Social and Environmental Impacts in the North: Methods in Evaluation of Socio-Economic and Environmental Consequences of Mining and Energy Production in the Arctic and Sub-Arctic NATO Science Series ASeriespresentingtheresultsofscientificmeetingssupportedundertheNATOScience Programme. TheSeriesispublishedbylOSPress,Amsterdam,andKluwerAcademicPublishersinconjunction withtheNATOScientificAffairsDivision Sub-Series I. LifeandBehaviouralSciences lOSPress II. Mathematics,PhysicsandChemistry K1uwerAcademicPublishers III.ComputerandSystemsScience lOSPress IV.EarthandEnvironmentalSciences K1uwerAcademicPublishers V. ScienceandTechnologyPolicy lOSPress TheNATOScienceSeriescontinuestheseriesofbookspublishedformerlyastheNATOASISeries. TheNATOScienceProgrammeofferssupportforcollaboration incivilsciencebetweenscientistsof countriesoftheEuro-AtlanticPartnershipCouncil.Thetypesofscientificmeetinggenerallysupported are"AdvancedStudyInstitutes"and"AdvancedResearchWorkshops",althoughothertypesofmeeting aresupportedfromtimetotime.TheNATOScienceSeriescollectstogethertheresultsofthesemee tings.Themeetingsareco-organizedbijscientistsfromNATOcountries andscientistsfromNATO's Partnercountries- countriesoftheCISandcentralandEasternEurope. AdvancedStudyInstitutesarehigh-leveltutorialcoursesofferingin-depthstudyoflatestadvancesin afield. AdvancedResearchWorkshopsareexpertmeetingsaimedatcriticalassessmentofafield,andiden tificationofdirectionsforfutureaction. Asaconsequence oftherestructuringoftheNATOScienceProgrammein1999,theNATOScience Serieshasbeenre-organisedandtherearecurrentlyfivesub-seriesasnotedabove.Pleaseconsultthe followingwebsitesforinformationonpreviousvolumespublishedintheSeries,aswellasdetailsofear liersub-series. http://www.nato.jnVscience http://www.wkapnl http://www.jospress.nl htto:/Iwww.wtv-books.delnato-oco.htm seriesIV:Earth andEnvironmentalSciences- Vol.31 Social and Environmentallmpacts in the North: Methods in Evaluation of Socio-Economic and Environmental Consequences of Mining and Energy Production in the Arctic and Sub-Arctic editedby Rasmus Ole Rasmussen NORS - North Atlantic Regional Studies, Roskilde University, Denmark and Natalia E. Koroleva Polar-Alpine Botanical Garden, Institute of Kola Science Center RAS, Russia SPRINGER-SCIENCE+BUSINESS MEDIA, B.V. Proceedings of the NATO Advanced Research Workshop on Methodologies in Evaluation of Socio-Economic and Environmental Consequences of Mining and Energy Production in the Arctic and Sub-Arctic Apatity, Russia 8-12 May 2002 A C.I.P. Catalogue record for this book is available from the Library of Congress. ISBN 978-1-4020-1669-1 ISBN 978-94-007-1054-2 (eBook) DOI 10.1007/978-94-007-1054-2 Printed on acid-free paper AII Rights Reserved © 2003 Springer Science+Business Media Oordrecht Originally published by Kluwer Academic Publishers in 2003 Softcover reprint of the hardcover 1st edition 2003 No part of this work may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, microfilming, recording or otherwise, without written permission from the Publisher, with the exception of any material supplied specifically for the purpose of being entered and executed on a compu ter system, for exclusive use by the purchaser of the work. TABLE OF CONTENTS Preface IX Introduction: Assessing Consequences ofIndustrialization; R.o. Rasmussen, N. Koroleva XI SECTION I:LargeScale EnvironmentalDynamics 1 Large Scale Environmental Dynamics; Chr. Nellemann,I. Vistnes 3 CO from Permafrost Soils in Relation to 2-Release Temperature Changes; s.usu«. M Bolter, W.Mii/ler-Lupp 7 The Kara-Barents Sea Shelfand ItsProvinces A.A.Predovsky, V.V. Lyubtsov 25 Industrial Developmentand Wildlife in Arctic Ecosystems; D.R.Klein, M Magomedova 35 IntegratedApproach for AssessmentofPolluted Areas E.Ruth, M Kharytonov 57 Methodologies for Remote Sensing ofthe Environmental Impacts ofIndustrial Activity inthe Arctic and Sub-Arctic; W.G.Rees. 0. Rigina 67 Oil and Gas Development intheNorth Sea; ML. Tasker 89 Forest Management and Biodiversity; A.