The future for interurban passenger transport : bringing citizen closer together : 18th International symposium on economics and polity, 16-18 November 2009, Madrid

556 Pages·2010·5.047 MB·English

by  OECD

The future for interurban
passenger transport
Madrid
Bringing citizens
closer together
18th International Symposium on Transport Economics and Policy
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Economic growth, trade and the concentration of population in r
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large cities will intensify demand for interurban transport services. g
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Concurrently, the need to manage environmental impacts effectively g The future
will increase. How successful we are in coping with demand will cit
depend on our ability to innovate, to manage congestion, and iz
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to improve the quality of transport services. Technological and s c for interurban
regulatory innovation will shape the future of transport. lo
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The Symposium brought together leading transport researchers from r t
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around the world to explore the future for interurban passenger g passenger
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transport. A first set of papers investigates what drives demand for t
h
interurban passenger transport and infers how it may evolve in the er
future. The remaining papers investigate transport policy issues that
transport
emerge as key challenges: when to invest in high-speed rail, how to
regulate to ensure efficient operation, how to assign infrastructure to
different types of users, and how to control transport’s environmental
footprint by managing modal split and improving modal performance.
Bringing citizens
closer together
www.internationaltransportforum.org
-:HSTCSC=VUW[Z\:
www.oecd.org/publishing
(74 2010 02 1 P) ISBN 978-92-821-0265-7 2010
18th International Symposium on
Transport Economics and Policy
16-18 November 2009
MADRID
The future
for interurban
passenger
transport
Bringing citizens
closer together
ORGANISATION FOR ECONOMIC CO-OPERATION
AND DEVELOPMENT
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This work is published on the responsibility of the Secretary-General of the OECD. The
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ISBN 978-92-821-0265-7 (print)
ISBN 978-92-821-0268-8 (PDF)
DOI 10.1787/9789282102688-en
Also available in French: Les perspectives du transport interurbain de personnes: Rapprocher les citoyens
Corrigenda to OECD publications may be found on line at: www.oecd.org/publishing/corrigenda.
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The International Transport Forum is an inter-governmental body within the OECD family. The Forum
is a global platform for transport policy makers and stakeholders. Its objective is to serve political leaders
and a larger public in developing a better understanding of the role of transport in economic growth and the
role of transport policy in addressing the social and environmental dimensions of sustainable development.
The Forum organises a Conference for Ministers and leading figures from civil society each May in Leipzig,
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The International Transport Forum was created under a Declaration issued by the Council of
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The members of the Forum are: Albania, Armenia, Australia, Austria, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Belgium,
Bosnia-Herzegovina, Bulgaria, Canada, Croatia, the Czech Republic, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France,
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Further information about the International Transport Forum is available on Internet at the following address:
www.internationaltransportforum.org

