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467 Pages·1998·17.366 MB·English
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THE CONTINUING DEMOGRAPHIC TRANSITION Edited by GAVIN W.JONES ROBERT M. DOUGLAS JOHN C. CALDWELL RENNIE M. D'SOUZA CLARENDON PRESS OXFORD THE CONTINUING DEMOGRAPHIC TRANSITION The Continuing Demographic Transition Edited by G. W. JONES R. M. DOUGLAS J. C. CALDWELL R. M. D'SOUZA CLARENDON PRESS • OXFORD This book has been printed digitally and produced in a standard specification in order to ensure its continuing availability OXFORD UNIVERSITY PRESS Great Clarendon Street, Oxford 0X2 6DP Oxford University Press is a department of the University of Oxford. It furthers the University's objective of excellence in research, scholarship, and education by publishing worldwide in Oxford New York Auckland Bangkok Buenos Aires Cape Town Chennai Dar es Salaam Delhi Hong Kong Istanbul Karachi Kolkata Kuala Lumpur Madrid Melbourne Mexico City Mumbai Nairobi Sao Paulo Shanghai Taipei Tokyo Toronto Oxford is a registered trade mark of Oxford University Press in the UK and in certain other countries Published in the United States by Oxford University Press Inc., New York © R. M. Douglas 1997 The moral rights of the author have been asserted Database right Oxford University Press (maker) Reprinted 2004 All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted, in any form or by any means, without the prior permission in writing of Oxford University Press, or as expressly permitted by law, or under terms agreed with the appropriate reprographics rights organization. Enquiries concerning reproduction outside the scope of the above should be sent to the Rights Department, Oxford University Press, at the address above You must not circulate this book in any other binding or cover And you must impose this same condition on any acquirer ISBN 0-19-829257-0 Acknowledgements The editors are warmly appreciative of the contributions of a large group of sponsors and committee members who made the Caldwell Symposium, on which this volume is based, possible. The sponsors included the Academy of the Social Sciences in Australia, the Andrew W. Mellon Foundation, the Australian Population Association, the Australian Agency for International Development, the Commonwealth Department of Human Services and Health in Australia, the Ford Foundation, the Inter- national Union of Scientific Study of Population, the National Centre for Epidemiology and Population Health at the Australian National Univer- sity, the Overseas Development Administration, the Population Council, the Research School of Social Sciences at the Australian National Univer- sity, and the Rockefeller Foundation. Dr Gigi Santow played a particularly important role in drawing the intellectual threads of the meeting together, and Ms Wendy Cosford has played a major role in copyediting. We also acknowledge the key role played by staff of the National Centre of Epidemiology and Population Health at the Australian National University including especially Ms Peggy Daroesman, Ms Kaye Devlin, and Mr Ron D'Souza. Contents List of Contributors and Editors ix Introduction 1 Gavin W. Jones and R. M. Douglas PART I FERTILITY TRANSITION 13 1. What Do We Now Know about Fertility Transition? 15 John C. Caldwell and Pat Caldwell PART II RECENT INSIGHTS INTO DEMOGRAPHIC TRANSITION 27 2. The First Health Transition in Australia, 1880-1910 29 P. B. Smith 3. The Demise of Universal Marriage in East and South-East Asia 51 Gavin W. Jones 4. An Analysis of Parity-Dependent Fertility Falls in Tropical Africa 80 William Brass, Fatima Juarez, and Anne Scott 5. Replacement-Level Fertility: The Implausible Endpoint of the Demographic Transition 94 Paul Demeny 6. Intergenerational Wealth Flows and the Elderly in Indonesia 111 Graeme Hugo PART III THE PLACE OF CULTURE IN THE EXPLANATION OF DEMOGRAPHIC TRANSITION 135 7. The Proper Role of Culture in Demographic Explanation 137 David I. Kertzer 8. Gender and Demographic Change: What Do We Know? 158 Karen Oppenheim Mason viii Contents 9. Marriage Change as Moral Change: Culture, Virtue, and Demographic Transition 183 Tom Fricke 10. Orderly Theories, Disorderly Women 213 Susan Cotts Watkins, Naomi Rutenberg, and David Wilkinson 11. Numerators and Denominators in the Study of High Fertility Populations: Past and Potential Contributions from Cultural Anthropology 246 Caroline Bledsoe and Fatou Banja Camara 12. Contraception and Religiosity in Bangladesh 268 Sajeda Amin, lan Diamond, and Fiona Steele 13. The Rise of Dowry in Bangladesh 290 Sajeda Amin and Mead Cain 14. Underinvestment in Children: A Reorganization of the Evidence on the Determinants of Child Mortality 307 Alaka Malwade Basu 15. Health Treatment Behaviour in Sri Lanka 332 Indrani Pieris PART IV THE PLACE OF POLICY IN THE EXPLANATION OF RECENT FERTILITY DECLINES 363 16. The Governance of Fertility Transition: Reflections on the Asian Experience 365 Geoffrey McNicoll 17. Politics, Culture, and Fertility: Transitions in Indonesia 383 Terence H. Hull and Valerie J. Hull 18. The Role of Family Planning Programmes in Contemporary Fertility Transitions 422 John Bongaarts Index 445 List of Contributors and Editors Sajeda Amin is an Associate in the Research Division at the Population Council, One Dag Hammarskjold Plaza, New York, NY 10017, USA. Fatoumatta Banja, formerly with Save the Children USA in The Gambia, is at the School for International Training, Brattleboro, Vermont, USA. Alaka Malwade Basu is a Senior Research Associate in the Division of Nutritional Sciences, Cornell University, Savage Hall, Ithaca, NY 14853 6501, USA. Caroline Bledsoe is Professor of Anthropology at Northwestern Uni- versity, Evanston, 111 60208-1310, USA. John Bongaarts is Vice-President of the Population Council and Direc- tor of its Research Division, One Dag Hammarskjdld Plaza, New York, NY 10017, USA. William Brass is Emeritus Professor of Medical Demography at the Centre for Population Studies, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, Keppel Street, London WCIE 7HT, UK. Mead Cain is an independent consultant living in New York. John Caldwell is Emeritus Professor of Demography and Coordinator, Health Transition Centre, National Centre for Epidemiology and Popu- lation Health, Australian National University, Canberra, ACT 0200, Australia. Pat Caldwell is an anthropological demographer and a Centre Visitor at the National Centre for Epidemiology and Population Health, Aus- tralian National University, Canberra, ACT 0200, Australia. Paul Demeny is Distinguished Scholar at the Population Council, One Dag Hammarskjold Plaza, New York, NY 10017, USA. Ian Diamond is Professor at the Department of Social Statistics, Univer- sity of Southampton, Highfield, Southampton, Hants S09 5NH, UK. Robert M. Douglas is the Director of the National Centre for Epidemio- logy and Population Health, Australian National University, Canberra, ACT 0200, Australia. Rennie M. D'Souza is a Fellow at the National Centre for Epidemiology and Population Health, Australian National University, Canberra, ACT 0200, Australia.

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