Owning, Using and Renting: Some Simple Economics of the “Sharing Economy” JohnJ.Horton RichardJ.Zeckhauser LeonardN.SternSchoolofBusiness HarvardKennedySchool NewYorkUniversity* HarvardUniversity February10,2016 Abstract EntrepreneurshavecreatedanumberofnewInternet-basedplatformsthatenableownerstorent outtheirdurablegoodswhennotusingthemforpersonalconsumption.Wedevelopamodelofthese kindsofmarketsinordertoanalyzethedeterminantsofownership,rentalrates,quantities,andthe surplusgeneratedinthesemarkets. Ouranalysisconsidersbothashortrun,beforeconsumerscan revisetheirownershipdecisionsandalongrun,inwhichtheycan.Thisallowsustoexplorehowpat- ternsofownershipandconsumptionmightchangeasaresultofthesenewmarkets.Wealsoexamine theimpactofbringing-to-marketcosts,suchasdepreciation,laborcostsandtransactioncostsand considertheplatform’spricingproblem. Anonlinesurveyofconsumersbroadlysupportsthemod- elingassumptionsemployed.Forexample,ownershipisdeterminedbyindividuals’forward-looking assessmentsofplannedusage.Factorsenablingsharingmarketstoflourishareexplored. JELL1,D23,D47 Keywords:Sharingeconomy;peer-to-peermarkets;rentals;Airbnb;Uber;bringing-to-marketcosts; transactioncosts 1 Introduction Intraditionalrentalmarkets, ownersholdassetstorentthemout. Inrecentyears, technologystartup firmshavecreatedanewkindofrentalmarket,inwhichownerssometimesusetheirassetsforpersonal consumption and sometimes rent them out. Such markets are referred to as peer-to-peer or “sharing economy” markets. To be sure, some renting by consumer-owners has long existed, but it was largely confined to expensive, infrequently used goods, such as vacation homes and pleasure boats, usually withlongerdurationrentalperiods.Moreoften,consumer-ownergoodsweresharedamongfamilyand friends, commonly without explicit payment. In contrast, these peer-to-peer (P2P) rental markets are openmarkets,andthegoodis“shared”inexchangeforpayment. *Authorcontactinformation,datasetsandcodearecurrentlyorwillbeavailableathttp://www.john-joseph-horton.com/ ThankstoAndreyFradkin,RameshJohari,ArunSundararajan,SamuelFraiberger,HalVarianandJoeGoldenforhelpfuldis- cussionsandcomments. 1 AprominentexampleofaP2PrentalmarketisAirbnb,whichenablesindividualstorentoutspare bedrooms,apartments,orevenentirehomes.Airbnbandplatformslikeithavebeenheraldedbymany, as they promise to expand access to goods, diversify individual consumption, bolster efficiency by in- creasing asset utilization, and provide income to owners (Sundararajan, 2013; Edelman and Geradin, 2015; Botsman and Rogers, 2010). The business interest in these platforms has been intense; Airbnb alonehasattractednearly$2.4billioninventurecapitalinvestmentandwasvaluedat$25.5billiondur- ingtheirmostrecentfundinground.1 Companiesorganizingsharingmarketshavealsoattractedpolicy interest,muchofitnegative(Slee,2015;MalhotraandVanAlstyne,2014;Avitaletal.,2015). Criticschargethattheprimarycompetitiveadvantageoftheseplatformsistheirabilitytoduckcostly regulations—regulationsthatprotectthird-parties.2 However,thecounter-argumentisoftenmadethat existingregulationsweredesignedtosolvemarketproblemsthatthesesharingeconomyplatformssolve inaninnovativefashion,primarilywithbetterinformationprovisionandreputationsystems(Koopman etal.,2014),therebymakingtop-downregulationunnecessary.Abetterunderstandingofthesemarkets, andprogressinresolvingthispolicydebate,requireselucidatingwhateconomicproblemthesemarkets address, why they are emerging now, and what their properties are likely to be in both the short- and