CCRRIITTIICCAALL S STTUUDDIIEESS O OFF TTHHEE A ASSIIAA--PPAACCIIFFIICC TTHHEE EEAASSTT AASSIIAANN PPEEAACCEE CCOONNFFLLIICCTT PPRREEVVEENNTTIIOONN AANNDD IINNFFOORRMMAALL PPEEAACCEEBBUUIILLDDIINNGG MMiikkaaeell WWeeiissssmmaannnn CriticalStudiesoftheAsia-PacificSeries SeriesEditor:MarkBeeson,WinthropProfessorofPoliticalScienceandInterna- tionalStudiesattheUniversityofWesternAustralia,Perth,Australia. CriticalStudiesoftheAsia-Pacificshowcasesnewresearchandscholarshiponwhat isarguablythemostimportantregionintheworldinthetwenty-firstcentury. TheriseofChinaandthecontinuingstrategicimportanceofthisdynamiceco- nomicareatotheUSAmeanthattheAsiaPacificwillremaincruciallyimportant topolicymakersandscholarsalike.Theunifyingthemeoftheseriesisadesire topublishthebesttheoreticallyinformed,originalresearchontheregion.Titles intheseriescoverthepolitics,economics,andsecurityoftheregion,aswellas focusonitsinstitutionalprocesses,individualcountries,issues,andleaders. Titlesinclude: StephenAris EURASIANREGIONALISM TheShanghaiCooperationOrganisation TobyCarroll DELUSIONSOFDEVELOPMENT TheWorldBankandthePost-WashingtonConsensusinSoutheastAsia AurelCroissantandMarcoBunte(editors) THECRISISOFDEMOCRATICGOVERNANCEINSOUTHEASTASIA ShaharHameiri REGULATINGSTATEHOOD StateBuildingandtheTransformationoftheGlobalOrder LeeJones ASEAN,SOVEREIGNTYANDINTERVENTIONINSOUTHEASTASIA HiroKatsumata ASEAN’SCOOPERATIVESECURITYENTERPRISE NormsandInterestsinaRegionalForum ErikPaul OBSTACLESTODEMOCRATIZATIONINSOUTHEASTASIA AStudyoftheNationState,RegionalandGlobalOrder JoelRathus JAPAN,CHINAANDNETWORKEDREGIONALISMINEASTASIA BarryWain MALAYSIANMAVERICK MahathirMohamadinTurbulentTimes MikaelWeissmann THEEASTASIANPEACE ConflictPreventionandInformalPeacebuilding RobertG.WirsingandEhsanAhrari(editors) FIXINGFRACTUREDNATIONS TheChallengeofEthnicSeparatismintheAsia-Pacific CriticalStudiesoftheAsia-PacificSeries SeriesStandingOrderISBN978–0–230–22896–2(Hardback) 978–0–230–22897–9(Paperback) (outsideNorthAmericaonly) You can receive future titles in this series as they are published by placing a standing order. Please contact your bookseller or, in case of difficulty, write to usattheaddressbelowwithyournameandaddress,thetitleoftheseriesand theISBNsquotedabove. Customer Services Department, Macmillan Distribution Ltd, Houndmills, Basingstoke,HampshireRG216XS,England The East Asian Peace Conflict Prevention and Informal Peacebuilding Mikael Weissmann ResearchFellow,SwedishInstituteofInternationalAffairs,Sweden Palgrave macmillan ©MikaelWeissmann2012 Softcoverreprintofthehardcover1stedition2012978-0-230-31396-5 Allrightsreserved.Noreproduction,copyortransmissionofthis publicationmaybemadewithoutwrittenpermission. Noportionofthispublicationmaybereproduced,copiedortransmitted savewithwrittenpermissionorinaccordancewiththeprovisionsofthe Copyright,DesignsandPatentsAct1988,orunderthetermsofanylicence permittinglimitedcopyingissuedbytheCopyrightLicensingAgency, SaffronHouse,6–10KirbyStreet,LondonEC1N8TS. Anypersonwhodoesanyunauthorizedactinrelationtothispublication maybeliabletocriminalprosecutionandcivilclaimsfordamages. Theauthorhasassertedhisrighttobeidentifiedastheauthorofthiswork