Spatial trends in aquaculture potential in the South and East inshore and offshore marine plan areas December 2013 This page has been intentionally left blank. Spatial trends in aquaculture potential in the South and East Inshore and Offshore Marine Plan Areas MMO Project No: 1040 Project funded by: The Marine Management Organisation Report prepared by: Marine Planning Consultants Ltd © Marine Management Organisation 2013 This publication (excluding the logos) may be re-used free of charge in any format or medium (under the terms of the Open Government Licence www.nationalarchives.gov.uk/doc/open-government-licence/). It may only be re-used accurately and not in a misleading context. The material must be acknowledged as Marine Management Organisation Copyright and use of it must give the title of the source publication. Where third party Copyright material has been identified, further use of that material requires permission from the Copyright holders concerned. Disclaimer This report contributes to the Marine Management Organisation (MMO) evidence base which is a resource developed through a large range of research activity and methods carried out by both the MMO and external experts. The opinions expressed in this report do not necessarily reflect the views of the MMO nor are they intended to indicate how the MMO will act on a given set of facts or signify any preference for one research activity or method over another. The MMO is not liable for the accuracy or completeness of the information contained nor is it responsible for any use of the content. This report should be cited as MMO (2013). Spatial trends in aquaculture potential in the South and East Inshore and Offshore Marine Plan Areas. A report produced for the Marine Management Organisation, pp 202. MMO Project No: 1040. ISBN: 978-1-909452-18-3. First published November 2013. Contents Executive Summary ...................................................................................................... 1 1. Introduction ............................................................................................................... 3 1.1 Project statement .................................................................................................. 3 1.2 Requirement for this project .................................................................................. 3 1.3 Project objectives .................................................................................................. 3 1.4 Final project outputs .............................................................................................. 4 1.5 Geographic scope ................................................................................................. 5 1.6 Cultivation types and species ................................................................................ 6 2. Methodology .............................................................................................................. 8 2.1 Literature review ................................................................................................... 8 2.2 Stakeholder consultation ....................................................................................... 8 2.3 Development of the spatial model ......................................................................... 9 2.4 Mapped data inputs............................................................................................. 10 2.5 Delineating areas with potential for aquaculture development ............................ 11 2.6 Accounting for investment dependent constraints ............................................... 15 2.7 Assessing the economic potential ....................................................................... 15 2.8 Quality assurance ............................................................................................... 15 2.9 Repeatability ....................................................................................................... 16 2.10 Compliance with MEDIN metadata standards ................................................... 17 2.11 Taxonomic nomenclature .................................................................................. 17 3. Natural Resource Requirements ............................................................................ 18 3.1 Bottom culture of bivalve shellfish ....................................................................... 18 3.1.1 Temperature.................................................................................................. 19 3.1.2 Salinity .......................................................................................................... 20 3.1.3 Substrate ....................................................................................................... 20 3.1.4 Exposure to air .............................................................................................. 20 3.1.5 Wave/tidal exposure ...................................................................................... 21 3.1.6 Water quality ................................................................................................. 21 3.1.7 Depth ............................................................................................................ 21 3.2 Trestle/bag culture of bivalve shellfish ................................................................ 22 3.2.1 Temperature.................................................................................................. 22 3.2.2 Salinity .......................................................................................................... 24 3.2.3 Substrate ....................................................................................................... 24 3.2.4 Exposure to air .............................................................................................. 24 3.2.5 Wave/tidal exposure ...................................................................................... 24 3.2.6 Water quality ................................................................................................. 24 3.2.7 Depth ............................................................................................................ 24 3.3 Rope/line grown bivalve shellfish ........................................................................ 26 3.3.1 Temperature.................................................................................................. 27 3.3.2 Salinity .......................................................................................................... 27 3.3.3 Substrate ....................................................................................................... 27 3.3.4 Wave/tidal exposure ...................................................................................... 27 3.3.5 Water quality ................................................................................................. 27 3.3.6 Depth ............................................................................................................ 