long-runs.Thispaperseekstoprovidethatelucidation. OurfirstmajorquestioniswhyP2Prentalmarketsonlybecameaforceinthe21stcentury.Theeco- nomicproblemP2Prentalmarketsareabletosolve—under-utilizationofdurablegoods—ishardlynew. We argue that technological advances, such as the mass adoption of smartphones and the falling cost andrisingcapabilitiesoftheInternet,whileclearlyimportant,onlyprovidepartofthestory. P2Prental marketsrelyheavilyonthehard-wonindustryandacademicexperienceinthedesignandmanagement of online marketplaces. In particular, recommender systems and reputation systems, which emerged during the early days of electronic commerce, are central to the function of P2P rental markets. The knowledgesoconveyedallowsP2Prentalplatformstoovercome—oratleastsubstantiallyameliorate— marketproblemssuchasmoralhazardandadverseselection. Wedevelopthisargumentinmoredepth andpointoutrelevantworksfromtheliterature. Our second major question is what are the economic properties of P2P rental markets. For exam- ple, what determines the rental rate and the quantity exchanged in a P2P rental market? How much totalsurplusis“unlocked”bytheP2Prentalmarket,andhowisitdistributed? Howdoestheshort-run situation—where existing owners rent to non-owners—differ from the long run in which owners and 1http://www.crunchbase.com/organization/airbnb;Uber,whichalsohasasubstantialP2Prentalmarket(albeitwithasub- stantiallaborcomponent)wasvaluedat$62.5billionintheirlastfundinground. http://www.wired.com/2015/12/airbnb- confirms-1-5-billion-funding-round-now-valued-at-25-5-billion/. 2Forexample,DeanBaker,inanopinionpiecefortheGuardiancharacterizesAirbnbandUberasbeingprimarilybasedon “evadingregulationsandbreakingthelaw.” “Don’tbuythesharingeconomyhype:AirbnbandUberarefacilitatingrip-offs.”, TheGuardian,May27th,2014.AccessonlineonJanuary19th,2016.http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2014/ may/27/airbnb-uber-taxes-regulation.SeeHorton(2014b)foradiscussionoftheexternalitiesimposedbyAirbnb-style sublettinginrentedapartments. EdelmanandGeradin(2015)discussboththepromisedefficienciesof“sharingeconomy” platformsaswellastheregulatoryissuestheyraise.CannonandSummers(2014)offeraplaybookforsharingeconomycom- paniestowinoverregulators. 2 non-owners alike can revise their ownership decisions in light of the presence of a P2P rental market? Doesoverallownershipincreaseordecrease,andwhoownswhatgoodsinthenewequilibrium? When therearesubstantialbringing-to-marketcosts(suchaslabor,excessdepreciation,andtransactioncosts), whobearsthem,andhowdoesitaffecttheshort-andlong-runequilibria? Toaddressthesequestions,wedevelopasimplemodelinwhichconsumersinitiallydecidewhether topurchaseagoodbasedontheirexpectedusage. Weconsideracasewherethereareownersandnon- owners,withtheownersusingthegoodlessthan100%ofthetimeandnon-owners,whilenotpurchasing thegood,woulduseitsomeofthetimeiftheydidownit.3 Sometechnological/entrepreneurialinno- vationthencreatesaP2Prentalmarketthatallowsownerstorenttheirunusedcapacitytonon-owners. For clarity, we first assume that owners face no bringing-to-market (BTM) costs (i.e., no depreciation, laborortransactioncostsfromrentals). AftertheP2Prentalmarketemerges,ownersandnon-ownersusethegoodasiftheywererentingthe goodatthemarket-clearingrentalrate. Rentersdofacetherentalrate,whileforowners,thepossibility ofrentalcreatesanewopportunitycostfortheirownusage.Therentalrateisincreasinginthevaluation of the owners, which reduces supply, and the valuation of the renters, which increases demand. The short-runrentalmarketdoesnotnecessarilyclear: ifpre-P2Prentalunusedcapacityexceedsdemand, aglutresults. Inpractice,theinherentcostsofbringingexcesscapacitytothemarketassuresanabove