Table Of Content

Technological Forecasting and Social Change An International journal Volume 40 (1991) Contents Number 1 (August) HILARY LORRAINE The California 1980 Medfly Eradication Program: An Analysis (Guatemala City, Guatemala) of Decision Making Under Nonroutine Conditions FIRDAUS E. UDWADIA Crisis Management and the Organizational Mind: and IAN I. MITROFF Multiple Models for Crisis Management from Field Data (Los Angeles, CA) ROGER J. VOLKEMA Developing a Cost-Benefit Analysis Process for Small-to- JAIME L. MANZANO Moderate Expenditure Decisions and JAMES GAGLIONE (Washington, DC) PER R. STOKKE Visioning (and Preparing for) the Future: The Introduction (Stavanger, Norway) of Scenarios-Based Planning into Statoi! THOMAS A. BOYCE WILLIAM K. RALSTON and IAN H. WILSON (Menlo Park, CA) Column JOSEPH F. COATES From My Perspective The Sixteen Sources of Environmental (Washington, DC) Problems in the 21st Century Book Reviews HAROLD A. LINSTONE Surprise Attack: The Victim’s Perspective (Ephraim Kam) (Lake Oswego, OR) JOSEPH F. COATES The Tragedy of Technology: Human Liberation vs. Domination (Washington, DC) in the Late Twentieth Century (Stephen Hill) WILLIAM E. HALAL Breakthrough Thinking (Gerald Nadler and Shozo Hibino) (Washington, DC) Number 2 (September) STEVE COHN Paradigm Debates in Nuclear Cost Forecasting (Galesburg, IL) FRED WOUDENBERG An Evaluation of Delphi (Rotterdam, The Netherlands) CHARLES H. DAVIS The Future of Nuclear Power in the United States and JAMES A. FITZS{MMONS (Austin, TX) Multiple Perspectives Analysis for Integrating Technology into a Business: A Knowledge Systems Case Study Columns SALAHALDEEN AL-ALI Kuwait Brief Kuwait: Past Efforts to Build Indigenous (Newcastle Upon Tyne, UK) Capaancd iNetw Nyee ds RACHEL EL-BOIM DROR From My Perspective Social Transformation in the USSR: (Jerusalem, Israel) Some Personal Reflections Book Reviews Naturally Intelligent Systems (Maureen Caudill and Charles Butler) Science & Engineering Indicators: 1989 (National Science Board) Perpetual Innovation: The New World of Competition (Don E. Kash) Notice Request for Help with Preparation of a Club ¢f Rome Report on “Goveforr tnhea 21nst cCenetur y” Number 3 (November) PAUL A. HERBIG Issues Paper #10 The Rise and Fall of Great Britain's (Jacksonville, AL) Technological Leadership: Is the United States Following in Great Britain’s Footsteps? Foresight Studies: A New Approach in Anticipatory Policy Making in the Netherlands Technological Change as a Problem-Solving Activity Measuring Knowledge Production of an Agricultural Research System FIRDAUS E. UDWADIA Impact of Customer Coconstruction in Product/Service Markets and K. RAVI KUMAR (Los Angeles, CA) YUN CHEONCGH O A Delphia Technology Forecasting Approach Using GI HO JEONG a Semi-Markov Concept and SOUHNIEG K IM (SeoSouuthl Ko,re a) KATRIN GILLWALD Research Note Herman Kahn and the Developments (Berlin, Germany) in Germany: An Essay on Futures Research MAGOROH MARUYAMA Technical Note Overcoming the Socialist Aftereffects (Tokyo, Japan) in East Europe Column JOSEPH F. COATES From My Perspective Implications of Desert Storm for Future (Washington, DC) Military Operations Book Reviews HAROLD A. LINSTONE The Art of the Long View (Peter Schwartz) (Lake Oswego, OR) WALTER H. GOLDBERG Windows on a New World: The Third Industrial Revolution (Niedernhausen, Germany) (J. Finkelstein, ed.) WALTER H. GOLDBERG Organizational Responses to the New Business Conditions: (Niedernhausen, Germany) An Empirical Perspective (R. M. Burton, J. D. Forsyth, and B. Obel, eds.) Number 4 (December) ALLAN N. AFUAH The Emergence of a New Supercomputer Architecture and JAMES M. UTTERBACK (Cambridge, MA) JOHN W. SUTHERLAND Model-Base Centered Planning Support Systems (Richmond, VA) J. BARTON CUNNINGHAM A Profile of the Human Fears of Technological Change JOHN FARQUHARSON and DENIS HULL (Victoria, BC, Canada) ROLLAND LEBRASSEUR Training and the Application of Computer-Based Technology: and WOJCIECH NASIEROWSKI The Case of Ontario Manufacturing (Fredericton, NB, Canada) Column JOSEPH F. COATES From My Perspective Science, Technology, and Human Rights (Washington, DC) Volume 40 Author Index Volume 40 Book Review Index Volume 40 Subject Index Author Index—Volumes 31-40 Subject Index—Volumes 31-40 Book Review Index—Volumes 31-40