SPORTS ECONOMICS SportsEconomics,themostcomprehensivetextbookinthefieldbycele- bratedeconomistRogerD.Blair,focusesprimarilyonthebusinessand economicsaspectsofmajorprofessionalsportsandtheNationalColle- giateAthleticAssociation.Itemploysthebasicprinciplesofeconomics to address issues such as the organization of leagues, pricing, adver- tising, and broadcasting as well as the labor market in sports. Among its novel features is the candid coverage of the image and integrity of players, teams, managers, and the leagues themselves, including cases ofgambling,cheating,misconduct,andperformance-enhancingdrugs. Thetextalsodiscussesothercontroversialsubjectssuchasdisciplining participants,discrimination,thefinancingoffacilities,andhowsalaries aredetermined.Blairexplainshoweconomicdecisionsaremadeunder conditions of uncertainty using the well-known expected utility model andmakesextensiveuseofpresentvalueconceptstoanalyzeinvestment decisions.Numerousexamplesaredrawnfromthedailypress.Thetext offersampleboxestoillustratesportsthemes,aswellasextensiveuseof diagrams,tables,problemsets,andresearchquestions. Roger D. Blair is Walter J. Matherly Professor and Chair of the Depart- ment of Economics at the University of Florida, where he has taught since 1970. He received his Ph.D. from Michigan State University. Pro- fessor Blair is the author or coauthor of numerous books, including AntitrustEconomics(withDavidKaserman),LawandEconomicsofVerti- calIntegrationandControl(withDavidKaserman),Monopsony:Antitrust Law and Economics (with Jeffrey Harrison), Monopsony in Law and Economics (with Jeffrey Harrison, Cambridge University Press, 2010), Intellectual Property: Economic and Legal Dimensions of Rights and Remedies (with Thomas Cotter, Cambridge University Press, 2005), The Economics of Franchising (with Francine Lafontaine, Cambridge Uni- versityPress,2005),andVolumeIIofAntitrustLaw(withHerbertHov- enkamp,ChristineDurrance,andPhilipAreeda).Heisalsotheeditoror coeditorofmanyvolumes,includingProvingAntitrustDamages.Profes- sorBlairhaswrittenmorethan170articlesorchaptersinprofessional economicsjournals,lawreviews,andbooks. Sports Economics Roger D. Blair UniversityofFlorida cambridgeuniversitypress Cambridge,NewYork,Melbourne,Madrid,CapeTown, Singapore,Sa˜oPaulo,Delhi,Tokyo,MexicoCity CambridgeUniversityPress 32AvenueoftheAmericas,NewYork,NY10013-2473,USA www.cambridge.org Informationonthistitle:www.cambridge.org/9780521876612 (cid:2)C RogerD.Blair2012 Thispublicationisincopyright.Subjecttostatutoryexception andtotheprovisionsofrelevantcollectivelicensingagreements, noreproductionofanypartmaytakeplacewithoutthewritten permissionofCambridgeUniversityPress. Firstpublished2012 PrintedintheUnitedStatesofAmerica AcatalogrecordforthispublicationisavailablefromtheBritishLibrary. LibraryofCongressCataloginginPublicationdata Blair,RogerD. Sportseconomics/RogerD.Blair. p. cm. Includesbibliographicalreferencesandindex. ISBN978-0-521-87661-2(hardback) 1.Sports–Economicaspects. 2.Professionalsports–Economicaspects. I.Title. GV716.B53 2011 796.06′91–dc23 2011025092 ISBN978-0-521-87661-2Hardback CambridgeUniversityPresshasnoresponsibilityforthepersistenceoraccuracyofURLsfor externalorthird-partyinternetwebsitesreferredtointhispublicationanddoesnotguaranteethat anycontentonsuchwebsitesis,orwillremain,accurateorappropriate. Coverphoto:SarahGoldberger Fortherealsportsinmylife–Alec,Devon,Riley,andBrettBlair. –Papa Contents Preface . