University of Iowa Iowa Research Online Theses and Dissertations Fall 2012 System polarities and alliance politics Sung Woo Kim University of Iowa Copyright 2012 Sung Woo Kim This dissertation is available at Iowa Research Online: https://ir.uiowa.edu/etd/3482 Recommended Citation Kim, Sung Woo. "System polarities and alliance politics." PhD (Doctor of Philosophy) thesis, University of Iowa, 2012. https://doi.org/10.17077/etd.lqkhptag Follow this and additional works at:https://ir.uiowa.edu/etd Part of thePolitical Science Commons SYSTEM POLARITIES AND ALLIANCE POLITICS by Sung Woo Kim An Abstract Of a thesis submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the Doctor of Philosophy degree in Political Science in the Graduate College of The University of Iowa December 2012 1 Thesis Supervisor: Associate Professor Kelly M. Kadera 1 ABSTRACT The end of the Cold War in 1990 was followed by a shift from a bipolar to a unipolar world, profoundly transforming the nature of international alliance politics. Then, what are the systemic features of the unipolar system that have changed alliance relations in comparison to the previous bipolar and multipolar world? How can we explain the diverse reaction of the U.S. allies in different regions in response to the U.S. request for the modification of alliance functions and reshaping of the alliance burden sharing? How do we measure and interpret changes in the nature of alliance politics in a unipolar system? The goal of this project is to provide a systematic answer to these questions. Focusing on international system polarities and alliance burden sharing behavior, this dissertation builds a framework for understanding the dynamics of alliance politics. In particular, I argue that alliance burden sharing as an empirical indicator plays a critical role in explaining the changed nature of the unipolar alliance system. First, I examine how the two interrelated systemic factors – external threat and the distribution of power – influence alliance burden sharing with a system-level analysis by utilizing a quantitative method with state-year burden sharing data from 1885 to 2000. Second, I present case studies of South Korea and Japan’s alliance burden sharing in the post-Cold War period. A central argument of the dissertation is that the role and function of alliance is determined by structural constraints of different international system polarities. 1 Specifically, this project demonstrates that burden sharing is a key factor representing the impact of systemic properties of unipolarity on the behavioral changes in alliance politics. Abstract Approved: ____________________________________ Thesis Supervisor ____________________________________ Title and Department ____________________________________ Date SYSTEM POLARITIES AND ALLIANCE POLITICS by Sung Woo Kim A thesis submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the Doctor of Philosophy degree in Political Science in the Graduate College of The University of Iowa December 2012 1 Thesis Supervisor: Associate Professor Kelly M. Kadera Copyright by SUNG WOO KIM 2012 All Rights Reserved 2 Graduate College The University of Iowa Iowa City, Iowa CERTIFICATE OF APPROVAL _______________________ PH.D. THESIS _______________ This is to certify that the Ph.D. thesis of Sung Woo Kim has been approved by the Examining Committee for the thesis requirement for the Doctor of Philosophy degree in Political Science at the December 2012 graduation. Thesis Committee: ___________________________________ Kelly M. Kadera, Thesis Supervisor ___________________________________ John A. C. Conybeare ___________________________________ Brian Lai ___________________________________ Ha-Lyong Jung ___________________________________ Allysa Park 존경하는 부모님, 그리고 사랑하는 가족 (혜성, 희연, 도연)에게 바칩니다. 2 ii ACKNOWLEDGMENTS I gratefully acknowledge the contributions and assistance of my dissertation committee members for their willingness to serve on my committee and to support my research. I am grateful to Alyssa Park for agreeing to serve on this committee as an external member. I appreciate Brian Lai for his valuable comments and feedback as I complete this project. Professor John A. C. Conybeare was extremely helpful in providing guidance on framing the ideas and arguments of this project. I am also thankful to his thoughtful consideration throughout graduate school. I greatly appreciate the guidance and encouragement I have received from Ha-Lyong Jung. This research would not have been possible without his support and guidance. My advisor, Kelly M. Kadera, was my mentor who supported and encouraged me throughout my graduate education. She was willing to spend immeasurable her time and energy to develop ideas, build a theoretical framework, and organize this project in a timely manner. I would not have been able to bring this project to fruition without her guidance. I would like to acknowledge the assistance of the Republic of Korea Army that gave me an opportunity to study abroad and supported me in finishing this project. I am also grateful to my wonderful friends who have helped me in so many ways throughout my graduate studies. In particular, thanks to Denise Tiffany for helping me in the dissertation writing process. 