m o c n. o uitt v s ui o l The Spirit of Travel Out of the ashes of Notre Dame Buttigieg: unpronounceable. Electable? What causes coups See the blight: crops and climate change APRIL20TH–26TH2019 The trouble with tech unicorns World-Leading Cyber AI Contents The EconomistApril20th2019 5 The world this week United States 8 Asummary of political 27 Democratic fault lines andbusinessnews 28 Writers v agents 29 Primary polling Leaders 29 Freeing Washington 13 Tech stars 30 Measles in New York The trouble with unicorns 31 Overturning referendums 14 Notre Dame The human spark 31 The Stratolaunch 14 Crops and climate 32 LexingtonPeteButtigieg Time to see the blight 15 Hacking and the law The Americas JusticeforJulianAssange 33 Quebec’s hijab ban 16 Spain 34 Jamaica’s ganja gamble On the cover Headingnowhere? 35 BelloThe wisdom of José Millions of users, cool brands Carlos Mariátegui and charismatic bosses. Tech’s Letters latest stars have everything— 20 OnKazakhstan,workers, except a path to high profits: Oregon,Britain,cannabis, leader,page 13. The wave of ethics,Parkinson’s Asia very highly valued startups disease,cherrytrees, heading to market suggests 36 Japan’s military posture Facebook that Silicon Valley needs to 37 Pakistan’s avian diplomacy rethink its focus: briefing, 38 BanyanDemocracy in Briefing page23 Kyrgyzstan 23 Unicornsgoingtomarket •Out of the ashes of Notre 39 Coalition-building in India Herdinstincts DameIt is not wrong to care 39 Elections in Indonesia more about a building than 40 Cambodia’seconomy about people: leader,page 14. The fire has devastated the China world’s most famous cathedral. But not destroyed it, page 47 41 Immigration reform •Buttigieg: unpronounceable. 42 Angry tech workers Electable?Pete Buttigieg’s 43 ChaguanWestern canny fusing of liberalism and solidarity tradition is a natural extension of his marriage: Lexington, page 32 •What causes coupsTrying to Middle East & Africa spot the next despot to be 44 China and the Arab world toppled, page 56. Why coups 45 Afirst for women tend to make a bad situation 46 South African energy worse,page 54 •See the blight: crops and climate changeMore needs to be done to protect crops from BagehotEverybody the havoc that warmer suffers when controversial temperatures might wreak, even thinkers are driven from in temperate regions: leader, public life, page 53 page 14. Understanding how pathogens and climate change interact is vital. But it remains obscure, page 69 1 Contents continues overleaf 6 Contents The EconomistApril20th2019 Europe Finance & economics 47 Notre Dame 63 Goldman Sachs 48 Spain’s tricky election 64 American banks’ earnings 49 Finland’s populists 65 ButtonwoodBond maturities 50 CharlemagneDiplomatic baggage 66 China’s GDP 66 Sales tax in Japan 67 Measuring slowbalisation Britain 68 Free exchange 51 The race to succeed Populationandgrowth Theresa May 52 Julian Assange is arrested Science & technology 53 BagehotSir Roger Scruton 69 Crop disease and climate and the public square 70 Remembering disasters 71 Tapir hygiene International 71 Prospecting for minerals 54 Coups: what next? 72 The joys of muck diving 56 Coups: who’s next? Books & arts 73 Leonardo’s genius 74 An Uzbek film-maker 75 Amaster Soviet spy Business 76 Murder most sensational 57 Big carmakers go electric 76 Ian McEwan’s new novel 58 BartlebyDiscrimination 59 Shale’s Permian explosion Economic & financial indicators 60 Online vocational training 80 Statisticson42economies 60 Apple and Qualcomm 61 Bankruptcy in India Graphic detail 62 SchumpeterAramco 81 China’spropagandastrategyonFacebook looks east Obituary 82 Sydney Brenner, molecular biologist Subscription service For our full range of subscription offers, including digital only or print and digital combined, visit: Economist.com/offers Volume431Number9139 PublishedsinceSeptember1843 You can also subscribe by mail, telephone or email: One-year print-only subscription (51 issues): Please totakepartin“aseverecontestbetween North America intelligence, which presses forward, The Economist Subscription Center, United States..........................................US $189 (plus tax) and an unworthy, timid ignorance P.O. Box 46978, St. Louis, MO 63146-6978 Canada......................................................CA $199 (plus tax) obstructing our progress.” Telephone: +1 800 456 6086 Latin America.......................................US $325 (plus tax) Email: [email protected] Editorial offices in London and also: PEFC certified Amsterdam, Beijing, Berlin, Brussels, Cairo, Latin America & Mexico This copy of The Economist Chicago, Johannesburg, Madrid, Mexico City, The Economist Subscription Center, is printed on paper sourced Moscow, Mumbai, New Delhi, New York, Paris, P.O. Box 46979, St. Louis, MO 63146-6979 from sustainably managed San Francisco, São Paulo, Seoul, Shanghai, Telephone: +1 636 449 5702 forests certified to PEFC Singapore, Tokyo, Washington DC Email: [email protected] PEFC/29-31-58 www.pefc.org ©2019TheEconomistNewspaperLimited.Allrightsreserved.Neitherthispublicationnoranypartofitmaybereproduced,storedinaretrievalsystem,ortransmittedinanyformorbyanymeans,electronic,mechanical,photocopying, recording or otherwise, without the prior permission of The Economist Newspaper Limited. The Economist(ISSN 0013-0613) is published every week, except for a year-end double issue, by The Economist Newspaper Limited, 750 3rd Avenue, 5th Floor New York, NY 10017. The Economist is a registered trademark of The Economist Newspaper Limited. Periodicals postage paid at New York, NYand additional mailing offices. Postmaster: Send address changes to The Economist, P.O. Box 46978, St. Louis, MO 63146-6978, USA. Canada Post publications mail (Canadian distribution) sales agreement no. 40012331. Return undeliverable Canadian addresses