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Statistics for Biology and Health SeriesEditors: M.Gail K.Krickeberg J.M.Samet A.Tsiatis W.Wong Forfurthervolumes: http://www.springer.com/series/2848 · Nan M. Laird Christoph Lange The Fundamentals of Modern Statistical Genetics 123 NanM.Laird ChristophLange DepartmentofBiostatistics DepartmentofBiostatistics HarvardUniversity HarvardUniversity Boston,MA02115,USA Boston,MA02115,USA [email protected] [email protected] StatisticsforBiologyandHealthSeriesEditors M.Gail A.Tsiatis NationalCancerInstitute DepartmentofStatistics Bethesda,MD20892,USA NorthCarolinaStateUniversity Raleigh,NC27695,USA KlausKrickeberg LeChâtelet W.Wong F-63270Manglieu,France DepartmentofStatistics StanfordUniversity JonathanM.Samet Stanford,CA94305-4065,USA DepartmentofPreventiveMedicine KeckSchoolofMedicine UniversityofSouthernCalifornia 1441EastlakeAve.Room4436,MC9175 LosAngles,CA90089 ISSN1431-8776 ISBN978-1-4419-7337-5 e-ISBN978-1-4419-7338-2 DOI10.1007/978-1-4419-7338-2 SpringerNewYorkDordrechtHeidelbergLondon (cid:2)c SpringerScience+BusinessMedia,LLC2011 Allrightsreserved.Thisworkmaynotbetranslatedorcopiedinwholeorinpartwithoutthewritten permission of the publisher (Springer Science+Business Media, LLC, 233 Spring Street, New York, NY10013,USA),exceptforbriefexcerptsinconnectionwithreviewsorscholarlyanalysis.Usein connection with any form of information storage and retrieval, electronic adaptation, computer software,orbysimilarordissimilarmethodologynowknownorhereafterdevelopedisforbidden. The use in this publication of trade names, trademarks, service marks, and similar terms, even if they are not identified as such, is not to be taken as an expression of opinion as to whether or not theyaresubjecttoproprietaryrights. Printedonacid-freepaper SpringerispartofSpringerScience+BusinessMedia(www.springer.com) Toourfamilies,andallofthefamilies whose datawehaveanalyzed. Preface Statisticalgeneticshasplayedapivotalroleformorethanacenturyinthediscovery of genes that cause disease in humans. Driven by advances in molecular genetics andmedicineandthecontinuingimprovementsingenotypingtechnology,statistical models and methods have adapted over time to the challenges presented by new studydesigns. In this book we discuss the statistical models and methods that are used to understand human genetics from an historical perspective. Starting with Mendel’s firstexperimentstomorerecentgenome-wideassociationstudies,wedescribehow genetic information can be incorporated into statistical models to discover disease genes.Whilewecovermostofthecommonlyusedapproachesinstatisticalgenetics (e.g.,aggregationanalysis,segregation,linkageanalysis,etc.),thefocusofthebook is on modern approaches to association analysis. Our treatment of earlier topics is mainly to help the reader see the larger picture and understand the historical development of methods. We provide numerous examples to illustrate key points throughoutthetext,bothofMendelianandcomplexgeneticdisorders. Most statisticians, biostatisticians and data analysts are aware of the key role that their disciplines have played in finding disease genes, but have little direct knowledgeofhowgenediscoveryviagenemappingworks.Thisbookarisesfrom teachingcoursestograduatestudents,withvaryinglevelsofstatisticalpreparation, at the Harvard School of Public Health. Our intended audience for this book is largely quantitatively oriented health scientists, including biostatisticians, statisti- cians, epidemiologists, physicians and molecular geneticists, who want to learn aboutstatisticalmethodsforgeneticanalysis,whethertobetteranalyzegeneticdata, ortopursueresearchinmethodology.Weassumefamiliaritywithelementaryprob- ability,statisticalinferenceandmethods,specificallydistributionsfortwoormore variables,conditional,marginalandjointdistributions,Bayesrule,likelihoodmeth- ods,hypothesistesting,estimation,correlationandtheessentialideasofregression, including linear, log-linear and logistic. However, the book emphasizes concepts and examples, and the exercises include problems for students with a broad range ofskilllevels.Weassumenoformaltrainingingenetics,butfamiliaritywithbasic conceptsinmoleculargeneticsisnecessaryandwillbereviewedinthefirstchapter. There are many excellent texts in statistical methods currently available to stu- dentsandwehaveusedmanyoftheminourteaching.Thisbooksharesmuchwith vii viii Preface theclassictextsofSham(1998)andLange(2002),bothofwhichwerewrittenwith asimilaraudienceinmind.Ourbookislessfocusedonlinkageandmorefocusedon associationanalysisthanthetextbySham,andprovideseasierreadingforstudents withlessmathematicaltrainingthanthebookbyLange.Wealsosharemuchwith the newer texts by Thomas (2004) and Yang (2000), being less epidemiologically orientedthanThomas,withmoreemphasisonhumandiseasethanYang.Thebook by Foulkes (2009) has a stronger emphasis on software implementation while our focusisonstatisticaltheoryandmethods. Boston,Massachusetts NanM.Laird BadGodesberg,Germany ChristophLange Acknowledgments This book would not have been possible without our former students, the staff at theHarvardSchoolofPublicHealth,ourcolleagues,friendsandourfamilieswhom we would like to thank for their the support, encouragement and help during the writing process of the book. The book is based on the statistical genetics courses that we have been teaching over the last 10 years here at the Harvard School of PublicHealth. Withtheirfeedback andduringenjoyable discussions,many ofour former students helped us to improve our courses and thereby the book. Without theactiveandpatientsupportfromthestaffattheDepartmentofBiostatisticsatthe Harvard School of Public Health, especially Jelena Follweiler, we would not have been able to put the book together. We also thank the reviewers, our colleagues, friends and family members for their keen eye during the review process of the book.WeareespeciallythankfultoKaustubhAdhikari,GourabDe,MattMcQueen, Jessica Lasky-Su and Tony Paredo for their help with the exercises, Ross Lazaras for help with figures, and to Wai-Ki Yip, Deborah Blacker, Garrett Fitzmaurice, JonathanHaines,AlkesPrice,BenjyRaby,DavidAlexander,LilyAltstein,Sharon Lutz,CoryZigler,AndreasKraeusling,andseveralanonymousreviewersfortheir commentsondraftsofthebook.WearealsoindebtedtoTylerVanderWeeleforcon- tributingSectiononCompositionalEpistatisandCompositionalGene-Environment Interactions.Last,butnotleast,wewouldliketomentionJohnKimmelforleading usthroughthebookwritingprocess. ix

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