AURELIO PECCEI An overview of a world in crisis—why the growing gap between the United States and Europe is a tragedy and what can be done now to stave off disaster „ The Jiasin Ah "Only the cooperation of all advanced peo- ples—East and West—can maintain the world system in a general direction of civilized de- velopment. This," the author writes, "is what this book is about." The Chasm Ahead is a brilliant and informed analysis of the menacing technological gap that now separates the United States and Europe—with what may eventually be dire consequences. Aurelio Peccei speaks not to the expert, who is already well aware this gap exists, but to the modern, open-minded general reader who desires a better under- standing of the problems of our time. Mr. Peccei first examines the state of affairs as technology increasingly separates America and Europe, using "technology" to mean the organized application and utilization of knowledge to make products, services, and techniques available in the market and to society in general. Next, he presents in per- spective the situation and ills of the entire world system, East-West, North-South. Lastly, the book outlines a new approach, to the macroproblems of our technological age—a courageous departure from current thinking (Continued on back flap) The Chasm Ahead A U R E L IO P E C C EI The Chasm Ahead THE MACMILLAN COMPANY COLLIER-MACMILLAN LTD., LONDON Copyright © 1969 by Aurelio Peccei All rights reserved. No part of this book may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, including photocopying, recording or by any information storage and retrieval system, without permission in writing from the Publisher. Library of Congress Catalog Card Number: 69-11395 First Printing The Macmillan Company Collier-Macmillan Canada Ltd., Toronto, Ontario Printed in the United States of America To Paola, Roberto and Riccardo, and Kiko, Jocie and Jean, and to their children and all their young friends Contents Acknowledgments xi Introduction xiii PART ONE The Cleavage Across the Atlantic i Chapter 1 The Technological Gap I Aftermath of the Technological Revolution I The Dispute about the Gap 6 Difficulty of Sizing up the Issue 10 The Gap in Computers 15 From Nuclear Energy to Aerospace and Telecommunications 18 The Greater United States Effort in Research and Development 24 Comparative Size and Productivity 26 Brain Training—and Draining 29 Facing the Gap 33 Chapter 2 The Meaning of the Gap 37 A Historical Parallel 37 The American Forward Stance 41 The Pessimistic View of Europe 55 A Metaphor for Our Times 62 vii CONTENTS Consequences of the Gap 68 Chapter 3 Principles for an Atlantic Strategy 73 A New Approach Is Required 73 The Principles of Priority and Interdependence 77 The Role of the United States 80 The Role of Europe 89 The Principle of Leadership 96 PART TWO The World in Convulsion 103 Chapter 4 Between Explosion and Convergence 103 The New Divisive Forces 103 Which Way the Soviet Union? 118 The Emergence of "One World" 135 Chapter 5 A Tidal Wave of Global Problems 159 Urban Problems—Not the Largest 159 The Dramatic Race Between Population and Food 164 The Unmet Demand for Economic Development 176 The Necessity of Building a Second World 193 The Immense Challenge of Education 197 The Progressive Degradation of Our Ecosystem 203 Global Dimensions to Our Thinking 211 PART THREE The Great Change of Direction 219