The effect of selected academic development programmes on the academic performance of academic development students at a South African university: An empirical analysis by Leonard Cowper Smith Thesis presented for the degree of DOCTOR OF PHILOSOPHY in the Faculty of Engineering and the Built Environment UNIVERSITY OF CAPE TOWN February 2012 To T.M.S., S.P.M.S. and C.P.M.S. ii Table of contents Acknowledgements vi Abstract vii A note on “race” viii List of figures ix List of tables x List of appendices xiii Abbreviations and acronyms xiv Chapter 1 Introduction 1 Chapter 2 Context for the study: Academic development programmes at UCT (CADP, ASPECT and GEPS) 10 2.1 Academic development programmes (ADP) in South Africa 10 2.2 ADP in the Faculties of Commerce, Engineering and the Built Environment, and Science 11 2.2.1 Commerce Academic Development Programme (CADP) 11 2.2.2 Academic Support Programme for Engineering in Cape Town (ASPECT) 15 2.2.3 General Entry for Programmes in Science (GEPS) 17 2.3 Summary comments 20 Chapter 3 Methodology and research design 23 3.1 Methodology 23 3.1.1 Threats to internal validity 26 3.2 Research design 35 3.2.1 Course performance 35 3.2.2 Graduation performance 37 Chapter 4 Literature review 39 4.1 Education production function ‒ outputs 41 4.2 Education process ‒ epistemological access and learning 43 4.2.1 Learning, language, reading, writing and study skills 44 4.3 Education production function ‒ inputs 46 4.3.1 Student characteristics 48 4.3.2 School-leaving subjects 60 4.3.3 School characteristics 64 4.3.4 Course characteristics 65 iii 4.4 Academic development programmes 66 4.4.1 International research 67 4.4.2 South African research 70 4.5 Summary discussion 77 Chapter 5 Empirical specification and data base construction 79 5.1 Empirical specification 79 5.1.1 Output or dependent variables 81 5.1.2 Input or independent variables 81 5.2 Data base construction 86 Chapter 6 Analysis of first-year data 87 6.1 Microeconomics (Commerce) 87 6.1.1 Characteristics of the academic development and mainstream cohorts 88 6.1.2 Data and results 89 6.1.3 Concluding remarks 108 6.2 Mathematics (Engineering) 108 6.2.1 Characteristics of the academic development and mainstream cohorts 109 6.2.2 Data and results 110 6.2.3 Concluding remarks 121 6.3 Chemistry (Science) 121 6.3.1 Characteristics of the academic development and mainstream cohorts 122 6.3.2 Data and results 123 6.3.3 Concluding remarks 133 6.4 Summary discussion 133 Chapter 7 Analysis of second-year data 141 7.1 Microeconomics (Commerce) 141 7.1.1 Characteristics of the academic development and mainstream cohorts 143 7.1.2 Data and results 144 7.1.3 Concluding remarks 159 7.2 Mathematics (Engineering) 160 7.2.1 Characteristics of the academic development and mainstream cohorts 160 7.2.2 Data and results 161 7.2.3 Concluding remarks 170 7.3 Chemistry (Science) 171 7.3.1 Characteristics of the academic development and mainstream cohorts 171 7.3.2 Data and results 172 7.3.3 Concluding remarks 179 7.4 Summary discussion 179 Chapter 8 Analysis of graduation data 184 8.1 Characteristics of the academic development and mainstream cohorts 184 8.2 Data and results 187 8.2.1 Analysis of data 187 8.2.2 Estimation results 190 iv 8.3 Summary discussion 199 Chapter 9 Discussion and conclusion 204 9.1 Statistical methods 204 9.2 Discussion of results 206 9.2.1 First-year studies 207 9.2.2 Second-year studies 209 9.2.3 Graduation studies 210 9.3 Implications of the results 213 9.4 Policy implications 222 9.5 Avenues for future research 229 Appendices 234 References 249 v Acknowledgements I am most grateful for the contribution made to this work by the following people: my supervisors, Jenni Case, Duncan Fraser, Corné van Walbeek and Vimal Ranchhod, for their careful reading of the text, sound advice, and enthusiastic support; my colleagues, June Pym, Ian Scott and Nan Yeld, for encouraging me to pursue my research and for supporting my application for research leave; Lawrence Edwards, for encouraging and supporting my early interest in the subject; Fiona Gibbons, for her patience in meeting my many requests for data; and Patricia Myers Smith, for her careful and thoughtful edit of the manuscript. vi Abstract The case studies that make up this thesis cover the three largest academic development programmes at the University of Cape Town. A variety of statistical methods are used to estimate the effect of educational interventions in selected first- and second-year academic development courses on the academic performance of academic development students in these courses and through to graduation, relative to mainstream students. In general, research in this area in South Africa and internationally has been characterised by small sample sizes and a lack of statistical rigour. Few studies control for the range of independent variables that can affect students’ academic performance, in addition to the academic development programme or course, and the great majority ignore the sample- selection problem that arises in the selection of students for academic development and mainstream programmes. The theoretical rationale underpinning this thesis is informed by the postpositivist and evidence-based approaches to empirical investigation. Demographic, academic and other data for some 9000 students for the years 1999‒2005 was obtained from the university’s