Lecture Notes in Artificial Intelligence 946 Subseries of Lecture Notes in Computer Science Edited by .J G. Carbonell and J. Siekmann Lecture Notes in Computer Science Edited by G. Goos, J. Hartmanis and J. van Leeuwen Christine Froidevaux Jtirg Kohlas (Eds.) Symbolic dna evitatitnauQ sehcaorppA ot gninosaeR dna ytniatrecnU European Conference, ECSQARU '95 Fribourg, Switzerland, July 3-5, 5991 Proceedings regnirpS Series Editors Jaime G. Carbonell School of Computer Science, Carnegie Mellon University Pittsburgh, PA 15213-3891, USA J6rg Siekmann University of Saarland, German Research Center for AI (DFKI) Stuhlsatzenhausweg 3, D-66123 Saarbrticken, Germany Volume Editors Christine Froidevaux LRI, University of Paris-Sud Bat. 490, F-91405 Orsay, France Jtirg Kohlas Institute of Informatics, University of Fribourg Site Regina Mundi, CH-1700 Fribourg, Switzerland CIP data applied for Die Deutsche Bibliothek - CIP-Einheitsaufnahme Symbolic quantitative approaches to reasoning and uncertainty : European conference ; proceedings / ECSQARU '95, Fribourg, Switzerland, July 3 - 5, 1995. Christine Froidevaux ; Ji~rg Kohlas (ed.). - Berlin ; Heidelberg ; New York : Springer, 1995 (Lecture notes in computer science ; Vol. 946 : Lecture notes in artificial intelligence) ISBN 3-540-60112-0 NE: Froidevaux, Christine Hrsg.; ECSQARU <1995, Fribourg>; GT CR Subject Classification (1991): 1.2.3, F.4.1 ISBN 3-540-60112-0 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg New York This work is subject to copyright. All rights are reserved, whether the whole or part of the material is concerned, specifically the rights of translation, reprinting, re-use of illustrations, recitation, broadcasting, reproduction on microfilms or in any other way, and storage in data banks. Duplication of this publication or parts thereof is permitted only under the provisions of the German Copyright Law of September 9, 1965, in its current version, and permission for use must always be obtained from Springer-Verlag. Violations are liable for Prosecution under the German Copyright Law. (cid:14)9 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg 1995 Printed in Germany Typesetting: Camera ready by author SPIN 10486402 06/3142 - 5 4 3 2 1 0 Printed on acid-free paper Preface This volume contains the papers accepted for presentation at ECSQARU'95, the European Conference on Symbolic and Quantitative Approaches to Reasoning and Uncertainty, held at the University of Fribourg, Switzerland, July 3 to 5, .5991 In recent years it has become apparent that an important part of the theory of Artificial Intelligence is concerned with reasoning on the basis of uncertain, vague, incomplete, or inconsistent information. Classical logic and probability theory are only partially adequate for this and a variety of other formalisms both symbolic and numerical have been developed, some of the most familiar being nomonotonic logics, modal logics, fuzzy sets, possibility theory, belief functions, evidence theory, and dynamic models of reasoning such as belief revision and Bayesian networks. ECSQARU'95 is the third in a biennial series of conferences which provide a forum for the development, synthesis, and discussion of approaches to reasoning and uncertainty. The first was held in Marseille in 1991 (LNCS 548) and the second in Granada in 1993 (LNCS 747). Like its predecessors, ECSQARU'95 is sponsored and organized by the DRUMS consortium (Defeasible Reasoning and Uncertainty Management Systems, ESPRIT III Basic Research Action 6156), which involves twenty-one European partners, and by the European Society for Automated Practical Reasoning and Argumentation (ESAPRA). The Executive Scientific Committee for the conference consisted of John Bell (QMW, University of London), Christine Froidevaux (LRI, University of Paris 11), Jfirg Kohlas (University of Fribourg), Rudolf Kruse (University of Braunschweig), Ramon Lopez de Mantaras (CEAB, Blanes), Erik Sandewall (University of LinkSping), Philippe Smets (IRIDIA, University of Brussels). We gratefully acknowledge the contribution of the many referees, who were involved in the reviewing process. Finally we would like to thank the University of