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The Dual Transformation of the German Welfare State Peter Bleses and Martin Seeleib-Kaiser New Perspectives in German Studies General Editors: Professor Michael Butler, Head of the Department of German Studies, University of Birmingham and Professor William Paterson, Director of the Institute of German Studies, University of Birmingham Over the last twenty years the concept of German studies has undergone major transformation. The traditional mixture of language and literary studies, related very closely to the discipline as practised in German universities, has expanded to embrace history, politics, economics and cultural studies. The conventional boundaries between all these disciplines have become increasingly blurred, a process which has accelerated markedly since German unification in 1989/90. New Perspectives in German Studies, developed in conjunction with the Institute for German Studies at the University of Birmingham, has been designed to respond precisely to this trend of the interdisciplinary approach to the study of German and to cater for the growing interest in Germany in the context of European integration. The books in this series will focus on the modern period, from 1750 to the present day. Titles include: Peter Bleses and Martin Seeleib-Kaiser THE DUAL TRANSFORMATION OF THE GERMAN WELFARE STATE Michael Butler and Robert Evans (editors) THE CHALLENGE OF GERMAN CULTURE Essays Presented to Wilfried van der Will Michael Butler, Malcolm Pender and Joy Charnley (editors) THE MAKING OF MODERN SWITZERLAND 1848–1998 Paul Cooke and Andrew Plowman (editors) GERMAN WRITERS AND THE POLITICS OF CULTURE Dealing with the Stasi Wolf-Dieter Eberwein and Karl Kaiser (editors) GERMANY’S NEW FOREIGN POLICY Decision-Making in an Interdependent World Jonathan Grix THE ROLE OF THE MASSES IN THE COLLAPSE OF THE GDR Margarete Kohlenbach WALTER BENJAMIN Self-Reference and Religiosity Henning Tewes GERMANY, CIVILIAN POWER AND THE NEW EUROPE Enlarging NATO and the European Union Maiken Umbach GERMAN FEDERALISM Past, Present, Future New Perspectives in German Studies Series Standing Order ISBN 0–333–92430–4 hardcover Series Standing Order ISBN 0–333–92434–7 paperback (outside North America only) You can receive future titles in this series as they are published by placing a standing order. Please contact your bookseller or, in case of difficulty, write to us at the address below with your name and address, the title of the series and the ISBN quoted above. Customer Services Department, Macmillan Distribution Ltd, Houndmills, Basingstoke, Hampshire RG21 6XS, England The Dual Transformation of the German Welfare State Peter Bleses Research Fellow, Law Department, University of Oldenburg, Germany and Martin Seeleib-Kaiser Senior Research Fellow, Centre for Social Policy Research, Bremen University, Germany © Peter Bleses and Martin Seeleib-Kaiser 2004 Softcover reprint of the hardcover 1st edition 2004978-1-4039-1784-3 All rights reserved. No reproduction, copy or transmission of this publication may be made without written permission. No paragraph of this publication may be reproduced, copied or transmitted save with written permission or in accordance with the provisions of the Copyright, Designs and Patents Act 1988, or under the terms of any licence permitting limited copying issued by the Copyright Licensing Agency, 90 Tottenham Court Road, London W1T 4LP. Any person who does any unauthorised act in relation to this publication may be liable to criminal prosecution and civil claims for damages. The authors have asserted their rights to be identified as the authors of this work in accordance with the Copyright, Designs and Patents Act 1988. First published 2004 by PALGRAVE MACMILLAN Houndmills, Basingstoke, Hampshire RG21 6XS and 175 Fifth Avenue, New York, N.Y. 10010 Companies and representatives throughout the world PALGRAVE MACMILLAN is the global academic imprint of the Palgrave Macmillan division of St. Martin’s Press, LLC and of Palgrave Macmillan Ltd. Macmillan® is a registered trademark in the United States, United Kingdom and other countries. Palgrave is a registered trademark in the European Union and other countries. ISBN 978-1-349-51375-8 ISBN 978-0-230-00563-1 (eBook) DOI 10.1057/9780230005631 This book is printed on paper suitable for recycling and made from fully managed and sustained forest sources. A catalogue record for this book is available from the British Library. Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data Bleses, Peter. The dual transformation of the German welfare state/Peter Bleses and Martin Seeleib-Kaiser. p. cm. — (New perspectives in German studies) Includes bibliographical references and index. 1. Germany—Social policy. 2. Welfare state—Germany. I. Seeleib—Kaiser, Martin. II. Title. III. Series. HV278.B58 2004 330.12’6—dc22 2004044699 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 13 12 11 10 09 08 07 06 05 04 Contents List of Tables vii List of Figures viii Preface ix List of Abbreviations xi Introduction 1 Part I The Policy Dimension 1. Evaluating Policy Change: Some Theoretical and Methodological Remarks 9 2. Historical, Normative and Institutional Foundations of the German Welfare State in the Golden Post-World War II Era 14 2.1 Historical background 14 2.2 Norms and institutions 17 2.3 Summarising the social policy concept 27 3. Socio-economic Developments since the Mid-1970s 29 3.1 Economic discontinuities and the (preliminary) end of full employment 29 3.2 The standard employment relationship on the retreat 33 3.3 The end of the strong male breadwinner model? 