Community Attributes tells data rich stories about communities that are important to decision-makers. Principal: Chris Mefford Lead Analyst: Spencer Cohen Analysts: Erin Gengo Diana Haring Alexandra Hudson Bryan Lobel Community Attributes Inc. 1411 Fourth Ave, Suite 770 Seattle, Washington 98101 www.communityattributes.com EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Introduction The aerospace industry and Boeing Commercial create enormous amounts of economic activity and fiscal benefits to the State of Washington—more than any other single private sector employer or industry. The findings of this study detail the scale and reach of these benefits, which include aerospace-supported tax revenues—via direct and multiplier effects—of more than $4 billion between 2004 and 2012; of this Boeing Commercial alone has supported more than $3.3 billion over this period. For many decades the Washington State economy was defined by commercial aircraft production, and a dependence on natural resources. From Boeing’s beginnings in 1916, through the War years, to today’s diverse cluster of activities spanning aircraft final assembly, research, and defense activities, the aerospace industry has been a driver of economic growth in Washington State. Aerospace continues to be a foundational industry in Washington State, driving innovation, economic development, and jobs. Today, Boeing Commercial is the largest exporter in the U.S., attracting large inflows of income into the State of Washington. Boeing Commercial is Washington State’s largest private sector employer, pays good wages, and anchors an extensive supply chain centered on final production in Renton and Everett. In recent years the supply chain has diversified—an increasing number of firms have expanded into other supply chains in the U.S. and abroad, including Bombardier, Airbus, and more recently the Chinese aircraft manufacturer COMAC. Rich networks of suppliers serve these programs from across Washington State, including firms engaged in: Air Framing and Aero Structures Aerospace Engineering, Research, and Design Avionics and Navigational Systems Composites and Advanced Materials Tooling Interiors Maintenance, Repair, and Overhaul This report examines these economic and fiscal impacts to the State of Washington for the aerospace cluster as a whole, as well as for Boeing Commercial specifically. Boeing Commercial, which produces the company’s 737, 747, 767, 777 and 787 aircraft lines, is at the center of Washington State’s aerospace cluster. This analysis goes deeper than past aerospace reports and looks at the impact of Boeing Commercial by each of its major commercial production lines in Washington State. The findings will serve leaders and stakeholders across Washington State by meeting the following two objectives: Washington Aerospace Partnership November 2013 Page i Aerospace Impact Analysis 1) Update and demonstrate the important and impactful contributions of the aerospace industry and Boeing Commercial specifically to the Washington State economy, from jobs, income, business sales, and tax revenues, both directly and through multiplier effects throughout the economy; and 2) Understand the alignment between Washington State’s investments and aerospace and the fiscal and economic benefits accrued from Boeing’s related activities from 2004 to 2012. Findings Washington State Investments Between 2004 and 2012, Washington State supported Boeing and aerospace companies with tax incentives and non-tax investments in direct support of the aerospace industry, totaling more than $1.4 billion in value in 2012 dollars, adjusted for inflation. Of this total, the largest share came from tax incentives, which summed to $978 million between 2004 and 2012 (2012 dollars). Additional investments in the cluster came from non-tax investments in infrastructure, workforce and local and federal investments across the state. Direct Impacts In 2012, there were 175 aerospace business establishments in Washington State, with an additional 1,175 locations for aerospace-related businesses, for example, machine shops. Boeing Commercial has five manufacturing sites in Washington State, all concentrated in the Central Puget Sound region. Aerospace revenues in 2012 totaled $51.2 billion, of which an estimated $48.9 billion were generated directly by Boeing Commercial activities. Another $8.7 billion in sales were generated by businesses related to aerospace. Employment in the aerospace industry totaled 94,200 jobs in 2012, of which approximately 72,900 were estimated within Boeing Commercial. Aerospace employment equaled approximately 3.3% of all non-farm employment in Washington State (the highest share since 1999, when aerospace firms employed 3.7% of the State’s non-farm workforce). An additional 38,300 workers were employed in sectors closely tied to aerospace, such as plastics manufacturing, machine shops, and electronic component manufacturers. An estimated 47,000 Boeing employees were directly employed in aircraft program-specific activities, with another 25,900 workers engaged in activities indirectly in support of aircraft final production. These activities included customer service, finance, marketing, sales, and other overhead and related work. Wages paid out among aerospace firms totaled more than $9.1 billion (before benefits), or approximately $96,684 per covered employee, compared with statewide median household income of $56,444. Boeing Commercial alone paid out an estimated $7.2 billion in wages in 2012, or $9.7 billion inclusive of benefits (Exhibit E1). Washington Aerospace Partnership November 2013 Page ii Aerospace Impact Analysis