Daniel Stockemer The Front National in France Continuity and Change Under Jean-Marie Le Pen and Marine Le Pen The Front National in France Daniel Stockemer The Front National in France Continuity and Change Under Jean-Marie Le Pen and Marine Le Pen DanielStockemer SchoolofPoliticalStudies UniversityofOttawa Ottawa,Ontario Canada ISBN978-3-319-49639-9 ISBN978-3-319-49640-5 (eBook) DOI10.1007/978-3-319-49640-5 LibraryofCongressControlNumber:2016961215 ©SpringerInternationalPublishingAG2017 Thisworkissubjecttocopyright.AllrightsarereservedbythePublisher,whetherthewholeorpartof the material is concerned, specifically the rights of translation, reprinting, reuse of illustrations, recitation, broadcasting, reproduction on microfilms or in any other physical way, and transmission or information storage and retrieval, electronic adaptation, computer software, or by similar or dissimilarmethodologynowknownorhereafterdeveloped. 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Printedonacid-freepaper ThisSpringerimprintispublishedbySpringerNature TheregisteredcompanyisSpringerInternationalPublishingAG Theregisteredcompanyaddressis:Gewerbestrasse11,6330Cham,Switzerland Contents 1 Introduction. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1 2 TheHistoryoftheFrontNational. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7 2.1 TheExtremeRightinFrance,1945–1972. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7 2.2 TheFoundationoftheFN. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10 2.3 YearsofMarginality. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12 2.4 FromtheFringestoPartyPolitics. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13 2.5 TheFNinthe1980sandthe1990s. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16 2.6 CrisisandRenewedSuccess. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21 2.7 TheFNUnderMarineLePen. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24 3 TheFN’sIdeologyUnderJean-MarieLePenandMarineLePen. . . 27 3.1 TheFN’sIdeologyUnderJean-MarieLePen. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28 3.1.1 Immigration. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28 3.1.2 OtherFeaturesoftheFNProgramme. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31 3.2 TheFN’sIdeologyUnderMarineLePen. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 32 3.2.1 TheFNIdeologyinItsPressReleases. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35 3.2.2 TheFNIdeologybyRegionalFNChaptersandtheFNJ. . . 37 3.2.3 QuoVadisDe´diabolisation?. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38 3.2.4 TheFNin2015:RadicalRightwithaSoftenedImage. . . 40 4 TheFN’sLeadershipandElitesUnderJean-MarieLePenand MarineLePen. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 43 4.1 Leadership:Jean-MarieLePenVersusMarineLePen. . . . . . . . . 44 4.1.1 Jean-MarieLePen. . . . . .. . . . .. . . . . .. . . . . .. . . . . .. 44 4.1.2 MarineLePen. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 46 4.2 ThePartyElitesUnderJean-MarieLePenandMarineLePen. . . 48 4.2.1 Jean-MarieLePen. . . . . .. . . . .. . . . . .. . . . . .. . . . . .. 48 4.2.2 MarineLePen. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 50 v vi Contents 4.3 TheFN’sRelationshipwiththeMediaUnderJean-Marie LePenandMarineLePen. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 52 4.3.1 Jean-MarieLePen. . . . . .. . . . .. . . . . .. . . . . .. . . . . .. 52 4.3.2 MarineLePen. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 54 4.4 TheLeadershipStylesofJean-MarieandofMarineLePen: ASynopsis.. . . .. . . .. . . .. . . .. . . .. . . .. . .. . . .. . . .. . . .. 56 5 TheFNMembershipUnderJean-MarieLePenandMarine LePen. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 57 5.1 MethodandInterviewSample. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 58 5.2 ActivistsUnderJean-MarieLePenandMarineLePen. . . . . . . . 62 5.2.1 Activists’Socio-EconomicBackground. . . . . . . . . . . . . . 62 5.2.2 Activists’PoliticalSocialization. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 62 5.3 TheActivists’PoliticalValues. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 67 5.4 TheActivists’PersonalValues. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 71 5.5 TheActivists’MotivationsforEngagement. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 72 5.6 EngagementTrajectory. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 75 5.7 ChangesinMembershipUnderMarineLePen:ASynopsis. . . . . 76 6 TheFNVotersUnderJean-MarieLePenandMarineLePen. . . . . 79 6.1 PredictorsoftheFNElectoralSuccess. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 80 6.1.1 Demographics. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 81 6.1.2 Socio-economicFactors. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 82 6.1.3 AttitudinalFactors. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 84 6.2 Data. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 85 6.3 Method. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 86 6.4 Results. . . . .. . . .. . . .. . . .. . . . .. . . .. . . .. . . .. . . . .. . . .. 86 6.5 Discussion. