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Sustainable Agriculture Reviews 30: Environmental Impact of Land Use Change in Agricultural Systems PDF

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Sustainable Agriculture Reviews 30 Olivier Réchauchère · Antonio Bispo  Benoît Gabrielle · David Makowski Editors Sustainable Agriculture Reviews 30 Environmental Impact of Land Use Change in Agricultural Systems Sustainable Agriculture Reviews Volume 30 Series editor Eric Lichtfouse CEREGE, Aix Marseille Univ, CNRS, IRD, INRA, Coll France Aix-en-Provence, France Sustainable agriculture is a rapidly growing field aiming at producing food and energy in a sustainable way for humans and their children. Sustainable agriculture is a discipline that addresses current issues such as climate change, increasing food and fuel prices, poor-nation starvation, rich-nation obesity, water pollution, soil erosion, fertility loss, pest control, and biodiversity depletion. Novel, environmentally-friendly solutions are proposed based on integrated knowledge from sciences as diverse as agronomy, soil science, molecular biology, chemistry, toxicology, ecology, economy, and social sciences. Indeed, sustainable agriculture decipher mechanisms of processes that occur from the molecular level to the farming system to the global level at time scales ranging from seconds to centuries. For that, scientists use the system approach that involves studying components and interactions of a whole system to address scientific, economic and social issues. In that respect, sustainable agriculture is not a classical, narrow science. Instead of solving problems using the classical painkiller approach that treats only negative impacts, sustainable agriculture treats problem sources. Because most actual society issues are now intertwined, global, and fast-devel- oping, sustainable agriculture will bring solutions to build a safer world. This book series gathers review articles that analyze current agricultural issues and knowledge, then propose alternative solutions. It will therefore help all scientists, decision-mak- ers, professors, farmers and politicians who wish to build a safe agriculture, energy and food system for future generations. More information about this series at http://www.springer.com/series/8380 Olivier Réchauchère • Antonio Bispo Benoît Gabrielle • David Makowski Editors Sustainable Agriculture Reviews 30 Environmental Impact of Land Use Change in Agricultural Systems Editors Olivier Réchauchère Antonio Bispo DEPE (Unit for Collective Scientific Agriculture and Forest Expertise, Foresight and Advanced Studies) ADEME (French Agency for Environment INRA and Energy Management) Paris, France Angers cedex 01, France Benoît Gabrielle David Makowski EcoSys Agronomie AgroParisTech – INRA INRA Thiverval-Grignon, France Thiverval-Grignon, France ISSN 2210-4410 ISSN 2210-4429 (electronic) Sustainable Agriculture Reviews ISBN 978-3-319-96288-7 ISBN 978-3-319-96289-4 (eBook) https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-96289-4 Library of Congress Control Number: 2018938773 © Springer Nature Switzerland AG 2018 This work is subject to copyright. All rights are reserved by the Publisher, whether the whole or part of the material is concerned, specifically the rights of translation, reprinting, reuse of illustrations, recitation, broadcasting, reproduction on microfilms or in any other physical way, and transmission or information storage and retrieval, electronic adaptation, computer software, or by similar or dissimilar methodology now known or hereafter developed. The use of general descriptive names, registered names, trademarks, service marks, etc. in this publication does not imply, even in the absence of a specific statement, that such names are exempt from the relevant protective laws and regulations and therefore free for general use. The publisher, the authors and the editors are safe to assume that the advice and information in this book are believed to be true and accurate at the date of publication. Neither the publisher nor the authors or the editors give a warranty, express or implied, with respect to the material contained herein or for any errors or omissions that may have been made. The publisher remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations. This Springer imprint is published by the registered company Springer Nature Switzerland AG The registered company address is: Gewerbestrasse 11, 6330 Cham, Switzerland General Introduction for the Special Volume of SAR Overall Research Question A variety of studies undertaken by both international and French research groups (in France, notably those conducted by ADEME in collaboration with INRA, e.g., De Cara et al. 2012) have demonstrated the importance of considering land-use change (LUC) within environmental impact assessments (van Vliet et al. 2016; Hellweg and Milà i Canals 2015; Liu et al. 2015). Indeed, accounting for the environmental impacts of LUC subsequent to the reorganization of an agricultural system can sig- nificantly alter the overall environmental impact assessment for that reorganization. This is the case, for example, in greenhouse gas accounting for the bioenergy sector (Searchinger et al. 2008; Lapola et al. 2010). Publications addressing the issue of land-use change (both direct and indirect) are now abundant, particularly with respect to agricultural production. Changes in agricultural practices, whether these involve alterations in existing techniques, a shift from one technique to another, or a more significant reorganization of an over- all cropping or livestock system, can result in land-use changes at multiple scales, with attendant environmental impacts. Numerous studies focused on first-g eneration biofuels have emphasized their environmental impact compared to fossil fuel