Exhibit E1. Direct Economic Impacts of Aerospace Industry and Boeing Commercial in Washington State, 2012 Wages ($ Gross Business Establishments billions) Jobs Income ($ billions) Aerospace Industry 175 $9.1 94,200 $51.2 Boeing Commercial 5+ $7.2 72,900 $48.9 Related Industries 1,175 $2.4 38,300 $8.7 Sources: Community Attributes Inc.; industry sources; Washington State Employment Security Department; Washington State Department of Revenue. Note: Wages here are exclusive of benefits. Later estimates for Boeing Commercial include estimates of benefits. Indirect and Induced Impacts After factoring in the broader impacts of aerospace activities, including through supply chain, vendor sales, and additional income created and spent throughout the economy, the aerospace industry supported 253,400 jobs across Washington State, nearly $76 billion in revenues, and $19.8 billion in income and benefits (Exhibit E2). For every direct job in aerospace, an additional 1.7 jobs are supported elsewhere in the state economy. Likewise, every million dollars in aerospace sales supports almost five workers across Washington State. Exhibit E2: Aerospace Direct, Indirect and Induced Impacts, 2012 Jobs Revenues Income* (millions $) (millions $) Direct 94,200 51,240 11,843 Indirect 32,600 5,209 1,761 Induced 126,600 19,328 6,187 Total 253,400 75,777 19,792 *Includes estimated benefits. **Note: some columns may not sum to total due to rounding. Sources: Community Attributes Inc.; Washington State Office of Financial Management. Fiscal Impacts Adjusted for inflation, the aerospace industry in Washington State directly paid more than $1.2 billion in taxes to the State between 2004 and 2012, largely in the form of B&O taxes. Factoring in the indirect and induced effects through the activities among suppliers and the spending of additional wages throughout the economy, the total fiscal impact of aerospace over the period was nearly $4.1 billion. In 2012, State of Washington tax revenues supported by aerospace via direct and multiplier effects totaled $544.1 million (Exhibit E3). Washington Aerospace Partnership November 2013 Page iii Aerospace Impact Analysis Between 2004 and 2012, each $1.00 of State investment in aerospace over this period is associated with $4.10 in state tax revenues. Boeing Commercial alone is estimated to have supported more than $3.3 billion in tax revenues over this period, including direct impacts and multiplier effects. Exhibit E3. Estimated Total Fiscal Benefits from Aerospace, 2004-2012 Millions (2012 $) Other Taxes Sales Tax B&O Taxes Sources: Community Attributes Inc.; Washington State Office of Financial Management; Washington State Department of Revenue. Impacts by Boeing Commercial Program In 2012, the 737 and 777 directly employed an estimated 9,600 and 12,100 employees, respectively. Including indirect jobs within Boeing in support of final production, total Boeing employment for the 737 and 777 programs totaled 20,500 and 19,700 workers, respectively (Exhibit E4). In terms of direct wages and benefits, the 737 program brought in $2.7 billion, while the 777 program was responsible for $2.5 billion. Factoring in multiplier effects of Boeing Commercial across Washington State, the 737 program supported over 20,000 jobs, while the 777 program supported just under 20,000 jobs. Boeing Commercial activities overall support—via direct and multiplier effects—an estimated 208,800 jobs, nearly $70 billion in sales, and $16.4 billion in wages and benefits (Exhibit E5). Boeing Commercial Fiscal Impacts In 2012, the 737 program directly contributed an estimated $56.5 million in B&O taxes to the State of Washington, while the 777 program paid an estimated $39.2 million. Factoring additional taxable activities throughout the state supported via multiplier effects from Boeing programs, total State of Washington tax revenues Washington Aerospace Partnership November 2013 Page iv Aerospace Impact Analysis supported by the 777 program summed to $133.1 million, while the 737 supported $169.3 million (Exhibit E5). Exhibit E4. Direct Boeing Commercial Impacts in Washington State by Program, 2012 Program Jobs Direct Wages & Estimated Benefits Direct Tax Supporting within ($ billions) Payments Direct Jobs Boeing ($ millions) 737 9,600 10,900 $2.7 $56.5 747 6,200 3,200 $1.2 $16.6 767 5,100 1,400 $0.9 $7.3 777 12,100 7,600 $2.6 $39.2 787 14,000 2,800 $2.3 $13.9 Total 47,000 25,900 $9.7 $133.5 Sources: Community Attributes Inc.; industry sources; Washington State Department of Revenue. Exhibit E5. Boeing Commercial Impacts by Program, 2012 Program Jobs Statewide Business Total Wages & Taxes Sales Benefits Supported ($ billions) ($ billions) Statewide ($ millions) 737 65,100 $27.6 $5.0 $169.3 747 26,700 $8.8 $2.1 $60.3 767 17,300 $4.3 $1.4 $34.4 777 56,900 $20.1 $4.4 $133.1 787 42,800 $9.1 $3.6 $79.3 Total 208,800 $69.9 $16.4 $476.2 Sources: Community Attributes Inc.; industry sources; Washington State Department of Revenue; Washington State Office of Financial Management. Additional Benefits of Boeing This study also considers the “softer” impacts of Boeing’s presence in Washington State such as spinoff companies generated both within and outside of aerospace, technologies shared across Washington State’s manufacturing landscape, Boeing’s partnerships with Washington State universities, and the company’s sizeable charitable contributions. Each of these activities plays a role as a driver of research, innovation, and economic development in Washington State. Washington Aerospace Partnership November 2013 Page v Aerospace Impact Analysis Blank. Washington Aerospace Partnership November 2013 Page vi Aerospace Impact Analysis CONTENTS Section 1. Introduction ........................................................................................................................ 