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Statistical Case Studies Instructor Edition: A Collaboration Between Academe and Industry (ASA-SIAM Series on Statistics and Applied Probability) PDF

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Statistical Case Studies ASA-SIAM Series on Statistics and Applied Probability SSIAMUAN ASA IVAM The ASA-SIAM Series on Statistics and Applied Probability is published jointly by SI/\IVIheAsa-SIam Series on Statistics and Applied Probability is published jointly by the American Statistical Association and the Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics. The series consists of a broad spectrum of books on topics in statistics and applied probability. The purpose of the series is to provide inexpensive, quality publications of interest to the intersecting membership of the two societies. Editorial Board Donald P. Gaver Andrew Solow Naval Postgraduate School, Editor-in-Chief Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution Alan F. Karr Werner Stuetzle Mational Institute of Statistical Sciences University of Washington John Lehoczky Grace Wahba Carnegie Mellon University University of Wisconsin Robert L. Mason Eric Ziegel Southwest Research Institute Amoco Corporation Robert Rodriguez SAS Institute Peck, R., Haugh, L D., and Goodman, A., Statistical Case Studies: A Collaboration Between Academe and Industry, Student Edition Peck, R., Haugh, L. D., and Goodman, A., Statistical Case Studies: A Collaboration Between Academe and Industry Barlow, R. E., Engineering Reliability Czitrom, V. and Spagon, P. D., Statistical Case Studies for Industrial Process Improvement Statistical Case Studies A Collaboration Between Academe and Industry Roxy Peck California Polytechnic State University San Luis Obispo, California Larry D. Haugh University of Vermont Burlington, Vermont Arnold Goodman University of California Irvine, California ASA Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics American Statistical Association Philadelphia, Pennsylvania Alexandria, Virginia © 1998 by the American Statistical Association and the Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics. 10987654321 All rights reserved. Printed in the United States of America. No part of this book may be reproduced, stored, or transmitted in any manner without the written permission of the publisher. For information, write to the Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics, 3600 University City Science Center, Philadelphia, PA 19104-2688. Partial support for this work was provided by the Undergraduate Faculty Enhancement program at the National Science Foundation under DUE 9455055. The work is that of the authors and does not necessarily express the views of the NSF. ISBNO-89871-413-3 is a registered trademark. In memory of Joyce Curry-Daly, statistics educator extraordinaire. Roxy Peck For my wonderful family: Janie, Wendi, Josh, and Jeremy. Larry Haugh Honoring Herman Chernoff's distinguished contributions and unique personal style on his recent retirement: he shaped my thinking that led to Interfaces and his Faces were 20 years ahead of the computer visualization. Arnie Goodman This page intentionally left blank CONTENTS Preface ix Introductions The Benefits of Cases xv William C. Parr Partnering for the Future of the Statistics Profession xix Ronald L. Iman Chapter 1: Are the Fish Safe to Eat? Assessing Mercury Levels in Fish in Maine Lakes 1 Jennifer A. Hoeting and Anthony R. Olsen Chapter 2: Chemical Assay Validation 15 Russell Reeve and Francis Giesbrecht Chapter 3: Automating a Manual Telephone Process 25 Mary Batcher, Kevin Cecco, and Dennis Lin Chapter 4: Dissolution Method Equivalence 37 Russell Reeve and Francis Giesbrecht Chapter 5: Comparison of Hospital Length of Stay Between Two Insurers for Patients with Pediatric Asthma 45 Robert L. Houchens and Nancy Schoeps Chapter 6: Comparing Nonsteroidal Anti-inflammatory Drugs with Respect to Stomach Damage 65 Tom Filloon and Jack Tubbs Chapter 7: Validating an Assay of Viral Contamination 77 Lawrence I-Kuei Lin and W. Robert Stephenson Chapter 8: Control Charts for Quality Characteristics Under Nonnormal Distributions 89 Youn-Min Chou, Galen D. Halverson, and Steve T. Mandraccia Chapter 9: Evaluation of Sound to Improve Customer Value 99 John R. Voit and Esteban Walker Chapter 10: Improving Integrated Circuit Manufacture Using a Designed Experiment 109 Veronica Czitrom, John Sniegowski, and Larry D. Haugh vii viii Contents Chapter 11: Evaluating the Effects of Nonresponse and the Number of Response Levels on Survey Samples 129 Robert K. Smidt and Robert Tortora Chapter 12: Designing an Experiment to Obtain a Target Value in the Chemical Processes Industry 143 Michael C. Morrow, Thomas Kuczek, and Marcey L. Abate Chapter 13: Investigating Flight Response of Pacific Brant to Helicopters at Izembek Lagoon, Alaska by Using Logistic Regression 155 Wallace P. Erickson, Todd G. Nick, and David H. Ward Chapter 14: Estimating the Biomass of Forage Fishes in Alaska's Prince William Sound Following the Exxon Valdez Oil Spill 171 Winson