IN TIMES OF AUSTERITY Global economic crisis and the new politics of welfare Edited by Kevin Farnsworth and Zoë Irving Social Policy in TimeS of auSTeriTy Global economic crisis and the new politics of welfare Edited by Kevin Farnsworth and Zoë Irving First published in Great Britain in 2015 by Policy Press North America office: University of Bristol Policy Press 1-9 Old Park Hill c/o The University of Chicago Press Bristol 1427 East 60th Street BS2 8BB Chicago, IL 60637, USA UK t: +1 773 702 7700 t: +44 (0)117 954 5940 f: +1 773 702 9756 [email protected] [email protected] www.policypress.co.uk www.press.uchicago.edu © Policy Press 2015 British Library Cataloguing in Publication Data A catalogue record for this book is available from the British Library Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data A catalog record for this book has been requested ISBN 978 1 44731 912 2 paperback ISBN 978 1 44731 911 5 hardcover The right of Kevin Farnsworth and Zoë Irving to be identified as editors of this work has been asserted by them in accordance with the Copyright, Designs and Patents Act 1988. All rights reserved: no part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording, or otherwise without the prior permission of Policy Press. The statements and opinions contained within this publication are solely those of the editors and contributors and not of the University of Bristol or Policy Press. The University of Bristol and Policy Press disclaim responsibility for any injury to persons or property resulting from any material published in this publication. Policy Press works to counter discrimination on grounds of gender, race, disability, age and sexuality. Cover design by Policy Press Front cover photograph: Getty Images Printed and bound in Great Britain by CMP, Poole Policy Press uses environmentally responsible print partners contents List of figures and tables iv Notes on contributors vi Acknowledgements ix Introduction Social policy in the age of austerity 1 Kevin Farnsworth and Zoë Irving one Austerity: more than the sum of its parts 9 Kevin Farnsworth and Zoë Irving two Conventional wisdom on government austerity: 43 UK politics since the 1920s Michael Hill three The economics of austerity 67 Stephen McBride four Neoliberalism, finance-dominated accumulation and 87 enduring austerity: a cultural political economy perspective Bob Jessop five Alternatives to austerity 113 Dexter Whitfield and John Spoehr six Crisis, convulsion and the welfare state 143 Frances Fox Piven and Lorraine C. Minnite Conclusion A new politics of welfare 171 Kevin Farnsworth and Zoë Irving Index 177 iii Social policy in times of austerity list of figures and tables figures 1.1 Public expenditure (percentage of GDP), 2005–7 and 2013 16 1.2 Social expenditure, 2007, post-2007 peak and 2014 17 1.3a Changes in public expenditure by department, 2007–8 to 19 2011–12 (2008 prices): Finland 1.3b Changes in public expenditure by department, 2007–8 to 20 2011–12 (2008 prices): Greece 1.3c Changes in public expenditure by department, 2007–8 to 21 2011–12 (2008 prices): Ireland 1.3d Changes in public expenditure by department, 2007–8 to 22 2011–12 (2008 prices): Sweden 1.3e Changes in public expenditure by department, 2007–8 to 23 2011–12 (2008 prices): United Kingdom 1.3f Changes in public expenditure by department, 2007–8 to 24 2011–12 (2008 prices): United States 1.4 Tackling fiscal imbalances: the ratio of tax increases to 26 spending cuts since 2009 1.5 Pre-crisis spending and planned austerity to 2019 (percentage 28 of GDP) 1.6 Unemployment averages in least and hardest hit countries, 30 2008 and 2012 1.7 Total value of state contribution to working families as a 33 percentage of take-home pay (two children, two adults, one in work earning 40% average wage) 1.8 Wage increases/falls in the post-crisis period, 2008–10 34 2.1 Public wealth in Britain, 1700–2010 44 5.1 Corporate income tax rates and average effective taxation 126 indicators, EU-27 (1995–2012) 5.2 Trends in growth in average wages and labour productivity in 130 G20 developed economies (1999 = 100) 6.1 European countries with poverty rate increase between 144 2008 and 2012 (based on poverty line fixed in 2008) 6.2 Total public social protection expenditure (including 146 health) as a percentage of GDP, 1990 to latest year available 6.3 Child poverty rates, 2009 (percentage of children living 146 in households with equivalent income lower than 50% of national median) iv List of figures and tables Tables 2.1 UK unemployment rates, 1925–35 47 2.2 Annual unemployment rate averages and inflation rates in 55 the 1970s 3.1 Unemployment rates 71 3.2 GDP per capita, 2007–12 72 3.3 Public sector deficits and debt, and private sector debt 74 (percentage of GDP) 3.4 Gini coefficient change in market income inequality, 76 2007–11 (by percentage) 3.5 Gini coefficient percentage change in disposable income 76 inequality, 2007–11 3.6 Annual percentage change in household disposable 77 income, 2007–11 (by income group) 5.1 US comparison of estimated macroeconomic multipliers 119 v Social policy in times of austerity notes on contributors Kevin Farnsworth is a senior lecturer in comparative, international and global social policy at the University of York, UK. His research interests include the political economy of welfare, welfare states and economic crisis, and corporate welfare. He has published widely on business influence on social and public policy, most recently in Corporate Welfare Versus Social Welfare (Palgrave, 2012). He is co-editor with Zoë Irving of Social Policy in Challenging Times (Policy Press, 2011) and the Journal of International and Comparative Social Policy. Frances Fox Piven is distinguished professor of political science and sociology at the Graduate School and University Center of the City University of New York, USA. She is the author or co-author of more than a dozen books and hundreds of articles on social movements, the welfare state, and social policy, most notably (with Richard A. Cloward), Regulating the Poor: The Functions of Public Welfare, and Poor People’s Movements: Why They Succeed, How They Fail. Michael Hill is emeritus professor of social policy of the University of Newcastle, UK. Since