zeropricefloor. Inadditiontotheshortrun,weconsideralongrunwhereownersandrentersalikecanrevisetheir ownershipdecisions. Wefindthatiftheshort-runcosttorentthegood100%ofthetimeisbelowthe purchaseprice,thenownershipislessattractive. Thiswillreducepurchasedemandfortheproduct. In thelong-runP2Prentalmarketequilibrium,thepurchasepriceequalstherentalrate(whennormalizing thelifeofthegoodto1). Ownersandrentersreceivethesameutilityatthemargin,therebydecoupling individualpreferencesfromownership. Themodeloffersanintuitivetestforwhethertotalownership willdecreaseinthelongrun:ownershipdecreasesiftheshort-runrentalrateisbelowthepurchaseprice. Surplus increases in both the short- and long-run P2P rental market equilibria relative to the pre- sharing status quo. Although owners have less consumption, they are more than compensated with rental income that exceeds their utility loss. The greatest gains in surplus are obtained when original non-ownersvaluethegoodnearlyashighlyasowners,suggestingthatgoodswhereincome(ratherthan tasteorplannedusage)explainsownershipcouldofferthegreatestincreaseinsurplus.Theexistenceof aP2Prentalmarketallowsforahighermaximumpriceintheproductmarket,asitcangeneratepositive demandforagoodatpricesforwhichevenhigh-typeswouldnotbuywithoutthepossibilityofrental. WhenweassumethatownersdofaceBTMcosts,themodelpredictionschangeinseveralimportant ways. IfBTMcostsaresufficientlyhigh, noP2Prentalmarketcanexistintheshortrun. Ifthemarket 3Whileweassumeapurchasepricethatsplitsconsumersintoownersandnon-owners,otherequilibriaarepossible,suchas onewhereeveryoneownsthegood.Foragivensetofconsumervaluations,thereisarangeofproductmarketpricesthatcan supportashort-runP2Prentalmarket.TosupportaP2Prentalmarket,thepurchasepriceofthegoodmustbelowenoughthat thereisapoolofowners,butnotsolowthateveryonewithanyusagedemandforthegoodalreadyownsthegood.Ofcourse, inthelong-runownershipdecisionscanberevised. 3 canexist,theBTMcostsraisetherentalrateandlowerthequantityofthegoodtransactedinthemarket, intheboththelongrunandshortrun. However, BTMcosts—beingtheequivalentofaper-unitsales tax—arenotfullypassedthroughintherentalrate,ineithertheshortrunorlongrun. ThepresenceofBTMcostschangesthepredictionsaboutlong-runownership. Consumerswitha higher valuation now tilt towards ownership. The reason for the tilt is that owners using the good for theirownconsumptionavoidsomeoftheBTMcostssuchasextracleaning, handingoffkeys, dealing withdisputes,andsoon.Asintheshort-runcase,inthelongrunthereisincompletepassthroughofthe BTMcosts. Animplicationofthisfindingisthattherentalrateislowerthanthepurchaseprice(when thelifeofthegoodis1). Assuch,afirmwouldfinditunprofitabletobuythegoodsolelytorentitout (thoughthisresultrequiresthattherearenoeconomiesofscaleinrenting). OneimportantBTMcostisthefeeimposedbytheplatform. Iftheplatformkeepsthefeeconstant, theincentiveforreducingBTMcostsdependsinpartontheelasticityofdemandintheP2Prentalmar- ket, in that the platform finds it more attractive to lower BTM costs when demand is elastic since the increase in quantity transacted will offset the relatively small reduction in the rental price. However, theplatformcanalwaysincreaserevenuebyloweringBTMcosts, asitcansimplyincreaseitsownfee accordingly, keepingtherentalrateandtransactionvolumeunchanged(butmakingmorerevenueon eachunittransacted).WhetherthisisoptimaldependsontheelasticityofBTMcostswithrespecttothe platform’sefforts. Of course, goods will differ in the cost of bringing them to market, and this affects the P2P rental market. SomeoftheseBTMcostsarestraightforward,suchaslabor,depreciation,andcomplementary consumables. For example, driving with Uber requires your