pro- duction and use, primarily with respect to greenhouse gas emissions. More recent studies have examined the environmental impacts of second-generation biofuels (Davis et al. 2012), of increased livestock production (Nguyen et al. 2013), and of urbanization (Toth 2012). These more recent studies seek to calculate the environ- mental impacts associated with different types of land-use change, generally using similar methodologies as those used in the environmental impact assessments for first-generation biofuels (i.e., biophysical and economic modeling, life-cycle analy- sis (LCA)). Two types of land-use change are generally distinguished: direct LUC and indi- rect LUC (Fig. 1). Direct LUC (dLUC) refers to situations where the expansion of a crop modifies the land-use category, which may previously have been forest or permanent grassland. This thus involves a direct change in land-use category (as v vi General Introduction for the Special Volume of SAR a b Cropland iLUC Grassland Grassland Grassland Grassland Forest Forest Forest Forest Bioenergy dLUC Bioenergy Cropland Cropland Cropland Cropland Simplified illustration of a direct LUC situation Simplified illustration of an indirect LUC situation c Grassland Forest Grassland Forest Cropland iLUC LUC dLUC Bioenergy Bioenergy Cropland Cropland Simplified illustration of a system reorganization involving both dLUC and iLUC (based on De Cara, 2012) Fig. 1 Schematic representation of how agricultural reorganization can lead to direct LUC (a), indirect LUC (b), or a combination of direct and indirect LUC (c) defined by the IPCC (2006). Indirect land-use change (iLUC) refers to the effects of changes in agricultural practices or in the end use of agricultural products in an area already devoted to agriculture (e.g., a shift from a food crop to an energy crop) prompting an indirect land-use change in another geographic area (e.g., the replace- ment of a grassland or a forest by a food crop to compensate for a loss in food pro- duction elsewhere). Indirect LUC can involve reductions or expansions of cultivated land area. Thus, for example, an increase in yields at the local level could allow for the same volume of production from a smaller land area, potentially freeing up land for other uses (Brunelle et al. 2014). Conversely, a decision to redirect a portion of food crop out- put toward nonfood uses can lead to a shifting of food production to other land areas, potentially resulting in a LUC in a previously uncultivated zone (Lapola et al. 2010; Plevin et al. 2010). The overall environmental impact of the reorganization of an agricultural system can thus be understood as the sum of (a) impacts resulting directly from implemen- General Introduction for the Special Volume of SAR vii Fig. 2 Conceptual diagram of factors influencing land-use change tation of that reorganization plus (b) impacts linked to land-use changes, both direct and indirect, triggered by that reorganization. Incorporating LUC impacts into environmental assessments is a complex undertak- ing. LUC is determined by multiple factors including prices, yields, the nature of the agro/ecosystems involved, dietary habits, policy measures and incentives, etc. (Fig. 1). Moreover, although dLUC may be monitored and quantified (e.g., transfor- mation of a natural area into a cultivated system), iLUC cannot, since by definition these are assessed by way of a calculation or a modeling exercise, not through direct observation. Estimating the magnitude of iLUC thus involves making hypotheses as to the consequences of an agricultural reorganization (e.g., via a consequential LCA or a descriptive causal methodology) or simulating different scenarios using models integrating highly diverse types of information (political, economic, biophysical, etc.) (Ben Aoun et al. 2013). Figure 2 diagrams the principal drivers and interactions giving rise to land-use change. Within the agricultural realm, changes in demand for different food prod- ucts (including both animal and plant products), changes in energy use, and changes in the use of other biologically sourced materials determine the total productive land area required. Changes in nonagricultural forms of land use can also impact the pressure on cultivated land (e.g., need for housing, other infrastructure). The com- bined effect of changes in demand for agricultural products, forestry products, and other uses will determine the reorganization of agricultural systems, including land- use changes, the magnitude of which will likewise depend on changes in agricul- tural practices, notably since these will impact agricultural yields. The sum total of viii General Introduction for the Special Volume of SAR these interacting changes (land-use changes and changes in agricultural practices) will have environmental impacts. It is this portion of Figure 1, shown in green – “Reorganization of agricultural and forestry systems and spatial planning ➔ land- use change ➔ environmental impacts” – which constitutes the principal focus of the present study. Several studies published at the end of the 2000s (Searchinger et al. 2008; Fargione et al. 2009; Wise et al. 2009) demonstrated that LUC could have a strong influence on environmental impact accounting. These early studies focused on a specific type of agricultural reorganization giving rise to LUC, the production of first-generation biofuels, and on a specific type of environmental impact, green- house gas emissions. Research since 2010 has examined a broader range of agricul- tural reorganization trends, LUC types, and environmental impacts. Agricultural reorganization trends considered by these more recent studies include changes in crop rotations, the intensification or extensification of cropping and/or livestock systems, new types of crops such as those used for second-generation