Table Of Content

System Dynamics Review VOLUME 9 1993 (fy WILEY System Dynamics Review The Journal of the System Dynamics Society Executive editor George P. Richardson The System Dynamics Rockefeller College of Public Affairs and Policy Review (ISSN 0883-7066) State University of New York at Albany is published three times a year Albany, NY 12222, U.S.A. for the System Dynamics Society by John Wiley & Sons Ltd. Managing editors Andrew Ford for main articles Environmental Science and Regional Planning Subscriptions: 1993 Washington State University institutional price $135. Pullman, WA 99164-4430, U.S.A. Individuals receive a subscription to the Review with their membership in the Erik Mosekilde System Dynamics Society. Technical University of Denmark, Physics laboratory III Annual dues are $70 for Lyngby 2800, Denmark regular members and $35 for students and supported members with family incomes Associate editors David F. Andersen Public policy less than US$20,000. Address Stephen Boyce Environmental policy orders for subscriptions and Thomas D. Clark Information systems memberships to the publisher R. Geoffrey Coyle Conflict and defense at the address below. Alan K. Gaynor Social science Janet Gould-Kreutzer Teaching and learning System Dynamics Alan K. Graham Technical methodology Society: Address Society Pratap K. J. Mohapatra Region: India business other than John D. W. Morecroft Business policy and applications memberships and journal inquiries to Julia S. Pugh, Roger F. Naill Energy Executive Director of the David W. Peterson Validation System Dynamics Society, Michael J. Radzicki Economics 49 Bedford Road, Lincoln, Khalid Saeed Region: Southeast Asia MA 01773, U.S.A. Qifan Wang Region: China Society sponsorship: Individuals and institutions Announcements R. Joel Rahn wishing to help support the and reviews Faculté des Sciences de |’'Administration, Université Laval activities of the System Ste. Foy, Quebec G1K 7P4, Canada Dynamics Society may become Affiliates of the Society with Archives John D. Sterman an annual contribution of $500 Sloan School of Management, MIT or Sponsors of the Society with an annual contribution of Cambridge, MA 02139, U.S.A. $1000. Notes and insights Erich O. K. Zahn Copyright © 1993 by John Betriebswirtschaftliches Institut, Abt. IV, Universitat Wiley & Sons Ltd. Air freight Stuttgart, W—7000 Stuttgart, Germany and mailing in the U.S.A. by Publications Expediting Services Inc., 200 Meacham Research problems George P. Richardson Avenue, Elmont, NY 11003, Executive Editor U.S.A. Copy-edited by Alice H. Cheyer, typeset by Footnote Graphics, Warminster, Publications John D. W. Morecroft Wiltshire and printed by Page Committee Jay W. Forrester Bros (Norwich) Ltd, Norfolk on of the Society George P. Richardson acid-free paper. Eric Wolstenholme Postmaster: Send address changes to System Dynamics Publisher John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. Review, c/o Publications Baffins Lane, Chichester, West Sussex PO19 1UD, U.K. Expediting Services Inc., 200 Tel: 0243 779777, Fax: 0243 775878, Telex: 86290 Meacham Avenue, Elmont, NY (for subscriptions, memberships and advertising) 11003, U.S.A. System Dynamics Review The Journal of the System Dynamics Society Contents of Volume 9 VOLUME 9 ARTICLES NUMBER 1 Dynamics of rural development in Southern Sudan WINTER Tjark E. Struif Bontkes 1993 Transition in the New York State solid waste system: a dynamic analysis Ali N. Mashayekhi A system dynamics model of national cocaine prevalence Jack B. Homer NOTES AND INSIGHTS Dyadic processes, tempestuous relationships, and system dynamics Michael J. Radzicki ANNOUNCEMENTS AND REVIEWS System Dynamics Review The Journal of the System Dynamics Society VOLUME 9 Foreword: System dynamics in education Janet M. Gould-Kreutzer NUMBER 2 SUMMER ARTICLES 1993 Systems thinking: critical thinking skills for the 1990s and beyond Barry Richmond New technologies in simulation games Kenneth L. Simons Bringing experimental learning to the social sciences: a simulation laboratory on economic development Khalid Saeed Introducing system dynamics in schools: the Nordic experience Pal I. Davidsen, Margaretha Bjurklo, and Hugo Wikstrém NOTES AND INSIGHTS System dynamics as an organizing framework for pre-college education Jay W. Forrester Systems, science, and schools Ellen B. Mandinach and Hugh F. Cline A proposed sequence for developing systems thinking in a grades 4—12 curriculum Frank Draper ANNOUNCEMENTS AND REVIEWS System Dynamics Review The Journal of the System Dynamics Society VOLUME 9 ARTICLES NUMBER 3 Information processing and misperceptions of the implications of FALL feedback in dynamic decision making Don N. Kleinmuntz 1993 The road not taken: observing a process of issue selection and model conceptualization David C. Lane A system dynamics approach to the structure and economy of fur farming and trading Pal I. Davidsen and Leif Jarle Asheim Consensus building in the planning process: benefits from a “hard” modelling approach Graham W. Winch NOTES AND INSIGHTS Notes and insights on essential tension Stephen Maloney ANNOUNCEMENTS AND REVIEWS AUTHOR INDEX