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 90 7 Conclusion. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 93 AppendixA:TheInterviews. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 99 References. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 101 Index. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 111 About the Author DanielStockemer isAssociateProfessorintheDepartmentofPoliticalStudiesat the University of Ottawa. He specializes in political behavior and political repre- sentation. The study of radical right-wing parties in Europe is one of his main research areas. He was awarded an Insight Development Grant from the Social Science and Humanities Research Council of Canada (2013–2016) to study the electoralsuccessoftheradicalrightinWesternEurope.Hefurtherspent7months onfieldworkinFrancein2013interviewingFNmembers. His recent work on the radical right in Europe appeared in the Journal of Common Market Studies, Social Sciences Quarterly, the European Journal of Communication,andRepresentation.Healsoeditedaspecialissueontheelectoral spark of the FN in French Politics. Furthermore, he published articles in, among others, Electoral Studies, Political Studies, European Union Politics, and the InternationalPoliticalScienceReview. vii Chapter 1 Introduction OnarainyNovembermorning,dockersfromCalaisarefiringflaresinprotestagainstport joblossesoutsidetheregionalcouncilinLille,thecapitalofFrance’soldindustrialnorth. Insidetheplushchamber,atall,solidlybuiltblondewomaninjeansandbootscrooksaleg over her knee and flicks through a news magazine. Marine Le Pen, leader of the Front National,whichhas18councilseats,hasdroppedinfromadayattheEuropeanParliament innearbyBrussels,wherethepartyhas23MEPs.LePenlooksboredasthecouncillors droneonaboutallocating€1.1billionofEUmoneytohelprevivethebleakeconomyof Nord-Pas-de-Calais.Whenhermomentcomes,shelaunchesintoariffontheevilsofthe Union.EUfundsjustreinforcethedictatorshipofBrusselsandimpoverishthedowntrod- denruralandsmall-townfolkoftheregion,shesays.“Ihavetoremindpeopleadnauseam thatthisisnotEuropeanmoney.It’spartofFrenchtaxpayers’moneythattransitsthrough BrusselswiththerestgoingtopayforcentralandEasternEurope.”Withthat,theterrorof theFrenchpoliticalestablishmentpicksupherpapers,closesherbeigewooljacketand slipsouttoacarforthedrivebacktoParis,missingthecouncil’ssplendidlunch.Soitgoes forLePenasshetillsthefertileelectoralsoilofthenorthasthepreludetoarunatthe E´lyse´ePalacein2years’time.(Bremner2014) “TheFrontNationalisatthegatesofpower”(BBCNews2014).Thiswake-up call from French Prime Minister Manuel Valls to his dishevelled Parti Socialiste (PS) summarizes the attitude of the French political class towards the Front National (FN). The mainstream parties, both the PS on the left and the Union PourunMouvementPopulaire(UMP,nowcalledtheRepublicans)ontheright,are frightened: they are frightened that the FN wave continues to sweep over France; theyarefrightenedthatthe2002earthquake,whichsawJean-MarieLePeninthe second round of the presidential elections, might be repeated; they are frightened that Marine Le Pen could accede to the presidency in 2017. Are these fears justified?IstheFNindeedatthegatesofpower? The answer to these questions is not obvious or easy. It is true that the FN has beentransformedfromasuccessfulyetmarginalpartytoamajorplayerinFrench politics.SinceMarineLePentookthereinsin2011,theFNhasbeensuccessfulon threefronts.First,intermsofpublicopinion,MarineLePenhasturnedtheviewsof asignificantportionoftheFrenchpopulationintheparty’sfavour.Fromthe20to 25 % who perceived the FN as a “party like others” under Jean-Marie Le Pen’s ©SpringerInternationalPublishingAG2017 1 D.Stockemer,TheFrontNationalinFrance,DOI10.1007/978-3-319-49640-5_1 2 1 Introduction leadership,theproportionhasincreasedtoover50%sinceMarineLePenhasbeen incharge(see,e.g.LePoint2015).Second,thepartyhasmultiplieditsmembership byafactorofthreeorfour.WhereastheFNhadapproximately20,000membersat the turn of the twenty-first century, it had between 60,000 and 80,000 in 2014, makingitthethird-largestpartyinFrance(Stockemer2014).Finally,thepartyhas reached heretofore unseen electoral heights. In the 2012 presidential election, MarineLePenreceived18%ofthepopularvote.Inthe2014Europeanelections andthe2015departmentalelections,theFNearned24.9%and25.2%ofthevotes cast, respectively, ranking it first and second among all French parties in these elections (Ministe`re de l’Inte´rieur 2015a). The December 2015 regional elections sawafurtherboostintheFNvote,with27.9%inthefirstround(Ministe`redel’Inte´ rieur 2015b). In addition, polls in 2014 and 2015 credited Marine Le Pen with approximately30%ofvoterintentionsfor2017,puttingheronparwiththemain centre-rightandcentre-leftcontenders(e.g.,AlainJuppe´andManuelValls)oreven aheadofthem(LeFigaro2015). Yet,theFN’ssuccesses,particularlyinthepolls,looksomewhatlessremarkable if we evaluate them in terms of political representation rather than vote shares. Certainly,25%ofthepopularvoteisimpressive,but,exceptintheEuropeanand regional elections, this electoral success has not translated into representation. In terms of number of deputies at any level, the