biofuels (made from lignocellulosic biomass), the expansion of biologically based energies and materials, the expansion and contraction of livestock production, loss of agri- cultural land to urban development, and changes in dietary habits (see El Akkari et al., Chap. 2, in this volume for a complete analysis). All of these shifts can give rise to dLUC and/or iLUC. Some recent studies (van Vliet et al. 2016) consider not only the impacts on GHG emissions but also the impacts on soil, water quality, water availability, air quality, biodiversity, etc. Over time, given a context of increased land requirements to meet global demand for food, energy, housing, and other infrastructure (UNEP 2014), environmental impact assessments of spatial planning should seek to account for the effects of land-use change in a more systematic way. The issue is gaining prominence within the articulation of public policy. Thus, recent proposals (European Commission 2016) for a revision of the Renewable Energy Directive (European Commission 2009) tend to emphasize and encourage the development of second-generation bio- fuels, which are considered to have a better environmental balance sheet because of their reduced impact on land use (Harris et al. 2015). Published studies on LUC are extensive and diverse and at times yield contradic- tory findings. Thus, in De Cara et al. (2012), the range of variation of the GHG budget is wide, including both negative and positive values. To clarify public debate on the environmental impacts of LUC (both direct and indirect), as well as to con- tribute to the identification of relevant research questions, there is a need to synthe- size the results of studies analyzing the effects of LUC on a broad range of environmental impacts. The specific goal is to be able to assign environmental impacts to agricultural reorganizations giving rise to LUC from the perspective of the causal chain described above. An analysis of the current literature on the subject shows, indeed, that the steps in this chain are typically viewed in isolation (van Vliet et al. 2016), impeding our ability to make connections between systemic reorgani- zations and environmental impacts. General Introduction for the Special Volume of SAR ix Organization and Objectives of This Special Volume The goal of the study on which this special volume is based is thus to produce a systematic analysis of the international bibliography on the effects of different types of systemic reorganization (e.g., within agriculture, forestry, spatial planning) on land-use change and associated environmental impacts. It seeks to provide a “state of the research” on the topic in order to better characterize the magnitude of the phenomena involved and to identify emerging research questions. Our focus is on research published in scientific journals describing the totality of the causal chain “reorganization of agricultural and forestry systems or spatial planning ➔ land-use change ➔ environmental impacts.” The first article in this volume describes the overall methodology employed, including how the boundaries for the systematic literature review were defined (Réchauchère et al., Chap. 1, this volume). Our review resulted in the identification of 5730 references, using a search equation combining keywords from the field of LUC and the field of environmental impact assessment. A textual analysis of this corpus was then conducted (El Akkari et al., Chap. 2, this volume), leading to the identification of major themes, emerging topics, and principal scientific methodolo- gies employed. A more in-depth analysis was then applied to a subgroup of the corpus made up of references examining shifts toward the production of nonfood biomass. The anal- ysis was based on a systematic dissection of these references’ content using an analytical grid breaking down types of environmental impacts. Impacts on soil (Bessou, Chap. 4, this volume), water (Bispo, Chap. 5, this volume), climate (Bamière and Bellassen, Chap. 6, this volume), air quality and human health (Gabrielle, Chap. 7, this volume), biodiversity (Gaba, Chap. 8, this volume), and nonrenewable resources (Dumas, Chap. 9, this volume) are examined in the subse- quent six articles. A further article (Gabrielle, Barbottin, and Wohlfahrt, Chap. 3, this volume) offers a transversal analysis of the links between systemic reorgani- zation, land-use change, and environmental impacts and associated research methodologies. The volume concludes with an article (Makowski, Chap. 10, this volume) using an “evidence mapping” methodology to represent in a summary and graphic form the major conclusions drawn from our analysis of the sub-corpus on “nonfood bio- mass.” This approach also assists in highlighting knowledge gaps and thus in iden- tifying future research needs. This study was funded by the Agency for Energy and the Environment (ADEME) and the Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry (contract no. 12-60-C0004). It was made possible by the work of Sophie Le Perchec (INRA Rennes), who completed the documentary research, as well as by the following researchers, who contributed to the detailed analysis of the articles: Laure Bamière (INRA Grignon), Aude Barbottin (INRA Grignon), Valentin Bellassen (INRA Dijon), Martial Bernoux (IRD Montpellier), Cécile Bessou (CIRAD Montpellier), Antonio Bispo (ADEME Angers), François Chiron (AgroParisTech, Orsay), Stéphane De Cara (INRA

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The originality of this book is to review and characterize the current body of scientific publications that describe the complete causal sequence from reorganization of agricultural production to land use changes (LUC) and the resulting environmental impacts. The chapters examine both the range of t
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