THE ECONOMICS OF HEALTH FOODS AND POLICY ISSUES: IMPACT OF HEALTH CLAIMS ON DEMAND AND POPULATION HEALTH TARYN PRESSEAU Bachelor of Arts, University of Lethbridge, 2015 A Thesis Submitted to the School of Graduate Studies of the University of Lethbridge in Partial Fulfillment of the Requirements for the Degree MASTER OF ARTS Department of Economics University of Lethbridge LETHBRIDGE, ALBERTA, CANADA ã Taryn Presseau, 2017 THE ECONOMICS OF HEALTH FOODS AND POLICY ISSUES: IMPACT OF HEALTH CLAIMS ON THE DEMAND FOR FOODS AND POPULATION HEALTH TARYN PRESSEAU Date of Defence: November 10, 2017 Stavroula Malla Associate Professor Ph.D. Supervisor Kien Tran Professor Ph.D. Thesis Examination Committee Member Kurt Klein Professor Ph.D. Thesis Examination Committee Member Richard Mueller Professor Ph.D. Chair, Thesis Examination Committee ii ABSTRACT Chronic disease accounts for 70% of deaths globally and causes substantial economic burdens. The largest direct healthcare costs associated with illness in Canada is due to cardiovascular disease (6.8% of total costs) followed by cancer (2.2%) and diabetes (1.3%). Research has indicated diet can significantly reduce the risk of many chronic diseases. Governments use health claims to inform consumers about foods’ health attributes and encourage healthy diets. This thesis examines the impacts of health claim policy on food demand and population health in North America. The demand for food is estimated using a linear-approximate almost ideal demand system. Population health is evaluated using a health production function. The results indicate health claims decreased unhealthy food demand between 1.4% and 6.26% and increased healthy food demand between 1.95% and 8.47%. Diet and health claim policy also positively impact population health. Policy recommendations to improve current health claim policy are provided. iii Acknowledgements I would like to express the deepest appreciation first to my supervisor, Dr. Stavroula Malla, who has given me continual support, encouragement and advice throughout the course of my graduate degree. I am beyond grateful for her patience, guidance, and constant belief in me and the significant amount of time she devoted to helping me succeed. I would also like to express my deepest thanks to my committee member, Dr. Kien Tran, who encouraged me to apply to the Master program and who has constantly supported, guided, and mentored me throughout this process. In addition, I would like to thank my committee member, Dr. Kurt Klein, for his help, advice and time. I am also grateful for the time, encouragement, and advice of Dr. Richard Mueller, Dr. Kamar Ali, Dr. Duane Rockerbie, Dr. Alexander Darku, Dr. Pascal Ghazalian, and Jeff Davidson and the rest of the economics faculty. In addition, a special thanks to Merle Christie for her support, guidance, and help. Last, I am so grateful to have the endless love and support of my partner, Greg, parents, Pat, Allan, Luc, and Barb, brothers, Dan and Kyle, and the rest of my family and friends. Thank you for always being there for me. iv Table of Contents LIST OF TABLES ........................................................................................................... vii LIST OF FIGURES ....................................................................................................... viii LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS .......................................................................................... ix CHAPTER 1 ....................................................................................................................... 1 1. Introduction ................................................................................................................ 1 1.1 Thesis Objective ............................................................................................................. 4 1.2 Thesis Contribution ....................................................................................................... 4 1.3 Thesis Outline ................................................................................................................ 5 CHAPTER 2 ....................................................................................................................... 7 2. Background ................................................................................................................ 7 2.1 Burden of Chronic Illness and the Functional Food Industry .................................. 8 2.2 Functional Foods: Definitions and Regulations ........................................................ 11 2.2.1 Canada ...................................................................................................................... 11 2.2.2 United States ............................................................................................................. 18 2.2.3 European Union ....................................................................................................... 22 2.3 Comparison of Regulations ........................................................................................ 26 2.4 Dietary Fats and Fruits and Vegetables .................................................................... 28 2.5 Summary ...................................................................................................................... 31 CHAPTER 3 ..................................................................................................................... 34 3. Literature Review .................................................................................................... 34 3.1 Functional Foods ......................................................................................................... 35 3.1.1 Acceptance and Attitudes .......................................................................................... 35 3.1.2 Willingness-to-Pay .................................................................................................... 49 3.2 The Demand for Food ................................................................................................. 56 3.3 Population Health Studies .......................................................................................... 66 3.4 Summary of Literature Review .................................................................................. 73 CHAPTER 4 ..................................................................................................................... 79 4. Theoretical Model .................................................................................................... 79 4.1 Graphical Analysis: Impacts of Health Claim Policy .............................................. 79 4.2 Demand Analysis ......................................................................................................... 81 4.2.1 Choice of Functional Form ..................................................................................... 81 4.2.2 The Linear Approximate Almost Ideal Demand System ........................................ 83 4.2.3 Elasticities ................................................................................................................. 86 4.2.4 Demand System Specifications ................................................................................ 87 4.2.5 Estimation Methods ................................................................................................. 95 4.2.6 Canadian Data ......................................................................................................... 96 4.2.7 U.S. Data ................................................................................................................... 98 4.3 Population Health Status: A Health Production Function ...................................... 99 4.3.1 Data ......................................................................................................................... 