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THE CARRERA REVOLT AND ‘HYBRID WARFARE’ IN NINETEENTH-CENTURY CENTRAL AMERICA Gilmar Visoni-Alonzo The Carrera Revolt and ‘Hybrid Warfare’ in Nineteenth-Century Central America Gilmar Visoni-Alonzo The Carrera Revolt and ‘Hybrid Warfare’ in Nineteenth- Century Central America Gilmar Visoni-Alonzo City University of New York Bayside, NY, USA ISBN 978-3-319-58340-2 ISBN 978-3-319-58341-9 (eBook) DOI 10.1007/978-3-319-58341-9 Library of Congress Control Number: 2017940827 © The Editor(s) (if applicable) and The Author(s) 2017 This work is subject to copyright. All rights are solely and exclusively licensed by the Publisher, whether the whole or part of the material is concerned, specifically the rights of translation, reprinting, reuse of illustrations, recitation, broadcasting, reproduction on microfilms or in any other physical way, and transmission or information storage and retrieval, electronic adaptation, computer software, or by similar or dissimilar methodology now known or hereafter developed. The use of general descriptive names, registered names, trademarks, service marks, etc. in this publication does not imply, even in the absence of a specific statement, that such names are exempt from the relevant protective laws and regulations and therefore free for general use. The publisher, the authors and the editors are safe to assume that the advice and information in this book are believed to be true and accurate at the date of publication. Neither the publisher nor the authors or the editors give a warranty, express or implied, with respect to the material contained herein or for any errors or omissions that may have been made. The publisher remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations. Cover illustration: Pattern adapted from an Indian cotton print produced in the 19th century Printed on acid-free paper This Palgrave Macmillan imprint is published by Springer Nature The registered company is Springer International Publishing AG The registered company address is: Gewerbestrasse 11, 6330 Cham, Switzerland C ontents 1 Introduction 1 2 Defining Guerrilla Warfare 11 3 Background to the Carrera Uprising 47 4 From Popular Insurrection to Full-Scale War 77 5 Conclusion 99 Index 105 v CHAPTER 1 Introduction Abstract Rafael Carrera was a pivotal figure in the political development of Guatemala and Central American republics during their formative period following independence from Spain in 1821. In 1837 he led a revolt that in the long run led to the dissolution of the Central American Federation. While traditional historiography portrays Carrera as a guer- rilla leader, analysis of the actions of his forces during the insurrection points towards a form of hybrid warfare, a type of combat that combines classical guerrilla recruiting tactics and rural insurgency logistics with mostly conventional combat tactics and operations. Keywords Rafael carrera · Guerrilla war · Hybrid warfare The history of Central America in the aftermath of its independence from Spain is a history of incessant political and armed conflict. While the social, economic, cultural, and political aspects of these conflicts have been amply studied, the nature of warfare during this critical period is vaguely understood.1 In the specific case of Guatemala, the insurrection led by Rafael Carrera (1851–1865) from 1837 to 1840, a turning point in the history of Central America, has been the object of significant histo- riographical research.2 However, inquiry into the nature of tactics, opera- tions and strategies of the conflict is quite superficial, despite the fact that there are a number of detailed accounts of specific actions that took place © The Author(s) 2017 1 G. Visoni-Alonzo, The Carrera Revolt and ‘Hybrid Warfare’ in Nineteenth-Century Central America, DOI 10.1007/978-3-319-58341-9_1 2 G. VISONI-ALONZO during the conflict. The “Rebelión de Mita,” as its contemporaries called it,3 is often portrayed as a popular uprising where a mass of undisciplined peasants, led by untrained commanders, achieved victory through the use of guerrilla tactics.4 An alternative analysis of the memoires of General Rafael Carrera (as well as other contemporary accounts and documents) provides a different view of the campaign that led to the establishment of this caudillo as the dominant figure of Central American politics for 25 years. The purpose of this work is not to revisit or reassess the political, social, economic, cultural, or structural causes of the revolt but rather to examine the purely military framework of the insurrection; the approach of the present study is not causal but rather phenomenological. It is our aim to show that while the uprising began as a spontaneous and poorly organized peasant revolt, the struggle soon evolved into a full-scale insur- rection in which the rebel armies adopted a malleable, hybrid approach to