Serial innovators in the markets for technology Paper prepared for the ASEAT/Institute of Innovation Research Conference on: Knowledge and Economic and Social Change: New Challenges to Innovation Studies April 7-9, 2003, Manchester UK Diana Hicks & Leigh Buchanan CHI Research, Inc. 10 White Horse Pike Haddon Heights, NJ 08035 Tel.: 856.546.0600 Fax: 856.546.9633 E-mail: [email protected] Inc. Magazine 77 N. Washington Street Boston, MA 02114 E-mail: [email protected] Abstract...............................................................................................................2 Introduction.........................................................................................................2 What is a serial innovator?..................................................................................3 Serial innovators and the markets for technology...............................................5 Points of difference...........................................................................................10 Firm age................................................................................................................10 High quality innovation........................................................................................11 Outside-linked innovation.....................................................................................13 Science-linked innovation.....................................................................................14 Patent strength as an alternative explanation........................................................15 Locally-linked innovation.....................................................................................17 Conclusions...........................................................................................................18 Acknowledgement............................................................................................19 References.........................................................................................................19 1 Abstract Serial innovators are long-lived, small firms with a substantial, public record of innovative success. This paper argues that such firms are often specialist suppliers of technology. We draw on Arora, Fosfuri and Gambardella’s framework concerning markets for technology to explain the patenting characteristics of these firms. We find that the firms produce technology that in comparison to large firm technology is higher quality, more broadly based, and more closely linked to scientific research. It may also be concentrated in newer generations of technology. The firms are younger than large firms as well. We hypothesize that serial innovators, survivors among the specialist technology suppliers, may have mastered innovating in technology with these characteristics because such technology is likely to be general purpose and so more broadly tradable. They thus become serious players in these markets – at least for a few years until a new generation of technology emerges. Introduction Small firms have long engaged the interest of students of innovation. The innovative efforts of small firms embody a tension between serious barriers and distinct advantages relative to large firms.1 Establishing empirically the balance between these forces involved investigating whether small firms innovated more or less efficiently than large firms.2 From the policy viewpoint, new technology-based firms have been studied for their promise of growth and attendant multitudes of new jobs. Such studies have assumed that small firms were mini-large firms: Were mini-large firms more or less efficient innovators than large firms? Which mini- large firms would grow large? As innovation is reshaped, a fresh perspective on small firms has emerged. There is a type of innovative firm that has survived beyond the entrepreneurial moment yet remained small; a firm so unlike the giant multi-national that its relative innovative efficiency seems irrelevant. Such firms, hitherto uninteresting, may prove to be key players in markets for technology. Arora, Fosfuri and Gambardella analyze markets for intermediate technological inputs in which the purpose of a transaction is the creation of new technologies. They include within their remit contract research, technology licensing, R&D joint ventures of various kinds, sale or licensing of research tools and other types of technical services (Arora, Fosfuri and Gambardella, 2001,6). When such markets reflect a division of innovative labor involving specialist suppliers of technology, we are likely to find small firms. Understanding the contribution long-lived small firms make to technical change seems central to understanding their economic contribution. This paper argues that these firms, who we name “serial innovators”, are often successful, specialized suppliers in markets for technology. As such they permit an innovative division of labor to exist, and they are encouraged into existence by the expansion of technology markets. Arora, Fosfuri and Gambardella argue that 1 See: Cohen & Klepper, 1991; Feldman, 1997; Freeman & Soete, 1997; Koen, 1992; Obermeyer, 1981; Romeo 1984; Rothwell & Zegveld, 1982; Rubenstein & Ettlie 1984. 