SECURITY STRATEGIES IN THE ASIA-PACIFIC SECURITY STRATEGIES IN THE ASIA-PACIFIC T U S ’ “S HE NITED TATES ECOND F S A RONT” IN OUTHEAST SIA Andrew T H Tan SECURITY STRATEGIES IN THE ASIA-PACIFIC Copyright © Andrew T H Tan, 2011. All rights reserved. First published in 2011 by ® PALGRAVE MACMILLAN in the United States – a division of St. Martin’s Press LLC, 175 Fifth Avenue, New York, NY 10010. Where this book is distributed in the UK, Europe and the rest of the world, this is by Palgrave Macmillan, a division of Macmillan Publishers Limited, registered in England, company number 785998, of Houndmills, Basingstoke, Hampshire RG21 6XS. Palgrave Macmillan is the global academic imprint of the above companies and has companies and representatives throughout the world. ® ® Palgrave and Macmillan are registered trademarks in the United States, the United Kingdom, Europe and other countries. ISBN: 978–0–230–11683–2 Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data Tan, Andrew T. H. (Andrew Tian Huat) Security strategies in the Asia-Pacific : the United States’ “second front” in Southeast Asia / Andrew T H Tan. p. cm. Includes bibliographical references and index. ISBN 978–0–230–11683–2 (alk. paper) 1. Security, International—Southeast Asia. 2. Terrorism—Southeast Asia. 3. Insurgency—Southeast Asia. 4. Southeast Asia—Politics and government—21st century. I. Title. JZ6009.S644T36 2011 355'.0335730959—dc22 2011005268 A catalogue record of the book is available from the British Library. Design by MPS Limited, A Macmillan Company First edition: August 2011 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 Printed in the United States of America. CONTENTS List of Tables Acknowledgments 1 Security and Terrorism in the Malay Archipelago 2 Terrorism 3 Insurgencies 4 Maritime Security 5 Great Power Rivalries 6 The Regional Arms Buildup 7 Conclusion Notes Bibliography Index LIST OF TABLES 6.1 Military expenditure in the Malay Archipelago states (US$) (1999–2008) 6.2 Military assets of the Malay Archipelago states (1990) 6.3 Military assets of the Malay Archipelago states (2009) 6.4 Military manpower of the Malay Archipelago states (1990 and 2009) ACKNOWLEDGMENTS The author wishes to thank Palgrave Macmillan, particularly Farideh Koohi- Kamali and Robyn Curtis, for supporting this book. A special word of thanks goes to the referee who had taken a great deal of effort to read the original manuscript and offer a number of important and useful suggestions that have led to this final product. A special word of acknowledgment is also appropriate for the many individuals, too numerous to name here, who have been tremendous peers and colleagues in the study of the region and from whom I have learnt much. The author also wishes to thank his wife, Angela, for her encouragement, love, and support; his mother, Mary; and sister, Lily, for their many years of love and perseverance. Truly, without God and family, we are nothing. Andrew T H Tan University of New South Wales Australia June 1, 2011 CHAPTER 1 S T M A ECURITY AND ERRORISM IN THE ALAY RCHIPELAGO THE MALAY ARCHIPELAGO AND THE GLOBAL WAR ON TERRORISM The Encyclopaedia Britannica defines the Malay archipelago in terms of physical geography. It describes the archipelago as the largest group of islands in the world, consisting of more than 13,000 islands in Indonesia and about 7,000 islands in the Philippines. The islands of Indonesia include those of the Greater Sundas (Sumatra, Java, Borneo, and the Celebes), the Lesser Sundas, the Moluccas, and Irian Jaya (West New Guinea). The islands of the Philippines include Luzon, the Visayans, and Mindanao. Other political units in the archipelago are the East Malaysian states of Sabah and Sarawak, the sultanate of 1 Brunei, and the state of Papua New Guinea. This region is also regarded as maritime Southeast Asia, as opposed to mainland Southeast Asia, which is connected by land to the rest of Asia. Although a narrow, geographical definition of the archipelago excludes West Malaysia, which is geographically part of mainland Southeast Asia, both Malaysia and Singapore are usually regarded in discussions on politics as part of the archipelago, given their close political, cultural, and social links with it. In addition, the provinces of Patani, Narathiwat, Songkhla, and Yala in southern Thailand, which used to be part of Malay sultanates and that have a large minority of Malay Muslims who share a cultural and religious affinity with Malaysia as opposed to the Thai Buddhist majority in Thailand, are also regarded as belonging to the broader Malay archipelago. On the other hand, Papua New Guinea is usually excluded from discussions on regional politics because of its greater political and cultural affinity with Pacific 2 Polynesia. More significantly, the Malay archipelago has assumed enormous strategic significance in the U.S.