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The Analysis of Covariance and Alternatives: Statistical Methods for Experiments, Quasi-Experiments, and Single-Case Studies, Second Edition PDF

668 Pages·2011·12.084 MB·English
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P1:OTA/XYZ P2:ABC JWBS074-fm JWBS074-Huitema September7,2011 15:49 PrinterName:YettoCome The Analysis of Covariance and Alternatives i P1:OTA/XYZ P2:ABC JWBS074-fm JWBS074-Huitema September7,2011 15:49 PrinterName:YettoCome WILEYSERIESINPROBABILITYANDSTATISTICS EstablishedbyWALTERA.SHEWHARTandSAMUELS.WILKS Editors:DavidJ.Balding,NoelA.C.Cressie,GarrettM.Fitzmaurice, HarveyGoldstein,IainM.Johnstone,GeertMolenberghs,DavidW.Scott, AdrianF.M.Smith,RueyS.Tsay,SanfordWeisberg EditorsEmeriti:VicBarnett,J.StuartHunter,JosephB.Kadane,JozefL.Teugels Acompletelistofthetitlesinthisseriesappearsattheendofthisvolume. ii P1:OTA/XYZ P2:ABC JWBS074-fm JWBS074-Huitema September7,2011 15:49 PrinterName:YettoCome The Analysis of Covariance and Alternatives Statistical Methods for Experiments, Quasi-Experiments, and Single-Case Studies Second Edition BRADLEYE.HUITEMA DepartmentofPsychology WesternMichiganUniversity Kalamazoo,Michigan AJOHNWILEYANDSONS,INC.,PUBLICATION iii P1:OTA/XYZ P2:ABC JWBS074-fm JWBS074-Huitema September7,2011 15:49 PrinterName:YettoCome Copyright©2011byJohnWiley&Sons,Inc.Allrightsreserved. PublishedbyJohnWiley&Sons,Inc.,Hoboken,NewJersey. PublishedsimultaneouslyinCanada Nopartofthispublicationmaybereproduced,storedinaretrievalsystem,ortransmittedinanyformor byanymeans,electronic,mechanical,photocopying,recording,scanning,orotherwise,exceptas permittedunderSection107or108ofthe1976UnitedStatesCopyrightAct,withouteithertheprior writtenpermissionofthePublisher,orauthorizationthroughpaymentoftheappropriateper-copyfeeto theCopyrightClearanceCenter,Inc.,222RosewoodDrive,Danvers,MA01923,(978)750-8400, fax(978)750-4470,oronthewebatwww.copyright.com.RequeststothePublisherforpermission shouldbeaddressedtothePermissionsDepartment,JohnWiley&Sons,Inc.,111RiverStreet,Hoboken, NJ07030,(201)748-6011,fax(201)748-6008,oronlineathttp://www.wiley.com/go/permission. LimitofLiability/DisclaimerofWarranty:Whilethepublisherandauthorhaveusedtheirbesteffortsin preparingthisbook,theymakenorepresentationsorwarrantieswithrespecttotheaccuracyor completenessofthecontentsofthisbookandspecificallydisclaimanyimpliedwarrantiesof merchantabilityorfitnessforaparticularpurpose.Nowarrantymaybecreatedorextendedbysales representativesorwrittensalesmaterials.Theadviceandstrategiescontainedhereinmaynotbesuitable foryoursituation.Youshouldconsultwithaprofessionalwhereappropriate.Neitherthepublishernor authorshallbeliableforanylossofprofitoranyothercommercialdamages,includingbutnotlimitedto special,incidental,consequential,orotherdamages. Forgeneralinformationonourotherproductsandservicesorfortechnicalsupport,pleasecontactour CustomerCareDepartmentwithintheUnitedStatesat(800)762-2974,outsidetheUnitedStatesat (317)572-3993orfax(317)572-4002. Wileyalsopublishesitsbooksinavarietyofelectronicformats.Somecontentthatappearsinprintmay notbeavailableinelectronicformats.FormoreinformationaboutWileyproducts,visitourwebsiteat www.wiley.com LibraryofCongressCataloging-in-PublicationData: Huitema,BradleyE.,1938- Theanalysisofcovarianceandalternatives/BradleyHuitema.