2 See: Edwards and Gordon (1984), Gellman Research Associates (1982) and Pavitt et al. (1987) 2 the increasing division of labor in innovation must be understood in order to understand the sources of economic growth in the twenty-first century. This paper juxtaposes their thesis with a comparison of the innovative efforts of small serial innovators and large firms. In explaining the points of difference between the two, we come to a greater understanding of markets for technology. What is a serial innovator? We label as “serial innovators” small firms with a sustained, public record of successful technical advance. Using the American definition, “small” firms are those with 500 or fewer employees. Naturally, we draw upon patent information to establish the public record of a firm’s successful technical advance. We examine here the set of U.S. firms with 15 or more USPTO patents issued between 1996 and 2000. To be included an organization had to be independent, for-profit, not bankrupt, not a joint venture and not foreign owned during the first half of 2002 when the data were collected. All establishments and subsidiaries were unified to the ultimate parent company; their patents counted towards the parent firm patent count. The population of US firms with more than 15 patents issued 1996-2000 encompasses 1,071 firms. One-third of these or 356 are small firms and 27 are of unknown size.3 The firms own 193,976 patents (here as in what follows “patents” refers to type 1, i.e. utility, patents that list a U.S. inventor address and were issued by the USPTO between 1996 and 2000). Small firms account for 6% of these patents.4 For a small firm, owning 15 patents is quite an achievement. Therefore, we are not looking at start-up firms, the crowd of promising beginnings that grab most media attention. Our small firms are survivors and have attained a track record of credible technical achievement over at least 5 years. A good description of such firms was devised by Leigh Buchanan, a journalist with Inc. magazine, who labeled them “serial innovators”.5 She contrasts serial innovators with serial entrepreneurs. Small firms normally start with a great idea. The firm is founded to exploit the idea, to get it out into the marketplace. If it fails the firm disappears; if it works the entrepreneur may sell out. Even if the idea works and the firm is not sold, the next idea, or a process to generate more ideas becomes a problem, and often the small firm disappears after the first idea is worked through. Whatever the outcome, in the U.S. the entrepreneur is likely to go on to start another firm, and there are a lot of “serial entrepreneurs.” The serial innovators are distinguished by sustaining innovation around the first idea or by having moved beyond the first idea while maintaining their innovative edge. 3 The patenting characteristics of the firms of unknown size suggest they are small, and we include them amongst the small firms. 4 Small firms account for much larger than 6% share of U.S. invented, U.S. company owned patents. This is because small firms account for a large share of patents produced by organizations with less than 15 patents 1996- 2000. We estimate that overall small firms account for about 43% of U.S. company-owned patents. This is quite close to their share of employment. See Hicks 2002. 5 The August 2002 issue of Inc. magazine contains profiles of some of these firms. 3 Although these firms are not mini-large firms, there are ways in which the serial innovators are more similar to large patenting firms than to the general population of small firms. For example, serial innovators are concentrated in industries in which technical innovation and patent protection are important. The large firms among the largest 1,000 patentees differ from other large firms in precisely the same way. The firms are largely manufacturing companies and almost one-quarter are found in semiconductors, pharmaceuticals, biotechnology and medical devices/equipment – industries that account for about 2% of U.S. manufacturing firms. Beyond industry differences, serial innovators differ from other small firms because they have invested substantial time and money in innovation. The firms are serious about innovation and so are heavyweight contributors to technical change. Their innovative efforts can look like best practice in large firms. Unusual for small firms, the firms are also very likely to have an R&D group and to have given some thought to how it was set up and managed. There tends to be formal structures, committees etc., for approving funds for potentially patentable ideas and then moving those projects toward the patent stage. Compensation is often tied to patents in the form of bonuses. Buchanan found that the firms tend to set a goal that a certain percentage of their earnings should come from new products. 3M is famous for doing this, but many of these small firms do the same. The percentage varies; it might be 8%, 15% or 30%. But all the firms emphasize new product development. In addition, the marketing people in these firms are in constant communication with the rest of the firm relaying customer preferences. Everyone is attuned to quickly building solutions customers are reported to want. If asked to guess, most experts would probably say that patenting was a point of difference between small and large firms. Small firms find the costs of obtaining and maintaining patents prohibitive, and they also find daunting the prospect of expensive litigation to defend their intellectual property rights. Belief that small firms do not patent seems to be supported by empirical research. Cordes, Hertzfeld and Vonortas surveyed high tech small firms and found that patenting was not the most important means of protecting product or process innovations. Informal means of IPR protection were of primary importance to their respondents (Cordes et al., 1999). Obermayer also reported that small firms relied more on proprietary know- how and trade secrets