Table Of Content

Technological Forecasting and Social Change An International Journal Volume 60, Number 1, January 1999 Special Issue National Foresight Projects Hariolf Grupp, Guest Editor Contents Introduction HARIOLF GRUPP Foresight Activities 1 (Karlsruhe, Germany) National Foresight Projects TERUTAKA KUWAHARA _ Technology Forecasting Activities in Japan 5 (Tokyo, Japan) KNUT BLIND = Current Foresight Activities in Central Europe 15 KERSTIN CUHLS HARIOLF GRUPP (Karlsruhe, Germany) BEN R. MARTIN _ Technology Foresight for Wiring Up the National 37 (Brighton, UK) _ Innovation System: Experiences in Britain, Australia, RON JOHNSTON = and New Zealand (Sydney, Australia) JEAN-ALAIN HERAUD Current Foresight Activities in France, Spain, and Italy be (Strasbourg, France) KERSTIN CUHLS (Karlsruhe, Germany) TAEYOUNG SHIN _ Technology Foresight Activities in Korea and in Countries 71 (Kyunggi, Korea) Closing the Technology Gap SOON-KI HONG (Suwon, Korea) HARIOLF GRUPP (Karlsruhe, Germany) HARIOLF GRUPP National Technology Foresight Activities Around 85 (Karlsruhe, Germany) — the Globe: Resurrection and New Paradigms HAROLD A. LINSTONE (Lake Oswego, OR) Column FRED PHILLIPS = From My Perspective Some Good Reasons for Faith 95 (Portland, OR) in the Market Technological Forecasting and Social Change An International Journal Volume 60, Number 2, February 1999 Contents H. M. DE SOUZA FILHO ~ Factors Influencing the Adoption of Sustainable (Sao Carlos, Brazil) Agricultural Technologies: Evidence from the State of T. YOUNG __ Espirito Santo, Brazil (Manchester, UK) M. P. BURTON (Australia) CHRISTOPHE ROUX-DUFORT — Building Core Competencies in Crisis Management EMMANUEL METAIS ~— Through Organizational Learning: The Case of the (Lille, France) French Nuclear Power Producer JORGE ISLAS — The Gas Turbine: A New Technological Paradigm (Morelos, Mexico) in Electricity Generation MARCEL A. F. DIERCKX Information Technology and Innovation in Small JAN H. M. STROEKEN = and Medium-Sized Enterprises (Eindhoven, Netherlands) JAMES F. DUNCAN = Chemistry of Social Interactions (Picton, New Zealand) Column STEVEN DUNPHY ~ From My Perspective Generation X: The “Infopreneurs” (Akron, OH) — of Tomorrow? Technological Forecasting and Social Change An International Journal Volume 60, Number 3, March 1999 Contents GRAHAM R. MITCHELL — Global Technology Policies for Economic Growth 205 (Washington, DC) BART VERSPAGEN _ Technology Spillovers between Sectors and over Time 215 IVO DE LOO (Maastricht, Netherlands) AYMEN KAYAL Measuring the Pace of Technological Progress: 237 (Dhahran, Saudi Arabia) — Implications for Technological Forecasting ROBERT N. McGRATH ~ Effects of Incumbency and R&D Affiliation on the 247 (Daytona Beach, FL) _ Legitimation of Electric Vehicle Technologies FANG-MEI TSENG ~ Fuzzy Seasonal Time Series for Forecasting the Production 263 GWO-HSHIUNG TZENG _ Value of the Mechanical Industry in Taiwan HSIAO-CHENG YU (Hsih-chu, Taiwan) J.W.SUN Measurement of Dematerialization/Materialization: A 275 T. MERISTO — Case Analysis of Energy Saving and Decarbonization in (Turku, Finland) OQECD Countries, 1960—95 Column IDA RUSSAKOFF HOOS — From My Perspective The Anatomy of a Decision 295 (Brookline, MA) Book Reviews HAROLD A. LINSTONE ~ Rescuing Prometheus (Thomas P. Hughes) 299 (Lake Oswego, OR) PETER A. CORNING —= Complexity: A Philosophical Overview (Nicholas Rescher) — 305 (Palo Alto, CA) KISH SHARMA ~— Conquering Uncertainty: Understanding Corporate Cycles 307 (Bellevue, WA) = and Positioning Your Company to Survive the Changing Environment (Theodore Modis) Volume 60 Author Index Volume 60 Book Review Index Volume 60 Subject Index Author Index—Volumes 51-60 Subject Index—Volumes 51-60 Book Review Index—Volumes 51-60 Volume 60 Contents