–2nded. p.cm.–(Wileyseriesinprobabilityandstatistics) Includesbibliographicalreferencesandindex. ISBN978-0-471-74896-0(cloth) 1. Analysisofcovariance. I. Title. QA279.H832011 519.5(cid:2)38–dc22 2010054174 PrintedintheUnitedStatesofAmerica oBookISBN:9781118067475 ePDFISBN:9781118067451 ePubISBN:9781118067468 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 iv P1:OTA/XYZ P2:ABC JWBS074-fm JWBS074-Huitema September7,2011 15:49 PrinterName:YettoCome For Betsy Craig Laura Alyssa Kathryn Justin Brad v P1:OTA/XYZ P2:ABC JWBS074-fm JWBS074-Huitema September7,2011 15:49 PrinterName:YettoCome Contents Preface xv PARTI BASICEXPERIMENTALDESIGNANDANALYSIS 1 ReviewofBasicStatisticalMethods 3 1.1 Introduction, 3 1.2 ElementaryStatisticalInference, 4 1.3 ElementaryStatisticalDecisionTheory, 7 1.4 EffectSize, 10 1.5 MeasuresofAssociation, 14 1.6 APracticalAlternativetoEffectSizesandMeasuresof AssociationThatIsRelevanttotheIndividual:p(Y >Y ), 17 Tx Control 1.7 GeneralizationofResults, 19 1.8 ControlofNuisanceVariation, 20 1.9 Software, 22 1.10 Summary, 24 2 ReviewofSimpleCorrelatedSamplesDesignsand AssociatedAnalyses 25 2.1 Introduction, 25 2.2 Two-LevelCorrelatedSamplesDesigns, 25 2.3 Software, 32 2.4 Summary, 32 3 ANOVABasicsforOne-FactorRandomizedGroup,Randomized Block,andRepeatedMeasurementDesigns 35 3.1 Introduction, 35 3.2 One-FactorRandomizedGroupDesignandAnalysis, 35 vii P1:OTA/XYZ P2:ABC JWBS074-fm JWBS074-Huitema September7,2011 15:49 PrinterName:YettoCome viii CONTENTS 3.3 One-FactorRandomizedBlockDesignandAnalysis, 51 3.4 One-FactorRepeatedMeasurementDesignandAnalysis, 56 3.5 Summary, 60 PARTII ESSENTIALSOFREGRESSIONANALYSIS 4 SimpleLinearRegression 63 4.1 Introduction, 63 4.2 ComparisonofSimpleRegressionandANOVA, 63 4.3 RegressionEstimation,Inference,andInterpretation, 68 4.4 DiagnosticMethods:IstheModelApt?, 80 4.5 Summary, 82 5 EssentialsofMultipleLinearRegression 85 5.1 Introduction, 85 5.2 MultipleRegression:Two-PredictorCase, 86 5.3 GeneralMultipleLinearRegression:mPredictors, 105 5.4 AlternativestoOLSRegression, 115 5.5 Summary, 119 PARTIII ESSENTIALSOFSIMPLEANDMULTIPLEANCOVA 6 One-FactorAnalysisofCovariance 123 6.1 Introduction, 123 6.2 AnalysisofCovarianceModel, 127 6.3 ComputationandRationale, 128 6.4 AdjustedMeans, 133 6.5 ANCOVAExample1:TrainingEffects, 140 6.6 TestingHomogeneityofRegressionSlopes, 144 6.7 ANCOVAExample2:SexualActivityReducesLifespan, 148 6.8 Software, 150 6.9 Summary, 157 7 AnalysisofCovarianceThroughLinearRegression 159 7.1 Introduction, 159 7.2 SimpleAnalysisofVarianceThroughLinearRegression, 159 7.3 AnalysisofCovarianceThroughLinearRegression, 172 7.4 ComputationofAdjustedMeans, 177 P1:OTA/XYZ P2:ABC JWBS074-fm JWBS074-Huitema September7,2011 15:49 PrinterName:YettoCome CONTENTS ix 7.5 SimilarityofANCOVAtoPartandPartialCorrelationMethods, 177 7.6 HomogeneityofRegressionTestThroughGeneralLinear Regression, 178 7.7 Summary, 179 8 AssumptionsandDesignConsiderations 181 8.1 Introduction, 181 8.2 StatisticalAssumptions, 182 8.3 DesignandDataIssuesRelatedtotheInterpretation ofANCOVA, 200 8.4 Summary, 213 9 MultipleComparisonTestsandConfidenceIntervals 215 9.1 Introduction, 215 9.2 OverviewofFourMultipleComparisonProcedures, 215 9.3 TestsonAllPairwiseComparisons:Fisher–Hayter, 216 9.4 AllPairwiseSimultaneousConfidenceIntervalsandTests: Tukey–Kramer, 219 9.5 