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . pagexxi CommonlyUsedAbbreviations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . xxiii I INTRODUCTION 1 IntroductiontoSportsEconomics . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3 1 Introduction 3 2 ToolsofAnalysis 4 2.1 PresentValueCalculations 4 2.2 EconomicsofUncertainty 4 3 TheSportsBusiness 5 3.1 SportsLeaguesandOrganizations 5 3.2 CompetitiveBalance 6 3.3 PricingDecisions 7 3.4 AdvertisingandPromotion 7 3.5 BroadcastRights 8 3.6 InsuringPlayerTalent 8 3.7 SportsLeaguesandAntitrustPolicy 9 4 ImageandIntegrity 9 4.1 GamblinginSports 9 4.2 CheatinginSports 9 4.3 MisconductbyParticipants 10 4.4 Performance-EnhancingDrugs 10 5 Facilities,Franchises,andPublicPolicy 11 5.1 DemandforSportsFranchisesandEvents 11 5.2 EconomicImpactStudies 11 5.3 FinancingSportsFacilities 11 6 TheSportsLaborMarket 11 6.1 CompetitionandMonopsony 11 6.2 MonopsonyintheNCAA 12 6.3 BiddingandBargainingintheSportsLaborMarket 12 vii viii Contents 6.4 EconomicValueofMultiyearContracts 13 6.5 FinalOfferArbitration 13 6.6 Players’UnionsandCollectiveBargaining 13 6.7 SportsAgents 13 6.8 TheRoleofSportsAgents 14 6.9 TurningProEarly 14 6.10 DiscriminationintheSportsLaborMarket 14 7 ConcludingRemarks 14 ReferencesandFurtherReading 15 2 TheBusinessofSports. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .16 1 Introduction 16 2 ProfitandProfitMaximization 17 2.1 ANumericalExample 18 3 RevenueandCosts 19 3.1 RevenueSources 19 3.2 CostsofGeneratingRevenues 24 3.3 ClubProfit 24 4 ProfitandTeamQuality 25 4.1 SelectingTeamQuality 25 4.2 QualityandAttendanceintheNFL 26 5 ValueofaProfessionalClub 26 5.1 Stand-AloneInvestments 32 5.2 FranchiseValueGrowthintheNFL 32 5.3 CapitalAppreciationinMLB 33 5.4 OtherBenefits 35 6 ConcludingRemarks 35 ProblemsandQuestions 35 ResearchQuestions 38 Appendix 38 ReferencesandFurtherReading 44 3 SportsLeaguesandOrganizations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 46 1 Introduction 46 2 LeagueFormation 47 2.1 CooperationofftheField 47 2.2 LeaguesasJointVentures 47 2.3 LeaguesasCartels 48 3 SportsLeaguesandProfitMaximization 48 4 RulesandProceduresofSportsLeagues 50 4.1 LeagueMembership 50 4.2 LeagueGovernance 52 4.3 ProductionofAthleticCompetition 52 4.4 MarketingtheLeague’sProducts 53 4.5 Players’Market 53 Contents ix 4.6 OtherInputs 54 4.7 Consensus 54 5 RevenueSharing 54 5.1 TransfertoWeakerTeams 54 5.2 RevenueSharinginMLB 55 6 SportsLeagues,MonopolyPower,andConsumer Welfare 56 7 LeagueExpansion 58 7.1 AmericanLeague 59 7.2 NationalLeague 60 8 ConcludingRemarks 62 ProblemsandQuestions 62 ResearchQuestions 63 ReferencesandFurtherReading 63 4 CompetitiveBalance . