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The Alchemists: Three Central Bankers and a World on Fire PDF

473 Pages·2013·13.12 MB·German
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THE PENGUIN PRESS Published by the Penguin Group Penguin Group (USA) Inc., 375 Hudson Street, New York, New York 10014, USA USA • Canada • UK • Ireland • Australia • New Zealand • India • South Africa • China Penguin Books Ltd, Registered Offices: 80 Strand, London WC2R 0RL, England For more information about the Penguin Group visit penguin.com Copyright © Neil Irwin, 2013 All rights reserved. No part of this book may be reproduced, scanned, or distributed in any printed or electronic form without permission. Please do not participate in or encourage piracy of copyrighted materials in violation of the author’s rights. Purchase only authorized editions. Photograph credits appear here. ISBN 978-1-10160580-6 To my parents, Co and Nancy Irwin Contents Title Page Copyright Dedication Time Line Introduction: Opening the Spigot Part I: RISE OF THE ALCHEMISTS, 1656–2006 ONE. Johan Palmstruch and the Birth of Central Banking TWO. Lombard Street, Rule Britannia, and Bagehot’s Dictum THREE. The First Name Club FOUR. Madness, Nightmare, Desperation, Chaos: When Central Banking Goes Wrong, in Two Acts FIVE. The Anguish of Arthur Burns SIX. Spinning the Roulette Wheel in Maastricht SEVEN. Masaru Hayami, Tomato Ketchup, and the Agony of ZIRP EIGHT. The Jackson Hole Consensus and the Great Moderation Part II: PANIC, 2007–2008 NINE. The Committee of Three TEN. Over by Christmas ELEVEN. A Wall of Money Part III: AFTERMATH, 2009–2010 TWELVE. The Battle for the Fed THIRTEEN. The New Greek Odyssey FOURTEEN. The King’s Speech FIFTEEN. The Perilous Maiden Voyage of the QE2 Part IV: THE SECOND WAVE, 2011–2012 SIXTEEN. The Chopper, the Troika, and the Deauville Debacle SEVENTEEN. The President of Europe EIGHTEEN. Escape Velocity NINETEEN. Super Mario World TWENTY. Governor Zhou’s Chinese Medicine AFTERWORD: Back to Jackson Photographs Acknowledgments A Note on Sources Notes Image Credits Index Time Line November 30, 1656—Johan Palmstruch’s Stockholms Banco is chartered by Swedish king Karl X Gustav. 1661—Stockholms Banco issues the first paper banknotes in Europe. September 17, 1668—After Stockholms Banco collapses, the Swedish Riksbank is created. It remains the country’s central bank until this day. July 27, 1694—King William III charters the Bank of England. May 10, 1866—British bank Overend, Gurney & Co. fails, sparking a panic in the London money markets. The Bank of England floods the banking system with liquidity, acting as lender of last resort. Fall, 1907—A banking panic in New York sparks a global economic downturn, crystallizing the need for a central bank in the United States. December 23, 1913—The Federal Reserve Act passes, setting up a central bank for the United States, albeit one with a complicated structure of twelve powerful regional branches. 1923—The German Reichsbank, led by Rudolf von Havenstein, prints massive amounts of money, resulting in hyperinflation. Price increases of thousands of percent per month destabilize the war-ravaged nation and spark uprisings by the Nazis and other insurgent groups. November 16, 1923—Hjalmar Schacht introduces a new and more stable German currency, the rentenmark. Its value is set at one rentenmark per trillion reichsmarks. October 29, 1929—The U.S. stock market crashes on “Black Tuesday.” May 11, 1931—Credit-Anstalt, a leading Austrian bank, fails, prompting a ripple effect of withdrawals and more bank failures in Germany and elsewhere in Europe. July 9, 1931—Hans Luther, head of the German Reichsbank, travels to European capitals and then to meet fellow central bankers in Basel, looking in vain for international relief from the growing banking crisis. September 21, 1931—Britain leaves the gold standard, facing economic collapse should it try to maintain the peg of the pound to the price of gold. July 22, 1944—Global economic leaders finish a conference in Bretton Woods, New Hampshire, where they agree to a world economic order for the post–World War II globe. August 15, 1971—With the United States struggling to maintain the peg of the dollar to gold as mandated by the Bretton Woods system, President Richard Nixon suspends the gold window. His advisers include Federal Reserve chairman Arthur Burns and Treasury official Paul Volcker. 1978—In Arthur Burns’s final year as Federal Reserve chair, inflation reaches 9 percent. October 6, 1979—In an unscheduled Saturday meeting of Fed policymakers, new chairman Paul Volcker engineers an interest rate hike and a new strategy to tighten the money supply, aiming to bring down inflation. These rate hikes lead to a deep recession, but eventually end the inflation that took root under Burns. December 10, 1991—European leaders agree to the Maastricht Treaty, pledging to create a common currency. June 1, 1998—The European Central Bank is created to administer the euro. March 19, 2001—Suffering economic stagnation in the wake of a real estate and banking system collapse, the Bank of Japan begins a program of buying assets, known as quantitative easing. July 1, 2003—Mervyn King takes office as 119th governor of the Bank of England. November 1, 2003—Jean-Claude Trichet takes office as second president of the European Central Bank.

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