Danielle Attias Editor The Automobile Revolution Towards a New Electro-Mobility Paradigm The Automobile Revolution Danielle Attias Editor The Automobile Revolution Towards a New Electro-Mobility Paradigm 123 Editor Danielle Attias Laboratoire GenieIndustriel, CentraleSupélec UniversitéParis-Saclay Chatenay-Malabry France ISBN978-3-319-45837-3 ISBN978-3-319-45838-0 (eBook) DOI 10.1007/978-3-319-45838-0 LibraryofCongressControlNumber:2016952508 ©SpringerInternationalPublishingSwitzerland2017 Thisworkissubjecttocopyright.AllrightsarereservedbythePublisher,whetherthewholeorpart of the material is concerned, specifically the rights of translation, reprinting, reuse of illustrations, recitation, broadcasting, reproduction on microfilms or in any other physical way, and transmission orinformationstorageandretrieval,electronicadaptation,computersoftware,orbysimilarordissimilar methodologynowknownorhereafterdeveloped. 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Printedonacid-freepaper ThisSpringerimprintispublishedbySpringerNature TheregisteredcompanyisSpringerInternationalPublishingAG Theregisteredcompanyaddressis:Gewerbestrasse11,6330Cham,Switzerland Preface Electro mobility is a general global trend, since it corresponds to converging expectationsregardingtheenvironmentandsocietyatthesametimeasinstitutions, communitiesandcompaniesundergoadigitaltransformation.Electricvehicleswill be connected vehicles, once again due to the increasingly clear convergence between information and energy networks, opening the way towards shared objectives of autonomy, reliability and security. It is already obvious that the new generation of electric vehicles cannot be devised, designed and manufactured in the same way as conventional electrified vehicles, not least because the current revolution in terms of how we perceive vehicles and their new uses requires a totally new approach to electric vehicles’ architecture, structure, modularity and operation and their interactions with the outside world, until they gradually become autonomous. Atthesametime,carmakersarefacingrapidtechnologicalchange,especiallyin terms of equipment, energy storage, broadband communications and artificial intelligence, sometimes within time frames that are much shorter than the duration of a project. As a result, they have to design upgradeable electric cars capable of easily integrating new physical and software technologies. Innovation therefore becomes crucial to compete with other carmakers, as well as with “new entrants” from the domain of information technology. It goes without saying that for traditional carmakers, which have nevertheless experienced one or several industrial revolutions including the arrival of robots in their factories, the current revolution is totally different. This is partly because it callsintoquestiontheactualpurposeoftheirproductionaswellastheirpositioning inmobilityvaluechains,whereservicesarelikelytoincreasinglyrepresentalarger share than products. New economic models for electro mobility are emerging; major changes are taking place in the car industry, with a rising proportion of mobility service activities. What will the car of the future be like? Hybrid, intelligent, autonomous, driverless, but without doubt a shared car for user communities whose primary requirementsaretime,securityandtravelcomfort.Cantheautonomouscarmeetall of these challenges? Clearly, carmakers will need to outsource information and v vi Preface communication activities to increase their companies’ in-house flexibility and agility. This is because it is vital to create the conditions for fostering collective intelligence and to form a learning/unlearning hotbed to stimulate innovation. For traditionalcarmakers,thefuturewillinvolveamobilityrevolutioncombinedwitha cultural revolution of the entire automotive industry. However, carmakers should retain their own, clearly defined identity as they set out to tackle these new challenges. In my view, the work presented in this publication makes a pertinent contri- bution to the debate and thinking process behind the current revolution. Paris, France Sylvain Allano