i The Belt and Road Initiative The Belt and Road Initiative (hereafter BRI) of China has attracted world- wide attention and participation, causing a lot of debate over its implications for international society. Although it is still in a budding stage, the BRI seems to afford a framework for an increasing number of countries to explore jointly new international economic governance mechanisms and offer significant opportunities for them to cope jointly with global challenges. Taking a glo- balization perspective and tracking the ancient silk roads, this book tries to examine the general context in which the BRI is raised and implemented, arguing that this Chinese initiative, instead of replacing existing international cooperation mechanisms, is a call for the reform and development of neo- liberal globalization and will open up a new era of inclusive globalization. Inclusive globalization is neither an overturning nor a simple continuation of neoliberal globalization but rather a proposal capable of addressing the problems of existing globalization. The difference between them lies in the fact that globalization cannot only serve the “spatial fix” of capital but also has to meet the needs of living people. The book also addresses a number of major issues on building the Belt and Road and contains Chinese media’s interviews with the author on various BRI issues. Given the author has been intensively involved in the study of and planning for the BRI, the book offers a valuable academic insight into this Chinese initiative. Weidong Liu is a professor in Economic Geography at the Institute of Geographical Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences. His research interests include regional development and regional policy, foreign direct investment (FDI), multinational corporations (MNCs), Global Production Network (GPN), the automobile industry, and the Belt and Road Initiative of China. His previous publications include The Geographical Transformation of China (Routledge, 2015). ii China Perspectives The China Perspectives series focuses on translating and publishing works by leading Chinese scholars, writing about both global topics and China- related themes. It covers Humanities & Social Sciences, Education, Media and Psychology, as well as many interdisciplinary themes. This is the first time any of these books have been published in English for international readers. The series aims to put forward a Chinese perspec- tive, give insights into cutting-e dge academic thinking in China, and inspire researchers globally. Titles on economics include: The Belt and Road Initiative A Pathway towards Inclusive Globalization Weidong Liu Regulating Effect of Tax on Chinese National Income Distribution GUO Qingwang, LV Bingyang, YUE Ximing Internationalization of the RMB Establishment and Development of RMB Offshore Markets International Monetary Institute of the RUC Chinese Macroeconomic Operation Liu Shucheng The Chinese Path to Economic Dual Transformation Li Yining Hyperinflation A World History Liping He For more information, please visit www.routledge.com/ series/ CPH ii i The Belt and Road Initiative A Pathway towards Inclusive Globalization Weidong Liu iv This book is published with financial support from the Chinese Fund for the Humanities and Social Sciences First published in English 2019 by Routledge 2 Park Square, Milton Park, Abingdon, Oxon OX14 4RN and by Routledge 52 Vanderbilt Avenue, New York, NY 10017 Routledge is an imprint of the Taylor & Francis Group, an informa business © 2019 Weidong Liu Translated by Wu Qiaofang 伍巧芳, polished by Michael Dunford The right of Weidong Liu to be identified as author of this work has been asserted by him in accordance with sections 77 and 78 of the Copyright, Designs and Patents Act 1988. All rights reserved. No part of this book may be reprinted or reproduced or utilised in any form or by any electronic, mechanical, or other means, now known or hereafter invented, including photocopying and recording, or in any information storage or retrieval system, without permission in writing from the publishers. Trademark notice: Product or corporate names may be trademarks or registered trademarks, and are used only for identification and explanation without intent to infringe. English version by permission of The Commercial Press. British Library Cataloguing- in- Publication Data A catalogue record for this book is available from the British Library Library of Congress Cataloging- in- Publication Data A catalog record has been requested for this book ISBN: 978- 1- 138- 33160- 0 (hbk) ISBN: 978- 0- 429- 44722- 8 (ebk) Typeset in Times New Roman by Newgen Publishing UK v Contents List of figures vi List of tables viii Acknowledgments ix Preface xi 1 The Silk Road and the Silk Road Spirit 1 2 Economic globalization and its limitations 19 3 General context of the Belt and Road Initiative 42 4 Understanding the Belt and Road Initiative 60 5 Issues on how to build the Belt and Road 73 Appendix 1: Relevant essays 85 Appendix 2: Relevant interviews 134 References 164 Index 167 vi Figures 1.1 Ancient Silk Road in the Han dynasty 8 1.2 Ancient Silk Road in the Tang and Song dynasties 12 1.3 Ancient Silk Road in the Yuan and Ming dynasties 14 2.1 Proportion of world trade in world GDP from 1870 to 1938 24 2.2 Proportion of foreign direct investment in world GDP from 1870 to 1995 24 2.3 World GDP growth rate and export growth rate 33 2.4 World GDP and export growth 34 2.5 Growth of exports and foreign direct investment in the world 35 2.6 Five continents’ share of world’s total GDP from 1980 to 2013 38 3.1 Distribution of GDP in major countries 44 3.2 Distribution of export size in major countries 45 3.3 Changes in the world economic landscape (1700– 1950) 46 3.4 Changes in the proportion of China’s total economic output (GDP) accounting for the world’s total from 1700 to 2015 47 3.5 Schematic diagram of the world structure 48 3.6 Growth trends of China’s energy consumption and carbon emissions from 1990 to 2015 50 3.7 Export and foreign investment growth of China from 2002 to 2015 51 3.8 Export and foreign investment growth of advanced economies from 1985 to 2000 52 3.9 Growth rate of China’s foreign trade, foreign investment, and foreign direct investment from 1990 to 2014 54 3.10 Growth index of China’s foreign trade, attracted foreign investment, and foreign direct investment from 1990 to 2014 54 A.1 Changes in the world economic landscape (1700– 1950) 89 A.2 Changes in the proportion of China’s total economic output (GDP) accounting for the world’s total from 1750 to 2013 90 A.3 Export and foreign investment growth of China 91 A.4 Export and foreign investment growth of advanced economies 92 A.5 Distribution of GDP in major countries 109 vi i Figures vii A.6 Changes in the proportion of China’s total economic output (GDP) accounting for the world’s total 110 A.7 Evolution of capital mobility 120 A.8 World economic growth (three- year moving averages, 1961– 2016) 123 viii Tables 2.1 Share (%) of major industrial countries in world industry and world trade from 1820 to 1870 22 2.2 Important international economic organizations and institutional framework agreements after the war 26 A.1 Share of major industrialized countries in world industrial production and trade, 1820– 1870 (%) 119 ix Acknowledgments The author, Weidong Liu, acknowledges the support of the Chinese Academy of Sciences (XDA20010100) and the China National Natural Science Foundation (41530751) for the research related to the book, and wishes to extend special thanks to Michael Dunford for his help with the editing of the English of the translated manuscript. However, the author remains respon- sible for any errors in the book.