FN ranks only sixth in France as of August 2015, making it a rather marginal political force. In addition, it does not, yet, have strong local implementation.1 Not only does the party still struggle to form local lists, particularly in small and medium-sized towns, but, even more importantly, it did not win any major city in the 2014 local elections. Despite the fact that the FN is in the majority in a dozen municipalities—among others, the party won the towns of Be´ziers and Fre´jus and the seventh arrondissement of Marseille—its local power is still marginal; in 2014, it only won 1 in 3000 cities andthemajorityofthevotein1in1000municipalities(Shields2015). Regardless of how impressive, or not, we might find the FN’s electoral and non-electoralvictories,itisnecessarytoputthemintoperspective:theyoccurredin amostbeneficialstructuralenvironment.From2009to2015,France,andEurope, suffered from multiple crises (see Mondon 2014). First is the economic crisis, which started to cripple the country in 2008–2009 and is still lingering, as shown intheunemploymentrate ofover10%anddeficitscontinuouslyreaching3%or moreofthestatebudget.Second,apoliticalcrisisisshakingupthepoliticalclass. Second, President Hollande, discredited by scandal and government inaction, has thelowestapprovalratingsofanypresidentintheFifthRepublic.Thecentreright does not score much higher in public approval; following ex-President Sarkozy reclaimingtheRepublicanParty’spresidencyin2014,thepartyisstillrecovering frominternalbattlesoverleadershipandprogramme.Withthependingnomination of its presidential candidate in 2016, the party, which is anything but united, is 1WiththeregionalelectionsinDecember2015,thishasprobablychangedslightly,giventhefact thattheFNhasgainedrepresentationinnearlyallregions. 1 Introduction 3 likely to face more turmoil. Third, there is a crisis of governance and direction within theEuropeanUnion.BeitGreece,therefugee crisis,ortheNorth Atlantic FreeTradeAgreement,theEuropeanCommunityisfacingmultiplechallenges,and fissuresareeverywherebetweenandwithinEuropeanUnionmembercountries. Giventhesecrises,itisonlylogicalthatiftheFNshouldeverbesuccessful,it wouldinsuchabeneficialstructuralenvironment(McAdam1988).However,what happens if this structural window of opportunity closes? Can the FN sustain progress in public approval, membership, and electoral results, or will it once again fall back to a position of relative marginality? Answering these questions requires an in-depth analysis of the party, its leader, its programme, its ideology, and its members and supporters. Has the party been transformed after Marine Le Pen was elected to the FN presidency inFebruary 2011? Isit the same party as it was during the 40-year leadership of Jean-Marie Le Pen, or has it evolved into a different party? These are the questions that I seek to answer in this book. More precisely, and using a mixed methods approach, I compare the “old” FN under Jean-MarieLePentothe“new”FNunderMarineLePenacrossfourdimensions: (1) the party’s ideology; (2) leadership styles, including the composition of the partyelites andthe leaders’andparty’srelationshipwiththemedia; (3)themem- bersoftheparty;and(4)thevotersfortheparty. Inmoredetail,Ievaluatethedegreetowhichthereiscontinuityorchangefrom Jean-MarieLePentoMarineLePenforthesefourdimensions,usingasupply-and- demand framework (see Klandermans 1986, 1997, 2004). In its original sense, supply refers to the products and services that a company puts on the market, whereas demand refers to the potential buyers of a product in a society, who are susceptibletoappealstopurchasetheproduct.Inthesamewayasacompanymust convincepotentialbuyersofthevalueandnecessityofitsproducts,politicalparties mustconvincecitizenstorankthemfavourably,tovoteforthem,ortojointhem. Parties can influence citizens in two ways: first, through their programme and ideology; second, through their leadership. A party’s ideology, electoral programme, and policy briefs are crucial tools for convincing citizens and sup- porterstobemembersandvotersofthepertinenceandcorrectnessofitspositions andofthenecessitytofightforitscause. Thebookisstructuredasfollows:InChap.2,Idescribethehistoricaldevelop- ment of the FN, from its modest first steps in politics to becoming a mainstream French party and one of the most successful radical right-wing parties. What ideological changes did the FN undertake after Marine Le Pen took over the presidencyfromherfatherin2011? Thisis thequestionthatIanswer inChap.3. MainlythroughqualitativetextualanalysisofFNpartydocumentsbeforeandafter 2011,whichIcomplementwithsomequantitativedata,Ishowthattherehasbeen verylittlechangeintheFN’sideologyandprogrammebetweenJean-MarieLePen andMarineLePen.TheFNwas,andcontinuestobe,theprototypicalradicalright- wing party. It has always advanced, and still advances, a simplistic frame that pushes anti-immigrant, anti-establishment, and nationalist sentiments. As such, it portrays French society as tainted by foreign influences and governed by corrupt elites thatembracelaxgovernmentpoliciesinthe areaofpublic security (Cre´pon
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