AIEL Series in Labour Economics For furthervolumes: http://www.springer.com/series/7370 Giuliana Parodi Dario Sciulli • Editors Social Exclusion Short and Long Term Causes and Consequences Prof.Giuliana Parodi Asst.Prof.Dario Sciulli Dipartimentodi MetodiQuantitativi Dipartimentodi MetodiQuantitativi e TeoriaEconomica e TeoriaEconomica Università ‘‘G.d’Annunzio’’ Università ‘‘G.d’Annunzio’’ diChieti-Pescara diChieti-Pescara Viale Pindaro42 Viale Pindaro42 65127Pescara 65127Pescara Italy Italy [email protected] [email protected] ISSN 1863-916X ISBN 978-3-7908-2771-2 e-ISBN978-3-7908-2772-9 DOI 10.1007/978-3-7908-2772-9 SpringerHeidelbergDordrechtLondonNewYork LibraryofCongressControlNumber:2011936144 (cid:2)Springer-VerlagBerlinHeidelberg2012 Thisworkissubjecttocopyright.Allrightsarereserved,whetherthewholeorpartofthematerialis concerned,specificallytherightsoftranslation,reprinting,reuseofillustrations,recitation,broadcast- ing, reproduction on microfilm or in any other way, and storage in data banks. Duplication of this publicationorpartsthereofispermittedonlyundertheprovisionsoftheGermanCopyrightLawof September 9, 1965, in its current version, and permission for use must always be obtained from Springer.ViolationsareliabletoprosecutionundertheGermanCopyrightLaw. Theuseofgeneraldescriptivenames,registerednames,trademarks,etc.inthispublicationdoesnot imply, even in the absence of a specific statement, that such names are exempt from the relevant protectivelawsandregulationsandthereforefreeforgeneraluse. Coverdesign:eStudioCalamar,Berlin/Figueres Printedonacid-freepaper Physica-VerlagisabrandofSpringer SpringerispartofSpringerScience+BusinessMedia(www.springer.com) Acknowledgments This book contains a collection of papers, most of which have been presented at thethematicsessionon‘‘SocialExclusion’’oftheXXVAnnualConferenceofthe Italian Association of Labour Economists (AIEL), held at the University ‘‘G. d’Annunzio’’ of Chieti-Pescara in September 2010. All the papers, before being published, have been submitted to a double blind peer-review process. This has been possible thanks to the contributions of the referees: all the papers have benefited from their valuable suggestions. We are also indebted with various institutions that have provided us the financialsupportthathas madepossiblethispublication.We wouldliketothank: the Italian Association of Labour Economists, the Camera di Commercio, Indu- stria, Artigianato e Agricoltura di Chieti, the Camera di Commercio, Industria, Artigianato e Agricoltura di Pescara, the Dipartimento di Metodi Quantitativi e Teoria Economica of the Università ‘‘G. d’Annunzio’’ di Chieti-Pescara, the Facoltà di Scienze Manageriali of the Università ‘‘G. d’Annunzio’’ di Chieti- Pescara and the Università ‘‘G. d’Annunzio’’ di Chieti-Pescara. Referees Luca Beltrametti, Università di Genova, Italy Roger A. Bowles, University of York, UK Floro Ernesto Caroleo, Università Parthenope di Napoli, Italy Sergio Destefanis, Università di Salerno, Italy Donata Favaro, Università di Padova, Italy Renata Livraghi, Università di Parma, Italy Emanuele Millemaci, Università di Messina, Italy Catia Nicodemo, Universitat Autonoma de Barcelona, Spain Carmen Pagliari, Università G. d’Annunzio di Chieti-Pescara, Italy Giuliana Parodi, Università G. d’Annunzio di Chieti-Pescara, Italy Matteo Picchio, Universiteit van Tilburg, The Netherlands Cristina Salvioni, Università G. d’Annunzio di Chieti-Pescara, Italy Dario Sciulli, Università G. d’Annunzio di Chieti-Pescara, Italy v vi Acknowledgments Antonello Scorcu, Università di Bologna, Italy Marcello Signorelli, Università di Perugia, Italy Peter J. Sloane, University of Swansea and IZA Bonn, UK Massimo Tamperi, Università Politecnica delle Marche, Italy FrancescoTimpano,UniversitàCattolicadelSacroCuore-SedediPiacenza-, Italy Ainura Uzagalieva, Universidade dos Açores, Portugal Robert J. Waldmann, Università di Roma Tor Vergata, Italy Contents 1 Introduction and Overview. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1 Giuliana Parodi and Dario Sciulli Part I The Structural and Long Term Causes of Social Exclusion 2 Health, Lifestyle and Growth . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17 Gianluigi Coppola 3 A Comparative Analysis of Literacy Rate in Contributing to Social Exclusion Insights. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35 Edgardo Bucciarelli, Carmen Pagliari, Fabrizio Muratore and Iacopo Odoardi 4 Education and Socioeconomic Mobility in Post-Communist Countries. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 67 Alina Veraschagina 5 Analysing Industrial Accidents in European Countries Using Data Envelopment Analysis. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 93 Eugenia Nissi and Agnese Rapposelli Part II Groups Structurally Vulnerable to Social Exclusion 6 Social Exclusion and Offending. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 105 Roger Bowles 7 Disability and Social Exclusion. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 127 Peter J. Sloane and Melanie K. Jones vii viii Contents 8 Civilian Disability Pensions as an Antipoverty Policy Instrument? A Spatial Analysis of Italian Provinces, 2003–2005 . . . . . . . . . . . 149 Massimiliano Agovino and Giuliana Parodi Part III Economic Crisis, Labour Markets and Social Exclusion 9 Measuring the Long Wave. Unemployment, Discouragement and Semi-Employment in Italy, During and After the Crisis . . . . 171 Leonello Tronti and Riccardo Gatto 10 Poverty and Unemployment: The Cases of Italy and Spain . . . . . 199 Tindara Addabbo, Rosa García-Fernández, Carmen Llorca-Rodríguez and Anna Maccagnan 11 Labour Market Transitions During the Financial Crisis in Italy. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 221 Marco Lilla and Stefano Staffolani 12 Labour-Market Dynamics and Unemployment: New Scenarios in the Italian Economy. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 239 Carlo Lucarelli and Chiara Mussida Contributors Tindara Addabbo Dipartimento di Economia, Università di Modena e Reggio- Emilia, Modena, Italy, e-mail: [email protected] MassimilianoAgovinoDipartimentodiMetodiQuantitativieTeoriaEconomica, Università ‘‘G. d’Annunzio’’ di Chieti-Pescara, Viale Pindaro 42, 65127 Pescara, Italy, e-mail: [email protected] Roger Bowles York Criminal Justice Economics York, UK, e-mail: roger. [email protected] Edgardo Bucciarelli Dipartimento di Metodi Quantitativi e Teoria Economica, Università ‘‘G. d’Annunzio’’ di Chieti-Pescara, Viale Pindaro 42, 65127 Pescara, Italy, e-mail: [email protected] GianluigiCoppolaDipartimentodiScienzeEconomichee Statistiche,Università di Salerno Salerno, Italy, e-mail: [email protected] Rosa García-Fernández Métodos Cuantitativos para la Economía y Empresa, Universidad de Granada Granada, Spain, e-mail: [email protected] Riccardo Gatto ISTAT Rome, Italy, e-mail: [email protected] Melanie K. Jones School of Business and Economics, Swansea University Swansea, UK, e-mail: [email protected] Marco Lilla Dipartimento di Economia, Università Politecnica delle Marche, Ancona, Italy, e-mail: [email protected] Carmen Llorca-Rodríguez Departamento de Economía Internacional y de España, Universidad de Granada, Granada, Spain, e-mail: [email protected] Carlo Lucarelli Ufficio Formazione e Lavoro, ISTAT, Rome, Italy, e-mail: [email protected] Anna Maccagnan Dipartimento di Economia, Università di Modena e Reggio- Emilia, Modena, Italy, e-mail: [email protected] ix x Contributors Fabrizio Muratore Scuola Superiore, Università ‘‘G. D’Annunzio’’ di Chieti- Pescara, Pescara, Italy, e-mail: [email protected] Chiara Mussida Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche e Sociali, Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore, Sede di Piacenza, Italy, e-mail: chiara.mussida@ unicatt.it Eugenia Nissi Dipartimento di Metodi Quantitativi e Teoria Economica, Università ‘‘G. d’Annunzio’’ di Chieti-Pescara, Viale Pindaro 42, 65127 Pescara, Italy, e-mail: [email protected] Iacopo Odoardi Scuola Superiore, Università ‘‘G. D’Annunzio’’ di Chieti- Pescara, Pescara, Italy, e-mail: [email protected] Carmen Pagliari Dipartimento di Metodi Quantitativi e Teoria Economica, Università ‘‘G. d’Annunzio’’ di Chieti-Pescara, Viale Pindaro 42, 65127 Pescara, Italy, e-mail: [email protected] Giuliana Parodi Dipartimento di Metodi Quantitativi e Teoria Economica, Università ‘‘G. d’Annunzio’’ di Chieti-Pescara, Viale Pindaro 42, 65127 Pescara, Italy, e-mail: [email protected] Agnese Rapposelli Dipartimento di Metodi Quantitativi e Teoria Economica, Università ‘‘G. d’Annunzio’’ di Chieti-Pescara, Viale Pindaro 42, 65127 Pescara, Italy, e-mail: [email protected] DarioSciulliDipartimentodiMetodiQuantitativieTeoriaEconomica,Università ‘‘G. d’Annunzio’’ di Chieti-Pescara, Viale Pindaro 42, 65127 Pescara, Italy, e-mail: [email protected] PeterJ.SloaneSchoolofBusinessandEconomics,SwanseaUniversity,Swansea, UK,e-mail:[email protected] Stefano Staffolani Dipartimento di Economia, Università Politecnica delle Marche, Ancona, Italy, e-mail: [email protected] LeonelloTronti Università di Roma Tre, Rome, Italy, e-mail: l.tronti@funzione- pubblica.it Alina Veraschagina Dipartimento di Economia e Diritto, Università di Roma La Sapienza, Rome, Italy, e-mail: [email protected]