labor, puts additional miles on your car, andconsumesgas. However,anotheraspectthatisrelevanttoBTMcostsishowamenableagoodisto “temporaldivision”and,hence,renting. Forexample,goodswhereusagecanbeplannedforandeasily adjusted are easier to rent out with little loss in utility to the owner. Similarly, goods that are used in largechunksoftime—withnouseinbetween—aremoreamenabletorentalthangoodsthathaveusage brokenupintomanysmallchunksoftime. Our third and final question is how the usage patterns for different goods are likely to affect BTM costs.Todothis,aconveniencesampleofconsumerswasaskedaseriesofquestionsaboutagood(e.g., aBBQgrill),suchaswhethertheyownone,whethertheyhavelentitoutorborrowedit,andhowmuch theydoorwoulduseit(dependingonownership). Iftheydonotownit,theywereaskedwhy. Wealso askedquestionsabouthowthegoodinquestionischaracteristicallyused,focusingonhowpredictable that usage is and the typical size of usage “chunks.” We selected a number of goods and encouraged respondentstoanswerourquestionsaboutmultiplegoods,asinsomecasesthisallowsustocontrolfor theidentityoftherespondent.Therespondentswerealsoaskedfortheirhouseholdincomes. Our main finding is that income is only important in determining ownership for a small number ofgoods(e.g.,vacationhomes);formostgoods,plannedusagewastheprimarydriver,supportingour basicmodelingframework. Lookingacrossthepopulation, goodsthatareownedmorefrequentlyare 4 rented less frequently, with the notable exception of cars. There is also a strong correlation between goodsthathavepredictableusage(“youknowwhenyouaregoingtouseit”)andthegoodbeingusedin largechunksoftime. Thispositivecorrelationimpliesthatalargerclassofgoodswouldhaverelatively low BTM costs than would be the case in the absence of this positive correlation. The survey results suggestthatimportantcomponentsofBTMcostsaretheeasewithwhichusagecanbeshiftedaround intimeandthesizeoftypicalusagesessions. Thesharingeconomyisarelativelyrecentphenomenon. Thus, weconcludeourpaperwithsome thoughtsonhowP2Prentalmarketsmightevolve.Ouranalysisfocusesonasinglehomogeneousgood, butakeyadvantageofP2Prentalmarketsmightbeinfacilitatinggreaterdiversityingoodsofferedand consumed.Beyondthedirectutilitythisdiversificationprovides,itmightalsoincreasethestockofpeo- plewithdirectexperiencewithaparticulargood, whichcombinedwiththecontinuedproliferationof consumer-generatedreviewsandratingsmightstimulatequalityimprovements.Inthatsamevein,pro- ducers of goods might do more than simply improve quality, but also explicitly modify their goods to makethemmoreorlessamenabletorental. 2 Relatedworkonmodelingandquantifyingthesharingeconomy Otherworkonthe“sharingeconomy”hasdiscusseditsfeaturesandimplicationsqualitatively. Forex- ample, Belk (2014) offers a number of examples of these different platforms and identifies their com- monalities: (1)useoftemporary,non-ownershipmodelsofusingconsumergoodsand(2)arelianceon theInternettobringthisabout. EdelmanandGeradin(2015)representsanotherexampleinthisvein. ItenumeratestheefficiencygainsfromP2Prentalmarkets,suchasreducingtransactioncostsandim- provingallocativeefficiency.EdelmanandGeradinisdistinctiveinthatitdiscussestheregulatorypolicy implicationsofsharingeconomycompaniesusingthetraditional“marketfailure”frameworkthatmoti- vatesmuchofpubliceconomics. Otherworkhasbeenmorepracticallyoriented,similarinspirittothe empiricalportionofourpaper.Forexample,HampshireandGaites(2011)analyzesthefeasibilityofP2P car-sharinginPittsburgh. The paper most closely related to ours is Benjaafar et al. (2015), who also consider the ownership choice with and without the possibility of P2P