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Sun Above the Horizon: Meteoric Rise of the Solar Industry PDF

541 Pages·2014·15.62 MB·English
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Peter F. Varadi S u n a b o v e t h e H o r i z o n Meteoric Rise of the Solar Industry SUN ABOVE THE HORIZON Pan Stanford Series on Renewable Energy Series Editor Wolfgang Palz Titles in the Series Vol. 4 Solar Power for the World: What You Wanted to Know about Published Photovoltaics Vol. 1 Wolfgang Palz, ed. Power for the World: The Emergence 2013 of Electricity from the Sun 978-981-4411-87-5 (Hardcover) Wolfgang Palz, ed. 978-981-4411-88-2 (eBook) 2010 978-981-4303-37-8 (Hardcover) 978-981-4303-38-5 (eBook) Vol. 5 Sun above the Horizon: Meteoric Rise of the Solar Industry Vol. 2 Peter F. Varadi Wind Power for the World: The Rise 2014 of Modern Wind Energy 978-981-4463-80-5 (Hardcover) Preben Maegaard, Anna Krenz, 978-981-4613-29-3 (Paperback) and Wolfgang Palz, eds. 978-981-4463-81-2 (eBook) 2013 978-981-4364-93-5 (Hardcover) 978-981-4364-94-2 (eBook) Forthcoming Vol. 6 Biomass Power for the World Vol. 3 Wim P. M. van Swaaij, Sascha R. A. Wind Power for the World: Kersten, Wolfgang Palz, eds. International Reviews and 2015 Developments Preben Maegaard, Anna Krenz, and Wolfgang Palz, eds. 2013 978-981-4411-89-9 (Hardcover) 978-981-4411-90-5 (eBook) Pan Stanford Series on Renewable Energy Volume 5 Meteoric Rise of the Solar Industry SUN ABOVE THE HORIZON Peter F. Varadi Published by Pan Stanford Publishing Pte. Ltd. Penthouse Level, Suntec Tower 3 8 Temasek Boulevard Singapore 038988 Email: [email protected] Web: www.panstanford.com British Library Cataloguing-in-Publication Data A catalogue record for this book is available from the British Library. Sun above the Horizon: Meteoric Rise of the Solar Industry Copyright © 2014 Peter F. Varadi Disclaimer The regulatory information contained in this book is intended for academic learning and market planning and is subject to change frequently. Translations of laws and regulations are unofficial. For photocopying of material in this volume, please pay a copying fee through the Copyright Clearance Center, Inc., 222 Rosewood Drive, Danvers, MA 01923, USA. In this case permission to photocopy is not required from the publisher. ISBN 978-981-4463-80-5 (Hardback) ISBN 978-981-4613-29-3 (Paperback) ISBN 978-981-4463-81-2 (eBook) Printed in the USA Contents Acknowledgments xiii Introduction 1 Act 1: Dawn—1972–1984 1. Damn the Torpedoes and Full Steam Ahead 7 2. Cook Book: How to Make Solar Cells and Modules 21 3. Betting on Horses 31 4. The Dawn of the Terrestrial PV—Solarex: The Beginning and … 41 5. … Almost a Premature End 49 6. “Chevron” Solar Cells 67 7. The Silicon Enigma 73 8. Silicon, the Second Most Common Element in the Earth’s Crust 77 9. The Evolution of the Terrestrial PV Modules: The Importance of Testing and Quality 91 10. Dreamers and Sobering Reality 101 11. Photovoltaic Systems 113 12. “Stand-Alone” or “Off-Grid” PV Systems 117 13. 1975 the Year of Change 129 14. The Importance of Consumer Business 133 vi Contents 15. Micro-Generators and … 137 16. … and a Permanent Bridge to Europe 151 17. The Micro-Generator Mushroom Resulting in a Solar Thin-Film Solution 167 18. PV for the People 175 19. Story about Success and Cash Flow 191 20. Water Pumping with PV 197 21. Navigational Aids 215 22. Amorphous Silicon (a-Si) the First Successful Thin-Film Solar Cell 229 Act 2: Sunrise—1985–1999 23. Changing Landscape 245 24. The Big Oils’ Involvement in PV 247 25. Building-Integrated Photovoltaics and PV Roofs 255 26. Space Applications Used in Everyday Life: Communication and GPS 275 27. Development of the Global PV Quality Program 293 28. World Bank’s Trailblazing Role for PV in Developing Countries 309 29. Japan and Then Europe Take Over the Baton 323 30. Three Axioms That Will Shape the Future of PV 331 31. Does PV Need Government Subsidy or Can It Be Financed Privately? 337 32. Grass Roots—Common Sense 345 Contents vii Act 3: Towards High Noon—2000–2013 33. The Winding Road to the Feed-in Tariff 353 34. A New Silicon Enigma and Thin-Film PV Alternatives 359 35. PV Becomes Unstoppable 367 36. The Chinese Miracle—Part 1 375 37. The Chinese Miracle—Part 2 393 38. Concentrated, Tracking, and the Solyndra PV Systems 417 39. The PV Rollercoaster 429 40. The Last Barrier: “Bankability” = Proof of Quality/Reliability 433 41. The Effect of PV on the Transformation of the Electric Utilities 445 42. Energy Independence and the Wireless Environment 463 Epilogue 479 Annexes 481 Index 529

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The meteoric rise of the photovoltaic (PV) industry is an incredible story. In 2013, Google’s investments in PV systems totaled about half a billion dollars and Warren Buffet, one of the famous investors, invested $2.5 billion in the world’s largest PV system in California. These gigantic invest
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