inaccordancewiththeCopyright,DesignsandPatentsAct1988. Firstpublished2012by PALGRAVEMACMILLAN PalgraveMacmillanintheUKisanimprintofMacmillanPublishersLimited, registeredinEngland,companynumber785998,ofHoundmills,Basingstoke, HampshireRG216XS. PalgraveMacmillanintheUSisadivisionofStMartin’sPressLLC, 175FifthAvenue,NewYork,NY10010. PalgraveMacmillanistheglobalacademicimprintoftheabovecompanies andhascompaniesandrepresentativesthroughouttheworld. Palgrave®andMacmillan®areregisteredtrademarksintheUnitedStates, theUnitedKingdom,Europeandothercountries. ISBN978-1-349-33944-0 ISBN978-1-137-26473-2(eBook) DOI 10.1057/9781137264732 Thisbookisprintedonpapersuitableforrecyclingandmadefromfully managedandsustainedforestsources.Logging,pulpingandmanufacturing processesareexpectedtoconformtotheenvironmentalregulationsofthe countryoforigin. AcataloguerecordforthisbookisavailablefromtheBritishLibrary. AcatalogrecordforthisbookisavailablefromtheLibraryofCongress. 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 21 20 19 18 17 16 15 14 13 12 This book is dedicated to Cecilia, Fredrika and the rest of my family This page intentionally left blank Contents ListofTablesandFigures ix Acknowledgements x ListofAbbreviations xiii 1 Introduction:TheParadoxoftheEastAsianPeace 1 Theresearchfrontier 5 Theempiricalparadox 7 Arelativepeace 9 StudyingtheEastAsianpeace 12 Methodandmaterial 15 Theresearchcase:EastAsia 17 Organisationofthebook 19 Part I TheoreticalandConceptualFramework 2 ReviewoftheFieldandTheoreticalFramework 23 InternationalrelationstheoryandEastAsia 23 Theoreticalframework 37 Conclusion 49 Part II CaseStudies 3 MainlandChina–TaiwanRelationsandtheTaiwanIssue 53 HistoricalcontextofPRC–ROCrelations 54 Eliteinteractions 59 Economicintegrationandinterdependence 74 Functionalcooperation 78 TheUSfactor 80 Conclusions 84 4 TheSouthChinaSeaandSino-ASEANRelations 87 Historicalcontext 89 Eliteinteractions 95 Regionalisation 104 TheUSfactor 111 Conclusion 112 vii viii Contents 5 TheKoreanNuclearConflict 115 HistoricalcontextoftheKoreannuclearconflict 117 Personalnetworksandback-channelnegotiations 123 Economicintegrationandinterdependence 128 TheUSfactor 131 Thesix-partytalks 133 EngagingtheNorthKoreans:Eliteinteractionsas peacebuilding 136 Conclusion 141 Part III Conclusions 6 Conclusion:UnderstandingtheEastAsianPeace 147 Processesbehindtherelativepeace 148 Howtheprocessesarelinkedandhowthey influenceeachother 162 Understandingthedualprocessofconflictprevention andpeacebuilding 163 AschematicmodeloftheEastAsianpeace 166 ExplainingtheEastAsianpeace:Aconstructivistreading 167 SearchingforpeacebeyondEastAsia 170 Notes 174 Bibliography 186 Index 209 Tables and Figures Tables 3.1 Matrixoftheimportanceoftheidentifiedprocesses, MainlandChina–Taiwan 84 4.1 ClaimsmadeintheSouthChinaSea 90 4.2 Matrixoftheimportanceoftheidentifiedprocesses, SouthChinaSea 113 5.1 Matrixoftheimportanceoftheidentifiedprocesses, Koreannuclearconflict 141 6.1 Categorisationofinformalprocesses 149 6.2 Matrixoftheimportanceofthecategoriesofprocesses forpeace 150 6.3 Conflict-preventionandpeace-buildingmechanisms 165 Figures 6.1 Normativeandideationalstructures 169 ix