rental, with participants differing in their expected us- age.Althoughfindingseveralresultssimilartoourown—forexample,theyalsofindthattotalownership couldincreasefollowingsharing, formoreorlessthesameeconomicreasonsweidentify—thepapers differ in at least two important ways. First, Benjaafar et al. explicitly consider the matching aspect of these markets, modeling how a participant’s utility from being an owner or renter can depend on the possibilityoffindingtheappropriatecounter-party. Forsomequestions,explicitlymodelingthesecon- siderationsislikelytobeimportant,thoughforothers—sayinmarketswhereplatformpricingchoices clearthemarket—explicitlymodelingthematchingaspectislikelytobelessimportant. Second,inour model,ownersandrentersdecidehowintensivelytouseagoodinlightoftherentalrate(orinthecase 5 of owners, the opportunity cost created by the rental market). For some kinds of markets, such as for rentalhousing,thiseconomizationislikelytobeimportant,thoughforothergoodswithverylowusage rates,thisfactorislikelytobelessimportant. Anothercloselyrelatedpaper(inpart)isEinavetal.(2015),whichcoverssomeofthesamegroundin explainingwhypeer-to-peermarketsareflourishingnow. Theyemphasizetheroleplayedbyplatforms inmatchingbuyersandsellers, maintainingareputationsystemandusingpricestoclearthemarket. Theyalsoprovideamodeloftheeconomy,thoughthefocusisonpeer-to-peersellerscompetingwith traditionalfirms. FraibergerandSundararajan(2015)offersacalibratedmodelofthepeer-to-peerrentalmarket,fo- cusingonautomobiles.Theyalsomodelconsumerschoosingamongownership,rentalandnon-participation. Theyfindthattheintroductionofsharingwoulddecreaseownershipbutincreaseutilization. Asinour model,thebiggestgainsinsurpluscometopreviousnon-ownerswhogainaccesstothegood. 3 Factorsexplainingtheriseofpeer-to-peerrentalmarkets The somewhat obvious economic rationale for P2P rental markets is that the owners of most durable goods use them far less than 100% of the time. This under-utilization generates excess capacity that couldberentedout.Thedemandsideinsuchamarketwouldbenon-ownerswhowouldliketousethe good,butnotenoughtopurchaseit.4 Giventheobviousrationaleforthesemarkets,whyhavetheyonlybeguntoflourishinrecentyears? Thecreatorofapotentialrentalmarkethastoovercomeavarietyofproblems.Aswithanymarket,there arethetypicalsearchcosts,suchasfindingandevaluatingtradingpartners,andtheInternetcertainly dramaticallyreducesthesecosts(Bakos,1997). Furthermore,therearenownearly20yearsofindustrial experienceinbuildingonlinemarketplacesandsolvingtheircharacteristicproblems. However, infor- mationalproblemsarebutonemajorobstacleincreatingrentalmarkets;theotherisresources. Individualslacktheresourcesoffirmsthathavehistoricallydominatedrentalmarkets.Forexample, individualslackmarketingbudgetsandexpertise, waysofacceptingpaymentsthatareconvenientfor customers,standardcontractsandprocedurestodrawupon,well-adaptedinsuranceproducts,proce- duresandfacilitiesforre-settinggoodsafteruse,andsoon.5 Individualsellerslackbrands,whichhave provenhighlyrelevantevenincaseswhenqualitydifferencesarenonexistent(Bronnenbergetal.,2014); incaseswheregoodstrulyareheterogeneous,alackofamarketreputationmightcompletelyforeclose the possibility of trade. For P2P rental markets to draw in individual owners, the platform must find waystofillinthesegapsandgiveownersfirm-likeresources. Givenboththelackoffirm-likeresources andtheinherentinformationproblemsofrentalmarkets,consumer-ownedgoodshavehistoricallyjust 4Anon-ownermightmeananon-ownerinaparticularplaceandtime.ManyAirbnbguestsownhomes—theyjustdon’town homeseverywhere. 