warfare. The account of the conflict written by Rafael Carrera5 and the official dispatches from the authorities and officers in the field allow us to trace the genesis and development of a peculiar approach to war, a type of warfare that combined guerrilla recruiting tactics and rural insurgency logistics with conventional combat tactics and operations. It was this stra- tegic paradigm, a type of hybrid approach to war and insurgency, that enabled Carrera to raise a fighting force, repel repeated attacks, survive devastating defeats, elude pursuing columns, reconstitute his forces, and, ultimately, overpower his enemies on the battlefield and bring down the Guatemalan Liberal government in what can be qualified as a vertiginous campaign rather than a long war of attrition typical of most insurgencies. A re-examination of the 1837–1840 campaigns also offers us the oppor- tunity to reassess the nature of internal warfare across the Americas during the formative period of the new nation states. The concept of “hybrid warfare” is one that enjoys popularity in military and intelligence circles these days. According to Marine officer Frank Hoffman the concept first appeared in Marine Corps circles in the mid 2000s in reference to what they envisioned as the multi-modal mil- itary threats of the future.6 The actual term appears in Department of Defense documents in 2006, and is subsequently used in strategic plan- ning documents from the U.S. Navy, the U.S. Army, and the Marine Corps.7 From Hoffman’s perspective the term “hybrid warfare” refers to war fought on multiple levels of engagement being applied simul- taneously; a concept that, as he acknowledges, builds upon the notion of “compound warfare,” an earlier theoretical model formulated by 1 INTRODUCTION 3 Thomas Huber in 1996. Huber defines “compound warfare” as “the simultaneous use of a regular or main force and an irregular or guerrilla force against an enemy. In other words, the compound warfare (CW) operator increases his military leverage by applying both conventional and unconventional force at the same time.”8 Huber cites the American War of Independence, the War of Spanish Independence, Mao Zedong’s campaigns, and the Vietnam War as examples of this type of warfare.9 Compound warfare is utilized by a lesser power when most of its terri- tory is controlled by the enemy, and one of its main advantages is that it forces “the enemy to both mass and disperse at the same time.”10 The irregular element in a “compound war” keeps the enemy off balance by cutting off communications, attacking supply lines, and forcing its forces to spread its resources; the regular element, on the other hand, can draw attention away from the irregular forces, can provide training, funds, and supplies to them, and can provide strategic stability to the struggle. Huber’s concept presupposes the existence of two different forces united by a common strategy but acting differently at the operational and tac- tical level. Under this model, guerrilla forces are complementary to an overall strategic objective that can only be achieved with the employ- ment of conventional forces. According to Robert Baumann, the con- cept of “compound warfare” can function both as a strategic approach in the form of prescriptive analysis (a Jominian view) and as a theoreti- cal construct that explains historical instances of war (a Clausewitzian view).11 However, given all the variables of the historical process, Baumann warns of the dangers of using “compound warfare” as a pre- dictive model.12 The model simply adds a dimension of understanding to a “flexible framework” of analysis that incorporates many variables. While the concept of “compound warfare” views combat as a dichoto- mous action (involving regular and irregular forces acting concurrently and synchronously), Hoffman’s concept of “hybrid warfare” is far more complex since it looks at war as a multilayered phenomenon. This is how he defines the concept: Hybrid threats incorporate a full range of different modes of warfare including conventional capabilities, irregular tactics and formations, terror- ist acts including discriminate violence and coercion, and criminal disorder. Hybrid Wars can be conducted by both states and a variety of non-state actors. These multi-modal activities can be conducted by separate units, or even by the same unit, but are generally operationally and tactically 4 G. VISONI-ALONZO directed and coordinated within the main psychological dimensions of conflict. The effects can be gained at all levels of war. At the strategic level, many wars have had regular and irregular compo- nents. However, in most conflicts, these components occurred in differ- ent theaters or in distinctly different formations. In Hybrid Wars, these forces become blurred into the same battlespace. While they are opera- tionally integrated and tactically fused, the irregular component of the force