to The Economist, PO Box 7258 STN A, Toronto, ON M5W 1X9. GST R123236267. Printed by Quad/Graphics, Hartford, WI. 53027 8 The world this week Politics The EconomistApril20th2019 The Finns Party, an anti-im- ofcancellingBrexit,received group that has displaced more migrant outfit, won 17% of the approvalfromtheElectoral than 2m people in vote in Finland’selection. Commissiontoformaparty. neighbouring Nigeria. Other parties do not want to work with it. The winning Social Democrats will try to The strongman gets stronger No escape form a government without it. Egypt’s parliament passed Spain arrested Hugo Carvajal, a constitutional amendments former head of Venezuela’s Britain pondered what to do that would allow President military intelligence service, with Julian Assange, a co- Abdel-Fattah al-Sisi to rule after America asked for his founder of WikiLeaks. America until 2030. Mr Sisi, a former extradition. He had defected wants him extradited for con- general, was re-elected in 2018 and called on the army to stop Notre Dame, a medieval spiring to help a soldier hack a with 98% of the vote. Other supporting Venezuela’s dic- cathedral immortalised by classified computer network, changes would give the presi- tator, Nicolás Maduro. His Victor Hugo, Hollywood and with the intention of pub- dent control over judges and arrest on drug-trafficking innumerable tourist selfies, lishing military secrets. Swe- increase the army’s political charges may discourage other caught fire. More than 400 den may also want him: a power. The amendments will bigwigs from abandoning Mr firefighters brought the blaze woman who says he raped her now be put to a referendum. Maduro, thus impeding Ameri- under control, but the roof is has asked prosecutors to ca’s goal of removing him. gone, and with it the spire. The reopen the case. He also faces The African Union threatened interior damage is extensive, jail in Britain for jumping bail. to suspend Sudan, following a The natural history museum in but many artefacts and relics, military coup that deposed New York decided not to pro- including a supposed part of Nigel Farage, one of the prime Omar al-Bashir, who had ruled vide the venue for a gala hon- Jesus’s crown of thorns, were movers behind Britain’s refer- for more than three decades. ouring Brazil’spresident, Jair saved. Emmanuel Macron, the endum on leaving the euin The augave the generals who Bolsonaro. Environmentalists, French president, visited the 2016, launched aBrexit Party now run the country 15 days to outraged at his plan to open up site and vowed that the to fight next month’s European hand power to civilians. Brazil’s rainforest to mining, cathedral will be rebuilt. Two elections.Change uk, a group had objected. French billionaires pledged a of Labour and Conservative Seven soldiers were killed in total of €300m ($340m) defectors who are pushing for a Chadin an attack on an army The United Conservative Party towards that effort. second referendum in the hope base by Boko Haram, a jihadist won an election in the oil- 1 The EconomistApril20th2019 Theworldthisweek 9 2producingCanadianprovince war. It was only the second vernorofMassachusetts.Mr North Korea’spromise to ofAlberta.Theincoming veto of his presidency. Trumpraised$30mforhis relinquish nuclear weapons premier,JasonKenney,is campaigninthefirstquarter, and long-range missiles in expectedtoabolishtheprov- rivallingthecombinedamount exchange for security guaran- ince’staxoncarbonemissions ofthetoptwoDemocrats. tees and aid. andtochallengethefederal policyofimposingacarbon Malaysiaagreed to resume priceonprovincesthatdonot It’s that time of the year construction of a high-speed havetheirown. In Afghanistanthe Taliban rail line after the Chinese launched a spring offensive consortium building it cut the against the government, which price. Malaysia’s new govern- “A non-starter” recently began its own offen- ment had cancelled the project Nancy Pelosi, the Speaker of sive against the jihadists. This last year, saying the country America’s House of Repre- came despite the progress in could not afford it. sentatives, warned the British peace talks between America government that there would Pete Buttigiegofficially and the Taliban. Some 300 people gathered at a be “no chance whatsoever” of a launched his campaign to be monument in eastern Chinato free-trade deal with America the Democrats’ presidential Terry Gou, the boss of Foxconn, mark the death of Hu Yaobang, if Brexit caused any disruption candidate. Mr Buttigieg has which assembles iPhones for a liberal-minded Communist to the two-decade-old Anglo- surprised primary watchers by Apple, said he would run for Party chief whose funeral in Irish peace agreement. The running well against better- president in Taiwan. He is 1989 triggered the Tiananmen peace deal depends on an open known rivals in the party’s seeking the nomination of the Square protests. border between Northern crowded field of nominees, Kuomintang party, which is Ireland and the Republic of quite an achievement for the friendlier to China than the Only three turtlesof the Yangzi Ireland—something eumem- mayor of South Bend, Indiana. ruling Democratic Progressive giant softshell species are bership conveniently supplied. Party. Foxconn has many fac- known still to be alive after the The first challenger to Donald tories in China. death of one in China. The Donald Trump blocked a bipar- Trump emerged for the Repub- female, aged over 90, died in tisan resolution in Congress to lican nomination. The long- Both Donald Trump and Kim the city of Suzhou at a zoo end American military aid to shot bid is from William Weld, Jong Un mused publicly about which still has a male softshell Saudi Arabia in the Yemen a moderate and former go- another summit to discuss turtle aged over 100.