5Asitis,evenostensibly“peer”platformsdoseemtotilttowardsquasi-firmsthatcanreapeconomiesofscaleorenjoyother firmbenefits.Forexample,thereareUberdriversthatmanagefleetsofvehiclesandAirbnb“hosts”withmultipleproperties. 6 beensharedonlyamongfamilymembers,neighborsandfriendsratherthanstrangers,exceptwhenthe potentialgainsfromtradearequitelarge(suchasintheexampleofvacationhomesandboatrentals). P2Prentalmarketshaveemergedasentrepreneurshavetakenadvantageoftechnologicaladvances tobuildfacilitatingplatforms.Theplatformsdramaticallylowertransactioncostsandprovideindividual ownerstoolspreviouslyonlyavailabletofirms. ThematurationandincreasingpenetrationoftheInter- netandtheproliferationofsmartphones(withhigh-resolutiondigitalcameras)werethetechnological shocksthatmadesomeoftheseP2Prentalmarketsfeasible. Forexample,Ubersimplydoesnot“work” inaworldwherefewconsumershaveGPS-enabledsmartphones. Althoughthesetechnologyadvances areimportant,theseP2Prentalmarketshavealsostoodontheshouldersoftheirelectroniccommerce predecessors, suchaseBay, thatmadestridestowardssolvingsomeoftheinformationalproblemsin- herenttoonlinemarketplaces. Akeychallengeinallmarketsisfacilitatingtrustamongstrangers,andthisproblemisacuteinP2P rentalmarkets, giventhe“opportunity”rentershavetomisuseordestroytheowner’scapital. Inmost markets, the buyer’s type matters little to the seller; in rental markets, the buyer’s type can be critical. Facilitating trust is not an easily solved problem in online markets, but the experiences of early elec- troniccommercepioneerssuchaseBayprovidedP2Prentalmarketentrepreneursanumberofeffective solutionstomarketproblemsrelatedtotrust. Theflawsinearlyversionsofthesesystems—suchasthe ability and inclination of parties to condition their feedback on their trading partner’s feedback—also clearly influenced the design of follow-on systems used in P2P rental markets. The rise of social net- workssuchasFacebookhasgivenplatformsnewopportunitiestoinjectinformationintotheplatform thatpartiescanusetodecidewhethertocontract. Onlinemarketsingenerallackmanyofthemarket-thickeningcoordinationmechanismsavailable inphysicalmarketssuchascoordinatingontimeandgeography.6 Tocompensateforthelackofgeog- raphyandtimeasacoordinatingmechanism, onlinemarketplacescreatetaxonomiesandextensively classifygoods,andcapitalizeonthevastnumbersofpotentialcustomers. Acomplementaryapproach istomakeextensiveuseofsearchalgorithmsandrecommendationsystems(ResnickandVarian,1997; Adomavicius and Tuzhilin, 2005). These kinds of approaches are particularly important in P2P rental marketsbecausethegoodsbeingrentedareoftenhighlydifferentiated(suchasapartments),asarecon- sumerpreferences,makingmatchingmoreimportant.7 P2Prentalmarketplatformscontinuetoinvest heavilyinresearchdesignedtoimprovematching,someofitincollaborationwithresearchers. Forex- ample,Fradkin(2013)showshowpersonalizedrecommendationscouldimprovematchratesby10%on Airbnb. 6BuyersandsellersofstocksbenefitfromagreeingthattheNewYorkStockExchangeisopenfrom9:30-4:00.Geographyalso matters;buyersandsellersofvegetablesbenefitfromagreeingthattheUnionSquaregreenmarketislocatedinthenorthwest sideoftheUnionSquarePark. 7Dinersteinetal.(2014)usesdatafromeBaytohighlightthedifficultiesincreatingsearchandrankingalgorithmsfordif- ferentiatedproductswherepriceisonlyonedimensionofinterest;theyshowexampleswherelimitingchoicemightbepro- competitive.Thereisanincreasingunderstandingofhowindividualsdosearchonline:DelosSantosetal.(2012)usedetailed webbrowsingdatatoshowthatcustomersrelymoreonafixedsamplesizesearchstrategyratherthansequentialsearch. 