AF Analytical Volume 02-07.qxp 2/13/2007 10:41 AM Page 1 AFGHANISTAN P.O.Box 175 House No.55,Street 1 STATE BUILDING, POLITICAL PROGRESS, Jawzjan Wat,Shahr-e-Naw Kabul,Afghanistan AND HUMAN SECURITY IN AFGHANISTAN www.asiafoundation.org S T A T E B U IL D IN G , P O L IT IC A L P R O G R E S S , A N D H U M A N S E C U R IT Y IN A F G H A STATE BUILDING,POLITICAL PROGRESS,AND HUMAN SECURITY IN AFGHANISTAN: N Reflections on a Survey of the Afghan People IS Reflections on a Survey of the Afghan People is the companion volume to T A N The Asia Foundation’s recently released public-opinion survey, “Afghanistan in 2006: A Survey of the Afghan People.” The papers in this volume analyze survey data on the opinions and perceptions of Afghans toward democratic governance and values, civic engagement and trust in institutions,development progress,and political and social change as interpeted by social scientists familiar with the region. The contributors comment on trends,patterns,and variations owing to Afghan geography,ethnicity,and other factors, and assess comparatively Afghanistan’s situation vis-à-vis other countries in the region. By combining analysis of quantitative survey data with broader contextual interpretations, the papers together anchor a holistic appraisal of change in the underlying sociopolitical realities and history of Afghanistan. AF Analytical Volume 02-07.qxp 2/13/2007 10:41 AM Page 2 About The Asia Foundation The Asia Foundation is a non-profit, non-governmental organization committed to the development of a peaceful, prosperous, just, and open Asia-Pacific region. The Foundation supports programs in Asia that help improve governance, law, and civil society; women's empowerment; economic reform and development; and international relations. Drawing on more than 50 years of experience in Asia, the Foundation collaborates with private and public partners to support leader- ship and institutional development, exchanges, and policy research. With a network of 17 offices throughout Asia, an office in Washington, D.C., and its headquarters in San Francisco, the Foundation addresses these issues on both a country and regional level. In 2006, the Foundation provided more than $53 million in program support and distributed 920,000 books and educational materials valued at $30 million throughout Asia. For more information, visit The Asia Foundation’s website at www.asiafoundation.org STATE BUILDING, POLITICAL PROGRESS, AND HUMAN SECURITY IN AFGHANISTAN Reflections on a Survey of the Afghan People State Building, Political Progress, and Human Security in Afghanistan: Reflections on a Survey of the Afghan People is the companion volume to The Asia Foundation's recently released public-opinionsurvey titled Afghanistan in 2006: A Survey of the Afghan People.The papers in this volume analyze survey data on the opinions and perceptions of Afghans towards government, public policy, democracy, and political and social change as interpreted by social scientists familiar with the region.The contributors comment on trends,patterns,and variations owing to Afghan geography,ethnicity,and other factors,and assess comparatively Afghanistan's situation vis-à-vis other countries in the region.By combining analysis of quantitative survey data with broader contextual interpretations,the papers together anchor a holistic appraisal of change in the underlying sociopolitical realities and history of Afghanistan. ©2007,The Asia Foundation The Asia Foundation is a non-profit, non-governmental organization committed to the development of a peaceful, prosperous, just, and open Asia-Pacific region. The Foundation supports programs in Asia that help improve governance, law, and civil society; women's empowerment;economic reform and development;and international relations.Drawing on more than 50 years of experience in Asia,the Foundation collaborates with private and public partners to support leadership and institutional development,exchanges,and policy research. With a network of 17 offices throughout Asia,an office in Washington,D.C.,and its headquarters in San Francisco, the Foundation addresses these issues on both country and regional levels. In 2006,the Foundation provided more than $53 million in program support and distributed 920,000 books and educational materials valued at $30 million throughout Asia. For more information,visit The Asia Foundation's website at www.asiafoundation.org Project Design,Direction,and Editorial Management George Varughese The Asia Foundation Kabul,Afghanistan Report Design and Printing Nancy Kelly The Asia Foundation San Francisco,USA AINA Kabul,Afghanistan This publication was made possible by support provided by the U.S. Agency for International Development (Award