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Swiss Banking in an International Context PDF

288 Pages·1989·26.628 MB·English
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SWISS BANKING IN AN INTERNATIONAL CONTEXT Also by W. Blackman THE CANADIAN FINANCIAL SYSTEM Swiss Banking in an International Context w. Blackman Associate Professor of Economics The University of Calgary Canada Palgrave Macmillan ISBN 978-1-349-10658-5 ISBN 978-1-349-10656-1 (eBook) DOI 10.1007/978-1-349-10656-1 © W. Blackman, 1989 Softcover reprint of the hardcover I st edition 1989 All rights reserved. For information, write: Scholarly and Reference Division, St. Martin's Press, Inc., 175 Fifth Avenue, New York, N.Y. 10010 First published in the Uni ted States of America in 1989 ISBN 978-0-312-02813-8 Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data Blackman, W. (Warren), 1923- Swiss banking in an international contextfW. Blackman. p. cm. Bibliography : p. Inc1udes index. ISBN 978-0-312-02813-8 1. Banks and banking-Switzerland. 2. Banks and banking, International. 3. International finance. I. Title. HG3204.B56 1989 332.1'5'09494-dc19 88--33333 CIP Contents List of Tables vi List of Figures vii Foreword ix Preface x PART I THE BANKING PARADIGM 1 The Banks of Switzerland 3 2 Banking, an Industry of Confidence 28 3 Euro-Banking and the Swiss Banking Paradigm 54 4 Capital, Investment and the Swiss Banking Paradigm 78 5 The Swiss National Bank 104 PART 11 A THEORETICAL STRUCTURE OF INTERNATIONAL BANKING IN CONDITIONS OF INFLATION 6 An Analysis of Deposit and Credit Markets 127 7 Euro-Currencies and International Banking 152 8 Financial Markets and Government 174 PART III A WORLD OF FINANCIAL INSTABILITY 9 International Liquidity and Capital Markets 211 10 ConcIusion: Stability Midst Instability? 241 Notes and References 263 Bibliography 274 Index 276 v List of Tables 1.1 Foreign investments of principal banking systems 15 1.2 Proportions of domestic and foreign liabilities (1984) 23 2.1 Growth of the Swiss Bank Corporation 45 3.1 The growth of loans to LDCs and servicing costs, 1970-80 67 4.1 Swiss liabilities (passive) by source, 31 December 1984 87 4.2 Swiss assets (active) by use, 31 December 1984 87 5.1 The Swiss monetary base for 1985 109 5.2 Sources and uses of liquidities (changes from 1983 to 1984) 117 9.1 Changes in extern al claims of banks and international bond issues 217 9.2 Cross-border positions of banks 220 9.3 Domestic positions in foreign currency 221 9.4 Net international bank lending 221 9.5 Lending in international markets, 1985 222 9.6 Cross-border positions for 1985 228 9.7 New issues in international bond markets 237 VI List of Figures 1.1 Gross domestic product and total assetslliabilities of Swiss banks 23 1.2 Geographic distribution of assetslliabilities, 1984 24 1.3 Geographic distribution of assetslliabilities, fiduciary accounts, 1984 25 2.1 Equating the value of society's marginal product with the internal rate of return 32 2.2 Deposit roll-over to equate the internal rate of return 34 2.3 A collapse of liquidity between the credit market and the deposit market 41 3.1 The costlrevenue banking construct 58 4.1 Protection against devaluation via the forward market 81 5.1 Comparative price changes, 1929-36 113 5.2 Comparative price changes, 1963-72 113 5.3 Comparative price changes, 1973-85 114 6.1 (a) and (b) Investment, interest, and the value of the marginal product 130 6.1 (c) The credit market 131 6.2 Inflationlinterest equilibrium in the credit market 134 6.3 Inflationlinterest equilibrium in the deposit market 136 6.4 Deposit and credit markets 137 6.5 loteTest and exchange rates 141 6.6 Collapse of the US dollar exchange rate 143 6.7 Deposit and credit market equilibrium and administered interest rates 146 7.1 The Euro-currency credit market function 158 7.2 Euro-currency borrowing 160 7.3 Euro-lending 162 8.1 Deposit market shifts with fixed exchange rate 179 8.2 The appreciation of the Swiss franc 180 8.3 Impact on the exchange rate of shifts in the credit market 182 8.4 Transmission of inflation via liquidity transfer 183 8.5 Capital values and exchange rates 189 8.6 Rates of interest and exchange rates 190 8.7 A greater importance of the aftermarket 192 8.8 Relationships of inflation, interest, and exchange rates 194 vii Vlll List o[ Figures 8.9 The Swiss paradigm 202 9.1 Deposit and credit markets with foreign intermediation 226 9.2 International deposit markets, world inflation rates, interest rates and exchange rate stability 234 9.3 International credit markets, inflation rates, interest rates, and exchange rates 236 10.1 Expected exchange rate depreciation vis-a-vis the US dollar: instability of equilibrium in international capital markets 256 Foreword There are ample books on the subject of Swiss banks and their somewhat suspect behaviour regarding foreign bank deposits of dubious origins. We have seen the Iran Contra Affair, which involved a Swiss bank account, and we know that there are many equally unsavoury, though less publicised, examples of similar accounts. Unfortunately for the Swiss banking industry, these te nd all too often to be about the extent of the public's awareness of Swiss bankers. Such examples are the me re tips of icebergs - visible enough, but hardly representative of what lies underneath. It was to discover more of wh at lies at the heart of Swiss banking and why it has been singularly successful in a world of banking inadequacies that inspired this particular study. The result of the effort, perhaps not so surprising to the skilled observer of banking, is not that the Swiss banks have reached such a high degree of excellence, but that the banking systems of other nations have been inadequate to the task of moving deposits among and between nations with a corresponding degree of security. This book, then, is not just a discussion on Swiss banking but also a theoretical analysis of international banking, the art of which has been nearly perfected by the Swiss. In effect, it is an analytical survey which utilises the Swiss as a case-study in banking technique. This was the objective of the research involved; it was not to argue, as might appear at first sight, that the Swiss are paragons of banking virtue. If professional readers may learn from the Swiss experience as weIl as their own, then the objective of the book will have been weIl served. W. BLACKMAN ix

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