Fri- bourg for the support it gave the organizers. Jfirg Kohlas was responsible for the local organization in Fribourg. April 1995 Christine Froidevaux, Jfirg Kohlas Co-chairs IV Scientific Committee J. Baldwin; J. Bell , F. Bergadano, Ph. Besnard, J. Bigham, B. Bouchon- Meunier, G. Brewka, M. Delgado, P. Doherty, D. Dubois, L. Patinas del Cerro, J. Fox, C. Proidevaux, D.M. Gabbay, P. G~irdenfors, E. Gregoire, P. tts H. Herre, A. Hunter, J. Kohlas, P. Krause, R. Kruse, S. Lauritzen, R. Lopez de Mantaras, W. Lukasiewicz, E. Mamdani, J.J. Meyer, S. Moral, B. Nebel, It. Prade, M. Reinfrank, L. Saitta, E. Sandewall, T. Schaub, K. Schlechta, P. Siegel, P. Smets, K. Sundermeyer, Y.H. Tan, J. Treur, D. Vermeir, F. Voorbraak, N. Wilson, C. Witteveen, H.-J. Zimmermann. Additional Referees J.L. Arcos, S. Benferhat, A. Bonarini, A. Casales, L.M. de Campos, T. Draken- gren, D. Driankov , G. Escalada-Imaz, F. Esteva, P. Fonck, P. Garcia, J. Geb- hardt, L. Godo, D. Heerg, A. Herzig, W. van der ttoek, R. Kennes, U. Kjaerulff, F. Klawonn, F. Levy, T. Linke, J. Mengin, P.J.A. Monney, K.G. Olesen, U.G. Oppel, S. Parsons, E. Plaza, R.O. Rodriguez, A. Saffiotti, M. Sergot, C. Sierra, J. Valdes, J.L. Verdegay, W. Wobcke., It. Xu Table of Contents For All Typical ................................. N. Alechina A Posteriori Knowledge: From Ambiguous Knowledge and Undefined Information to Knowledge ......................... M. Alvarado Modeling Uncertain Relational Knowledge: The AV-Quantified Production Rules Approach ......................... 18 P. Baroni, .G Guida, .S Mussi Multiple Database Logic ............................ 28 M.R.F. Benevides A Local Approach to Reasoning under Inconsistency in Stratified Knowledge Bases ............................... 36 .S Benferhat, .D Dubois, .H Prade Quasi-Classical Logic: Non-Trivializable Classical Reasoning from Inconsistent Information .......................... 44 P. Besnard, A. Hunter A Cost Bounded Possibilistic ATMS ..................... 52 .J Bigham, .Z Luo, .D Banerjee A Substructural Connective for Possibilistic Logic ............. 60 L. Boldrin Chain Graphs: Semantics and Expressiveness ................ 69 R.R. Bouckaert, .M Studen~ Axiomatic Treatment of Possibilistic Independence ............. 77 L.M. ed Campos, .J Gebhardt, R. Kruse Parametric Structure of Probabilities in Bayesian Networks ........ 89 E. Castillo, J.M. Gutidrrez, A.S. Hadi From Non-Monotonic Syntax-Based Entailment to Preference-Based Argumentation ................................ 99 .C Cayrol IIIV Non-Monotonic Syntax-Based Entailment: A Classification of Consequence Relations ........................... 107 C. Cayrol, M.-C. Lagasquie-Schiex Local M6bius Transforms of Monotone Capacities ............. 115 A. Chateauneuf, J.-Y. Ja~ray Automated Reasoning with Merged Contradictory Information whose Reliability Depends on Topics ....................... 125 L. Cholvy Linking Transition-Based Update and Base Revision ............ 133 M.-O. Cordier, J. Lang Prioritized Transitions for Updates ...................... 142 M.-O. Cordier, P. Siegel Probabilistic Satisfiability and Decomposition ................ 151 G.-B. Douanya Nguetsg, P. Hansen, B. Jaumard Update Postulates without Inertia ...................... 162 D. Dubois, F. Dupin ed St.-Cyr, .H Prade Similarity-Based Consequence Relations ............ ....... 171 D. Dubois, F. Es~eva, P. Garcia, L. Godo, H. Prade Epistemic Approach to Actions with Typical Effects ............ 180 B. Dunin-Kfplicz, A. l~adzikowska Nonmonotonic Belief State Frames and Reasoning Frames ......... 189 J. Engelfriet, H. Herre, J. Treur A Bayesian Network Based Learning System ................ 197 K.J. Ezawa, T. Schuermann Specificity by Default ............................. 207 P. Geerts, D. Vermeir Constructing Flexible Dynamic Belief Networks from First-Order Probabilistic Knowledge Bases ....................... 217 .15 Glesner, .D KoUer On the Formalism of Stochastic Logic ..................... 227 S. Guiasu Using Default Logic in Information Retrieval ................ 235 A. Hunter Ix Sensitivity Analysis in Bayesian Networks .................. 