The Future of E-commerce - Alibaba Group

18 Pages·2014·1.41 MB·English

The Future of E-commerce
December 3, 2014
Disclaimer
This presentation contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties, including statements based on our
current expectations, assumptions, estimates and projections about us, our industry and the regulatory environment in which we
and companies integral to our ecosystem operate. These statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other
factors that may cause our actual results, performance or achievements to be materially different from those expressed or implied
by the forward-looking statements, including those risks, uncertainties and other factors identified in the prospectus under the
sections titled “Risk Factors” and “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations”. In
some cases, these forward-looking statements can be identified by words or phrases such as “may,” “will,” “expect,” “anticipate,”
“aim,” “estimate,” “intend,” “plan,” “believe,” “potential,” “continue,” “is/are likely to” or other similar expressions. Theforward-
looking statements included in this presentation may relate to, among others: (a) our growth strategies; (b) our future business
development, financial condition and results of operations; (c) trends in online and mobile commerce, both globally and in the
People’s Republic of China (“PRC”); (d) competition in our industry; (e) fluctuations in general economic and business conditions in
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environment in which we and companies integral to our ecosystem operate; (h) our proposed use of proceeds from this offering;
and (i) assumptions underlying or related to any of the foregoing. The global and PRC Internet, retail, wholesale, online and mobile
commerce, cloud computing and data industries market may not grow at the rates projected by market data, or at all. The failure of
these industries or markets to grow at the projected rates may have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition
and results of operations and the market price of our securities. If any one or more of the assumptions underlying the marketdata
turns out to be incorrect, actual results may differ from the projections based on these assumptions. You should not place undue
reliance on these forward-looking statements.
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Dr. Ming ZENG
Chief Strategy Officer
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11.11 Shopping Festival : 2013 vs 2014
2013 vs 2014(2)
GMV Growth
Total GMV(1): RMB 36.2Bn RMB 57.1Bn (RMB Bn)
(US$5.8Bn)
(US$9.3Bn)
YoY 57.7%
TTiimmee--ssppeennddiinngg ttoo aacchhiieevvee:: Growth (%)
RMB 1Bn GMV ~ 6mins ~ 3mins
► 57.1
36.2
RMB 5Bn GMV ~ 38mins ~ 14mins
►
2013 2014
RMB 10Bn GMV > 5 hrs ~ 38mins
►
Note:
(1) All 11.11 GMV settled through Alipay 4
(2) All 2014 11.11 GMV and other figures are subject to final auditing following conclusion of the event.
11.11 Shopping Festival : GMV
GMV on 11.11 Shopping Festival( 1 ) (RMB Bn)
57.11
36.20
19.10
3.36
0.94
0.05
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Note:
(1) All 11.11 GMV settled through Alipay
(2) The above 11.11 GMV for 2009 –2012 are unaudited. 5
(3) The 11.11 GMV for 2014 is unaudited and is subject to final auditing following conclusion of the event.
What’s going on?
IInntteerrnneett iiss ffuunnddaammeennttaallllyy
transforming business in China
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China and U.S. E-commerce Comparison
E-commerce Market (2009A -2015E)
(US$ Bn)
$488
$395
$339
$$229988 $$229977
$259
$225
$207
$195
$176
$157
$121
$68
$39
2009A 2010A 2011A 2012A 2013E 2014E 2015E
US China
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China’s Rapid Internet Growth
China Internet Population and Penetration
(Million) (%)
>600%
China’s Internet population grew over past ten years
46.9%
45.8%
42.1%
38.3%
34.3%
2288..99%%
22.6%
16.0% 618 632
564
513
457
10.5%
384
8.5%
7.2%
6.2% 298
210
137
80 94 111
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014(1)
Internet User Population Internet Penetration
Source: CNNIC
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Note: (1) 2014 Internet population and penetration rate are as of June 30, 2014
Rapid Growth in China’s Online Shoppers
China Online Shopper Population and Penetration
(Million) %
China’s online shoppers population has grown tremendously
52.5%
48.9%
42.9%
37.9%
35.1%
2288..11%%
24.5% 24.8%
22.2%
332
302
242
194
161
108
74
34 46
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014(1)
No. of Online Shoppers Online Shopper Penetration
Source: CNNIC
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Note: (1) 2014 Internet population and penetration rate are as of June 30, 2014
China’s Retail Infrastructure is Weak…
Shopping Mall Penetration
Shopping malls in China are much less prevalent than in developed countries
►
Vast China’s population is greatly underserved!
►
2013
65.8MM 317.3MM 50.2MM 1,361MM
Population
3,810
23.9 3,222
12.0
1,570
7.3
368 2.4
France U.S. South Korea China
No. of Shopping Malls Malls per Million People
Source:
(1) Population -INSEE, Korean Statistical Information Service, United States Census Bureau, Statistics Korea, National Bureau of Statistics of China 10