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The Climate Book: The Facts and the Solutions PDF

687 Pages·2023·54.451 MB·English
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Average global temperatures have risen approximately 1.2°C since the pre-industrial age.[*] In the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s (IPCC) 2021 report a group of 234 top scientists from 66 countries concluded that ‘it is unequivocal that human influence has warmed the atmosphere, ocean and land. Widespread and rapid changes in the atmosphere, ocean, cryosphere and biosphere have occurred.’ Greenhouse gas emissions – which include carbon dioxide, methane, nitrous oxide and fluorinated gases – from human activities have risen to concentrations in the atmosphere that have not been seen in millions of years, since a time when trees grew at the South Pole and the sea level rose by 20 metres. Despite dire warnings in the 1980s and 1990s, we have emitted more CO since 1991 than in the rest of 2 human history. According to the IPCC’s estimate, our remaining carbon budget for a 67 per cent chance of limiting warming to 1.5°C at the beginning of 2020 was 400 gigatonnes.[*] At the current rate of emissions, we will exceed this carbon budget before 2030. Some countries are vastly more historically responsible for emissions than others; the largest emitters released hundreds of billions of tonnes of CO into the 2 atmosphere between 1850 and 2021. In 2015, nearly every country in the world – 195 in total – committed to the Paris Agreement. The goal of the Paris Agreement is to limit global warming to well below 2°C, and ideally below 1.5°C, compared to pre-industrial levels. The world is not on track to meet these goals. There is a vast gap between the promises governments have made and the actions they have taken. Many emissions – such as those from international transport and shipping, as well as many of those associated with the military – go unrecorded or are unaccounted for. Based on current policies, the IPCC estimates that global warming will reach 3.2°C by 2100. PENGUIN PRESS An imprint of Penguin Random House LLC penguinrandomhouse.com Compilation copyright © 2022 by Greta Thunberg Essays copyright © 2022 by the individual authors Penguin Random House supports copyright. Copyright fuels creativity, encourages diverse voices, promotes free speech, and creates a vibrant culture. Thank you for buying an authorized edition of this book and for complying with copyright laws by not reproducing, scanning, or distributing any part of it in any form without permission. You are supporting writers and allowing Penguin Random House to continue to publish books for every reader. First published in Great Britain by Allen Lane, an imprint of Penguin Random House UK, 2022. This page constitutes an extension of this copyright page. LIBRARY OF CONGRESS CATALOGING-IN-PUBLICATION DATA Names: Thunberg, Greta, 2003– compiler. Title: The climate book : the facts and the solutions / Greta Thunberg. Description: New York : Penguin Press, 2023. | “First published by Allen Lane, 2022”— Title page verso. Identifiers: LCCN 2022049218 (print) | LCCN 2022049219 (ebook) | ISBN 9780593492307 (hardcover) | ISBN 9780593492314 (ebook) Subjects: LCSH: Climatic changes. | Climate justice. Classification: LCC QC903 .T59 2023 (print) | LCC QC903 (ebook) | DDC 363.738/7452—dc23/eng20230113 LC record available at https://lccn.loc.gov/2022049218 LC ebook record available at https://lccn.loc.gov/2022049219 Cover design: Darren Haggar Cover image: Warming Stripes by Professor Ed Hawkins, National Centre for Atmospheric Science, University of Reading Designed by Jim Stoddart, adapted for ebook by Cora Wigen pid_prh_6.0_142488116_c0_r0 PART ONE / How Climate Works 1.1 ‘To solve this problem, we need to understand it’ / Greta Thunberg 1.2 The Deep History of Carbon Dioxide Peter Brannen / Science journalist, contributing writer at the Atlantic and author of The Ends of the World. 1.3 Our Evolutionary Impact Beth Shapiro / Professor of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology at University of California, Santa Cruz and author of Life as We Made It. 1.4 Civilization and Extinction Elizabeth Kolbert / Staff writer for the New Yorker and the author, most recently, of Under a White Sky: The Nature of the Future. 1.5 ‘The science is as solid as it gets’ / Greta Thunberg 1.6 The Discovery of Climate Change Michael Oppenheimer / Atmospheric scientist, Princeton University’s Professor of Geosciences and International Affairs and long-time IPCC author. 1.7 Why Didn’t They Act? Naomi Oreskes / Professor of the History of Science and Affiliated Professor of Earth and Planetary Sciences at Harvard University. 1.8 Tipping Points and Feedback Loops Johan Rockström / Director of the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research and Professor at Potsdam University. 1.9 ‘This is the biggest story in the world’ / Greta Thunberg PART TWO / How Our Planet Is Changing 2.1 ‘The weather seems to be on steroids’ / Greta Thunberg 2.2 Heat Katharine Hayhoe / Endowed Chair and Distinguished Professor at Texas Tech University and author of Saving Us. 2.3 Methane and Other Gases Zeke Hausfather / Climate research lead at Stripe, research scientistat Berkeley Earth. 2.4 Air Pollution and Aerosols Bjørn H. Samset / Senior researcher at CICERO Centre for International Climate Research, an IPCC lead author, and expert on the effects of non-CO emissions. 2 2.5 Clouds Paulo Ceppi / Lecturer in climate science at the Grantham Institute and the Department of Physics at Imperial College London. 2.6 Arctic Warming and the Jet Stream Jennifer Francis / Senior scientist at the Woodwell Climate Research Center and formerly Research Professor in Marine and Coastal Sciences at Rutgers University. 2.7 Dangerous Weather Friederike Otto / Senior lecturer in Climate Science at the Grantham Instituteat Imperial College London and co-lead of World Weather Attribution. 2.8 ‘The snowball has been set in motion’ / Greta Thunberg 2.9 Droughts and Floods Kate Marvel / Climate scientist at the Columbia University Center for Climate Systems Research and the NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies. 2.10 Ice Sheets, Shelves and Glaciers Ricarda Winkelmann / Professor of Climate System Analysis at the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research and the University of Potsdam. 2.11 Warming Oceans and Rising Seas Stefan Rahmstorf / Head of Earth System Analysis at the Potsdam Institute and Professor of Physics of the Oceans at the University of Potsdam. 2.12 Acidification and Marine Ecosystems Hans-Otto Pörtner / Climatologist, physiologist, Professor and Head of the Department of Integrative Ecophysiology at the Alfred Wegener Institute.

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