7 Inadditiontosimplyfindingeachother,would-betradingpartnersmustassessbotheachotherand thegoodsbeingtraded. Theseassessmentsareaidedbyverifiablemeasurementsmadebytheplatform on a number of dimensions, including past market history. As Varian (2010) points out, advances in informationtechnologyareoftenadvancesinmeasurement.ConsiderthatUberisonlypossiblebecause bothsidesofthemarketnowcarrywiththemtaximeters(whenrunningtheappropriatesoftware)atall times: asmartphonewithGPStechnologyallowsfortheprecisemeasuresofdistancetraveled. Infact, thiscomputer-mediatedapproachworksevenbetterthanthetraditionaltaximeterinthatbothparties canverifythatthebestroutewastaken.Theproliferationofhigh-resolutiondigitalcamerashassimilarly madeiteasierforpartiestoinspectgoodsexante(Airbnbinparticularbenefitsfromthisinnovation). Oneimportantplatforminnovationhasbeeninreputationsystems,whichessentiallydigitizeword- of-mouthinformationaboutproductandservicequality(Dellarocas,2003).Asubstantialliteraturechar- acterizestheirpracticalimportancetothefunctioningofthemarket(CabralandHortaçsu,2010;Resnick etal.,2000;ResnickandZeckhauser,2002). Otherpapersinthisliteraturedocumentongoingeffortsby platformstofixcommonproblemswithreputationsystems. Topicsinclude: reducingtheroleofreci- procity (Bolton et al., 2013); incentivizing the provision of feedback (Fradkin et al., 2015); introducing newsignalsofquality,suchasbadgesorotherconstructedmeasures(Huietal.,2014;NoskoandTadelis, 2015);anddealingwiththetendencytowardsinflatedreputations(HortonandGolden,2015). The reputation system is one particularly important example of an aspect of the market that indi- vidual participants would find too costly (or even impossible) to build and maintain. Platforms enjoy scaleeconomiesformanycostlytaskscomparedtoindividualowners. Forexample,theyhandlecredit card payments. They create tools for “self-serve” marketing (such as through attractive profile pages) andthroughgeneralplatformmarketingtobringrenterstotheplatform.Theyalsocreatesoftwaretools thatletownersmanagetheiravailability,learnabouttheattributesofpotentialrenters,andsoon.8 Inadditiontothenuts-and-boltsissuesofrunningonlinemarketplaces,therehavealsobeencon- siderableadvancesintheunderstandingofthebusinessmodelsusedbytwo-sidedmarketplacesmore generally. This literature initially focused on traditional two-sided markets (with motivating examples drawnfromthecreditcard,videogame,andnewspaperindustries)(RochetandTirole,2003,2006),but in recent years it has seemed to be increasingly motivated by electronic commerce examples and fo- cusedonthekeydecisionsfacedbywould-beplatforms.Forexample,HagiuandWright(2014)analyzes whetheritisbettertobeamarketplaceorare-seller(withtheAmazonversuseBayquestionbeingaclear motivation). Hagiu(2014)discussesthestrategicdecisionsfacedbyawould-beplatformandiscloseto a“howto”forwould-beplatformbuilders. Similarly, Eisenmannetal.(2006)offerstrategicadvicefor businessesinmarketswithatwo-sidedcomponent. 8BothHorton(2014a)andFradkin(2013)considertheroleplayedbyplatformsinovercomingsearchfrictionsrelatedto buyerstryingtomatchwithunavailablesellers—FradkininthecaseofAirbnbandHortoninthecaseofoDesk/Upwork.Inthe contextofonlinedatingsites,Hitschetal.(2010)presentevidencethattherealizedmatchesareclosetowhattheGale-Shapley algorithmwoulddeliver,basedontheirestimatesofunderlyingpreferences. 