Strategy and Politics This bookexamines the subject of strategy and its relationship with politics. Despitethefactthatstrategyisalwaystheproductofpoliticalprocess,therelationship between the two concepts and their ancillary activities has scarcely been touched by scholars. This book corrects that serious deficiency, and explains the high relevance of political factors for matters of general defence. Each chapter aims to show how and why strategy and politics interact and how this interaction has had significant con- sequences historically. Neither strategy nor politics can make sense if considered alone. Strategy requires direction that can only be provided by political process, while politics cannot be implementedwithout strategy. In summary, this volume will explain: (cid:1) what strategy is (and is not); (cid:1) why strategy is essential; (cid:1) what strategy does and how it does it; and (cid:1) how strategy is made and executed. Writtenbyaleadingscholarandformerpractitioner,thisbookwillbeessentialreading for all students of military strategy, strategic studies, security studies and war and conflict studies. Colin S. Gray is Professor Emeritus of Strategic Studies at the University of Reading, UK. He has published twenty-eight books and innumerable journal articles. Recent books include Strategy and Defence Planning (2014), Airpower for Strategic Effect (2012), War, Peace and International Relations, 2nd edn (2011) and The Strategy Bridge (2010). This page intentionally left blank Strategy and Politics Colin S. Gray Add Add Add AddAddAdd Add AddAdd AdAddd Firstpublished2016 byRoutledge 2ParkSquare,MiltonPark,Abingdon,OxonOX144RN andbyRoutledge 711ThirdAvenue,NewYork,NY10017 RoutledgeisanimprintoftheTaylor&FrancisGroup,aninformabusiness ©2016ColinS.Gray TherightofColinS.Graytobeidentifiedasauthorofthisworkhasbeenassertedby himinaccordancewithsections77and78oftheCopyright,DesignsandPatentsAct 1988. Allrightsreserved.Nopartofthisbookmaybereprintedorreproducedorutilisedin anyformorbyanyelectronic,mechanical,orothermeans,nowknownorhereafter invented,includingphotocopyingandrecording,orinanyinformationstorageor retrievalsystem,withoutpermissioninwritingfromthepublishers. Trademarknotice:Productorcorporatenamesmaybetrademarksorregistered trademarks,andareusedonlyforidentificationandexplanationwithoutintentto infringe. BritishLibraryCataloguinginPublicationData AcataloguerecordforthisbookisavailablefromtheBritishLibrary LibraryofCongressCataloginginPublicationData Names:Gray,ColinS.,author. Title:Strategyandpolitics/ColinS.Gray. Description:NewYork,NY:Routledge,2016.|Includesbibliographical referencesandindex. Identifiers:LCCN2015034706|ISBN9780415714761(hardback)| ISBN9780415714778(pbk.) Subjects:LCSH:Strategicculture.|Strategy--Politicalaspects.|National security--Politicalaspects. Classification:LCCU21.2.G67272016|DDC355.02--dc23 LCrecordavailableathttp://lccn.loc.gov/2015034706 ISBN:978-0-415-71476-1(hbk) ISBN:978-0-415-71477-8(pbk) ISBN:978-1-315-88241-3(ebk) TypesetinTimesNewRoman byTaylor&FrancisBooks Contents Preface vi Introduction: the argument 1 1 Politics, power, and security 10 2 Peace andwar: politics at home and abroad 23 3 War andwarfare 36 4 Theory for practice 50 5 Making strategy 64 6 History and geography 79 7 Culture and circumstance 95 8 Civil–military relations 111 9 Politics and defence planning 126 10 Morality and its ethics in politics and strategy 141 11 Strategic future 156 Key terms 162 Bibliography 165 Index 171 Preface Theideaofwritingabookkeyedtoaseriousprobeoftheseveralmutualdependencies between strategy and politics is hardly a very original one. However, to my surprise when I looked closely at the existing literature, I discovered that really very little attention has been paid to this most critical of relationships. Everyone, seemingly, agreeswith Carl von Clausewitz that war, indeed military behaviour morewidely, is by strict definition political in nature. This perspective on strategic matters is not at all controversial. Indeed, it is so far beyond sensible dispute that scholarswould appear to have decided to pass over it in a consensual silence. In fact I came to realize fairly rapidlythatmanyelementsintherelationshipbetweenstrategyandpoliticswerenotat all well treated analytically or, in some cases, even understood properly. In this work I haveattemptedtothrowsomeneededlightontheconnectionsbetweenthetwoclusters of ideas. I can only speculate as to the reason for the acute shortage of books on these subjects. One reason may well be the complication that is anticipated and discerned in the relationship. Unifocal scholarship tends to be content with careful treatment of strategy, or of politics, but not with the need to relate each to the other. It is clear enough to this author that most, if not necessarily all, strategic efforts are foredoomed to disappoint their political parents if theyarenot founded and then sustained on deep enough understanding of the societies they are intended to influence. In point of fact I have been more than mildly surprised to discover how modest have been the official efforts to decide, settle upon, and then sustain, the political architecture of state and alliance policies. We should have been reminded by our very disappointing protracted experiences in Afghanistan and Iraq that war and its warfare always must be about politics.Ifthepoliticalrationaleforinternationalinterventionisconfusedandtherefore confusingtomostlocalparticipantsintheconsequentaction,sensiblypurposiveresults should not be anticipated – and so it has proved in both Afghanistan and Iraq. One either works as apartner with the local cultural grain of a society, orone isnearcertain tofail.Thisdictumoughttoberecognizedasatruism,butadecade-plusofsubstantial misadventure in exotic places proved unduly challenging of