-I. Sippola 101 Radioecological AssessmentofForest Ecosystems After NuclearAccidents; ADvornik 117 v VI TABLE OF CONTENTS Environmentand Security; CNellemann, I. Vistnes, H. Ahlenius, B.P.Kaltenborn, M Magomedova, 0. Udovyk 129 SECTION II:LocalEnvironmental Dynamics 149 Local Environmental Dynamics; B.C Forbes 151 Long-Term TundraDisturbances:Successful Colonizers; G.P. Kershaw 159 Long-term Evaluation ofMethods for Rehabilitation ofLands Disturbed by Industrial Development inthe Arctic; M T.Jorgenson, J.G. Kidd, T.C Carter, S.Bishop, CH. Racine 173 Ecological Approach to Rehabilitation ofLands Subjected to Air Pollution inthe Kola Peninsula; N. Lukina, V. Nikonov 191 Vegetation Responses to Anthropogenic Disturbance; 0.1. Sumina, B.C Forbes 207 Restoration and Recultivation; I.B.Archegova 225 Succession on Disturbed Habitats; N.E. Koroleva 235 Vegetation Cover Monitoring; V. Yu.Neshataeva 243 Response ofPlant Cover ofTundra Ecosystems to Oil-and-Gas Extraction Development; 0. V. Lavrinenko, I.A.Lavrinenko, B.I. Gruzdev 257 SECTION III:LargeScaleSocio-Economic Dynamics 273 Large-Scale Economic and Social Dynamics; R.O.Rasmussen 275 Planning for the Impacts ofMegaprojects; K. Storey, L.C Hamilton 281 Labor Market Perspectives on Resource Development; R.O.Rasmussen 303 TABLEOFCONTENTS Vll Macroeconomic Analysis ofthe Open Trade Economy and the Greenland Economy; G. Winther 319 Mining Activities: The Human Working Environment; W Ruth 337 Abandoned Mining Exploration Equipment inNunavik; G.Duhaime,R. Comtois 353 Regional Climate Change and Adaptation Capacity; 0. Udovyk 369 NuclearRisk and Vulnerability; A.A.Baklanov 385 SECTIONIV:LocalCommunitySocio-EconomicDynamics 407 Local Social and Cultural Dynamics; L. Riabova 409 Tourism Impacts; D. Tommasini 415 Impacts on Indigenous Populations; .LRobert-Lamblin 425 Social Capital and Community Capacity Building; L. Riabova, U.D.Skaptadottir 437 Surviving inthe Oil Age; T. Tuisku 449 Methods forNative Land Use and Occupancy (Luo) Research; P. Charest 463 Methodology ofSocial Impact Follow-up Modeling; Ch~ Gagnon 479 Community Involvement; L. Riabova,H. Myers,D.Dreyer 491 List ofcontributors 515 SubjectIndex 519 PREFACE Future development in the Arctic and Subarctic region requires careful attention to possible consequences of the activities, both in relation to the environmental, the socio-economic, and cultural impacts such development mayhave. Inorder, however, todevelopamore thorough understandingofthe impactoffutureactivities,itisnecessarytobeabletodisseminateandconfront results from different regions and different scientific traditions. It requires scientificcooperation,not onlyacrossdisciplines,butalsoacrossborders.And first and foremost: it requires both consensus and innovations in relation to methods. This book is the result of a four day workshop held in Apatity on Kola Peninsula,Russia.The purposeofthe workshopwastoconfrontdifferencesin approaches and methods in relation to the analysis of socioeconomic and environmental consequences oflarge scale mineral and energy development activities in the Arctic and Subarctic, in order to establish a broader level of commonground inconnection with future research activities. The 48 participants, coming from 19 different countries, represented