-led global war on terrorism following the seminal terrorist attacks on September 11, 2001 (or 9-11), as it has the world’s largest population of Muslims. Indeed, Indonesia is the largest Muslim country in the world. Islam is also the dominant religion in Malaysia and Brunei, and there are also a significant number of adherents in southern Thailand, the southern Philippines, and Singapore. Apart from the geographical definition of the region as somewhat distinct on account of geography, culture, and politics, a key defining feature of this region is its adherence to Islam. Thus, after 9-11, it was no surprise that the region achieved prominence in regional and global security, emerging as a strategic battleground in the context of the U.S.-led global war on terrorism (now referred to under the Obama administration as “the Long War”) 3 in which radical Islamists are trying to gain support for the global jihad. In the post 9-11 context, therefore, the Malay archipelago has become synonymous with the Malay Muslim world in maritime Southeast Asia. After 9-11, the region was designated by the Bush administration as the “Second Front” in the global war on terrorism. This tag could also be attributed in part to the existence of armed Muslim separatist rebellions throughout the Malay archipelago. Although they predated Al Qaeda and the events of 9-11, they came under much greater scrutiny in the context of the global war on terrorism, given the alleged linkages between local Muslim rebels and Al Qaeda. Indeed, Al Qaeda had been seeking to establish such linkages in the hope of co- 4 opting disaffected local Muslims into its global jihad against the West. Al Qaeda hoped to profit from the presence of fundamental political, economic, and social grievances that underlie the resort to armed rebellion by some Muslims in the region. Thus, prior to 9-11, Al Qaeda had actively sought to establish ties 5 with various local militant and separatist groups in the Malay archipelago. The region is also important strategically because it is the location of the busiest and most important waterway in the world, namely, the Straits of Malacca, which has been the subject of growing concern in recent years over maritime security on account of the many piracy attacks taking place against commercial shipping. Following 9-11, these concerns coalesced into fears of a possible piracy-terrorism nexus that could lead to acts of maritime terrorism in the Straits, severely disrupting global commerce. The possibility of maritime terrorist strikes is taken seriously by security agencies, given the attacks on ships carried out by Al Qaeda, for instance, in Yemen against a U.S. warship, the USS Cole, in 2000, which killed 17 U.S. sailors, and the bombing of a French tanker, 6 the Lindberg, off the coast of Yemen, in 2002. Given the rising trend in piracy attacks in the environs of the vital Straits of Malacca in the 1990s, the presence of fundamental economic problems in Indonesia that have led to the resort to piracy, and the existence of local radical Islamist as well as Muslim separatist groups, apprehensions over the safety of commercial shipping through these waters have heightened. The importance of the Straits to global commerce stems from the fact that a quarter of the world’s trade, half the world’s oil, and two- 7 thirds of its natural gas trade pass through its waters. Apprehensions over maritime security stem also from possible threats to U.S. navy warships traversing the region to and from the Indian Ocean. Indeed, the failed terrorist bomb plots in Singapore in late 2001, which had targeted U.S. warships at Changi Naval Base, served to highlight the emerging challenges to maritime 8 security in the region. The heightened concerns over maritime security, in turn, have attracted the attention of the great powers. Growing concern over maritime security as a result of the threat of terrorism has led the United States to invest attention and resources in managing the problem, thus inadvertently raising its profile, role, and presence in the region. However, the United States is not the only external great power with an interest in regional security. Indeed, 70 percent of Japan’s oil traverses the Straits of Malacca, as does 80 percent of China’s trade, making 9 it a waterway of great strategic importance to other great powers. After 9-11, however, the enhanced security roles of the United States and its allies in the region, such as Japan and Australia, have led China to openly express concern over the ability of the United States to disrupt its access to energy supplies through the Straits of Malacca in a crisis, on which it has increasingly come to rely on to fuel its enormous economic growth. This has been dubbed China’s 10 “Malacca Dilemma.” China’s growing assertiveness in the region’s waters, as well as its diplomatic offensive to woo regional states, have meant that the region is being increasingly caught up in emerging great-power rivalries between China and the United States. However, the growing unease in the region over maritime security and great- power rivalries have provided an impetus toward enhancing self-reliant defence capabilities that could improve maritime security against piracy and terrorism, protect maritime borders, and bolster local capacity to thwart a greater role and presence by external great powers. The regional arms buildup has been ongoing
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