27 3.4 Macroalgae production ........................................................................................ 29 3.4.1 Light .............................................................................................................. 29 3.4.2 Temperature.................................................................................................. 29 3.4.3 Salinity .......................................................................................................... 30 3.4.4 Substrate ....................................................................................................... 30 3.4.5 Wave/tidal exposure ...................................................................................... 30 3.4.6 Water quality ................................................................................................. 30 3.4.7 Depth ............................................................................................................ 30 3.5 Hatchery reared lobster ....................................................................................... 32 3.6 Marine finfish cage culture .................................................................................. 33 3.6.1 Water quality ................................................................................................. 35 3.6.2 Dissolved oxygen .......................................................................................... 36 3.6.4 Temperature.................................................................................................. 37 3.6.5 Wave/tidal exposure ...................................................................................... 37 3.6.6 Depth ............................................................................................................ 37 3.6.7 Substrate ....................................................................................................... 37 3.7. Natural Resource Model Inputs .......................................................................... 39 3.7.1 Water quality ................................................................................................. 39 3.7.2 Temperature.................................................................................................. 39 3.7.3 Salinity .......................................................................................................... 39 3.7.4 Wave and tidal exposure ............................................................................... 40 3.7.5 Substrate ....................................................................................................... 42 3.7.6 Depth and distance offshore ......................................................................... 44 3.7.7 Confidence assessment ................................................................................ 47 4. Planning Constraints Affecting Developments .................................................... 49 4.1 Protected sites .................................................................................................... 49 4.2 Effects on species, habitats and ecosystems ...................................................... 50 4.2.1 Mobile species .............................................................................................. 50 4.2.2 Sensitive benthic habitats ............................................................................. 51 4.2.3 Water quality ................................................................................................. 51 4.2.4 Carrying capacity .......................................................................................... 52 4.2.5 Non-native invasive species .......................................................................... 53 4.2.6 Fish disease .................................................................................................. 54 4.3 Existing infrastructure and marine developments ............................................... 54 4.4 Recreation and tourism ....................................................................................... 54 4.5 Fishing (catch sector) including Several and Regulatory Order areas ................ 55 4.6 Visual impact ....................................................................................................... 55 4.7 Historic culture .................................................................................................... 56 4.8 Constraint types applied in the spatial model ...................................................... 56 4.8.1 Use of buffers/separation distances for impact assessment ......................... 58 4.8.2 Consideration of intensity .............................................................................. 58 4.8.3 Exclusion areas ............................................................................................. 58 4.8.4 Areas of least resistance ............................................................................... 59 4.8.5 Potential to co-exist ....................................................................................... 60 5. Proximity to Essential Infrastructure ..................................................................... 61 5.1 Proximity to suitable landing ports ...................................................................... 61 5.2 Hatchery locations ............................................................................................... 62 5.3 Location of purification units ................................................................................ 62 5.4 Location of processing plants .............................................................................. 63 5.5 Location of potential business base .................................................................... 63 5.6 Proximity to invasive non-native species ............................................................. 63 6. Economic and Commercial Considerations for Aquaculture Development ...... 64 6.1 Introduction ......................................................................................................... 64 6.2 Model Selection .................................................................................................. 65 6.3 Pen/Cage Culture ............................................................................................... 66 6.4 Salmon culture .................................................................................................... 67 6.5 Halibut culture ..................................................................................................... 68 6.6 Cod culture .......................................................................................................... 69 6.7 Mussels (bottom and rope grown) ....................................................................... 69 6.8 Oysters ................................................................................................................ 70 6.9 Clams .................................................................................................................. 