leaving Newcastle he has held part-time visiting appointments at Queen Mary College (London), the London School of Economics and Political Science, and the University of Brighton. He is author of The Public Policy Process, Implementing Public Policy (with Peter Hupe), Social Policy in the Modern World and Understanding Social Policy (with Zoë Irving). In 2009 he was presented with the UK Social Policy Association’s Lifetime Achievement Award. Zoë Irving is a senior lecturer in comparative, international and global social policy at the University of York. Her research interests are in the social politics of economic crisis and austerity, and also in the development of comparative welfare theory that accounts for population size. She is co-editor with Kevin Farnsworth of Social Policy in Challenging Times (Policy Press, 2011) and the Journal of International and Comparative Social Policy, and co-author with Michael Hill of Understanding Social Policy (Wiley Blackwell, 2009). Bob Jessop is distinguished professor of sociology and co-director of the Cultural Political Economy Research Centre at Lancaster University, UK. He is best known for his contributions to state theory, critical political economy, critical governance studies, the analysis of welfare vi NNootteess oonn ccoonnttrriibbuuttoorrss state restructuring and, most recently, cultural political economy. He has recently completed a 3.5-year funded project on crises of crisis management in response to the North Atlantic financial crisis and the Eurozone crisis. Recent books include: Towards a Cultural Political Economy: Putting Culture in its Place in Political Economy (co-authored with Ngai-Ling Sum, 2013); Financial Cultures and Crisis Dynamics (co-edited with Brigitte Young and Christoph Scherrer, 2014); and The State: Past, Present, Future (2015). His personal website and archive are at bobjessop.org Stephen McBride is professor and Canada research chair in public policy and globalization in the Department of Political Science at McMaster University. Current research interests include comparative labour markets and social policy, new constitutionalism and the political economy of austerity. Recent publications include Private Affluence, Public Austerity: Economic Crisis and Democratic Malaise in Canada, co-authored with Heather Whiteside (Fernwood, 2011), and Orchestrating Austerity: Impacts and Resistance, co-edited with Donna Baines (Fernwood, 2014). Lorraine C. Minnite is an associate professor of public policy at Rutgers University-Camden, where she serves as director of urban studies and mentors doctoral students in the Public Affairs/Community Development programme. She is the author and co-author of two books on electoral rules and racial and class politics in the US, The Myth of Voter Fraud, and Keeping Down the Black Vote: Race and the Demobilization of American Voters (co-authored with Frances Fox Piven and Margaret Groarke). John Spoehr is executive director of the Australian Workplace Innovation and Social Research Institute at the University of Adelaide in South Australia. He is an associate professor and political economist specialising in economic, employment and social policy. He currently leads a project on the political economy of austerity in collaboration with the Don Dunstan Foundation. Recent publications include State of South Australia – Turbulent Times (2013) and The Engaging State – South Australia’s Engagement with the Asia Pacific Region (2012) with Purnendra Jain, both published by Wakefield Press. Dexter Whitfield is director of the European Services Strategy Unit and adjunct associate professor, Australian Workplace Innovation and Social Research Centre, University of Adelaide. He has undertaken vii Social policy in times of austerity extensive research and policy analysis of regional/city economies and public sector provision, jobs and employment strategies, marketisation and privatisation. Publications include Unmasking Austerity (Spokesman, 2014), In Place of Austerity (Spokesman, 2012), Global Auction of Public Assets (Spokesman, 2010), Public Services or Corporate Welfare (Pluto Press, 2001), The Welfare State (Pluto Press, 1992) and Making it Public (Pluto Press, 1983). viii acknowledgements This is the second edited collection we have published with Policy Press on the subject of social policy and the (after)effects of the global financial crisis. There is a sense in which this volume is a ‘sequel’ to Social Policy in Challenging Times (2011) and sometimes there is a worry that the successor will have less impact or originality than its predecessor. However, although benefiting from the collected works included in ‘Challenging Times’, this book has different aims and a different format. We are confident therefore that the quality and breadth of contributions in this volume, and the range of approaches to the examination and analysis of austerity, will provide readers with new insights and perspectives on the politics and economics of welfare after 2008. In developing the book, we are grateful to Policy Press and especially Emily Watt and Laura Vickers who have supported the project through several stages, and have demonstrated their unique blend of motivational skills and patience (often simultaneously) in its final production. We would also like to thank the contributors for agreeing to include their work in the volume. Each of them has brought something different and important to a better understanding of the austerity story, and they have all been a genuine pleasure to work with. As co-authors we would also like to thank all those who have attended the various papers we have delivered on the subject of austerity while preparing the book, and the anonymous reviewer of the manuscript; we hope we have done justice to the welcome comments we have received. As we go to press, there is little to suggest that a major change in policy direction will happen anytime soon. If anything, austerity appears to be spreading and deepening across welfare states. We hope, however, that the arguments and ideas presented in this book add force to the momentum for an alternative vision to the austerity future of welfare, or at least the possibility that an alternative vision exists. ix