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The British Labour Government and the 1976 IMF Crisis PDF

283 Pages·1997·13.008 MB·English
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The British Labour Government and the 1976 IMF Crisis Mark D. Harmon THE BRITISH LABOUR GOVERNMENT AND THE 1976 IMF CRISIS This page intentionally left blank The British Labour Government and the 1976 IMF Crisis Mark D. Harmon Assistant Professor of Politics University of California at Santa Cruz California First published in Great Britain 1997 by flfl MACMILLAN PRESS LTD Houndmills, Basingstoke, Hampshire RG21 6XS and London Companies and representatives throughout the world A catalogue record for this book is available from the British Library. ISBN 0-333-67818-4 First published in the United States of America 1997 by & ST. MARTIN'S PRESS, INC., Scholarly and Reference Division, 175 Fifth Avenue, New York, N.Y. 10010 ISBN 0-312-17624-4 Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data Harmon, Mark D. The British labour government and the 1976 IMF crisis / Mark D. Harmon, p. cm. Includes bibliographical references and index. ISBN 0-312-17624-4 1. Monetary policy—Great Britain. 2. Great Britain—Economic policy—1945- 3. Great Britain—Politics and government—1964-1979. 4. International Monetary Fund. I. Title. HG939.5.H257 1997 332.4*941—dc21 97-8582 CIP © Mark D. Harmon 1997 All rights reserved. No reproduction, copy or transmission of this publication may be made without written permission. No paragraph of this publication may be reproduced, copied or transmitted save with written permission or in accordance with the provisions of the Copyright, Designs and Patents Act 1988, or under the terms of any licence permitting limited copying issued by the Copyright Licensing Agency, 90 Tottenham Court Road, London W1P 9HE. Any person who does any unauthorised act in relation to this publication may be liable to criminal prosecution and civil claims for damages. The author has asserted his right to be identified as the author of this work in accordance with the Copyright, Designs and Patents Act 1988. This book is printed on paper suitable for recycling and made from fully managed and sustained forest sources. 10 9 8 7 6 54 3 21 06 05 04 03 02 01 00 99 98 97 Printed and bound in Great Britain by Antony Rowe Ltd, Chippenham, Wiltshire Contents List of Figures vi List of Tables vii Preface and Acknowledgements ix 1 Sovereignty, Regimes, and 'Cooperation' 1 2 IMF Conditionality and the United Kingdom, 1944-70: 'My appeal was essentially based on bogus dignity' 20 3 New Directions for Labour, 1970-74: 'We Must in the Future Alter the Priorities in Favour of Economic Growth' 48 4 Burden-Sharing and Loosened Conditionality, 1974-75: 'The Nature of What Constitutes a Sustainable Balance of Payments has been Radically Changed' 62 5 Labour Economic Policy, March 1974 - May 1975: 'A Phoney Phase' 79 6 Labour Economic Policy, June 1975 - March 1976: 'We Knew we were Riding a Crisis' 101 7 Burden-Shifting and Tightened Conditionality, 1975-76: 'The Practice of Financing the Status Quo is Coming to an End' 121 8 Currency Crisis and Restricted Policy Options, March-August 1976: Opening 'Pandora's Box' 131 9 Driven to the IMF, September-November 1976: 'The Market's Verdicts are Merciless and Effective' 158 10 Crisis Resolution, December 1976 - January 1977: 'It is Mad but we have No Alternative' 193 11 Conclusion 228 Notes 234 Bibliography 245 Index 263 v List of Figures 5.1 UK currency reserves, 1974-75 89 5.2 Bank of England exchange market intervention, 1974-75 90 6.1 UK currency reserves 1975-76 115 6.2 UK current account deficit 1974-76 116 6.3 Sterling-dollar exchange rate 1975-76 118 6.4 UK Minimum Lending Rate 1975-76 119 8.1 Sterling exchange rate 1976 132 8.2 UK currency reserves 1976-77 137 8.3 Bank of England exchange market intervention 1975-76 138 8.4 UK Minimum Lending Rate 1976 141 9.1 Sterling-dollar exchange rate 1976-77 160 VI List of Tables 4.1 IMF borrowing for the 1974 and 1975 oil facilities 68 5.1 General election results, February 1974 80 5.2 General election results, October 1974 82 8.1 Labour Party leadership elections, March-April 1976 134 10.1 Summary of Healey and Witteveen negotiating positions, December 1976 195 10.2 1977-78 and 1978-79 public expenditure savings, announced, 15 December 1976 219 vn This page intentionally left blank Preface and Acknowledgments There were essentially two factors that led to my initial interest in the 1976 UK-IMF crisis. As a graduate student in international relations seminars, I became convinced that many of the external influences on state action that are presented within the literature as 'international cooperation' are more accurately described and understood as relations of coercion. Accordingly, I began this project looking for a case in which I could explore the nature of 'structural power' in contempo rary international affairs, including the ways in which choices are framed and possibilities foreclosed. In addition, I was interested in examining the conflict between economic liberalism and social democracy as a way to understand why left-of-center governments in advanced indus trial states so frequently are unable to sustain themselves in power; this case study allowed me to examine closely a left-of-center government's accommodation to external pressures for policy change at the expense of the interests of its domestic supporters. While working on this project, I incurred numerous debts and obli gations that I would like to acknowledge. For funding my research in Europe, I am grateful to have received a Pre-Dissertation Fellowship from the Council for European Studies, a Grant-in-Aid of Research from the Mellon-West European Studies Program at Yale, and a Dis sertation Research Support Grant funded jointly by the Yale Center for International and Area Studies and the Council of West European Studies Mellon Fund. I was fortunate to have received a Mellon Fellowship administered through the Institute for Social and Policy Studies at Yale, and I am also grateful for a travel grant from the Gerald Ford Founda tion. I also acknowledge varying levels of research support from Yale University and from the University of California at Santa Cruz. I have benefited enormously from the assistance of numerous librar ians and archivists. At Yale, Sue Lorimer, JoAnn Dionne, Judy Carnes, and Maureen Malone-Jones answered my frequent questions quickly and cheerfully. Karen Holzhausen and Diane Windham Shaw, archi vists at the Ford Presidential Library and at the David Bishop Skillman Library at Lafayette College respectively, were extremely helpful, as was Stephen Bird at the Labour Party's archives in London. I also wish to acknowledge my gratitude to Mary Wood and the staff at the Library of the Royal Institute of International Affairs. I am extremely IX

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