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Soviet Naval Forces And Nuclear Warfare: Weapons, Employment, And Policy PDF

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Soviet Naval Forces and Nuclear Warfare About the Book and Author Based on formal content analysis of the writings of Admiral Sergei G. Gorshkov and past Soviet ministers of defense and heads of the Politburo, James J. Tritten interprets what the Soviets say they will do in the event of nuclear war. He then constructs a hardware and exercise analysis of the strategic employment of the Soviet Navy in a nuclear war, offering three possible cases--the "bolt from the blue," with existing forces on patrol; full mobilization; and a plau- sible case of partial mobilization. In addition, Dr. Tritten examines, from a Soviet perspective, concepts of deterrence, the strategic goals and missions of the fleet, nuclear targeting policy, the Sea Lines of Communication (SLOC) disruption mission, and the potential for tactical nuclear warfare limited to the sea. The author concludes by assessing the implications of Soviet politico- military planning for Western defense strategy and arms control. Commander James J. Tritten is currently assigned as Assistant Director, Net Assessment, in the Office of the u.s. Secretary of Defense. Soviet Naval Forces and Nuclear Warfare Weapons, Employment, and Policy James J. Tritten First published 1986 by Westview Press Published 2019 by Routledge 52 Vanderbilt Avenue, New York, NY 10017 2 Park Square, Milton Park, Abingdon, Oxon OX14 4RN Routledge is an imprint of the Taylor & Francis Group, an informa business Copyright ©1986 Taylor & Francis All rights reserved. No part of this book may be reprinted or reproduced or utilised in any formor by any electronic, mechanical, or other means, now known or hereafter invented, includingphotocopying and recording, or in any information storage or retrieval system, withoutpermissionin writing from the publishers. Notice: Product or corporate names may be trademarks or registered trademarks, and are used only foridentification and explanation without intent to infringe. Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data Tritten, James John. Soviet naval forces and nuclear warfare. (Westview special studies in military affairs) Includes index. 1. Soviet Union--Military policy. 2. Soviet Union. Voenno-morskoi f1ot. 3. Nuclear weapons--Soviet Union. I. Title. II. Series. VA573.T75 1986 359'.03-0947 86-4037 ISBN 13: 978-0-367-28830-3 (hbk) Contents List of Tables • • • • • • . . . . . . xi Acknowledgments • • • • • • • • • • • xiii PARI' I ccm'ENT ANALYSIS CHAPI'ER 1 INTOODUCTION 3 CHAPI'ER 2 METHOOOLCX;Y • • • • • • • • • • • • • 11 Previous Investigations • • 12 Data to Be Analyzed 13 Hypothesis Testing • • • • • • 17 Analysis Mechanics • • • • • • 19 CHAPI'ER 3 NAVAL INFWENCE CN WAR ••••••• 25 Victory in War • • • • • • • • • • • 26 Influence on Outcome of war • • • 27 Influence on Course of war • • 30 Means to Influence Outcome and Course of war • • • • • • • • 31 Strategic Missions and Goals •• 32 Strikes •••••••••.• .• .• • • • 34 Findings ••••••• • • 34 CHAPI'ER 4 FLEET VERSUS SHORE • • • • • 41 Missions • • • • • • • • • • 42 ~iet Submarine Strikes • • • • 43 Targets of Soviet Submarine Strikes • • • • • • • • • • •• 43 Sea Lines of Communication (SLOes) •• 48 Findings • • • • • • • • • • • • • • 49 vii viii OiAPI'ER 5 FLEET VERSUS FLEET ••••••••••• 53 Threats .from the Sea • • • • • • • 54 Prevention of Attacks on USSR • • • • • • 57 Protection of the Soviet Fleet • • • 59 Naval Aviation • • • • • • 60 SUrface Ships • • • • • • • 60 SUbmarines • • • • • • • • • 61 '!he "Blue Belt of Defense". • • • • • 64 Findings • • • • • • • • • • 65 CHAPI'ER 6 SOVIET MILITARY STRATEGY • 69 General, Linli ted tbclear and Conventional war ••• 69 Deterrence • • • • • • • • • • 71 Withholding ••••••••••••••• 73 l!dvantages of Naval Forces ••••••• 74 Command and Control • • • • • • 75 Naval Art Versus Military Strategy • • • • • • • • • • 76 Naval cperational Art and Tactics • 78 Latent Lessons of History 79 CZarist History • • 80 w:>rld war I • • • • • • 81 Inter-war Years • • • • 82 w:>rld war II • • • • 85 Post-war Era • • • • • • • • • • • 88 Value of Historical Analysis • • • • • • 90 Arms Control Impact • • • • • • 91 CHAPI'ER 7 FINDINGS OF De<:I.ARATORY POLICY • • • 97 Bastions • • • • • • • • • • • • •• 97 Withholding SSBNs • • • • • • • • • • 98 Targeting • • ••••••••• 99 Sea Lines of Conununication (SIOC) 100 Tactical Nuclear war at Sea • • • • 101 PARI' II HARDWARE ANALYSIS . . . . . . . CHAPTER 8 ME'IHOOOI.OOY • • 105 . . . . CHAPTER 9 STRATEX;IC NUCLEAR FORCES 113 Static Measurements • 113 Dynanic Measurements • • • 125 ix CHAPI'ER 10 NUCLEAR THREAT ASSESSMENT • • • • • • • • 133 Bolt from the Blue • • • • • • • 133 Mobilization • • • • • • • • • • • • • • 136 Su.rge • • • • • • • • • • • • 139 0 0 0 0 0 0 Assessment of Counterforce Iamage to u.s. . . . . . . 142 0 0 C3 Disruption • • • • 142 0 0 0 0 0 ICBM Pin-Down • • • • • • 143 0 0 Attacks on Bombers/Naval Bases • • • • • • • • • • • • • • 144 Counterforce Assessment • • • 146 Assessenent of Countervalue Damage to u.s. . . . . . . . . . . . . 146 CHAP!'ER 11 NAVY STRATOOIC NUCLEAR FORCE ISSUES • 153 0 0 Withholding • • • • • • • • • • • 153 0 0 Exercises • • • • • • • • • • • • • 156 0 Yankee Obsolescence • • • • • • • • 157 0 Ballistic Missiles Versus Fleets 159 0 0 SSBN Air Defense • • • • • • .160 CHAPI'ER 12 SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS OF NAVY STRATEX3IC NUCLEAR FORCES 163 0 Strategic Missile MIRVing • 164 0 SLBM Reliability • • • . . . . 167 0 0 0 MIRV and Reliability • • • 169 0 SSBN Deployment Areas • 170 0 CHAP!'ER 13 GENERAL PURPOSE FORCES 175 0 Data Base ••••••• 175 0 0 0 0 0 0 Task Group Baseline •••• 179 0 General PUrpose Force Issues 183 0 SLOC Mission • • • • • • • • • 189 0 0 0 0 0 PARI' III FINDINGS AND CCNCWSIONS CHAPl'ER 14 FINDINGS • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • 197 Navy Strategic R.Iclear Forces ••• • 197 Forward-Based Systems • • • • • • • 199 Long-Range Systems in Soviet '\i:lters • • • • • • • • • • • 200 '!heater Systems • • • • • • • • • • 203

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