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 65 1 Introduction 65 2 DefinitionofCompetitiveBalance 65 3 MeasuresofCompetitiveBalance 67 3.1 Noll-ScullyMeasure 67 3.2 Herfindahl-HirschmanIndex 69 3.3 ACaveatonStatisticalMeasures 70 4 EconomicAnalysisofCompetitiveBalance 70 4.1 FreeAgency 70 5 DealingwithCompetitiveImbalance 73 5.1 ReserveClause 73 5.2 RevenueSharing 75 5.3 EconomicImplicationsofRevenueSharing 76 5.4 SalaryCaps 77 5.5 Reverse-OrderPlayerDrafts 79 5.6 LuxuryTaxes 79 5.7 EconomicImplicationsofLuxuryTaxes 80 6 ConcludingRemarks 82 ProblemsandQuestions 82 ResearchQuestions 83 ReferencesandFurtherReading 84 II THESPORTSBUSINESS 5 PricingDecisions. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .89 1 Introduction 89 2 CompetitivePricing 89 3 SimpleMonopolyPricing 90 3.1 EmptySeatsandTicketPricing 93 3.2 TicketPricingandDemandElasticity 93 x Contents 4 PriceDiscrimination 95 4.1 ConditionsNecessaryforSuccessfulPriceDiscrimination 96 4.2 ProfitMaximizationandPriceDiscrimination 97 4.3 TicketPricing 97 5 PeakLoadPricing 99 6 SeasonTicketsandOtherBundling 102 7 Two-PartPricing 104 7.1 Two-PartPricing:IdenticalDemands 104 7.2 Two-PartPricing:NonidenticalDemands 105 8 PricingComplements 107 9 TicketScalping:APricingFailure 110 9.1 StudentTickets:AScalpingOpportunity 111 9.2 TicketstotheFinalFour 111 9.3 DemandShiftsandScalping 111 9.4 Example:TheMasters 111 9.5 AntiscalpingLaws 112 10 ConcludingRemarks 113 ProblemsandQuestions 113 ResearchQuestions 115 ReferencesandFurtherReading 115 6 AdvertisingintheSportsIndustry . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 117 1 Introduction 117 2 OptimalAdvertisingbyaFirm 118 2.1 NumericalExample 118 3 SportsAdvertisingbyFirms 120 3.1 SportsPublications 124 3.2 NamingRights 124 3.3 Sponsorships 128 3.4 Endorsements 129 4 StrategicBehaviorinAdvertising 130 5 League-WideAdvertising 131 5.1 EconomicTheory 132 5.2 ProblemsinPractice 133 5.3 ANumericalExample 134 6 ConcludingRemarks 135 ProblemsandQuestions 135 ResearchQuestions 136 ReferencesandFurtherReading 136 7 TheMarketforSportsBroadcastingRights. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .137 1 Introduction 137 2 MarketStructure 138 2.1 SportsBroadcastingAct 139 Contents xi 3 BiddingforBroadcastRights 141 3.1 ANumericalExample 143 3.2 TheWinner’sCurse 145 3.3 BiddingandUncertainty 146 3.4 OtherBenefitstoBroadcasters 147 3.5 MondayNightFootball 148 3.6 BottomLine 149 4 VerticalIntegrationinSports 149 4.1 TransactionCosts 152 4.2 StrategicBehavior 152 5 SportsNetworks 152 5.1 CollegeConferences 153 6 ConcludingRemarks 153 ProblemsandQuestions 154 ResearchQuestions 156 ReferencesandFurtherReading 156 8 InsuringPlayerTalent . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 158 1 Talent:ARiskyAsset 158 2 RiskAversionandInsurance 159 2.1 ExpectedUtilityModel 159 2.2 RiskAversionandRiskNeutrality 160 2.3 RiskAversion 161 2.4 RiskNeutrality 163 2.5 MeasuringExpectedUtility 163 2.6 CertaintyEquivalent 164 3 ShiftingRiskthroughInsurance 164 4 TheNCAAInsuranceProgram 166 4.1 Premiums 167 5 TeamInsurancePurchases 168 5.1 TheJeffBagwellExample 169 5.2 InsuranceDecisions 170 6 ConcludingRemarks 171 ProblemsandQuestions 171 ResearchQuestions 173 Appendix 173 ReferencesandFurtherReading 174 9 SportsLeaguesandAntitrustPolicy. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .175 1 Introduction 175 2 TheEconomicRationaleforAntitrust 175 3 TheAntitrustLaws 178 3.1 Section1oftheShermanAct 178 3.2 Section2oftheShermanAct 179
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