Acknowledgments ThisbookistheresultofresearchcarriedoutoverseveralyearswithintheArmand Peugeot Research Chair. I would like to thank Mr. Sylvain Allano, Chief Scientist for Future Technologies at PSA Peugeot-Citroën, for his expertise, his confidence and his precious help to continue our work, to Mr. Jean-Marc Mousset, Head of Industrial Academy and Training Projects, for his enlightening points of view and his requirement from us ‘to outperform’, and also to all those teams of PSA Peugeot-Citroën for the time they spent with us, helping us through fruitful exchanges and enriching our knowledge. My gratitude also goes to Hakim Idjis, Researcher atthe Industrial Engineering Laboratory at CentraleSupélec, who helped by his invaluable assistance in this writing project. vii Contents 1 Introduction... .... .... ..... .... .... .... .... .... ..... .... 1 Danielle Attias Part I The Emergence of a New Mobility Paradigm 2 The Automobile World in a State of Change . .... .... ..... .... 7 Danielle Attias 3 The New Mobility Paradigm. Transformation of Value Chain and Value Proposition Through Innovations.... ..... .... 21 Guy Fournier 4 How Public Policies Can Pave the Way for a New Sustainable Urban Mobility? .... .... .... .... ..... .... 49 Danielle Attias and Sylvie Mira-Bonnardel Part II A Mobility Revolution at the Dawn of a Societal Revolution 5 Extending the Scope of Partnerships in the Automotive Industry Between Competition and Cooperation .. .... ..... .... 69 Danielle Attias and Sylvie Mira-Bonnardel 6 Smart Cities and Smart Mobilities.. .... .... .... .... ..... .... 87 Patrice Geoffron 7 The Autonomous Car, a Disruptive Business Model?... ..... .... 99 Danielle Attias PartIII TechnicalChallengestoOvercomeTowardsElectromobility 8 Is Electric Vehicles Battery Recovery a Source of Cost or Profit?.... .... .... .... .... .... ..... .... 117 Hakim Idjis and Pascal da Costa ix x Contents 9 Transmission System Operator Regulation for Electric Vehicle Fleets: A Survey of the Issues... .... .... .... ..... .... 135 Yannick Perez and Marc Petit 10 Conclusion.... .... .... ..... .... .... .... .... .... ..... .... 147 Danielle Attias Chapter 1 Introduction Danielle Attias Of one thing we can be certain: the evolution towards electro mobility will be a revolution. Imagining the mobility needs of tomorrow means taking into account multiple factors regarding energy, the environment, socio-economics, politics and technology, in a context of social transformation that stretches far beyond the automotive industry. Thereareoftencontradictoryhypothesesthatattempttoexplaintheevolutionof mobility over the next 20 years. Technological and economic uncertainties aside, themostwidelyacceptedclaimisthatthedevelopmentofelectromobilitywillnot only cause a complete disruption of urban mobility services for the movement of users, but also a change in behavior and the positions of the different players (manufacturers, energy companies, computer scientists and public authorities). Far from wanting to pretend to answer all these questions which we do not yet measuretheextent,wehavechosentoleadamultidisciplinaryreflectionthatallows us to highlight different issues related to various disciplines. Economics, manage- ment science, social sciences and engineering sciences are summoned in this book inordertoenlightenthisnewconceptofelectromobility.Thisbookisorganizedin three main parts. Thefirstpartofthisbookquestionstheemergenceofanewmobilityparadigm. What are the signs which highlight this disruption? How do we analyze the upheavaloftheautomotiveindustryandwhydoestheautonomouscarappearnow? What will be the place of each actor and newcomers in the transformation of the valuechain?Whydoesthegovernmentinvestworldwidethisnewfieldofmobility and what are the economic, social and financial implications of their actions? D.Attias(&) IndustrialEngineeringResearchDepartment/LaboratoireGénieIndustriel, CentraleSupélec,UniversitéParis-Saclay,GrandeVoiedesVignes,92290 Chatenay-Malabry,France e-mail:[email protected] ©SpringerInternationalPublishingSwitzerland2017 1 D.Attias(ed.),TheAutomobileRevolution,DOI10.1007/978-3-319-45838-0_1