PlannedPairwiseandComplexComparisons:Bonferroni, 222 9.6 AnyorAllComparisons:Scheffe´, 225 9.7 IgnoreMultipleComparisonProcedures?, 227 9.8 Summary, 228 10 MultipleCovarianceAnalysis 229 10.1 Introduction, 229 10.2 MultipleANCOVAThroughMultipleRegression, 232 10.3 TestingHomogeneityofRegressionPlanes, 234 10.4 ComputationofAdjustedMeans, 236 10.5 MultipleComparisonProceduresforMultipleANCOVA, 237 10.6 Software:MultipleANCOVAandAssociatedTukey–Kramer MultipleComparisonTestsUsingMinitab, 243 10.7 Summary, 246 PARTIV ALTERNATIVESFORASSUMPTIONDEPARTURES 11 Johnson–NeymanandPicked-PointsSolutions forHeterogeneousRegression 249 11.1 Introduction, 249 11.2 J–NandPPAMethodsforTwoGroups,OneCovariate, 251 11.3 ACommonMethodThatShouldBeAvoided, 269 P1:OTA/XYZ P2:ABC JWBS074-fm JWBS074-Huitema September7,2011 15:49 PrinterName:YettoCome x CONTENTS 11.4 Assumptions, 270 11.5 TwoGroups,MultipleCovariates, 272 11.6 MultipleGroups,OneCovariate, 277 11.7 AnyNumberofGroups,AnyNumberofCovariates, 278 11.8 Two-FactorDesigns, 278 11.9 InterpretationProblems, 279 11.10 MultipleDependentVariables, 281 11.11 NonlinearJohnson-NeymanAnalysis, 282 11.12 CorrelatedSamples, 282 11.13 RobustMethods, 282 11.14 Software, 283 11.15 Summary, 283 12 NonlinearANCOVA 285 12.1 Introduction, 285 12.2 DealingwithNonlinearity, 286 12.3 ComputationandExampleofFittingPolynomialModels, 288 12.4 Summary, 295 13 Quasi-ANCOVA:WhenTreatmentsAffectCovariates 297 13.1 Introduction, 297 13.2 Quasi-ANCOVAModel, 298 13.3 ComputationalExampleofQuasi-ANCOVA, 300 13.4 MultipleQuasi-ANCOVA, 304 13.5 ComputationalExampleofMultipleQuasi-ANCOVA, 304 13.6 Summary, 308 14 RobustANCOVA/RobustPickedPoints 311 14.1 Introduction, 311 14.2 RankANCOVA, 311 14.3 RobustGeneralLinearModel, 314 14.4 Summary, 320 15 ANCOVAforDichotomousDependentVariables 321 15.1 Introduction, 321 15.2 LogisticRegression, 323 15.3 LogisticModel, 324 15.4 DichotomousANCOVAThroughLogisticRegression, 325 P1:OTA/XYZ P2:ABC JWBS074-fm JWBS074-Huitema September7,2011 15:49 PrinterName:YettoCome CONTENTS xi 15.5 HomogeneityofWithin-GroupLogisticRegression, 328 15.6 MultipleCovariates, 328 15.7 MultipleComparisonTests, 330 15.8 ContinuousVersusForcedDichotomyResults, 331 15.9 Summary, 331 16 DesignswithOrderedTreatmentsandNoCovariates 333 16.1 Introduction, 333 16.2 Qualitative,Quantitative,andOrderedTreatmentLevels, 333 16.3 ParametricMonotoneAnalysis, 337 16.4 NonparametricMonotoneAnalysis, 346 16.5 ReversedOrdinalLogisticRegression, 350 16.6 Summary, 353 17 ANCOVAforOrderedTreatmentsDesigns 355 17.1 Introduction, 355 17.2 GeneralizationoftheAbelson–TukeyMethodtoInclude OneCovariate, 355 17.3 Abelson–Tukey:MultipleCovariates, 358 17.4 Rank-BasedANCOVAMonotoneMethod, 359 17.5 Rank-BasedMonotoneMethodwithMultipleCovariates, 362 17.6 ReversedOrdinalLogisticRegressionwithOneor MoreCovariates, 362 17.7 RobustR-EstimateANCOVAMonotoneMethod, 363 17.8 Summary, 364 PARTV SINGLE-CASEDESIGNS 18 SimpleInterruptedTime-SeriesDesigns 367 18.1 Introduction, 367 18.2 LogicoftheTwo-PhaseDesign, 370 18.3 AnalysisoftheTwo-Phase(AB)Design, 371 18.4 TwoStrategiesforTime-SeriesRegressionIntervention Analysis, 374 18.5 DetailsofStrategyII, 375 18.6 EffectSizes, 385 18.7 SampleSizeRecommendations, 389 18.8 WhentheModelIsTooSimple, 393 18.9 Summary, 394

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