8 4 Model Beforeanyonecan“share,”someonehastoownandothershavetonotown(butstillwanttoconsume at least some of the good). Our model’s first task is to explain how consumers divide between owners andnon-owners. Ourmodelisbuiltonthenotionthatgoodscanusefullybethoughtofashavingan intensive margin of usage, which in turn drives the extensive margin decision (i.e., ownership). The assumptionthatconsumersmustconsiderthetimerequiredtouseagoodinmakingtheirconsumption plan is similar in spirit to Becker (1965). The possibility of sharing a good bears similarities to Varian (2000). Varian discusses—in the particular context of information goods—how planned usage affects therent-versus-owndecision. WefirstconsiderwhathappenswhenthepossibilityofP2Prentalemerges,thusallowingtheexisting poolofownerstorenttonon-owners. First,weassumethattherearenoBTMcosts(suchaslaborand transactioncosts). Wedeterminetheequilibriumrentalrate,thequantitytransacted,andthechanges inconsumersurplus. Next,weintroduceBTMcosts(suchasdepreciation,labor,andtransactioncosts) andseehowthischangestheshort-runequilibriumandwhetheraP2Prentalmarketcanemerge. Wethenturnourattentiontothelong-runcase,whereownersandnon-ownerscanrevisetheirown- ershipdecisions. First, we derive the equilibriumwithoutany BTMcosts anddetermine whoowns in equilibrium and what happens to total ownership. Then, we perform the same analysis, but assume non-zeroBTMcosts. 4.1 Consumerdecisionaboutownershipbasedonexpectedusage Everyconsumerhasaunitoftimetoallocatetovariousactivities,someofwhichinvolveusingagood. Thegoodhasaone-periodlifetime. Consumershavetodecidehowmuchtime, x ∈[0,1],todevoteto usingthatgood. Usingthegoodbringsdecreasingmarginalutility. Theconsumerreceivesabenefitof b(x)=2αx,butalsoincursopportunitycostc(x)=x2,whereα∈(0,1)parameterizestheirvaluationof the good. With the functional forms chosen, α has a convenient interpretation, which is that α is the fractionofthetimeagoodwouldbeusedbyanowner. Thec(x)termistheopportunitycostoftime, whichgrowsasmoretimeisspentwiththegoodinquestionratherthanwiththebestalternativeuseof one’stime. Theconsumer’sutilityforagivenx isu(x)=b(x)−c(x)=2αx−x2,andsotheindividual’soptimal usage,conditionaluponowningthegood,isx∗=α,yieldingindirectutility v(α)=u(x∗)=α2. (1) Thepurchasepriceofthegoodisp,andsoaconsumerwillbuythegoodonlyifα2>p. Figure1illus- tratestheconsumer’sproblem,showingtheutilityfromvariouslevelsofusagedependingonthatcon- sumer’svalueofα. Theusagesolutionforeachconsumerishisorherαparameter,andsinceindirect utilityisjustα2, theoptimalusageforeachvaluefallsalongthecurvetracedoutby x2. Thepurchase 9 Figure 1: Consumer’s optimal usage of a good and resultant decision about whether to purchase that good u u(x∗)=α2 Consumer buys α=0.75 p Consumer does α=0.55 not buy x α=0.40 Notes: Thisfigureillustratestheutilityderivedfrom different levels ofusage ofa good, withindividuals differingintheirvaluesfromusagebasedontheirα parameters. price p determines who purchases the good, with all those having α2 >p deciding to own, and those belowchoosingnottopurchasethegood. Notethatallownershaveanamountoftime,1−x∗,whentheyarenotusingthegood. Thisunused capacityiswhattheywillbeabletorentout,pluswhateveramountbecomesavailablebecausetheowner reducestheirusagetoreaprentalincome. 4.2 Threeconsumptionpossibilitieswithtwoconsumertypesbutnorentals Therearethreeimportantpotentialmarketconfigurationswithrespecttoownership:(1)everyoneowns, (2)nooneowns, and(3)someownandothersdonot. Forourpurposes, (3)istheinterestingcase. A simplewaytoobtainthispossibilityistoassumetwoconsumertypes:α andα ,withα >α ,andto H L H L assumeapricethatdividesconsumersintoownersandnon-owners,namelyap suchthatα2 >p>α2. H L Assumethatthereisaunitmassofconsumers,withafractionθbeinghigh-typeswithα=α andthe H remaining(1−θ)fractionofconsumersbeinglow-typeswithα=α . L Theproductmarketdemandcurveforthegoodis 0 :p>α2 H D(p)= θ :α2H ≥p>α2L (2) 1 :p≤α2 L 10
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