71 6.10 Lobster restocking ............................................................................................. 72 6.11 Rope grown macroalgae ................................................................................... 73 6.12 Rope grown scallops ......................................................................................... 74 6.13 Market prices .................................................................................................... 76 6.14 Multipliers, Impact and Employment ................................................................. 77 6.15 Key outputs from cost benefit analysis .............................................................. 77 6.16 Conclusions on economic and commercial considerations ............................... 79 7. Modelled Potential for Aquaculture Development ................................................ 80 7.1 Natural resource suitability .................................................................................. 80 7.2 Planning and infrastructure constraints ............................................................... 94 7.3 Areas suitable for aquaculture development and relative investment required . 107 7.5 Key outputs from model .................................................................................... 127 8. Conclusions and Recommendations .................................................................. 129 8.1 Model Benefits and Limitations ......................................................................... 129 8.1.1. Water quality, temperature and salinity ...................................................... 129 8.1.2 Visual impacts ............................................................................................. 130 8.1.3 Marine recreation ........................................................................................ 130 8.1.4 Size and spacing of aquaculture sites ......................................................... 130 8.1.5 Carrying capacity and production levels ...................................................... 131 8.1.6 Seabed sediments ...................................................................................... 132 8.1.7 Interactions with mobile species .................................................................. 132 8.1.8 Interactions with the commercial fishing (catch) sector ............................... 133 8.1.9 Modelling ‘aquaculture types’ ...................................................................... 133 8.2 Recommendations for further development of the model .................................. 134 8.2.1 Improve the aquaculture knowledge base ................................................... 134 8.2.2 Improve and expand the model input data .................................................. 136 8.2.3 Model trials .................................................................................................. 140 8.2.4 Expand the geographic scope ..................................................................... 140 8.3 Critical assessment of modelling approach ....................................................... 140 8.4 Commercial risk caveats ................................................................................... 141 9. References ............................................................................................................. 143 Annex 1: Summary of Existing Aquaculture Models ................................................... 158 Annex 2: Stakeholder Questionnaire .......................................................................... 160 Annex 3: Summary of the Model Input Data Layers and Constraint Levels Applied .. 165 Annex 4: Confidence Assessment Criteria and Scoring ............................................. 173 Annex 5: List of Species Names, Authorities and Synonymised Taxa* ...................... 186 Annex 6: EC Directive 79/923/EEC Quality Standards for Shellfish Growing Waters 193 Annex 7: Sensitivity Matrix for Species and Habitats ................................................. 195 Annex 9: Sample Frequency Distribution Demonstrating the Application of Natural Breaks .......................................................................................................... 201 Annex 10: Sample Frequency Distribution of Planning Constraint Scores ................. 202 Figures Figure 1: The East Inshore (3) and Offshore (4) Marine Plan Areas. ............................. 5 Figure 2: The South Inshore (6) and Offshore (7) Marine Plan Areas. ........................... 6 Figure 3: Flow diagram of the model developed in this project. ................................... 12 Figure 4: Step one of the natural resource selection process in GIS. Substrate labelled as “rock”, water depths between 10 and 30m and exposure labelled as “sheltered” and “moderate” were selected for lobster re-stocking. ...................... 13 Figure 5: Step two of the natural resource selection process in GIS. New areas were created based on the overlapping suitability, and used as the basis for attributing potential natural resource for lobster re-stocking. ............................................... 14 Figure 6: Photographs of bottom cultured mussels (Mytilus edulis) being harvested in Poole. ................................................................................................................. 19 Figure 7: Trestle cultivation of native oysters at Jersey Sea Farms using the Ortac system. ............................................................................................................... 22 Figure 8: Mussels being grown on ropes off the west coast of Scotland. ..................... 26 Figure 9: A juvenile lobster that has been on-grown in a cage at sea. ......................... 32 Figure 10: An Atlantic salmon, Salmo salar, farm on the Island of Skye. ..................... 35 Figure 11: Chart showing the combined seabed energy across the East Inshore and Offshore Marine Plan Areas as determined by UKSeaMap 2010 (McBreen, et al., 2010). ................................................................................................................. 41 Figure 12: Chart showing the combined seabed energy across the South Inshore and Offshore Marine Plan Areas as determined by UKSeaMap 2010 (McBreen, et al., 2010). ................................................................................................................. 42 Figure 13: Chart showing the seabed sediments across the East Inshore and Offshore marine Plan Areas as determined by UKSeaMap 2010 (McBreen, et al., 2010). 43 Figure 14: Chart showing the seabed sediments across the South Inshore and Offshore Marine Plan Areas as determined by UKSeaMap 2010 (McBreen, et al., 2010). 44 Figure 15: Chart showing the seabed bathymetry across the East Inshore and Offshore Marine Plan Areas based on the Marine Digital Elevation Model (DEM) of the British Isles (Defra, 2011). .................................................................................. 46
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