than on patents (Obermayer, 1981). The thing is, Cohen, Nelson and Walsh found substantially the same result in their survey of manufacturing firms, which over sampled Fortune 500 firms (Cohen et al. 2000). In Cohen et al.'s survey, median firm size was 3,309 employees and median annual sales were $555 million. Table 1 compares the two studies by comparing the rankings of intellectual property protection methods for product innovations. For Cordes et al. the ranking is based on share of respondents reporting that the method was "very important". For Cohen et al. the ranking is based on the mean percentage of product innovations for which the mechanism was considered effective across all technologies. The rankings are identical, which demonstrates that large and small firms hold the same beliefs about the importance of intellectual property protection methods. Complementary manufacturing, sales and service are absent from the small firm study. If these factors were weaker in small firms, as seems likely, strong patent protection would only be more important for small firms. 4 Table 1 - Importance of Intellectual Property Protection Methods in Product Innovation Cordes Cohen Mechanism Small firms Large firms Lead Time 1 1 Secrecy 2 2 Complementary Mfg. - 3 Complementary Sales/Svc - 4 Patents 3 5 Other legal 4 6 Small firms do face special circumstances with regard to patents. For example, small firms are less able than large firms to afford the expense of applying for and maintaining patents and are known to be less likely to obtain foreign patent protection (Mogee et al., 1996). Small firms also are less able to pursue costly legal campaigns to enforce their patent rights. Also, in semiconductor related areas, in which firms' technologies overlap and change quickly, patents are often used en masse in negotiations to forestall accusations of infringement, keeping production running when injunctions are threatened. Specialized small firms cannot amass a large enough pile of patents to play this game effectively (Cordes et al., 1999). Because they devote so much effort to innovation, serial innovators are motivated to overcome the hurdles to obtaining, maintaining and litigating patents. They feel they must protect their investment. Again, these patenting small firms are more like large patenting firms than other small firms in this regard. Serial innovators and the markets for technology Despite the similarities between the R&D efforts of innovative small and large firms – we maintain that the small firms and their technology are different. This is because serial innovators are often specialist suppliers of technology. Buchanan’s interviews highlighted the specialist technology supplier character of the firms. She found that a subset of these firms, especially in the pharmaceutical and biotechnology areas, maintain their R&D with support from large firms and are essentially outsourced R&D operations for large firms. She also concluded that unlike most small firms, these firms tended to have a core technology rather than a core product. They seemed to be interested in not just a new thing, but also a new and different way of doing something, a new process. In other words at their heart the firms were technology suppliers rather than product manufacturers. That the small firms tend to be specialist suppliers of technology is also suggested by their concentration in technologies where markets are well developed. Arora, Fosfuri and Gambardella describe the substantial evidence for technology markets in chemical plant design, software, biotechnology, drug discovery and semiconductors. We find that the serial innovators are over represented among firms patenting in those technologies. 5 Table 2 examines the distribution of small firm patenting across 30 technologies.6 The table reports two measures. The first is the small firm share of patents in each technology area, and the total number of patents. The second measure, the share of firms that are small by technology area, is more complicated because to obtain it we first had to classify each firm into a technology area based on where most of its patents are found. There were a few firms for which two technology areas were tied, and we counted them into both technology areas. Therefore the sum of the number of firms across technology areas exceeds the number of firms in the study. Overall, small firms have a 6% share of patenting and one-third of the firms are small. In biotechnology however, small firms produce one-quarter of the patents in this study and account for 71% of the patenting firms. Pharmaceuticals, chemicals and agriculture are closely related; some genetic engineering falls under agriculture and small firms with a high proportion of chemistry patents tend to be engaged in drug delivery, DNA chips, combinatorial chemistry and the like. In semiconductors there is a high percentage of small firms, though their share of patenting is not high. This suggests that although small firms are relatively active, large firms have a higher propensity to patent than in other areas and so overshadow small firm patent counts.7 The concentration of small firm patenting in these areas supports the notion that the serial innovators tend to be suppliers of technology because these are areas in which markets for technology are well developed. We do not see evidence of a concentration of small firm patenting in software. Software patenting is found in the computers category. It may be that the category is not specific enough or it may be that software patenting is relatively undeveloped and large firms are more