No.306-A-00-03-00504-00).The opinions expressed herein are those of the authors and do not reflect the views of the U.S.Agency for International Development or of The Asia Foundation. Contents Acknowledgements 1 Contributors 3 Chapter 1 Reflections on a Survey of the Afghan People:An Introduction 5 George Varughese Chapter 2 Afghans and Democracy 13 Russell J.Dalton Chapter 3 Local Perceptions of the State of Afghanistan 29 Sanjay Ruparelia Chapter 4 Elections in Afghanistan:Progress Towards Democracy 47 Sanjay Kumar Chapter 5 Human Security in Afghanistan through the Eyes of Afghans 63 Center for Conflict and Peace Studies Chapter 6 Changes in the Status of Women in Afghanistan 77 Sanjay Kumar & Praveen Rai Appendix 1 Target Demographics 99 Appendix 2 Survey Methodology 103 Appendix 3 Survey Questionnaire 107 1 Acknowledgements This publication was commissioned,developed,and managed by The Asia Foundation's Afghanistan office.The critical support of program officers Najibullah Amin and Sunil Pillai in managing the day-to-day activities of the publication project is gratefully acknowledged. Comments among the five authors and with an anonymous editor were supplemented by thoughtful feedback from Jon Summers,Meloney Lindberg,Jane Williams-Grube, Najibullah Amin,Fazel Rabi Haqbeen,and Sunil Pillai.Manuscript reviews by Hari Sharma and Hemant Ojha were useful in putting the final touches to drafts.Nancy Kelly and Katherine Brown in The Asia Foundation's San Francisco office provided valuable design assistance and support.These colleagues are also gratefully acknowledged. Financial support for this publication came from a cooperative agreement with the Afghanistan office of the U.S.Agency for International Development (Award No.306- A-00-03-00504-00) that seeks to encourage capacity-building of policy-relevant data collection and analysis.We are grateful to Eric Kite,Bruce Etling,Jene Thomas,and Mohamed Zahar for their encouragement of this publication and of the survey volume that preceded it in 2006. George Varughese The Asia Foundation Afghanistan Spring 2007 3 Contributors CAPS,the Centre for Conflict and Peace Studies is an independent research centre based in Kabul,Afghanistan.It conducts research that is intended to inform policy- makers.One of the first think-tanks in post-Taliban Afghanistan,it undertakes research,training,and knowledge exchanges on conflict,the people and cultures,and violent groups in the region. Russell J.Daltonis Professor of Political Science and former director of the Center for the Study of Democracy at the University of California,Irvine.Dalton's research focuses on the role of the citizen in the democratic process.His recent publications include The Good Citizen(2007), Democratic Challenges, Democratic Choices (2004),Citizen Politics (2006);he is co-editor of the Oxford Handbook of Political Behavior (2007),and Citizens, Democracy and Markets around the Pacific Rim (2006). Sanjay Kumaris a Fellow at the Centre for the Study of Developing Societies (CSDS),Delhi.His area of research is electoral politics and he specialises in survey research.He was the India coordinator of the project 'State of Democracy in South Asia'.He is a core team member of the Asian Barometer Survey group led by Prof. Takashi Inoguchi of Cho University,Japan. Praveen Raiis Project Manager with Lokniti,a Research Programme of the Centre for the Study of Developing Societies (CSDS),Delhi.He has authored the book Women in Press- Still Invisible,and has contributed articles in newspaper and research journals.He has worked on various research projects,both at Lokniti and earlier with other organisations. Sanjay Rupareliais Assistant Professor of Political Science at the New School for Social Research in New York City.Much of his present research examines transformations in contemporary Indian democracy:economic liberalization,militant Hindu nationalism,and the rise of lower-caste,communist,and regional parties in India's federal democracy. In particular,it focuses on the origins,difficulties,and prospects of power-sharing,which also informs his more recent work on Afghanistan. George Varughese is The Asia Foundation's Deputy Country Representative for Afghanistan,responsible for governance-related program development,research,and management.His publications include,among others,"The Contested Role of Heterogeneity in Collective Action:Some Evidence from Community Forestry in Nepal," World DevelopmentVol.29,no.5,Elsevier Science Ltd.(May 2001),and "Population and Forest Dynamics in the Hills of Nepal:Institutional Remedies by Rural Communities" in People and Forests: Communities, Institutions, and the Governance of Forests (2000),Cambridge:MIT Press.
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