THE CSCE SECURITY REGIME FORMATION This page intentionally left blank The CSCE Security Regime Formation An Asian Perspective Ki-Joon Hong Research Fellow The Center for Asia-Pacific Studies Kyung Hee University Seoul Korea First published in Great Britain 1997 by MACMILLAN PRESS LTD Houndmills, Basingstoke, Hampshire RG2l 6XS and London Companies and representatives throughout the world A catalogue record for this book is available from the British Library. ISBN 978-1-349-40049-2 ISBN 978-0-230-37990-9 (eBook) DOl 10.1057/9780230379909 First published in the United States of America 1997 by ST. MARTIN'S PRESS, INC., Scholarly and Reference Division. 175 Fifth Avenue, New York. N.Y. 10010 Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data Hong, Ki-Joon, 1962- The CSCE security regime formation : an Asian perspective I Ki-Joon Hong. p. em. Includes bibliographical references and index. l. Conference on Security and Cooperation in Europe ( 1972 : Helsinki, Finland) 2. Security, International. 3. National security-Europe. 4. Arms control-Europe. 5. Europe-Defenses. 6. Europe-Military relations. I. Title. JX 1393.C65H664 1997 3 27 .l'7'094---dc20 96-41359 CIP © Ki-Joon Hong 1997 Softcover reprint of the hardcover 1st edition 1997 978-0-333-68320-0 All rights reserved. No reproduction, copy or transmission of this publication may be made without written permission. No paragraph of this publication may be reproduced, copied or transmitted save with written permission or in accordance with the provisions of the Copyright, Designs and Patents Act 1988, or under the terms of any licence permitting limited copying issued by the Copyright Licensing Agency, 90 Tottenham Court Road, London W l P 9HE. Any person who does any unauthorised act in relation to this publication may be liable to criminal prosecution and civil claims for damages. The author has asserted his rights to be identified as the author of this work in accordance with the Copyright, Designs and Patents Act 1988. This book is printed on paper suitable for recycling and made from fully managed and sustained forest sources. 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 l 06 05 04 03 02 01 ()() 99 98 97 Contents List of Tables vii List of Figures ix Acknowledgements x List of Abbreviations xii Introduction 1 1 An Analytical Framework 3 2 Phase I: Creation of the CSCE Security Regime (Nov. 1972-Aug. 1975) 10 1. Brief Outline 10 2. Regime Creation 13 3. Regime Determining Factors 32 4. Contributions of the CSCE Security Regime to European Security 42 3 Phase II: Development of the CSCE Security Regime (Oct. 1977-May 1986) 48 1. Brief Outline 48 2. Regime Development 50 3. Regime Determining Factors 62 4. Contributions of the CSCE Security Regime to European Security 72 4 Phase III: Transition of the CSCE Security Regime (Nov. 1986-Nov. 1990) 78 1. Brief Outline 78 2. Regime Transition 81 3. Regime Determining Factors 100 4. Contributions of the CSCE Security Regime to European Security 111 v VI Contents 5 Phase IV: Transformation of the CSCE Security Regime (1991-94) 119 1. Brief Outline 119 2. Regime Transformation 122 3. Regime Determining Factors 144 4. Contributions of the CSCE Security Regime to European Security 155 6 A Comparative Analysis of the CSCE Security Regime Formation (1972-94) 170 Conclusions 192 Appendix 199 Notes 201 Bibliography 217 Index 226 List of Tables Table 2.1 Comparison of Different Positions in 'Prior notification' (as of Oct. 1973) 28 Table 2.2 Comparison of Different Positions in 'Exchange of observers' and 'other CBMs' (as of Oct. 1973) 28 Table 2.3 Prior Notification of Major Military Manoeuvres Agreed upon in the Final Act 29 Table 2.4 Functions of the CSCE Security Regime in the First Phase 32 Table 2.5 Military Power Concentration of the USA and the USSR (1970-75) 34 Table 2.6 Distribution of Strategic Nuclear Weapon Arsenals (1965-75) 35 Table 2.7 Implementation of the Helsinki CBMs, 1975-86 (NATO) 43 Table 2.8 Implementation of the Helsinki CBMs, 1975-86 (WTO) 43 Table 2.9 Implementation of the Helsinki CBMs, 1975-86 (N/N) 44 Table 3.1 CBM Proposals Tabled at the Belgrade Follow-up Meeting 51 Table 3.2 The N/N CBMs Tabled at the Madrid Follow-up Meeting 52 Table 3.3 Comparison of Helsinki CBMs and Stockholm CSBMs 60 Table 3.4 Functions of the CSCE Security Regime in the Second Phase 61 Table 3.5 Military Power Concentration of the USA and the USSR (1976-86) 65 Table 3.6 Distribution of Strategic Nuclear Weapon Arsenals (1976-86) 65 Table 3.7 Calendar, Advance Forecast and Observation (1987-90) 73 Table 3.8 On-site Inspections of Military Activities (1987-90) 73 Table 4.1 Comparison of the NATO and WTO Positions in Round III of the CFE Negotiations 91 vn Vlll List of Tables Table 4.2A Functions of the CSCE Security Regime in the Third Phase 95 Table 4.2B Comparison of the First, the Second and the Third CSBMs 96 Table 4.3 Distribution of Conventional Forces: from the Atlantic to the Urals as of January 1988 103 Table 5.1 Functions of the CSCE Security Regime in the Fourth Phase 143 Table 5.2 Distribution of Strategic Nuclear Forces as of 1 June 1993 147 Table 5.3 Treaty-limited Equipment in the Former Soviet Republics Compared with Soviet Holdings in 1988 147 Table 5.4 The Activities of the HCNM in 1993-94 160 Table 5.5 Chronology of the CSCE's Involvement in the Yugoslavian Crisis 167 Table 6.1 Changes in the Functions of the CSCE Security Regime (1972-94) 172 Table 6.2 Changes in Regime Determining Factors (1972-94) 175 Table 6.3 The Contributions of the CSCE Security Regime to European Security (1972-94) 185 List of Figures Figure 1.1 Regime Determining Factors 4 Figure 1.2 The CSCE Evolution and Change in International Climate 5 Figure 5.1 The Valletta Mechanism 131 Figure 5.2 The Court of Conciliation and Arbitration within the CSCE 132 Figure 5.3 The Berlin Mechanism 134 Figure 5.4 The Moscow Mechanism 137 Figure 5.5 The CSCE High Commissioner on National Minorities 139 IX