likely to patent. Among the strongest areas of small firm patenting are medical electronics and medical equipment. Although Arora, Fosfuri and Gambardella did not address this technology, Red Herring reports that venture capital interest in this area is strong, and there is a market for firm acquisition with Johnson & Johnson, Boston Scientific and Medtronic buying firms to acquire their technology. The market is attractive because development costs are considerably lower than for pharmaceuticals and FDA approval is easier (Stein, 2003). The same factors no doubt make it more possible for the small firms to become manufacturers and the technology has similarities to instrumentation which has been a long-standing strength of small firm innovation (Rapoport, 1990; Shimshoni, 1970). Further investigation is needed to ascertain whether a market for medical device technology is developing, and to identify the factors driving developments. “Unclassified” technologies are also a small firm strength. Here the story is different. Unclassified patents encompass, amongst other things, patents on gaming – golf, snowboarding, 6 Using CHI’s classification of patents into 30 broad technology areas. This classification is based on the first listed IPC or international patent classification code on each patent. The classification was designed to roughly align with the SIC or NAICS classifications. 7 That large IT firms have recently dramatically increased their propensity to patent is reported in Hicks et al., 2001. 6 toys, casino gaming etc. 21% of the patents with the words: toy, game, gaming, snowboard or golf in their titles belong to small firms. And 11 of 13 firms with more than half of their patents in this category are concerned with gaming or leisure. Mattel, Hasbro, Huffy (bicycles) and Callaway Golf are examples. This is not a traded technology, but it may be one with outstanding attractions for serial innovators. First, like medical devices and instrumentation, the complementary assets needed to realize the value of an innovation may be affordable for small firms who can thus succeed in manufacturing and marketing. Second, small firm establishment often is driven by someone’s passion. If a technologist’s passion is golf, or snowboarding or toys, establishing an innovative equipment firm is a natural expression of that. In sports, there would be substantial rewards to the serial innovator, who would enjoy a lifestyle in close contact with users of their equipment – i.e. others like themselves passionate about the game or sport - from whom they can glean innovation ideas. Perhaps they attain a central position in the sporting community through their supply of high-end equipment to the elite. Perhaps therefore, the rewards for one’s lifestyle of running such a business exceed those to be gained by selling out. This is probably also true because absent opportunities for technology trading, big investor money does not swirl around snowboarding and golf in quite the same fashion as it does around semiconductors and biopharmaceuticals. Therefore in this area entrepreneurs may be more likely to become serial innovators. 7 Table 2 – Small firm share of patenting by technology % of patents % of from firms small # of that are Technology Area firms patents small # of firms Biotechnology 25% 3,886 71% 45 Pharmaceuticals 19% 6,453 68% 59 Medical Equipment 11% 8,437 45% 88 Unclassified 11% 2,511 31% 26 Medical Electronics 11% 2,974 64% 14 Chemicals 9% 15,760 29% 91 Agriculture 8% 2,561 28% 18 Glass, Clay And Cement 7% 1,003 50% 2 Wood And Paper 7% 1,961 29% 21 Food And Tobacco 6% 1,453 19% 16 Textiles And Apparel 6% 1,837 19% 16 Power Generation And Distribution 6% 2,045 80% 5 Fabricated Metals 5% 2,313 36% 11 Industrial Process Equipment 5% 5,180 28% 39 Primary Metals 5% 586 22% 9 Electrical Appliances And Comp 5% 10,436 28% 64 Other Transport 5% 1,136 10% 10 Miscellaneous Manufacturing 5% 9,313 16% 73 Heating And Ventilation 5% 1,026 43% 7 Telecommunications 5% 19,099 33% 91 Semiconductors And Electronics 5% 13,893 44% 43 Miscellaneous Machinery 4% 6,181 17% 54 Office Equipment And Cameras 4% 9,268 43% 37 Measuring And Control Equipment 4% 8,201 26% 39 Plastics, Polymers And Rubber 4% 7,187 21% 28 Industrial Machinery And Tools 3% 8,050 20% 54 Motor Vehicles And Parts 3% 5,774 22% 37 Computers And Peripherals 3% 31,645 30% 101 Aerospace And Parts 2% 1,147 0% 1 Oil And Gas 1% 2,660 6% 17 All technology areas 6% 193,976 33% 1116 Firms that patent heavily are largely manufacturing firms. Therefore, one marker of a specialist technology supplier among firms that patent heavily may be the absence of manufacturing. We examined company descriptions for a sample of 140 firms with less than 45 8 patents 1996-2000, 53 large firms and 85 small firms.8 91% of the large firms were manufacturers, that is produced a product, while 66% (56) of the small firms were manufacturers. Although the presence of manufacturing is a useful indication that a firm’s primary business in not trade in technology, at least three of the small manufacturers (and one large) also consult or provide technology services. The remainder of the firms did not seem to produce material goods at all. 21% of the small firms (or 18 firms) were research and/or development firms. Six firms, 3 large and 3 small, sold services – beyond development or research services. Eight firms, 2 large and 6 small were software firms. One small firm was a fabless semiconductor manufacturer and another called itself a technology supplier. This supports the idea that the small firms tend to be specialist suppliers of technology. Large patenting firms are likely to be manufacturers, while small patenting firms much less so. For a substantial fraction of the small firms, their only business is technology trade through R&D, technology services or semiconductor chip design. We have one direct piece of evidence concerning small firm participation in markets for technology. It comes from data on co-assigned patents, that is patents jointly owned by two or more organizations. 