243 F.V. Jensen, S.H. Aldenryd, K.B. Jensen Bayesian Approximation and Invariance of Bayesian Belief Functions . . . 251 A.V. Joshi, S.C. Sahasrabudhe, K. Shankar Model-Based Diagnostics Using Hints .................... 259 J. Kohlas, P.J.A. Monney, R. Haenni, N. Lehmann An Axiomatic Approach to Extensional Probability Measures ....... 267 L Kramosil The Dynamics of Default Reasoning ..................... 277 B. van Linder, W. van der Hock, J.-J. .hC Meyer Lemma Handling in Default Logic Theorem Provers ............ 285 T. Linke, T. Schaub Uncertain Reasoning in Concept Lattices .................. 293 T. Lukasiewicz A Theorem Prover for Default Logic based on Prioritized Conflict Resolution and an Extended Resolution Principle ............ 301 J. Mengin A Theorem Prover for Lukaszewicz' Open Default Theory ......... 311 P. Nicolas, B. Dural Two Different Types of Discontinuity of Bayesian Learning in Causal Probabilistic Networks ........................... 320 .U G. Oppel Revision in Extended Propositional Calculus ................ 328 .O Papini, A. Rauzy Using Qualitative Uncertainty in Protein Topology Prediction ....... 336 S. Parsons Circumscribing Features and Ftuents: Reasoning about Action with Default Effects ................................ 344 A. Radzikowska Using Maximum Entropy to Compute Marginal Probabilities in a Causal Binary Tree Need Not Take Exponential Time .............. 352 P.C. Rhodes, G.R. Garside Yet Some More Considerations on Cumulativity in Default Logics .... 364 V. Risch X A Two-Stage Approach to First Order Default Reasoning ......... 379 K. Sehlech~a A Reduction of the Theory of Confirmation to the Notions of Distance and Measure .................................... 387 K. Schlechta Cluster-Based Specification Techniques in Dempster-Shafer Theory .... 395 J. Schubert AND/OR Trees for Knowledge Representation ............... 405 L. State, R. State Why Defeasible Deontic Logic needs a Multi Preference Semantics .... 412 Y.-H. Tan, L.W.N. van der Torte Numeric Defaults: About an Expressive First-Order Framework for Reasoning with Infinitesimal Probabilities ................. 420 E. Weydert Author Index .................................. 429 For all typical Natasha Alechina FWI, University of Amsterdam .1P Muidergracht 24, 1018 TV Amsterdam The Netherlands e-mail [email protected] Abstract. In the paper a binary quantifier Hx(7~ , r is studied. It can be read as 'typically, ~'s are r After investigating some formal prop- erties of this quantifier, we compare the resulting logic with predicate conditional logic and discuss possible applications of binary quantifiers in formalizing defeasible reasoning. 1 Introduction The present paper contains one more suggestion concerning a formal way to treat statements like '~o's are (normally, typically) r common sense generalizations which can be used as premises in defeasible reasoning. The common feature of those statements is that they ca~ be true while some exceptions (7~'s which are not r are present. In the paper they are formalized with the use of a binary generalized quantifier H, with IIx(v(x), r informally meaning 'for all typ- ical ~0's bt is true'. A related work in this respect is, first of all, Badaloni and Zanardo (1990), (1991). Another connection (which was already discussed by Badaloni and Zanardo) is the way such statements are formalized in the theory of circumscription: if V(x) and x is not abnormal, then r In section 4 possi- ble applications of the logic with generalized quantifiers to defeasible reasoning are sketched. In section 3 we compare two possible readings of commonsense generalizations: 'normally, T implies r (cf. Morreau (1992)) and 'all typical s'~7 are ~b's'. 2 Language and models Consider a first-order language Lv// with a binary generalized quantifier H. A well-formed formula is defined as usual; if ~7 and r are well-formed formulas, so r A model M for LVH is a triple < D,T,I >, where D is a domain, I an interpretation function, and T is a function which takes a subset S of D and returns a set ST _C D (the set of 'typical S's'). T obeys only one constraint, namely STC_S. The truth definition for the generalized quantifier reads as follows: M ~ IIx(~o,r r {d: M ~" 7~x/a~)T _C {d: U ~" r