Taam, Lyman McDonald, Kenneth Coyle, and Lew Halderson Chapter 15: A Simplified Simulation of the Impact of Environmental Interference on Measurement Systems in an Electrical Components Testing Laboratory 185 David A. Fluharty, Yiqian Wang, and James D. Lynch Chapter 16: Cerebral Blood Flow Cycling: Anesthesia and Arterial Blood Pressure 203 Michael H. Kutner, Kirk A. Easley, Stephen C. Jones, and G. Rex Bryce Chapter 17: Modeling Circuit Board Yields 217 Lorraine Denby, Karen Kafadar, and Tom Land Chapter 18: Experimental Design for Process Settings in Aircraft Manufacturing 235 Roger M. Sauter and Russell V. Lenth Chapter 19: An Evaluation of Process Capability for Fuel Injector Process Using Monte Carlo Simulation 247 Carl Lee and Gus A. D. Matzo Chapter 20: Data Fusion and Maintenance Policies for Continuous Production Processes 267 Nozer D. Singpurwalla and Joseph N. Skwish Index 279 PREFACE If you only have pretend data, you can only pretend to analyze it. George Cobb As professors of statistics we tell our students that an understanding of research questions is necessary in order to collect meaningful data and analyze it intelligently. "Don't collect data first and then try to figure out what (if anything) you can do with it," we admonish students and also researchers who come to us for help with data analysis. Yet when we teach statistics courses, we often do just that! Now convinced of the necessity to include examples that use REAL data, we search for real data sets and then try to come up with some question that we think might in some way capture our students' interest. Without an in-depth understanding of how the data was collected or why it is important, we look at data and try to figure out what (if anything) we can do with it to turn it in to a classroom example. I confess that I am guiltier of this than most—I have created whole textbooks full of examples and exercises in just this way. While examples and case studies of this type are certainly better than those based on artificial data and contrived situations, I now realize that a case study based on real data from industry that has research questions and directed analyses constructed by an academic often looks very different from a case study based on actual practice in industry. Traditional statistics education has been criticized for not adequately preparing statisticians and engineers for careers in industry and for being unresponsive to the needs of industry. This may be partially due to the fact that most university faculty do not have the type of industry experience that would enable them to easily incorporate examples based on actual practice in industry into their courses. We hope that this collection of case studies can help make this easier. The collection of cases is eclectic—they come from a variety of application areas and the vast majority require the use of multiple data analysis methods. Some are challenging and some are messy—we have made no effort to "simplify" the problems presented for classroom use. What unifies this collection is that all are based on actual practice in industry or government. Each case study in this collection is the product of a collaboration between statisticians in industry and colleagues in academe. These collaborations were made possible by support from the National Science Foundation's Division of Undergraduate Education through an Undergraduate Faculty Enhancement grant. Forty-four statisticians, 22 from academic institutions and 22 from business, government, and industry, participated in the Collaboration Project and in the development of these case studies. All participants met at a workshop held at Cal Poly, San Luis Obispo, during the summer of 1995. The workshop program focused on academe-industry partnerships and included presentations by Ron Iman, Bill Parr, Bob Mason, and Dick Gunst. Academe-industry pairs were also formed during this workshop. During the following academic year, each pair participated in three- day exchange site visits. These site visits enabled each participant to experience the work environment of his or her partner and became the basis for the development of the case studies that make up this collection. Twenty-one of the 22 pairs produced a case study (one pair produced three), and 20 of the 24 cases submitted are included in this volume. The result of these individual collaborations is a collection of case studies that illustrate real application of statistical methodology to solve problems in industry. They address problems important to industry, as opposed to an academic view of what might be important. As a collection, they show the scope and variety of problems that can be IX

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Statisticians know that the clean data sets that appear in textbook problems have little to do with real-life industry data. To better prepare their students for all types of statistical careers, academic statisticians now strive to use data sets from real-life statistical problems. This book contai
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