3.2% of small firm patents are co-assigned, compared to 1.7% of large firm patents. That is, small firm patents are co-assigned 1.8 times as much as large firm patents. Co- assigned patents are relatively rare, because organizations do not like to share ownership of their technology. 1.4% of US invented patents were jointly owned by organizations in 1998/99 (Hicks & Narin, 2001).9 Co-assigned patents are concentrated in biotechnology, pharmaceuticals and medical equipment, where they often involve public sector organizations jointly patenting with companies. In biotechnology, the small firm rate of joint patenting in biotechnology – 6% - equals that of large firms. It is the other technologies, in which joint patenting is less common, in which we find overall that the small firm rate of co-assigned patenting exceeds the large firm rate. Excluding biotechnology patents, 3.0% of small firm and 1.7% of large firm patents are co- assigned. Hagedoorn argues that co-assigned patents result from jointly conducted R&D on a small scale that perhaps only produced one or two patents making it difficult to split the intellectual property (Hagedoorn, 2002). That small firms are relatively more involved in these types of transactions supports the interpretation that an important part of their business is in markets for technology. That serial innovators are often specialist suppliers of technology further explains their emphasis on intellectual property. Arora, Fosfuri and Gambardella argue that intellectual property rights encourage the rise of a market for technology, and that patents are likely to have greater value for small, specialist technology suppliers than for manufacturing firms. “Whereas the later have several means to protect their innovations, including their manufacturing and commercialization assets, the former can only appropriate the rents to their innovation by leveraging the protection that patents provide.”10 A firm whose sole purpose is to capture the 8 The sample comprised firms whose names began with A-Biop and M-Prog. Firms for which we could not obtain a description were excluded. 9 Calculated excluding unassigned patents and parent-subsidiary joint patenting for the largest patenting companies. 10 Arora, Fosfuri and Gambardella pp. 261-2. 9 value in a technology by licensing or selling itself to a large firm needs to protect its intellectual property in patents. The same reasoning applies when the small specialist technology supplier raises financing. Small R&D intensive companies are almost always searching for new funding. Patents, among the most concrete proofs of intellectual assets can be important in persuading investors of the firm’s worthiness. The firm’s assets are largely intangible and patents - along with trademarks or scientific papers - confirm for investors the substance of the technology developed by the firm. Points of difference Many of the serial innovators appear to specialize in developing technology, which is a viable business model when technology is tradable. The serial innovators differ from most small firms in emphasizing technology. Because they are serious about innovation, they share characteristics with large innovative firms. They are similar to large innovative firms in often having formal targets, R&D departments and an emphasis on patenting to protect their intellectual property. However, firms that specialize in supplying technology are not mini-large firms. Large firms do sell technology. Therefore the difference is not one of participation; rather it is a difference in commitment. For a large firm, technology licensing augments their R&D strategy. It likely serves as an adjunct rather than the purpose around which the firm’s innovation is structured. The small technology supplier’s existence depends on the technology market. Therefore, their innovative efforts can be expected to be oriented to the requirements of that market. By comparing characteristics of small and large firm innovation we can uncover some of these requirements. We interpret the differences as contrasts between general purpose manufacturing firms and specialist suppliers of technology. Firm age The first difference between large and 70% Figure 1 - Small firms are younger small patenting firms is age. That the small firms are long-lived does not mean that their 60% age distribution mimics that of large firms. large The large firms are middle aged or older 50% compared to the crowd of teenage small firms. ms We do not have the founding date for each fir 40% f firm, but we do have the first year in which re o 30% small each firm applied for a patent (for patents a h issued 1970 or later). So we can examine firm S 20% age as judged by the year in which the firm, or its predecessors or subsidiaries, made its first 10% patent application. We classified firms according to the decade in which they applied 0% for their first patent. Figure 1 displays the before 1970' s 1980' s 1990' s results. 43% of the small firms applied for Date of first patent application their first patent after 1989, compared with 5% of the large firms. On the other hand, 10
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