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TABLE OF CONTENTS –
TABLE OF CONTENTS
Summary of Discussions ......................................................................................... 7
Keynote presentation
How transport costs shape the spatial pattern of economic activity – by Jacques Thisse,
Catholic University of Louvain, Belgium and the Ecole Nationale des Ponts et Chaussées,
Paris, France .................................................................................................................................25
Theme I: Trends and Developments in Interurban Passenger Transport
The prospects for interurban travel demand – by Yves Crozet,LET, Lyons, France ................... 57
International air transport in the future – by David Gillen,University of British Columbia,
Vancouver, Canada .......................................................................................................................95
Theme II: Adapting the Intermodal Network to the Passenger Market:
Long-term Planning and Assessment
When to invest in high-speed rail links and networks? – by Chris Nash,University of Leeds,
United Kingdom ...........................................................................................................................125
High-speed intercity transport systems in Japan: past, present and the future
– by Katsuhiro Yamaguchi andKiyoshi Yamasaki,University of Tokyo, Japan .................. 151
Interurban passenger transport: economic assessment of major infrastructure projects
– by Gines De Rus, University of Las Palmas de Gran Canaria, and University Carlos III,
Madrid, Spain ..............................................................................................................................191
Theme III: Competition and Regulation of Interurban Travel:
Towards New Regulatory Frameworks?
Competition or co-operation in public transport – by Botond Aba,KTI,
Budapest, Hungary ......................................................................................................................221
Governance and regulation – by Clifford Winston,Brookings Institute,
Washington, DC, USA .................................................................................................................245
THE FUTURE FOR INTERURBAN PASSENGER TRANSPORT – (cid:164) OECD/ITF, 2010
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–TABLE OF CONTENTS
Long-distance bus services in Europe: concessions or free market? –
by Didier Van de Velde,Delft University of Technology and Inno-V Consultancy,
Amsterdam, The Netherlands .......................................................................................................263
Long-distance rail services in Europe: concessions or free market? – by Thorsten Beckers
andChristian von Hirschhausen,Technical University, Berlin / Fabian Haunerland and
Matthias Walter, Dresden University of Technology, Germany ............................................... 287
Competition for long-distance passenger rail services: the emerging evidence
– by John Preston,University of Southampton, United Kingdom ............................................. 311
Theme IV: Transport System Interactions and Innovation
When should be provide separate auto and truck roadways? – by Robert Poole,
Reason Foundation, USA ............................................................................................................339
Dedicated lanes, tolls and ITS technology – by Robin Lindsey,University of Alberta,
Edmonton, Canada ......................................................................................................................367
The informed and oriented transport system user – by Peter Zimmermann, for
Federal Ministry of Transport, Construction and Urban Affairs, Berlin, Germany .................... 389
Potential economic impacts of technological and organisational innovation in intermodal
access to major passenger terminals – by Francisco Tapiador,
University of Castilla La Mancha, and Martin Henneberg,University of Leida, Spain ........... 409
Theme V: Sustainable interurban mobility
Managing environmental impacts – by Per Kageson,Nature Associates, Stockholm,
Sweden .........................................................................................................................................429
The economics of CO emissions’ trading for aviation – by Peter Morrell,
2
Cranfield University, United Kingdom ........................................................................................ 459
Strategic Environmental Assessment (SEA) – by Rodrigo Jiliberto,
TAU Consultora Ambiental, Spain, Chile, Colombia .................................................................. 483
Does SEA change outcomes? – by Maria Rosario Partidario,Instituto Superior Tecnico,
Portugal .......................................................................................................................................521
Final Session ........................................................................................................ 541
THE FUTURE FOR INTERURBAN PASSENGER TRANSPORT – (cid:164) OECD/ITF, 2010
7
SUMMARY OF DISCUSSIONS –
SUMMARY OF DISCUSSIONS
THE FUTURE FOR INTERURBAN PASSENGER TRANSPORT – (cid:164) OECD/ITF, 2010

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SUMMARY OF DISCUSSIONS –
SUMMARY CONTENTS
1. INTRODUCTION ......................................................................................................................... 11
2. THE SPATIAL DISTRIBUTION OF ECONOMIC ACTIVITY AND TRANSPORT
INSIGHTS FROM THE NEW ECONOMIC GEOGRAPHY ...................................................... 12
3. WHAT DRIVES DEMAND FOR INTERURBAN TRANSPORT? ............................................ 12
4. ASSESSING HIGH-SPEED RAIL PROJECTS ........................................................................... 14
5. GOVERNANCE: HOW MUCH (DE)REGULATION? ............................................................... 15
6. ASSIGNING INFRASTRUCTURE ............................................................................................. 18
7. HARNESSING INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY ..................................................................... 18
8. SUSTAINABLE INTER-URBAN MOBILITY ........................................................................... 19
9. STRATEGIC ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT ................................................................... 20
10. FINAL SESSION .......................................................................................................................... 21
THE FUTURE FOR INTERURBAN PASSENGER TRANSPORT – (cid:164) OECD/ITF, 2010