address the fi nancial and emotional consequences of long term care. Nationally, we spend more than $ billion each year on long term care, and this doesn’t include the value of donated services. Government programs such as Medicaid, particularly at its current funding levels, cannot provide the volume and quality of long term care needed in the years ahead. At the state level, governors are fi ghting an uphill battle to contain Medicaid long term care expenditures as their states face mounting shortfalls. Meanwhile, in just a few short years, families can deplete an entire life’s savings as they pay for a loved one’s increasingly expensive care out of their own pockets. Considering these facts, we must acknowledge that, as a na- tion and as individuals, we are not prepared for the social and fi nancial crisis that long term care presents right now and into the future. Genworth Financial is committed to elevating awareness of this important issue. To that end, we engaged leading experts - ix - x - The Future of Long Term Care in America on long term care issues in America to cover multiple dimen- sions of this complex topic and asked that they draw on their diverse professional experiences to off er possible solutions to the impending crisis. Genworth gave these authors no instruction beyond providing us with their unique insights. We asked them to explain the long term care situation as they see it today and as they see it evolving in the future. And this is precisely what we present to you in this book. We thank these authors for their time and thoughtful con- tributions. While Genworth’s positions may not always align completely with our authors’ views, it is through the frank ex- change of ideas and a collaborative eff ort between public and private sectors that we will fi nd solutions to our nation’s long term care problems. We believe this dialogue needs to begin now both on the national level and around every family’s kitchen table. Being prepared for long term care in America requires that we plan for the future today.