3 Finally, I dedicate this dissertation to my wonderful family. My father and mother have always been very supportive of my military and educational goals and have expressed confidence at every stage. I am deeply indebted to my beautiful wife, Hyesung. She has sacrificed a great deal of her time and energy, taking care of our daughters and supporting my graduate education. I am especially grateful to my lovely daughters, Hee- Yeon and Do-Yeon. They have been the meaning of my life and have encouraged me a lot to finish this project. I am forever grateful to all my family. iii ABSTRACT The end of the Cold War in 1990 was followed by a shift from a bipolar to a unipolar world, profoundly transforming the nature of international alliance politics. Then, what are the systemic features of the unipolar system that have changed alliance relations in comparison to the previous bipolar and multipolar world? How can we explain the diverse reaction of the U.S. allies in different regions in response to the U.S. request for the modification of alliance functions and reshaping of the alliance burden sharing? How do we measure and interpret changes in the nature of alliance politics in a unipolar system? The goal of this project is to provide a systematic answer to these questions. Focusing on international system polarities and alliance burden sharing behavior, this dissertation builds a framework for understanding the dynamics of alliance politics. In particular, I argue that alliance burden sharing as an empirical indicator plays a critical role in explaining the changed nature of the unipolar alliance system. First, I examine how the two interrelated systemic factors – external threat and the distribution of power – influence alliance burden sharing with a system-level analysis by utilizing a quantitative method with state-year burden sharing data from 1885 to 2000. Second, I present case studies of South Korea and Japan’s alliance burden sharing in the post-Cold War period. A central argument of the dissertation is that the role and function of alliance is determined by structural constraints of different international system polarities. 4 Specifically, this project demonstrates that burden sharing is a key factor representing the impact of systemic properties of unipolarity on the behavioral changes in alliance politics. iv TABLE OF CONTENTS LIST OF TABLES ............................................................................................................ vii LIST OF FIGURES ......................................................................................................... viii CHAPTER I. INTRODUCTION ............................................................................................1 1.1. Arguments ..................................................................................................9 1.2 Methodology ............................................................................................12 1.3 The Plan of the Dissertation ....................................................................14 II. A SYSTEMIC THEORY OF POLARITY AND ALLIANCE DEFENSE SPENDING .............................................................................18 2.1. Alliances and Defense Spending .............................................................19 2.2 International System Polarities and Alliance Politics ..............................26 2.3 Structural Changes of International Systems and Alliance Defense Spending .........................................................................................................41 2.3.1. Multipolarity, Alliance, and Defense Spending ............................42 2.3.2. Bipolarity, Alliance, and Defense Spending .................................46 2.3.3. Unipolarity, Alliance, and Defense Spending ...............................49 III. TESTING SYSTEM POLARITIES AND ALLIANCE DEFENSE SPENDING ................................................................................................53 3.1. Research Design ......................................................................................53 3.1.1. Dependent Variable .......................................................................55 3.1.2. Independent variables ....................................................................57 3.1.3. Control variables ...........................................................................61 3.2 Empirical Findings ...................................................................................64 IV. A THEORY DIFFERENTIATING ALLIANCE COST SHARING WITHIN UNIPOLARITY .........................................................................72 5 4.1. Alliance Cost Sharing in Unipolarity ......................................................73 4.2 Research Trend of Alliance Burden Sharing in the Post-Cold War Era ...................................................................................................................82 4.3 Necessity, Capacity, and Burden Sharing ................................................87 V. MINOR POWER ALLIANCE UNDER UNIPOLARITY: THE CASE OF SOUTH KOREA AND JAPAN ..........................................................98 5.1. South Korea .............................................................................................99 5.1.1. The ROK-US Alliance in the Post-Cold War Period ....................99 5.1.2. Necessity and Capacity of the ROK-US Alliance .......................103 5.1.3. The ROK’s Alliance Burden Sharing ..........................................109 5.2 Japan ......................................................................................................126 5.2.1. The US-Japan Alliance in the Post-Cold War Period .................126 5.2.2. Necessity and Capacity of the US-Japan Alliance ......................129 v
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