data base and academic departments. Statistical techniques including multivariate analysis and propensity score matching are used in an attempt to finesse the problems associated with the use of non-experimental data as students are selected into different courses and programmes. The key findings, subject to the caveats associated with the use of non-experimental data, are that the educational interventions included in the first-year academic development courses offered by the university’s three largest academic development programmes are effective in improving academic development students’ academic performance in selected first- and second-year courses relative to mainstream students, conditional on the selected control variables. The same is true of the educational interventions included in selected second-year courses. The effect of the educational interventions included in the first-year courses does not, however, have a statistically significant impact on academic development students’ graduation rates relative to mainstream students, conditional on the selected control variables. vii A note on “race” South Africa’s Population Registration Act (Act 30 of 1950) made it mandatory for people in South Africa to be classified into a variety of population groups, for example “white”, “black”, “Indian” and “coloured”. This Act was repealed in 1991 and no similar classificatory legislation currently applies. However, for equity purposes the University of Cape Town’s application form asks South African citizens and permanent residents applying to study to declare their population group: black, coloured, Indian, white or Chinese. Therefore, in the context of this thesis the terms “white”, “Indian”, “black” and “coloured” refer to this self-declaration. It is likely that the majority of students declare themselves to belong to the same “population group” as that to which their parents and other family members were consigned by the pre-1994 apartheid state. viii List of figures Figure 4.1 Education production function 40 Figure C1 Outline of the parameters of the case studies 243 Figure D1 Common support first-year microeconomics 244 Figure D2 Common support first-year mathematics 245 Figure D3 Common support first-year chemistry 245 Figure D4 Common support second-year microeconomics period 1 246 Figure D5 Common support second-year microeconomics period 2 246 Figure D6 Common support second-year mathematics 247 Figure D7 Common support graduation commerce 247 Figure D8 Common support graduation engineering 248 Figure D9 Common support graduation science 248 ix List of tables Table 3.1 National Senior Certificate pass rates (1998‒2004) 34 Table 6.1 Control variables first-year microeconomics 89 Table 6.2 Examination and final results for ECO1010H and ECO1010S cohorts 90 Table 6.3 Results of the multiple-choice question, structured/essay question and examination Heckman two-step OLS estimations 92 Table 6.4 Results of the multiple-choice question, structured/essay question and examination OLS estimations 95 Table 6.5 Selected coefficients from the first-year microeconomics interaction OLS estimation 101 Table 6.6 Results of the multiple-choice question and structured/essay question OLS estimations for each of the ECO1010H and ECO1010S cohorts 102 Table 6.7 Result of the PSM probit and matching estimations for first-year microeconomics 104 Table 6.8 Results of the PSM estimations for first-year microeconomics 105 Table 6.9 Examination and course pass rates for the ECO1010H cohorts 107 Table 6.10 Control variables first-year mathematics 110 Table 6.11 Course results for the ASPECT and mainstream cohorts 111 Table 6.12 Results of the Heckman two-step and OLS estimations for first-year mathematics 112 Table 6.13 Selected coefficients from the first-year mathematics interaction OLS estimation 116 Table 6.14 Results of the OLS estimations for each of the ASPECT and mainstream cohorts 117 Table 6.15 Result of the PSM probit and matching estimations for first-year mathematics 119 Table 6.16 Result of the PSM estimation for first-year mathematics 120 Table 6.17 Course pass rates for the ASPECT cohorts 120 Table 6.18 Control variables first-year chemistry 123 Table 6.19 Course results for GEPS (CEM1009H) and mainstream cohorts 124 Table 6.20 Course results for GEPS (CEM1010F) and mainstream cohorts 125 Table 6.21 Results of the OLS and logit estimations for first-year chemistry 126 Table 6.22 Results of the OLS estimations for each of the GEPS and mainstream cohorts 129 Table 6.23 Result of the PSM probit and matching estimations for first-year chemistry 131 Table 6.24 Result of the PSM estimation first-year chemistry 132 Table 6.25 Course pass rates for the GEPS cohorts 132 Table 6.26 Control variables for each of the first-year AD and mainstream courses 134 Table 6.27 Results for each of the first-year AD and mainstream courses 135 Table 6.28 Results of the examination and course mark standard OLS estimations for each of the three first-year courses 136 Table 6.29 Results of the examination and course mark standard OLS estimations for each of the AD courses 139 Table 7.1 Control variables for second-year microeconomics 143 Table 7.2 ECO2003F academic performance and throughput rates: AD (ECO1010H) and mainstream cohorts (ECO1010S and ECO1010F (includes ECO1010S)) 144 x
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