36 4. The Changing Normative and Institutional Design of Social Policy 40 4.1 A quantitative perspective 41 4.2 A qualitative perspective 47 4.3 The dual transformation of the German welfare state 89 Part II The Political Dimension 5. Theories Explaining Welfare State Change 97 5.1 Political and institutional explanations 97 5.2 Socio-economic explanations 104 v vi Contents 5.3 Evaluating the political, institutional and socio-economic explanations 109 5.4 A constructivist approach 110 6. Changing Interpretative Patterns 114 6.1 Globalisation limits social policy 116 6.2 Markets, personal responsibility and the welfare state 117 6.3 The labour market policy discourse 119 6.4 The pension system within the political discourse 127 6.5 Debates on family policy 134 6.6 New interpretative patterns guiding social policy reforms 140 Part III Conclusions 7. Can Germany still be Considered a Conservative Welfare State? 145 7.1 Reforming the welfare state – summary of the main policy changes 146 7.2 Explaining welfare state change 150 7.3 The German welfare state from a comparative perspective 151 Notes 155 Bibliography 168 Index 187 List of Tables 1.1 Modes of social policy intervention based on the work–welfare nexus 11 4.1 Development of monthly child allowance benefits: 1970–2002 80 4.2 Development of child tax allowances: 1962–2002 82 4.3 Supply of childcare facilities (number of places as a percentage of age group): 1975–1998 85 5.1 Public support for state responsibility in various policy areas of the welfare state (%) 108 vii List of Figures 3.1 Annual economic growth rates: 1966–2002 30 3.2 Number of registered unemployed: 1965–2002 31 3.3 Number of labour market participants: 1970–2002 32 3.4 Unemployment rates: 1950–2001 33 3.5 Female labour force participation rates by age: 1971–2001 37 3.6 Female labour force participation rates in East and West Germany: 1991–2001 37 4.1 Social spending as a percentage of GDP: 1975–2001 43 4.2 Employers’ contributions to social insurance schemes as a percentage of gross wage: 1975–2003 44 4.3 Social spending in east and west as a percentage of GDP: 1991–2001 45 4.4 Expenditures for selected social policies by function as a percentage of GDP: 1995–2001 47 4.5 Percentages of registered unemployed receiving unemployment insurance and unemployment assistance benefits: 1975–2002 54 4.6 Participants in measures of ALMP (training and re-training, public employment programmes): 1991–2002 58 4.7 Early retirement due to unemployment: 1975–2001 72 5.1 Foreign trade (exports and imports) as a percentage of GDP: 1975–2002 106 5.2 Challenges, political discourse, interpretative patterns and policy responses 112 viii Preface Welfare state reforms have been at the centre of German domestic pol- icy debate for the past several decades, and in recent years this debate has gathered momentum. While international comparative analyses have for many years stressed the continuity of the German welfare state, numerous social policies have in fact been undergoing continuous reform. The common argument has been that policy development is guided by incremental reforms rather than by substantive institutional changes. Despite recently revived interest in the welfare state, many studies have been limited in their scope, concentrating on specific reforms in a limited number of welfare state programmes over relatively short time spans. This book presents a comprehensive analysis of the many social policy reforms which have been enacted within the realms of wage earner- centred and family-oriented social policies since the mid-1970s. Our analysis is guided by the question of whether social policy development has been dominated by continuity or by change. In contrast to numer- ous accounts which focus on individual arenas within the welfare state, we argue that we have indeed been witnessing substantial overall policy changes. We characterise the German welfare state as one which has been undergoing a dual transformation. Furthermore, we demonstrate how the theories traditionally used to explain welfare state development, namely, socio-economic, institutional, and the ‘parties matter’ theories, cannot sufficiently account for the nature and direction of Germany’s social policy changes. Finally, we identify the emergence and eventual dominance of new interpretative patterns within the political discourse as the primary cause for the substantive policy changes. The initial idea for this book originated in the late 1990s, at a time when both of us were working on different research projects at the Centre for Social Policy Research (CeS) at Bremen University (Bleses/ Seeleib-Kaiser 1998; 1999). Our collaborative work was put to the test as we both left the CeS only shortly after the idea was hatched. From 1998 to 2002 Peter Bleses worked at the Institute of Sociology at Leipzig University, before joining the Law Department at the University of Oldenburg. Between 1999 and 2002 Martin Seeleib-Kaiser was DAAD Associate Professor of Political Science and Sociology at Duke University, Durham (North Carolina), before once again joining the CeS and the ix

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