attempts to become operationally decisive rather than just protract the conflict, provoke overreactions or extend the costs of security for the defender.13 Hoffman’s definition is constructed based on his observation of recent conflicts, in particular the 2006 confrontation between Hezbollah and Israel.14 While keeping a historical perspective in mind, he is trying to provide a model that can help understand the military trends that are emerging in the twenty first century. His aim is not merely academic but it is rather geared towards the formulation of political doctrine. His concept of hybrid warfare seeks to provide a theoretical framework that enables us to understand contemporary conflicts like the Sunni insurrection against U.S. forces in Iraq, the secessionist movements in Abkhazia and South Ossetia, and, more recently, the Russian annexa- tion of the Crimea,15 and the “current conflict in the Ukraine between the pro-Western nationalist government and the pro-Russian seces- sionist rebels.”16 The Carrera revolt of 1837 is very much a nineteenth century phenomenon, and it is in many ways typical of other popular revolts of the pre-industrial period.17 However, some elements of the “hybrid warfare” paradigm inform our understanding of the dynamics behind Carrera’s success during his relatively short insurgent campaign, Hoffman’s distinction between “compound wars,” conflicts where regular forces coordinate with irregular forces, and “Hybrid Wars.” The insurrection of Rafael Carrera does not fit perfectly into the contempo- rary conception of “Hybrid Wars,” but it is a hybrid form of combat; it is a form of military conflict that adopts different modalities of engagement and varied degrees of intensity according to the circumstances. A close examination of the 1837 Rebellion of Mita shows that while the initial uprising was spontaneous, aimless, and disorganized, the conflict soon adopted a pattern where Carrera’s army acted alternately (and some- times synchronously) as conventional forces and as guerrillas. By force 1 INTRODUCTION 5 of necessity Carrera adopted a strategy that sought to defeat the enemy (the Liberal government of Guatemala and later the Federal forces of President Francisco Morazán) on the open battlefield whenever possi- ble, but also relied on guerrilla tactics of harassment, ambush, sabotage, hit-and-run attacks, and popular agitation when facing superior forces, lack of resources, a vulnerable strategic position, or an uncertain politi- cal environment. Carrera was able to engage in conventional and uncon- ventional tactics, to conduct large scale conventional campaigns designed to force political outcomes, and to mount small scale actions aimed at achieving a localized operational advantage. He was able to sustain a struggle that lasted 3 years with an extremely limited amount of eco- nomic resources by taking advantage of local popular support and by tar- geting those whom he considered his ideological enemies. Carrera made a masterful use of religion as a psychological component to his strategy and a source of moral strength for his troops, but at the same time used intimidation and brutal violence to eliminate dissent and insure the sta- bility of his base of support. He fought in rugged torrid mountains, in temperate forests, in cold highlands, and in labyrinthine urban environ- ments. From a military perspective, the vertiginous and successful war waged by Rafael Carrera between 1837 and 1838 cannot be explained solely as a guerrilla conflict, as a mass peasant revolt, as a rural insurgent movement, or even as a “compound war.” One of the aims of this work is to show that, given Carrera’s use of different modalities of combat, the transmutation of his forces from regular to irregular, and his modulation of combat intensity, the conflict can be categorized as a form of hybrid warfare even if it does not exactly fit the current definitions of the term. Another aim of the present work is to show that while Carrera’s rise and eventual political success was the product of complex politi- cal, social-economic, cultural, and geographic circumstances, the deci- sive factor for his victory was a military one, and it was anchored on his ability to conduct a different form of warfare from that of his enemies. Without the use of a very malleable form of warfare that amalgamated elements of guerrilla and conventional combat, Carrera’s victory seems quite improbable. The celerity of political change and the fluidity of the military situation in Central America during the post-independence period meant that a rebel like Carrera could not afford to wage a pro- tracted war of attrition, a long and debilitating guerrilla war. Conversely, he and his ragamuffin followers could not (at least initially) fight a full- scale conventional conflict. It was Carrera’s ability to alternate and blend

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