a substantialvariety inscientificdisciplinesinaswellnatural andsocial sciences as humanities, provided a very good basis for this endeavor. The workshop includedatotal of42contributionsinfivemajorcategories: II paperson large scale environmental dynamics, 9 papers focusing on local environmental dynamics, 7 on large scale socio-economicdynamics, 8on local communities socio-economic dynamics, and 7 papers with a specific regional focus on the situation on the Kola peninsula. And in addition to the presentations of the papersinthematicallyorganizedsession, theworkshopincludeddiscussionsin crossdisciplinaryworkinggroups, aswellassocialandculturalevents,creating an excellent setting for fulfilling the goals of the workshop. The discussionsduringthe workshop resulted inmany valuablecomments toeach ofthecontributions,and inadditiontothe inclusionofthese comments IX x PREFACE in the papers, all contributions have been going through a review process regardingstructure,size, andscientificcontentbeforetheyhavebeen accepted forpublishing.Forafewofthecontributionssomeminor languagecorrections havebeenmade,butgenerallythepapers havebeenkeptintheauthor'soriginal language. Due to the generous funding from NATO (NATO Advanced Workshop) andNARP(Nordic ArcticResearch Program)andaveryprofessionalapproach by Kola Science Center, the meeting was running very smoothly, and the combination of excellent scientific contributions with genuine Russian hospitality gave all participants a memorable experience. We would like to thank the participants for the excellentcontributions, as well as the participation in the very good and open discussions. At the same time wewouldliketothank ourtwoinstitutionsfor supportinconnectionwith theplanningandpracticalarrangementoftheworkshop.Andlast,butnotleast, wewould like tothank NATO ScienceCommitteeand the steeringcommittee of NARP for the financial support, and the publisher to make the results accessiblefor a much wider audience! Roskildeand Apatity September2002 Rasmus Ole Rasmussen Natalia Koroleva NORS, Roskilde University Kola Science Center, Apatity INTRODUCTION: ASSESSING CONSEQUENCES OF INDUSTRIALIZATION Assessing socio-economic and environmental impacts in the Arctic and Subarctic Rasmus Ole Rasmussen' and Natalia Koroleva' INORS -NorthAtlanticRegionalStudies,Roskilde University,Denmark 2Polar-Alpine BotanicalGarden-InstituteofKolaScience CenterRAS, Russia INTRODUCTION From a perception of the Arctic environment as unspoiled and inexhaustible,theconsequences oftrans boundary contaminants and resource exploitation has become of increasingconcern.And from an image of Arctic communities relying on a traditional interdependency with the environment through herding, hunting and trapping, a conception of modernized societies has emerged. Since WWII the mineral and energy industries in Arctic regions have boomed andhavehaddrastic impacts insubstantialpartsoftheArctic.Inother Arctic regions mineral and energy industries are not yet in operation, but certainly on the agenda, sofurther consequences can beforeseen [1, 3]. Parallel to this the development,the Arctic has been through anumber of veryimportantphases, whereespeciallyindependencyandhomeruleshouldbe highlighted, just as local empowerment among indigenous people has been given high priority [5]. And economic and industrial development are key factors concerningindependency in the region,both for national development and in the process of globalization. So the need of domestic production of surplus valuehas turned attention toward new sources for income earning[4]. Xl
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