104 4.4 Summary .................................................................................................................... 105 CHAPTER 5 ................................................................................................................... 107 5. Empirical Results ................................................................................................... 107 v 5.1 Breusch-Pagan Test of Indepedence ........................................................................ 108 5.2 The Demand for Fats and Oils in Canada .............................................................. 109 5.3 The Demand for Meats in Canada ........................................................................... 116 5.4 The Demand for Fruits and Vegetables in Canada ................................................ 122 5.5 The Demand for Fats in the United States .............................................................. 127 5.6 The Demand for Meat in the United States ............................................................ 133 5.7 Population Health Status .......................................................................................... 138 5.7.1 Male Life Expectancy at Age 65 ............................................................................. 138 5.7.2 Female Life Expectancy at Age 65 .......................................................................... 142 5.8 Summary of Empirical Results ................................................................................ 146 CHAPTER 6 ................................................................................................................... 152 6. Policy Implications ................................................................................................. 152 6.1 Policy Suggestions ...................................................................................................... 155 7. Conclusions ............................................................................................................. 161 7.1 Limitations ................................................................................................................. 166 References ....................................................................................................................... 168 APPENDIX ..................................................................................................................... 188 vi LIST OF TABLES Table 1. Summary of Demand Systems and Related Health Claims ................................. 93 Table 2. Coefficient Estimates - Demand for Fats and Oils in Canada ........................... 112 Table 3. Elasticity Estimates - Fats and Oils in Canada .................................................. 114 Table 4. Coefficient Estimates - Demand for Meats in Canada ...................................... 117 Table 5. Elasticity Estimates - Meats in Canada .............................................................. 120 Table 6. Coefficient Estimates - Demand for Fruits and Vegetables in Canada ............. 124 Table 7. Elasticity Estimates - Fruits and Vegetables in Canada .................................... 126 Table 8. Coefficient Estimates - Demand for Fats in the U.S. ......................................... 129 Table 9. Elasticity Estimates - Fats in the U.S. ................................................................ 132 Table 10. Coefficient Estimates - Demand for Meats in the U.S. ................................... 135 Table 11. Elasticity Estimates - Meats in the U.S. ........................................................... 136 Table 12. Determinants of Male Life Expectancy ........................................................... 141 Table 13. Determinants of Female Life Expectancy at Age 65 ....................................... 143 LIST OF FIGURES Figure 1. Impact of Health Claim Regulations on Consumption of Healthier Foods ........ 80 Figure 2. Consumption of Fat in Canada, 1974 to 2016 .................................................. 110 Figure 3. Consumption of Meat in Canada, 1979 to 2016 ............................................... 116 Figure 4. Consumption of Fruits and Vegetables in Canada, 1985 to 2016 .................... 122 Figure 5. Per Capita Consumption of Fats in the U.S., 1984 to 2010 .............................. 128 Figure 6. Consumption of Meats in the U.S., 1970 to 2016 ............................................ 134 Figure 7. Impacts of a Tax Credit in the Functional Food Market .................................. 157 Figure 8. Health Claims and Subsidies on Functional Food Consumption ..................... 158 viii LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS AAFC Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada AIDS Almost Ideal Demand System BP Breusch-Pagan CDC Centers for Disease Control and Prevention CFIA Canadian Food Inspection Agency CHD Coronary Heart Diseases CLA Conjugated Linoleic Acid CVD Cardiovascular Disease DSHEA Dietary Supplement Health and Education Act EC European Commission E.U. European Union EUFIC European Food Information Council EFSA European Food Safety Authority FDA Food and Drug Administration FDAMA Food and Drug Administration Modernization Act FGLS Feasible Generalized Least Squares FOP Front-of-Package GM Genetically Modified IAIDS Inverse Almost Ideal Demand System IFIC International Food Information Council ITSUR Iterative Seemingly Unrelated Regressions LA/AIDS Linear Approximate Almost Ideal Demand System MPB Marginal Private Benefit MSB Marginal Social Benefit MSC Marginal Social Cost NCD Non-Communicable Diseases NFT Nutrition Facts Table NHP Natural Health Products NLEA Nutrition Labeling and Education Act OECD Organization for Economic Development and Cooperation QUAIDS Quadratic Almost Ideal Demand System SSA Significant Scientific Agreement SUR Seemingly Unrelated Regressions U.S. United States WHO World Health Organization WTP Willingness-to-Pay ix CHAPTER 1 1. Introduction Chronic illness is a global epidemic that has placed substantial economic and social burdens on societies around the world (WHO 2017a). In 2015, 70% of deaths globally were attributed to chronic disease (WHO 2017a). The top four causes of chronic disease deaths were due to cardiovascular diseases (CVDs), cancers, diabetes, and chronic respiratory illnesses. CVDs accounted for the largest portion of these causing 45% of chronic disease mortalities followed by cancer, which accounted for 22% of all chronic disease deaths in 2015 (WHO 2017a). It is now recognized that CVDs, cancer, obesity and diabetes “are among the most common, costly, and preventable of all health problems” (CDC 2017a, website). The direct economic costs of chronic illness include wages to healthcare workers, hospital costs, and pharmaceutical expenditures (Public Health Agency of Canada 2014). In addition, there are significant indirect and social costs associated with chronic illness, such as reduced labour market productivity, opportunity costs, a decreased quality of life, and physical and emotional pain caused by illness. Research has found that many chronic diseases, such as CVD, some types of cancer, obesity and diabetes, can be prevented or the risk can be significantly reduced through the adoption of a healthy lifestyle (Dietz, Douglas and Brownson 2016). Organizations such as the World Health Organization (WHO), the American Heart Association, and the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) now recommend adopting a healthy diet as part of a preventative care strategy (WHO 2003; American Heart Association 2017a; CDC 2017a). Increased knowledge about the link between diet and health and a desire to improve well-being has fostered a growing interest from consumers in the adoption of a healthy diet 1
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