American, British and other allied efforts. It seems obvious enough to this author that a permissive political context should be regarded as an essential enabler for any foreign intervention that aspires to prove other than a ‘forlorn hope’. This book may aid public understanding by/with its focus upon the persisting importance of political factors for the quality of performance of the strategic and military ones. I must admit that I was tempted to call this book Politics and Strategy, rather than Strategy andPolitics,but I convinced myself that the theoryand attempted Preface vii practice of strategy could encompass political process well enough, provided it treated the ends, in ends, ways, and means, with due respect. Should some readers choose to regard politics as the superior concept of the two, I would not be unduly surprised or disappointed. Recognition of the high importance of the political is a feature of this whole book. This is not a history book, rather is it a sustained effort to probe and examine the influence of political considerations upon the course chosen for strategy. As a suppor- tive companion to this work, readers should find my study of strategic history very helpful(Gray,2012).Attimesitmayappearthatstrategyanditsmilitaryconsequences can seem to occupy much of the space available here; by and large, I hope, that appearance will be more than superficial. There have been and continue to be conflicts wherein either strategy or politics are inappropriately hegemonic in their influence. Notwithstanding the neatly briefable distinctions that differentiate political phenomena from strategic ones, real-world experience commonly may more resemble chaos than it doesgoodorder.InthisworkIseektoexplorethenatureofthephenomenaofinterest, whether or not the picture thus painted is expediently well ordered for our disciplined attention. This work rests upon the evidential base that I have accumulated over the course of nearly fifty years, living andworking in Britain, Canada, and the United States. I have taken much by way of understanding from these three very different political and strategic cultures. In particular, I am heavily indebted to friends, colleagues, and of course my students. My list for scholarlygratitude is challenging to confine, but I must mention the following scholars with my appreciation for the quality of their efforts to let some needed extra light shine on the subject of this work: Carl von Clausewitz, Michael Howard, Richard Neustadt, Ernest May, Harold Lasswell, Jeremy Black, Patrick Porter,and Raymond Aron. Theseeight scholars, fromsixcountries,contributed vitally to my conceptual armoury, and I am most grateful. As much and most sincerely also, I must thank my professional computing helper, Mrs Barbara Watts for her devotion to what proved to be a heavy challenge. My ever tolerant family needs to be thanked beyond standard praise. I am, I hope sincerely, suitablygrateful for their support and love. This page intentionally left blank Introduction The argument Reader’sguide:The mutualdependenceofstrategyandpolitics. Politics provides strategy with its purpose, while strategy provides politicswith the way in which that purpose may be realized in practice. The relationship between these two vital concepts thus is one of complete mutual dependence. That essential truth duly said, this book explains why relations are never perfect, and may even appear to be absent altogether, in the real world of statecraft and military power. Indeed, some dis- harmony between politics and strategy is entirely commonplace. Although this author is a strategist by scholarly, and sometime also administrative, profession, he is not writing here in any sense as an advocate of strategic thought and behaviour. The main purpose of this work, its principal argument certainly, is as the substantive title to the Introduction asserts: to explain fully just why and how politics has to be the senior partner in its relationship with strategy. The seniority, indeed effectively the sovereign authority, of politics is rarely challenged in theory, though assuredly it has been much neglected historically in practice. These chapters explain that the relationship between politics and strategy frequently is misunderstood, often with dire consequences for those who were confused. Before moving at full throttle into the argument necessary here, it is important to notesignificantgeneralsourcesofharassmentthattypically lowerthequalityofpolitical and strategic performances. Specifically, both individually and collectively it is all too human to make mistakes. The key to success is not an all but magical ability to avoid error,butratheranabilitytoadapttounexpectedchallenges,includingthoseproducedby one’s own previous misjudgements. The relevant standard to reach politically and strategically is best characterized as the ‘good enough’ rule. For recent historical examples, whether or not America and Britain were wise in choosing to intervene on the ground in Afghanistan and Iraq in the 2000s, did they manage to perform well enough to provide a sensibly defensible record of achievement in their protracted efforts? Mistakes in politics – and the resulting policy – are near certain to ensure that context for strategic performancewill turn out to be differentfrom the one anticipated. Forverygrandhistoricalexamplesoftherepeatedrecurrenceofunanticipatedstrategic contexts,itisworthconsideringtheheroicscaleoffaultyanticipationoffuturepolitical and strategic context demonstrated by all the greater powers in the twentieth century, repeatedly. None of the three general wars of the period (the First, then the Second, and in addition the Cold War) was expected authoritatively in the leading capitals of global politics.
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