1 Background and Purpose ................................................................................................................. 1 Methods ............................................................................................................................................. 1 Organization of Report .................................................................................................................... 2 Section 2. Aerospace in Washington State.......................................................................................... 3 History of Aerospace ....................................................................................................................... 3 Supply Chain Components .............................................................................................................. 3 Workforce and Human Capital ....................................................................................................... 6 Section 3. State Investments in Aerospace, 2004-2012 ..................................................................... 7 Tax Incentives ................................................................................................................................... 8 Non-tax Investments in Aerospace ............................................................................................... 14 Project Olympus ............................................................................................................................. 15 Project Pegasus ............................................................................................................................... 18 Spokane’s Investments in Aerospace ............................................................................................ 18 Section 4. Measures and Impacts ...................................................................................................... 20 Establishments ................................................................................................................................ 20 Revenues ......................................................................................................................................... 23 Jobs .................................................................................................................................................. 27 Wages and Occupations ................................................................................................................. 34 Indirect and Induced Impacts ....................................................................................................... 41 Fiscal Impacts ................................................................................................................................. 48 Long-Term Economic and Fiscal Benefits from Aerospace in Washington State .................... 53 Section 5. Additional Benefits from Boeing Commercial ................................................................ 56 Boeing Spinoff Companies ............................................................................................................ 56 Boeing-Specific Technology Transfer ........................................................................................... 57 Boeing Partnerships with Washington Universities ..................................................................... 57 Aviation Biofuels ............................................................................................................................ 58 Philanthropy .................................................................................................................................... 58 Section 6. Aerospace Cluster Linkages ............................................................................................. 60 Medical ............................................................................................................................................ 60 Maritime .......................................................................................................................................... 60 Sports & Recreation ....................................................................................................................... 60 Wind & Solar Energy ..................................................................................................................... 60 Section 7. Commercial Space and Military Aerospace in Washington ........................................... 61 Commercial Space .......................................................................................................................... 61 Defense and Unmanned Aerial Vehicles ...................................................................................... 62 Section 8. Findings and Conclusions ................................................................................................ 63 Appendices .......................................................................................................................................... 65 Bibliography ........................................................................................................................................ 87 Washington Aerospace Partnership November 2013 Page vii Aerospace Impact Analysis Blank. Washington Aerospace Partnership November 2013 Page viii Aerospace Impact Analysis
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